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  • 1 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    1 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    A

    Research Project

    ON

    Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks (HDFC , ICICI , Axis Bank)

    on the basis of Operating Profit, Profit after Tax ,EPS ,Capital Adequacy

    Ratio and seeing their Impact on Stock Prices for the last 3years (2008-2010)

    Submitted To

    SCDL, Pune

    In the partial fulfillment of the Post Graduate Diploma in Business

    Administration

    Under the Guidance of: Submitted by:

    Mr. Tejinder Wadhera Richa Kalra

    Manager, ICICI Bank Univ.Regd : 200624826

  • 2 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    2 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    DECLARATION

    I, Richa Kalra, Reg No 200624826-M.B.A. of SCDL, PUNE hereby declare that my that my project on

    Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks (HDFC , ICICI , Axis Bank) on the Basis of

    (Operating profit, Profit after Tax ,EPS ,Capital Adequacy Ratio) And seeing their Impact on

    Stock Prices for the last 3years (2008-2010) for the award of degree in M.B.A. is an authentic

    work. This Project report is an original work and my part of this project report has not been

    submitted elsewhere for any degree elsewhere in any form.

    Richa Kalra

    Reg No : 200624826

  • 3 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    3 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    A Project usually falls short of its expectation unless guided by the right person at the right time.

    Success of a project is an outcome of sincere efforts, channeled in the right direction, efficient

    supervision and the most valuable professional guidance.

    This project would not have been completed without the direct and indirect help and guidance of

    such luminaries. They provided me with the necessary recourses and atmosphere conductive for

    healthy learning and training.

    Researcher is also thankful to the respondents, all my friends and also to various Banking

    experts for their kind and valuable guidance, whom Researcher consulted for this present work.

    (Richa)

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    4 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    One of the fastest growing sectors in the country, BANKING has been zooming up the growth

    curve at a feverish pace in fast few years. In fact, it is the sector that is increasingly contributing

    to the high growth rate recorded in the country.

    Under this project, Researcher have tried to study the Banking sector basically focusing on

    financial & operating analysis of 3 banks (HDFC, AXIS, ICICI BANKS)

    This project report is divided into various sections. The first section comprises of a brief

    introduction of the banking industry & then getting concentrated on the five major players of

    banking sector.

    The second section includes Objectives of the study, Justification of the study and Literature

    Review of the study. The third and most essential part comprises of Research Methodology &

    Analytical tools, Sampling & sampling Design used in study regarding analytical tools.

    Researcher have used analytical tools (CAMEL Model) & Statistical tools

    Then it includes the sources of data collection & hypothesis testing (t-test) used in preparation of

    the study. Last but not the least, Researcher have analyzed the various financial aspects of the

    two companies & then came out with the findings with which Researcher then concluded the

    report.

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    5 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    1. Introduction

    a) Profile of the Industry

    b) Profile of the Organizations

    c) Topic of the study

    2. Research objectives

    3. Theoretical framework

    a) Constructs

    b) Independent and Dependent variables

    4. Literature Review

    5. Research Methodology

    a) Research design

    1. Type of research design

    2. Time Horizon

    3. Study Setting

    4. Measurement and Scaling

    5. Flowchart for selection of statistical tools

    b) Hypothesis Development and testing

    c) Sample and Sampling Design

    d) Data Collection

    e) Analytical Tools

    f) Statistical Tools

    g) Limitations of the Study

    6. Results & Findings

    7. Recommendations/Suggestions

    8. Bibliography

    9. Annexure

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    6 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    INDUSTRY PROFILE

    Major constituents of the Indian financial sector are banks, financial institutions, and markets,

    which mobilize the resources from the surplus sector and channelize the same to the different

    needy sectors in the economy. In fact, the Indian financial system is characterized by its two

    major segments - an organized sector and a traditional sector that is also known as informal

    credit market. Financial intermediation in the organized sector is conducted by a large number of

    banks and financial institutions. Financial institutions are further classified based on their

    mandate and activities, which may be term lending, specialized, and investment institutions.

