Road Map for Safer Cars 2020

Presentation by David Ward, Secretary General,Global New Car Assessment Programme

29 October 2015, Mandarin Orchard, Singapore

On 25 September the UN adopted theGlobal Goals for Sustainable Development.

Road safety is included in Goals 3 and 11 For Health and Cities, with a target to:

Halve the number of global deaths and injuries from road crashes by 2020.

This is the UN’s strongest ever road safetycommitment and the first ever globalcasualty reduction target.

To meet the new target requires major improvements in fatality rates per 100,000Population in high middle and low income countries.

Global Goals for Sustainable Development and Road Safety

High Income Countries: from 8.7 per deaths per 100,000 in 2010 to 4 by 2020

Middle Income Countries: from 20.1 per deaths per 100,000 in 2010 to 7 by 2020

Low Income Countries: from 18.3 per deaths per 100,000 in 2010 to 12 by 2020

Global Status Report on Road Safety 2015

The World Health Organisation’s new report shows that in 79 countries road fatalities havefallen but risen in 68. Although the overall level of road deaths has stabilised the WHO warns that “the pace of change is too slow”.

The report also shows that fatality rates of low and middle income countries are more than twice that of high income nations. Despite having only half the worlds vehicles they also have 90% of total road deaths.

The report also confirms that road crashes are the number one killer of young people aged between 15-19 years.

More action is clearly required to achieve the new UN target to halve road deaths by 2020.

The Decade is supported by a Global Plan with five pillars of action:

1. Building Management Capacity2. Encouraging Safer User Behaviour3. Building Safer Vehicles4. Building Safer Roads 5. Improving Post Crash Care

The Global Plan includes seven recommended activities to promote vehicle safety; such as applying minimum crash test standards and promoting NCAPs in all world regions. This wasendorsed by the UN GA in a resolution in April 2014.

In November progress of the Decade will be reviewed at the 2nd Global High Level Conference on Road Safety hosted by the Government of Brazil on 18-19 November in Brasilia.

UN Decade of Action for Road Safety

UN Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations

The Global Plan of the Decade supports wider application of the most important global standards available under the 1958and 1998 agreements of the UN World Forum for Harmonisation of Vehicle Regulations (WP29).*

These are:

Reg. 14 Seat belt anchoragesReg. 16 Safety belts & restraintsReg. 94 Frontal collisionReg. 95 Lateral collisionReg.13H (GTR 8) Electronic stability controlReg.127 (GTR 9) Pedestrian protectionReg. 44/129 Child restraints

*or equivalent national standards (eg: FVMSSs)

The 2015 Status Report:

• Reveals “worrying data” showing that only 40 out of a total of 193 UN Member States fully apply the seven most important UN safety regulations and these are overwhelmingly high-income countries.

• Says “there is an urgent need for these minimum vehicle standards to be implemented by every country”.

• Warns that “regulations helping to protect occupants withstand front and side impact crashes are poorly implemented globally” and also calls for mandatory fitment of electronic stability control.

Vehicle Safety in the Global Road Safety Status Report 2015

In high income countries the combination of safety standards and consumer information have made passenger cars safer than ever before. This is the positive result of “regulatory push” and “demand pull”.

The challenge now is to extend this progress to the rapidly motorising low and middle income countries which now account 50% of car sales and production…and over 90% of road fatalities.

Today millions of new cars sold in low and middle income countries fail to meet minimum UN crash test standards, have no air bags, and no electronic stability control (ESC).

Vehicle Safety’s Winning Formula: Regulatory Push & Demand Pull

Crash Worthiness: Front & Side Occupant Protection

Crash tests for front and side impact are themost important assessment tools for occupantprotection; and are used both in legislation and consumer information programmes.

The frontal impact simulates a car to car crashin which the test vehicle hits a barrier that replicates the soft front end of the other vehicle. The impact is ‘offset’ with a 40% overlap.

The UN Reg. 94 test speed is 56 km/h whilst NCAP tests usually use 64 km/h (a speedat which fatalities are likely to occur).

The side impact test uses a trolley that hits thevehicle just above the door sill area at 50 km/h.

No airbag and poor body shell integritygives zero stars. But just adding an airbag (see below) makes no difference…

The combination of good body shell integrity and an airbag results in a survivable crash.

Global NCAP For Safer Cars…Worldwide

The first NCAP was launched in 1978by the US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.

NCAPs promote a ‘market for safety’ by raising awareness of the car buyingpublic, and rewarding manufacturers that build the safest cars.

There are now nine NCAPs active in Asia, Australia, Europe, Latin America and the USA.

In 2011 Global NCAP was launched as a UK registered charity which aims to:

• offer support to New Car Assessment Programmes in emerging economies and regions by offering technical support guidance and quality assurance.

