Rural development programmes and related research within JRC

Pavel Milenov European Commission Joint Research Centre Directorate “Sustainable Resources“ Food Security Unit Macro-Regional Innovation Week Trieste, 30 September 2016

DG JRC Role: facts & figures

• 6 locations in 5 Member States

• 1 500 core research staff, out of around 3 000 total staff

• 83% of core research staff with PhDs

• Research fellows and visiting scientists

• 42 lаrge scale research facilities, more than 110 online databases

• More than 100 economic, bio-physical and nuclear models

Vision:

"To play a central role in creating, managing and making sense of the collective scientific knowledge for better EU policy."

Mission:

"As the science and knowledge service of the Commission our mission is to support EU policies with independent evidence throughout the whole policy cycle."

Vision and Mission Statements

DG JRC role in the policy cycle

Source: John Young, Overseas Development Institute

Monitoring and Evaluation

Agenda Setting

Decision Making

Policy Implementation

Policy Formulation

Civil Society

Commission

Private Sector

Council / Member States

European Parliament

Cabinet

Support to the Green Economy Living within the limits of the planet

Green Economy and Sustainable

Development

6 5 June 2012

Monitoring and Evaluation

Agenda Setting

Decision Making

Policy Implementation

Policy Formulation

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CAP Implementation

Training

“knowledge that ensures efficient and consistent implementation of the CAP”

KNOWLEDGE of agricultural land

Land parcels

LPIS

Land use survey

LUCAS

Farm controls

CwRS

Land Measurement

Areas of Natural

Constraints

Simplification at source

Technology developments giving policy

options

'hands-on' view of ideas later

Research developments, in

tandem with partners and

networks

Possible changes to satellite data

provision

• local sourcing

• use of 'open and free access' Copernicus data

Research and technical experience to facilitate policy design and implementation

“Research and innovation to facilitate CAP implementation and contribute to policy development”

CAP Implementation

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Data Capturing and Validation

3D concept for land cover definition

Farmer Geospatial Aid Application

Geotagged photos and precision farming data

Use of Sentinels from COPERNICUS

Appropriate procedures (OTSC)

Support to the delineation of Areas with Natural Constraints (ANC)

A common framework with 8 bio-physical criteria

Comparable application: definitions and thresholds are

identical for EU28

Buffer capacity of riparian vegetation — A pan-European case study on pesticides

Crop Yield forecasts - Europe

• Manage union agricultural markets in a global

context

• Contribute to the transparency of world markets

• Share access to such estimates in an

international context

“Independent and unbiased monthly forecasts of EU production for planning/management in a global economy"

Farm-Level administration and monitoring

Administration- sourcing

•Drones, Galileo positioning, Control report, IACS data

Farmer-sourcing

• Mobile phone pictures, field sensors, machinery sensors

Geospatial application

Certification systems Low carbon Organic Greening compliant

Farm performance payment system

Take into account different regional EU farm specificities ‘One CAP, many options’

Improved farm statistics Improved ‘regional’ statistics

Data aggregation

Equivalence

From compliance to farm performance

Tools measure performance, enabling to link payments to a specific level of results Budget Focus On Results

0.00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91.0

Crops diversificaton

Fertilisers input

Energy input

Water input

Pesticide input

Gross marketable

production

Added value

Farmer work

profitability

Independence from

CAP subsidies

Farm activities

diversification

Natural value

Functional landscape

pattern

Tier 1 basic payment

Tier 2 intermediate payment

Tier 3 High Env payment

Farm performance

Measuring Performance at Farm Level

Monitoring and Evaluation

Agenda Setting

Decision Making

Policy Implementation

Policy Formulation

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Evaluation of 'greening‘

Greening impacts on production (running in

IPTS)

REFIT interservice group 2016

mid-term review (2017-2018)

Integration of models and tools

CAPRI – IFM/CAP - iMAP - BIoMA - INCA

Linkage to bio-physical / environmental domain

IACS consistency

(Core model)

Food-chain analysis of the agri-food sector

Sustainable diets (H2020 project) modelling

scenarios

Scenar 2030

A vision for the future of agriculture and rural

areas

Important for funding framework decisions

“JRC in-house models to understand rural land activities and dynamics”

CAP Assessment

Ecosystem services: • global climate regulation • pollination & seed

dispersal • pest control • flood protection • control of soil erosion • cultural values • ……………

Biodiversity: • amphibians • aquatic plants • birds • mammals • reptiles • …………… + Feature Diversity Index

Management: • labour • skills and knowledge • frequency of tasks • economic costs • temporal restrictions + land taken out of production

EFA

An indicator framework to calculate IMPACTS: criteria and rules derived from an extensive scientific literature review

Ecological Focus Areas: real sustainable farming?