    Banks are further classified into public and private sector banks, cooperative banks, and regional

    rural banks.

    A bank is a financial intermediary that accepts deposits and channels those deposits into lending

    activities, either directly or through capital markets. A bank connects customers with capital

    deficits to customers with capital surpluses.

    Banking is generally a highly regulated industry, and government restrictions on financial

    activities by banks have varied over time and location. The current set of global bank capital

    standards are called Basel II

    The banking system is, by far, the most dominant segment of the financial sector, accounting for

    over 60% of the funds flowing through the financial sector. The Government has also set up two

    separate regulatory bodies, viz., Insurance Regulatory Development Authority (IRDA) of India

    for the insurance sector, and the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for the capital

    market.

    The Indian financial sector today is significantly different from what it used to be in the 1970s

    and 1980s. The financial sector prior to the 1990s was characterized by segmented and

    underdeveloped financial markets coupled with paucity of instruments. For maintaining spreads

    of banking sector, regulation of both deposit and lending rates resulted not only in distorting the

    interest rate mechanism, but also adversely affected the viability and profitability of banks. The

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    7 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    low level of recognition of the importance of transparency, accountability and prudential norms

    in the operations of the banking system also led to a rising burden of non-performing assets.

    Channels

    Banks offer many different channels to access their banking and other services:

    ATM is a machine that dispenses cash and sometimes takes deposits without the need for

    a human bank teller. Some ATMs provide additional services.

    A branch is a retail location

    Call center

    Mail: most banks accept check deposits via mail and use mail to communicate to their

    customers, e.g. by sending out statements

    Mobile banking is a method of using one's mobile phone to conduct banking

    transactions

    Online banking is a term used for performing transactions, payments etc. over the

    Internet

    Relationship Managers, mostly for private banking or business banking, often visiting

    customers at their homes or businesses

    Telephone banking is a service which allows its customers to perform transactions over

    the telephone without speaking to a human

    Video banking is a term used for performing banking transactions or professional

    banking consultations via a remote video and audio connection. Video banking can be

    performed via purpose built banking transaction machines (similar to an Automated teller

    machine), or via a videoconference enabled bank branch.

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    8 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    BANKS PROFILE

    HDFC BANK

    ICICI BANK

    AXIS BANK

    HDFC BANK[34]

    :

    The Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited (HDFC) was amongst the first to

    receive an 'in principle' approval from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to set up a bank in the

    private sector, as part of the RBI's liberalization of the Indian Banking Industry in 1994. The

    bank was incorporated in August 1994 in the name of 'HDFC Bank Limited', with its registered

    office in Mumbai, India. HDFC Bank commenced operations as a Scheduled Commercial Bank

    in January 1995.

    HDFC Bank is headquartered in Mumbai. The Bank at present has network of over 531 branches

    spread over 228 cities across India. All branches are linked on an online real-time basis.

    Customers in over 120 locations are also serviced through Telephone Banking. The Bank's

    expansion plans take into account the need to have a presence in all major industrial and

    commercial centers where its corporate customers are located as well as the need to build a

    strong retail customer base for both deposits and loan products. Being a clearing/settlement bank

    to various leading stock exchanges, the Bank has branches in the centre where the NSE/BSE has

    a strong and active member base.

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    9 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Facilities Provided By the Bank

    HDFC bank provides following facilities to its customer

    The time norms for various banking transactions.

    Interest payments

    The process followed for redressed of grievance

    Secrecy of customers

    State deposit lockers

    Account opening and operations of deposit account

    Addition and deletion of the names of joint a/c holders

    Pension accounts

    Vision Statement

    To Be a dominant Player in the Indian Mutual Fund Space Recognized for its high levels of

    ethical and professional conduct and a commitment towards enhancing Investors.