• provide a platform for cooperation for NCAPs and like organisations around the world to share best practice, and exchange information.

• support the UN Decade of Action 2011-2020 and implementation of the Global Plan for the Decade especially its motor vehicle pillar.

Since 2012 ASEAN NCAP has tested over 50 models with results varying from zero to five stars. The test requirement in ASEAN NCAP for five stars includes electronic stability control.

This year ASEAN NCAP plans to test at least 17 cars with further results being released through the year. See: http://www.aseancap.org/

In September ASEAN NCAP held its Annual Forum in Bandung Indonesia bringing together road safety experts and partners from across the ASEAN region. They completed their pilot phase and published a report listing all the results.

Last month ASEAN NCAP also carried out a motor cycle crash test to demonstrate the two wheeler safety issues.

2015 Update

Over 56 cars testedwith 18 five star results

The Growing Importance of Crash Avoidance SystemsThree key crash avoidance systems are today’s priority technologies for passenger cars, buses, commercial vehicles and motor cycles:

Electronic Stability Control (ESC) anti-skid system with capacity to reduce up to 40% of run-off road crashes. Now mandatory in most high income countries.

Autonomous Emergency Braking (AEB) automatically applies the brakes if the driver does not react and cancut collisions at low speed by 20%. Pedestrian systems are also appearing and will become an important injury prevention technology.

Motorcycle Anti-lock Brakes (ABS) improves stability and braking performance. Motorcycles equipped withABS have rate of fatal crashes 37 per cent lower thansame models without.

without ESC with ESC

Seventeen case studies between 2001 and 2007 have shown ESC to be highly effective. In Europe it is estimated that since 1995 at least 188,500 crashes involving injury have been avoided and more than 6,100 lives saved by ESC. ESC is mandatory in Australia, Canada, the European Union, Israel, Japan, New Zealand, Russia, South Korea, Turkey and the USA and will soon also be in Argentina.

Global NCAP believes that the current ESC global fitment rate of just over 60% of new passenger cars and light duty vehicles is too low and wants this to be raised to 100% by 2020.

ESC: A Proven Life Saver

CC/MKC2 | 17.10.2014 | © Robert Bosch GmbH 2013. All rights reserved, also regarding any disposal, exploitation, reproduction, editing, distribution, as well as in the event of applications for industrial property rights.

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ESC Global Installation Rates to 2021

Passenger cars & LCV <6

Better to Stop the Crash than Have One! #Stop the Crash is a new global initiative to promote the most important crash avoidance systems and also tyre safety.

#Stop the Crash partners include the ADAC, Autoliv, Bosch, Continental, Denso, Thatcham, ZF-TRW, and the Towards Zero Foundation.

#Stop the Crash will promote electronic stability control, autonomous emergency braking ,and anti-lock brakes on motorcycles.

#Stop the Crash will be launched on 17 November in Brasilia prior to the Global High Level Conference on RoadSafety and feature demonstrations for VIPs and the media.

#Stop the Crash supports the UN Global Goals target to halve road fatalities and injuries by 2020.

Global NCAP’s Road Map for Safer Cars :

• Calls for the combination of stronger consumer information and universal application of minimum UN standards for

crash protection and avoidance.

• Ten key recommendations including the application to all new cars of the UN’s front, side and pedestrian impact crash tests and the anti-skid system, electronic stability control, by 2020 at the latest.

• Will be submitted to the 2nd Global Ministerial Conference on Road Safety to be held on 18-19 November 2015 hosted by the government of Brazil.

Democratizing Car Safety: A Road Map for Safer Cars 2020

Global NCAP’s 2015 Road Map Regulatory Recommendations

Road Map for Safer Cars 2020Apply UN Regulations* for:

All New Cars Produced or Imported

All Cars Produced or Imported

Stage One

Frontal Impact (No.94)Side Impact (No.95)Seat Belt & Seat Belt Anchorages (No.14 & No.16)

2016 2018

Stage Two

Electronic Stability Control (No. 13H or GTR No.8)Pedestrian Protection (No.127 or GTR No.9)

*or equivalent national standard

2018 2020

• Meeting minimum crash standards can cost less than US $200 per vehicle.

• Airbag costs have fallen by over 60% in 15 years to about US$50 per unit. ESC (for a car with ABS) also costs less than US$50 per unit.

• Car companies are developing global platforms producing many different models reducing costs and raising their profitability.

• Universal implementation of UN standards for crash protection and avoidance will bring economies of scale, reduce cost, and promote fair competition .

• Governments can promote safer cars by giving fiscal incentives for vehicles featuring improved safety technologies.

Key Message: Safety is not a Luxury and is Affordable

Global NCAP is pleased to acknowledge support from:

Thank You!