Rogers Presentation v3
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Transcript of Rogers Presentation v3
WAT Consulting: Assessment of Rogers WirelessTeam 31:
Yuhan Zhuang Trimaan Kaur Dang
Sulaiman Mohammad Shorya Kaushik
Catherine Hung
RoadmapFive Priorities1) Implement IASB/FASB proposed standards 2) Execute proposal 3 to improve retention3) Invest to improve customer service4) Develop LTE and differentiated products5) Bid in 2014 spectrum auction
Do not eliminate wireless contractsIFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
IFRS Proposal CRM SpectrumProducts Contract Y/N
Implement IASB/FASB Proposed Standards
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Impact on Financial Statements and Metrics Options, Risks & Issues
Impact on Financial Statement
Consideration Stand Alone Allocated Transaction PriceCustomer A
(Direct)Customer B
(Indirect)Customer A
(Direct)Customer B
(Indirect)Customer A
(Direct)Customer B
(Indirect) $100.00 $100.00 $350.00 $475.00 $303.00 3 $385.00 1
$1,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,297.00 4 $1,215.00 2 $1,600.00 $1,600.00 $1,850.00 $1,975.00 $1,600.00 $1,600.00
HandsetWireless PlanTotal1 475/1,975 x 1,600 = 3852 1,600 – 385 = 1,2153350/1850*1600 = 30341600 – 303 = 1297
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contrac
t Y/N
Impact on Financial Statement
Day 1 - Enter ContractContract Asset (Phone) 100.00$
Performance Obligation (Phone) 100.00$
Contract Asset (Service) 1,500.00$ Performance Obligation (Service) 1,500.00$
Receivable/Cash 100.00$ Contract Asset (Phone) 100.00$
Performance Obligation (Phone) 100.00$ Revenue (Phone) 100.00$
Month 2 to Month 24 - Payment of ServiceReceivable/Cash 62.50$
Contract Asset (Service) 62.50$ Performance Obligation (Service) 62.50$
Revenue (Service) 62.50$
Day 1 - Enter ContractContract Asset (Phone) 303.00$
Perf. Obligation (Phone) 303.00$
Contract Asset (Service) 1,297.00$ Perf. Obligation Month 1 (Service) 54.04$ Perf. Obligation Month 2 (Service) 54.04$ " " " "Perf. Obligation Month 24 (Service) 54.04$
Receivable/Cash 100.00$ Contract Asset (Phone) 100.00$
Perf. Obligation (Phone) 303.00$ Revenue (Phone) 303.00$
Month 2 to Month 24 - Payment of ServiceReceivable/Cash 62.50$
Contract Asset (Phone) 8.46$ Contract Asset (Service) 54.04$
Perf. Obligation Month 1 (Service) 54.04$ Revenue (Service) 54.04$
Current Proposed
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Impact on Financial Metrics Current Standards Proposed Standards
COA (Equipment cost less equipment revenue)= $225 - $100 = $225 - $303= $125 = ($78)
ARPU (average network service revenue earned per month divided by average number of subscribers per month)
= $62.50 = $54.04
Impact on Financial StatementConsideration Stand Alone Allocated Transaction Price
Customer A (Direct)
Customer B (Indirect)
Customer A (Direct)
Customer B (Indirect)
Customer A (Direct)
Customer B (Indirect)
$100.00 $100.00 $350.00 $475.00 $303.00 3 $385.00 1 $1,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,500.00 $1,297.00 4 $1,215.00 2 $1,600.00 $1,600.00 $1,850.00 $1,975.00 $1,600.00 $1,600.00
HandsetWireless PlanTotal1 475/1,975 x 1,600 = 3852 1,600 – 385 = 1,2153350/1850*1600 = 30341600 – 303 = 1297IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contrac
t Y/N
Options, Risks, and Issues
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Options• One perf. obligation vs. monthly perf. obligations• Contract-by-contract vs. portfolio of like contractsRisks/Issues• Transaction Price Estimates• Comparability and Reliability of financial statements
and shareholder implications• Implementation Costs
Execute Proposal 3
Impact on LTV
Incremental Increase of $42.52
Highest ARPU
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Impact on LTV
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Before Proposal Proposal 3 Proposal 1 Proposal 2
Churn 1.22% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20%
Average Lifetime in years 6.83 6.94 6.94 6.94
Annual ARPU $725.16 $727.11 $732.91 $724.96
Less: Annual Ops Expenses per user ($276.32) ($277.91) ($285.15) ($277.84)
Annual Net Cash Flow per user $448.84 449.21 $447.75 $447.11
Discount Rate 5.02% 5.02% 5.02% 5.02%
PV Net Cash Flow per user $2,542.12 $2,579.80 $2,571.46 $2,567.78
Less: Cost of Acquisition ($349.00) ($344.16) ($349.53) ($349.42)
Lifetime Value per User (LTV) $2,193.12 $2,235.64 $2,221.93 $2,218.36
% Increase from Before Proposal - 1.94% 1.31% 1.15%
Impact on Forecast
In millions of dollars, except ARPU figures. Subscribers in thousands Original Proposal 3 Proposal 1 Proposal 2
Postpaid Subscribers Total postpaid subscribers (000s end of period) 8096.53 8111.74 8111.74 8111.23 Monthly churn 1.22% 1.20% 1.20% 1.20% Monthly average revenue per user (APRU) 68.33 68.50 69.07 68.29 Smartphone % of postpaid 73.06% 74.88% 73.11% 72.93% Prepaid Subscribers Total prepaid subscribers (000s end of period) 1428.70 1428.70 1428.70 1428.70 Total subscribers (000s end of period) 9525.23 9540.44 9540.44 9539.93 Network revenue 6820.22 6842.99 6897.38 6822.59 Other operating expenses (includes Retention Spend) 2632.00 2651.35 2720.50 2650.60 Net operating profit on network services 4188.22 4191.64 4176.88 4171.99 Non-GAAP Performance Metrics ARPU x 12 725.16 734.48 732.91 724.96 ARPU blend postpaid and prepaid 60.43 61.21 61.08 60.41
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contrac
t Y/N
Invest to improve customer service
• Investment into automated conflict resolution IT system and call center training
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Develop LTE and differentiated products
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Acquire companies or invest into proprietary and relevant bundled services to jumpstart ARPU
Bid in 2014 spectrum auction
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Wireless Contract elimination Y/N?
IFRS
Proposal
CRM
Spectrum
Products
Contract Y/N
Long Term Goals
Financial Reporting Stakeholders
Do not eliminate contracts
Five Priorities1) Implement IASB/FASB proposed standards 2) Execute proposal 33) Invest to improve customer service4) Bid in 2014 spectrum auction5) Develop LTE and differentiated products
Continue wireless contracts use
Recap
Questions?