    Objective

    To Achieve Capital Appreciation by Investing Primarily in equity oriented

  • 10 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    10 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    ICICI BANK

    Industrial Credit and Investment Corporation of India) is India's largest private sector bank by

    market capitalization and second largest overall in terms of assets. total assets of Rs. 3,562.28

    billion (US$ 77 billion) at December 31, 2009 and profit after tax Rs. 30.19 billion (US$ 648.8

    million) for the nine months ended December 31, 2009 The Bank also has a network of 1,640+

    branches (as on February 11, 2010) and about 4,721 ATMs in India and presence in 18 countries,

    as well as some 24 million customers (at the end of July 2007). ICICI Bank offers a wide range

    of banking products and financial services to corporate and retail customers through a variety of

    delivery channels and specialized subsidiaries and affiliates in the areas of investment banking,

    life and non-life insurance, venture capital and asset management. (These data are dynamic.)

    Vision:

    To be the leading provider of financial services in India and a major global bank.

    Mission:

    We will leverage our people, technology, speed and financial capital to:

    be the banker of first choice for our customers by delivering high quality, world-class

    products and services.

    expand the frontiers of our business globally.

    play a proactive role in the full realisation of Indias potential.

    maintain a healthy financial profile and diversify our earnings across businesses and

    geographies.

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    11 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    maintain high standards of governance and ethics.

    contribute positively to the various countries and markets in which we operate.

    create value for our stakeholders.

    Code of Commitment

    ICICI Bank follows a voluntary Code, which sets minimum standards of banking practices when

    they are dealing with individual customer.

    Code of Conduct and Business Ethics

    ICICI Group expects all its employees, officers and directors to act in accordance with high

    professional and ethical standards.

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    12 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    AXIS BANK

    Axis Bank

    Axis Bank, formerly UTI Bank, is a financial services firm that had begun operations in 1994,

    after the Government of India allowed new private banks to be established. The Bank was

    promoted jointly by the Administrator of the Specified Undertaking of the Unit Trust of India

    (UTI-I), Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC), General Insurance Corporation Ltd.,

    National Insurance Company Ltd., The New India Assurance Company, The Oriental Insurance

    Corporation and United India Insurance Company UTI-I holds a special position in the Indian

    capital markets and has promoted many leading financial institutions in the country. As on the

    year ended 31 March 2009 the Bank had a total income of 13,745.04 crore (US$ 3.12 billion)

    and a net profit of 1,812.93 crore (US$ 411.54 million).

    Mission

    Customer Service and Product Innovation tuned to diverse needs of individual and

    corporate clientele.

    Continuous technology up gradation while maintaining human values.

    Progressive globalization and achieving international standards.

    Efficiency and effectiveness built on ethical practices.

    Core Values of Axis

    Customer Satisfaction by providing quality service effectively and efficiently

    Customer Satisfaction by Periodic Customer Service Audits

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    13 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Maximizations of Stakeholder value

    Success through Teamwork, Integrity and People

    Growth Prospects of Axis

    Over the last five years, the CAGR for loan growth for the banking industry has been

    25-26 per cent; for Axis Bank it has been above 40 per cent.

    Nonetheless, the bank is still expected to grow its loan portfolio at 1.5-1.7x the

    industry average.

    In FY09 its advances grew at the rate of 37.5 per cent.

    In FY10 they are expected to grow at the rate of 27-28 per cent and in FY11 at 25 per

    cent.

    For the banking industry as a whole, the loan book is expected to grow at 18 per cent

    in FY10 and 16 per cent in FY11.

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    14 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK

    CONSTRUCT:-

    Study the Impact of Operating Profit, Profit after Tax (PAT), Earning per share (EPS) And

    Capital adequacy ratio on Stock price

    VARIABLE:

    Dependent Variable:

    Stock Price

    Independent Variable:

    Operating Profit

    Profit after Tax

    EPS

    Capital adequacy ratio

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    15 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    LITERATURE REVIEW

    BOOKS

    Sekran Uma,[1] (4th edition), Business Research Methodology

    (Researcher choose this book for studied, for Knowledge about research process.)

    Ciaran Walsh[2], Key Management Ratios

    (The book is selected to get analysis of ratio.)

