RUSSIA UNDER PUTIN 2.0 AS AN INTERNATIONAL PLAYER
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Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of Technology CRICOS Provider Code 00301J Lowy Institute for International Policy, Sydney RUSSIA UNDER PUTIN 2.0 AS AN INTERNATIONAL PLAYER 12.04.2012 School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages Dr Alexey D Muraviev Coordinator, International Relations & National Security programs Director, Strategic Flashlight forum
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RUSSIA UNDER PUTIN 2.0 AS AN INTERNATIONAL PLAYER. Lowy Institute for International Policy, Sydney. Dr Alexey D Muraviev Coordinator, International Relations & National Security programs Director, Strategic Flashlight forum. School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages. Medvedev’s Legacy. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of RUSSIA UNDER PUTIN 2.0 AS AN INTERNATIONAL PLAYER
Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of TechnologyCRICOS Provider Code 00301J
Lowy Institute for International Policy, Sydney
RUSSIA UNDER PUTIN 2.0 AS ANINTERNATIONAL PLAYER
12.04.2012
School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
Dr Alexey D MuravievCoordinator, International Relations & National Security programs
Director, Strategic Flashlight forum
Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of TechnologyCRICOS Provider Code 00301J
12.04.2012School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
Medvedev’s Legacy
Signing the new START in Prague, 8 April 2010
President Medvedev on board the Admiral Kuznetsov aircraft carrier
Major foreign policy achievementsStrengthening Russia’s international stance
Effective mitigation of the Georgia war fallout
Signature and ratification of the new START
Admission in WTO
Medvedev as Supreme C-in-C Swift military reforms
Emphasis on force modernisation and capability upgrade
Victory in the 2008 Russia-Georgia conflict
Curtin University is a trademark of Curtin University of TechnologyCRICOS Provider Code 00301J
12.04.2012School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
The Defence Vector under Putin
Putin and the T-50 prototype of the fifth-generation fighter, 2010
“Our country faces the task of sufficiently developing its military potential as part of a deterrence strategy. This is an indispensable condition for Russia to feel secure and for our partners to listen to our country's arguments.”
A vital element of national power‘The Army has saved Russia’
Making international partners respect Russia
OPK as a key element of national industrial potential
Rebuilding effective military powerStrategic nuclear deterrence
ABM and space defence
Ocean going navy
New cyber command
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12.04.2012School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
Putin’s site published ‘Russia in the Changing World’ on 27 February
Major challenges NATO’s eastward expansion/ABM
Unilateralism/undermining the power of UN
The ‘Arab Spring’ syndrome
Iran, North Korea and WMD proliferation
Afghanistan
The European Factor Maximum preferences in energy supplies
Creating ‘harmonious commonwealth of economics from Lisbon to Vladivostok’
Putin’s Foreign Policy Vision
The US Factor Underdeveloped potential
US needs to see in Russia an equal and respectful partner
Economic and humanitarian diplomacy
“Russia’s territory - the source of its potential strength…, under the right economic strategy, they [vast territories] may become the key foundation of the increase of [the nation’s] competitiveness.”
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12.04.2012School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
The Asian Vector
Putin’s visit to Beijing, October 2011
The Pacific vector China as the core element
Large-scale joint naval exercises in April, May
The Indian Ocean vectorIndia
Defence cooperationJoint investment projectsCommon regional and international agenda
Regional frameworksThe Shanghai Group
BRICS
“The aims of our foreign policy have strategic, non-conjuncture character and reflect Russia’s unique place on the world’s political map, its role in the history, development of the civilisation.”
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12.04.2012School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
Transport Security Agenda
The North-South Transport Corridor
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Principal Challenges in Asia
Russia as a Indo-Pacific player
A lengthy period of disengagement
Absence of a clearly articulated regional strategy
The China FactorAt the core of regional approach
Torn between Europe and Asia
Identifying strategic priorities
Weakened potentialEconomic
Military
Demographic
Domestic issuesDeclining population
Underdeveloped infrastructure
Tyranny of distance Corruption and organised crime
Scepticism and suspicionDifficult international partner
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School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
The Afghan Vector
Transporting ISAF cargo by rail via RussiaAirport Ulyanovsk-Vostochny, Central Russia
12.04.2012
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12.04.2012School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
The Antarctic Vector
Russian Orthodox Trinity Church, Antarctica
Russian airfield in Antarctica
Fixation on pole politicsRussian discovery in 1821
Low key activities in the 1990s
Sergei Ivanov’s visit in March 2008
Developing a road map
Moscow’s Antarctic Strategy Modernisation of existing polar stations
Construction of a purpose-built research fleet
Special funding
60.5 bn rubles = US$ 16.9 bn
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12.04.2012School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
Space Agenda
Floating space-launch facility Sea Launch
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12.04.2012School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
Russia in the Indo-Pacific
Future trendsContinuity under Putin 2.0
Indo-Pacific in the context of Russia’s wider Asia strategy
China will remain Russia’s barometer of regional engagement
India as a strategic anchor
Central and South Asian affairs = Afghanistan
SCO, BRICS
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QUESTIONS?12.04.2012
School of Social Sciences and Asian Languages
Russia under Putin 2.0 as an International Player
Dr Alexey D MuravievPhone: (+61 8) 9266 2234Email: [email protected]