Impact of Ecological Focus Areas on biodiversity and ecosystem services (ongoing studies in JRC)

-19-

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Feasibility Study on the Valuation of Public Goods and Externalities in EU-Agriculture Develop methodology for estimating the society’s value of PGaE

Analytical perspective: conduct cost-benefit analysis

Policy making perspective: decide the resources to allocate to PGaE

EU CAP and rural economy

PGaE PGaE indicators

Cultural landscape Recreation potential index

Cultural heritage

Farmland biodiversity HNVF

Water quality Total N input

Water availability Infiltration

Irrigated UAA

Soil quality Soil erosion

Air quality Total NH3 emissions

Climate stability Soil carbon content

Flooding resilience Flooding risk

Fire resilience Fire risk

improve understanding of the regional economy

impacts of CAP policy instruments

from an agriculture-centered focus, towards balanced

and sustainable development of EU rural areas

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RURAL-ECMOD (Ex-ante Spatial Policy Impact Analysis of the RDR in European Rural Areas)

CLAIM (FPVII project): Supporting the role of the Common agricultural policy in LAndscape valorization

Improving the knowledge base of the contribution

of landscape Management to the rural economy

EU CAP and rural economy (2)

To estimate the extent to which the RDP investment support has a complementary or a

substitutionary effect on farm investments.

To quantify the potential deadweight effect by estimating the extent to which the beneficiaries

would have undertaken comparable investments also without the investment support.

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Firm-Level Evidence of Deadweight Loss of Investment Support Policies A Case Study of Dairy Farms in Schleswig-Holstein

EU CAP and rural economy (3)

CAP evaluation toolbox Role of economic experiments to inform EU CAP

Assess the impact and to improve the design of agri-environmental schemes

- Choice experiments

- Lab and Field experiments

Choice experiments can suggest how

- Changes in contract details can increase the share of land allocated to the AES

- To ensure environmental objectives are met

- Adding a collective bonus, can enhance participation

Monitoring and Evaluation

Agenda Setting

Decision Making

Policy Implementation

Policy Formulation

22 5 June 2012

Water and nutrient cycles: hydrological modelling, water availability for

agriculture

Agro-economy: price of water, commodities, farm income

Crop growth simulations: impacts on yield, production, adaptation measures

Climate Forcing: IPCC scenarios, downscaling,

bias correction

Linking Climate Change – Water and nutrients – Crop Growth – Agricultural Production:

informing policy making.

Climate Change: consequences of Paris ambitions for agriculture and LULUCF

Re-use of IACS data for LULUCF reporting

Land Parcel Identification System

Re-use of IACS data for territorial development at macro-regional level

25

Case Study within CBC project SPATIAL presented during the High-level event on the Scientific Support to the Danube Strategy in Vienna (June 2014) – DRDSI Nexus

Danube Reference Data and Service Infrastructure (DRDSI)

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Openness and transparency through data sharing

Common entry point for data, projects, applications, training materials and feedback for the whole Danube Marco-Region

http://drdsi.jrc.ec.europa.eu

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Data mining though European Media Monitor

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Monitoring and Evaluation

Agenda Setting

Decision Making

Policy Implementation

Policy Formulation

29 5 June 2012

Biodiversity, ecosystem services and public goods “Assessing and giving value to our agricultural areas"

Sustainability issues of

biodiversity, ecosystem services,

ecological networks

Scenarios, economic models

Food production, jobs, rural

economies

increasingly 'services' for city-living people, tourism

Visions for the future land use management in Europe – VOLANTE project

EU CAP and Smart Specialization

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• Focus RD measures in order to exploit optimally the local/regional

strengths and potential through

Advisory services to farmer to apply measures with higher impact at

the local context

Provision of sufficient flexibility with respect to the required compliance

Tailoring the EU support according to regional/local context to achieve

the required impact

Controlling the compliance at farm level, while monitoring the

performance at regional level

Adoption and dissemination of new technologies and innovations

• To achieve diversification of agriculture products, public goods and

ecosystem services that are closely related to existing regional

skills base.

33 EENRD Report, 2014

Projected impact of RD measures on

climate change

Intraregional differences in

the assessment

Intraregional differences in the assessment of the effectiveness of RD measures in EU CAP 2014-2020