    Kothari C.R. [3] (2th edition), Research methodology methods & techniques,

    (Knowledge about the hypothesis development like null and alternate hypothesis and

    hypothesis testing)

    .Cooper R. Donald[4] (Edition-8th) Business Research Methods.

    (The various type of research design and the other concepts of research methodology are

    studied from this book.)

    Sheridan J Coakes, Lyndall Steed, Peta Dzidic[5] SPSS VERSION 13.0

    forWindows

    (This book has been used for applying the various statistical, tools and tests on the

    study )

    Gupta S.P[6] (2008) Statistical Methods.

    (This book reveals information regarding the statistical tools and their limitations in

    different fields the research is given in this section. This section explains the use of

    regression analysis techniques.)

    Beri G.C.,[7] (2nd edition), Marketing Research,

    (This book will help Researcher in understanding the different research designs and sources of

    data collection and methods of data collection are given in this section.)

    Jain T.R. and Aggarwal S.C[8] (Edition-3rd) Statistics for MBA.

    (This gives information about how to find the values of Correlations, Regression,

    Hypothesis and Trend analysis.)

    L.M Bhole [9] (Edition-5th) Financial Institution and Market.

    (This books include the information about the banks.)

  • 16 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    16 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Goel D.K[10] (2008), Management Accounting And Financial Management:

    (The book was selected to get the types of ratios like profitability, liquidity etc)

    Kothari C.R.[11] (2th edition), Research methodology methods & techniques,

    (Knowledge about the hypothesis development like null and alternate hypothesis and

    hypothesis testing)

    Sekran Uma[12], (Edition 4th) Research Methods for Business:

    (Research Process Topic will be taken from this book.)

    Machiraju H. R. [13], (Edition-3rd) Indian Financial System.

    (Commercial Banking Topic will be taken from this book)

    Varshaney P.N. & Mittal D.K.[14], (Revised Edition-10th) Indian Financial System.

    (Securitization and Assets Reconstruction Companies Topic will be taken from this

    book.)

    Gupta S.P. & Gupta M.P. [15], (Edition 15th) Business Statistics.

    (Correlation Topic will be taken from this book)

    JOURNALS:

    Usha Arora[16] (vol xxi no. 1, March 2007), Finance India.

    (This article include the information about the operational and productivity efficiency of

    the private sectors banks).

    A. Amarender Reddy[17] (vol xix ,no3 ,September 2005), Finance India.

    (The researcher would likely to take the information about the banking productivity.)

    Sanjiv Joshi[18] (vol xxi no. 4,december 2007), Finance India.

    (This article include the information about the central banking in a liberalising economy)

    Meena Sharma[19] (vol. Xix ,No-3 ,sept. 2005), Finance India.

    (This article include the information about the NPAs and Impact NPAs performance of

    the banks)

    Thorsten Beck, Ross Levine, Alexey Levkov[20] ( Vol lxv ,No.5 ,October 2010), The

    Journal of finance .

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    17 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    (This article include the information about the removed restrictions on intrastate

    branching and competition and improved performance.)

    C.S. Balasubramaniam[21] (Vol.xix, No.4, December 2005), Finance India.

    (This article include the information about the how the Indian banking system improve

    due to the liberalisation.)

    D.M.N. Raju [22] ( Vol xxiii, No.3, sept. 2005), Finance India.

    (This article include the information about the NPAs and how these im333pact on the

    performance of the sbi bank.)

    Jyoti Saluja[23] (Vol 4, april 2010), Global Review. (This article include Camel approach which is helpul to be used as analytical tool)

    Dr. N Bharati [24](Vol 4, march 2010), Indian journal of finance.[18]

    Magazines:

    P K Kulkarni [25] (SEPT.- DEC. 2007), ICFAI Reader

    (This magazine include the information about the financial institutions)

    G S Rathore[26] (November 2007), ICFAI Reader.

    (This magazine include the information about the financial indicators that effect the

    efficiency of the banks.)

    V P Shetty [27](October 2006), Chartered financial Analyst

    (This magazine include the information about the globalisation of the Indian banks due

    to which the competition is increased and effective management in Indian banks is

    necessary.)

    B Sambamurthy[28] (November 2006), Chartered financial Analyst

    (This magazine include the information about the Indian banking and their operations.)

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    18 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Steve Payne[29] (October 2010), The analyst.

    (This magazine include the information about the camel model.)

    Natasha khakhar Patel[30] (jan 28- jul 11,2010), Capital Market

    (This magazine include the information about the data about the NPAs of the Indian

    public sector banks.)

    Websites

    http://www.experiment-resources.com/research-designs.html[31] - To know about the reseach design.

    http://www.socialresearchmethods.net/kb/stat_t.php[32] - To know about the t test.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank[33] - To know about the banking sector

    http://in.jobstreet.com/jobs/2008/5/h/60/1321591.htm?fr=J[34]

    - To have information

    about HDFC bank.

    http://www.icicigroupcompanies.com/corporate_governance.html[35] - To get brief description

    about ICICI bank.

    http://www.axisbank.com/aboutus/ourmissionandvalues/Our-Mission-And-Values.asp[36] - To

    know the mission and values of axis bank.

    http://www.hsbc.com.tr/eng/about_HSBC/our_vision_and_values/ [37] - To Know about HSBC

    Bank.

    http://www.samples-help.org.uk/mission-statements/bank-of-america-mission-statement.htm[38] -

    To get detail of core values of Bank of america

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Research[39] - To know how to apply research Methodolgy.

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/ratioanalysis.asp[40] - To Apply Ratio analysis.

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    19 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

    Primary objectives

    To make Comparative analysis of Operating profits, EPS, Profit after Tax, and Capital

    adequacy ratio of Indian Banks (HDFC , ICICI , AXIS)

    Secondary objectives

    To Study the Impact of Operating Profit on stock price

    To Study the Impact of EPS[a] on stock Price

    To Study the Impact of PAT[b] on Stock Price

    To Study the Impact of Capital Adequacy Ratio on Stock Price

    [a] Earning Per Share

    [b] Profit after Tax

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    20 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    RESEARCH METHODOLOGY[1] [3]

    Research is a systematic and continuous method of defining a problem, collecting the facts and

    analyzing them, reaching conclusion forming generalizations.

    Research methodology is a way to systematically solve the problem. It may be understood as a

    science of studying how research is done scientifically. In it we study the various stEPS that are

    generally adopted by a researcher in studying his research problem along with the logic behind

    them.

    The scope of research methodology is wider than that of research method. Thus when we talk of

    research methodology we not only talk of research methods but also consider the logic behind

    the method we use in the context of our research study and explain why we are using a particular

    method2.

    So we should consider the following steps in research methodology:

    Meaning of research

    Problem statement

    Research design

    Sample design

    Data collection

    Analysis and Interpretation of data

    Meaning of Research[4]

    Research is defined as a scientific & systematic search for pertinent information on a

    specific topic. Research is an art of scientific investigation. Research is a systemized effort to

    gain new knowledge. It is a careful inquiry especially through search for new facts in any branch

    of knowledge. The search for knowledge through objective and systematic method of finding

    solution to a problem is a research.

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    21 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    THE RESEARCH PROCESS:

    Problem Statement

    The research problems, in general refers to sum difficulty with a researcher experience in the

    contest of either a particular a theoretical situation and want to obtain a salutation for same.

    Research Design

    A research is the arrangement of the conditions for the collections and analysis of the data in a

    manner that aims to combine relevance to the research purpose with economy in procedure. In

    fact, the research is design is the conceptual structure within which research is conducted; it

    constitutes the blue print of the collection, measurement and analysis of the data. As search the

    design includes an outline of what the researcher will do from writing the hypothesis and its

    operational implication to the final analysis of data11

    .

    2

    PRELIMINARY

    DATA

    GATHERING

    Interviewing

    Literature Survey

    3

    PROBLEM

    DEFINITION

    Research

    Problem

    Delineated

    4

    THEORETICAL

    FRAMEWORK

    Variables clearly

    identified and

    labelled

    5

    GENERATION

    OF

    HYPOTHESES

    6

    SCIENTIFI

    C

    RESEARCH

    DESIGN

    7

    DATA

    COLLECTION,

    ANALYSIS AND

    INTERPRETATION

    8

    DEDUCTION

    Hypotheses substantiated?

    Research

    question

    answered?

    9

    Report

    writing

    10

    Report Presentat

    ion

    11

    Manager

    ial decision

    making

    Yes NO

    1

    OBSERVATION

    Broad area of

    research interest

    identified

  • 22 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    22 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    The design is such studies must be rigid and not flexible and most focus attention on the

    following;

    o What is the study about?

    o Why is the study being made?

    o Where will the study be carried out?

    o What type of data is required?

    o Where can be required data be found?

    o What period of time will the study include?

    o What will be sample design?

    o What techniques of data collection will be used?

    o How will the data be analyzed?

    o In what style will the report be prepared?14

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    23 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    RESEARCH DESIGN[7]

    Research Design can be categorized as:

    EXPLORATORY RESEARCH DESIGN

    Exploratory research design is termed as formulating research studies. The main purpose of

    study is that of formulating a problem. The major emphasis in such study is on discovery of new

    ideas and insights. As such the research design appropriate for such studies must be flexible

    enough to provide opportunity for considering different aspects of problem.

    DESCRIPTIVE AND DIAGNOSTIC RESEARCH DESIGN

    Descriptive research design are those design which are concerned with describing the

    characteristics of particular individual or of the group Whereas diagnostic research studies

    determine the frequency with which something occurs or its association with some else. In

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    24 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    descriptive and diagnostic study the researcher must be able to define clearly what he wants to

    measure and must find adequate method for measuring it.

    EXPERIMENTAL RESEARCH DESIGN

    These are those studies where the researcher tests the hypothesis of casual relationship between

    variables. Such study requires procedure that will not only reduce biasness and increase

    reliability but will permit drawing.

    Research design adopted by researcher will be Descriptive because in this design all the

    information gather is related to the problem which is predefined and all the data collected

    is descriptive in nature.

    TYPES OF INVESTIGATION

    CAUSAL STUDY

    CORRELATIONAL STUDY

    A Researcher should determine whether a Causal & Co relational Study to find an Answer to

    the issue at hand. The former is done when it is necessary to establish Cause-Effect Relationship.

    However, if all that the researcher wants is mere the identification of the important factors

    associated with the problem then, then Co relational study.

    In this study, Co relational Study is to be done, because Researcher will be interested in

    delineating the important associated variables.

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    25 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    TIME HORIZON4

    CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES

    LONGITUDINAL STUDIES

    A study can be done in which data are gathered just once, perhaps a period of days or weeks or

    month, in order to answer a research question. Such studies are called one shot or Cross-

    Sectional Studies.

    On the other hand, when the researcher tries to collect Data at more than one point of time it is

    known as longitudinal studies.

    Here, in this study Cross-Sectional Design will be used as data for study will be gathered just

    once.

    STUDY SETTING

    CONTRIVED

    NONCONTRIVED

    As we know that Research can be done in the natural environment where work proceeds

    normally or in artificial settings.

    A Contrived Setting with researcher interference to an excessive degree.

    Whereas, A Non contrived Setting with researcher interference with minimal degree or

    moderate extent.

    In this Study, the study setting will be Contrived Setting due to high degree of interference of

    researcher & influences by a no. of variables.

  • 26 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    26 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    FLOWCHART FOR SELECTON OF STATISTICAL TOOL

  • 27 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    27 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT

    There are two types of hypothesis:

    Null hypothesis

    Alternative hypothesis

    Null hypothesis (H0): In test of hypothesis we always begin with an assumption or hypothesis

    this is called null hypothesis. The null hypothesis asserts that there is no significant difference

    between the sample static and the population parameter and whatever the observed difference is

    there, is merely due to fluctuations in sampling from same population.

    Alternative hypothesis (H1): Any hypothesis different then the null hypothesis is called an

    alternative hypothesis. The two hypothesis H0 & H1 are such that if one is accepted, the other is

    rejected.

    HYPOTHESIS OF THE STUDY

    NULL Hypothesis (H0): There is no Significant Impact of Operating Profit on Stock Price

    ALTERNATE Hypothesis (H1): There is Significant Impact of Operating Profit on Stock Price

    HDFC

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    OperatingProfit 3 2.1842E3 852.97573 492.46577

    StockPrice 3 1.6795E3 671.69391 387.80266

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    T df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    OperatingProfit 4.435 2 .047 2184.23333 65.3241 4303.1425

    StockPrice 4.331 2 .049 1679.50000 10.9198 3348.0802

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 4.331, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis

    will be accepted.

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    28 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    ICICI

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    OperatingProfit 3 5.3162E3 189.99652 109.69454

    StockPrice 3 8.2223E2 352.20695 203.34678

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    t df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    OperatingProfit 48.464 2 .000 5316.20000 4844.2225 5788.1775

    StockPrice 4.044 2 .056 822.23333 -52.6972 1697.1639

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 4.044, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis

    will be accepted.

  • 29 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    29 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    AXIS

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    OperatingProfit 3 7.4179E2 108.49922 62.64205

    StockPrice 3 9.4762E2 423.92070 244.75073

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    T df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    OperatingProfit 11.842 2 .007 741.79333 472.2663 1011.3203

    StockPrice 3.872 2 .051 947.61667 -105.4607 2000.6941

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 3.872, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis

    will be accepted

  • 30 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    30 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    NULL Hypothesis (H0): There is no Significant Impact of EPS on Stock Price

    ALTERNATE Hypothesis (H1): There is Significant Impact of EPS on Stock Price

    HDFC

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    EPS 3 52.3100 9.56450 5.52207

    StockPrice 3 1.6802E3 670.59776 387.16980

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    T df Sig. (1-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    EPS 9.473 2 .011 52.31000 28.5505 76.0695

    StockPrice 4.340 2 .049 1680.22000 14.3628 3346.0772

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 4.340, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis will be accepted.

  • 31 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    31 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    ICICI

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    EPS 3 34.3533 1.83075 1.05698

    StockPrice 3 8.2223E2 352.20695 203.34678

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    T df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    EPS 32.501 2 .001 34.35333 29.8055 38.9012

    StockPrice 4.044 2 .036 822.23333 -52.6972 1697.1639

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 4.044, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis will be accepted.

  • 32 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    32 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    AXIS

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    EPS 3 34.3533 1.83075 1.05698

    StockPrice 3 9.4762E2 423.92070 244.75073

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    T df Sig. (2-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    EPS 32.501 2 .001 34.35333 29.8055 38.9012

    StockPrice 3.872 2 .041 947.61667 -105.4607 2000.6941

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 3.872, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis

    will be accepted.

  • 33 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    33 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    HDFC Bank

    H0: There is no Significant Impact of Profit after Tax on Stock Price

    H1: There is Significant Impact of Profit after Tax on Stock Price

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 4.331, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis

    will be accepted.

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    PAT 3 2.2613E3 679.39739 392.25026

    SharePrice 3 1.6795E3 671.69391 387.80266

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    T df Sig. (1-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    PAT 5.765 2 .029 2261.28000 573.5633 3948.9967

    SharePrice 4.331 2 .049 1679.50000 10.9198 3348.0802

  • 34 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    34 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    ICICI

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    PAT 3 3.9803E3 203.51562 117.49980

    StockPrice 3 8.2223E2 352.20695 203.34678

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    T df Sig. (1-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    PAT 33.875 2 .001 3980.28000 3474.7192 4485.8408

    StockPrice 4.044 2 .056 822.23333 -52.6972 1697.1639

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 4.044, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis

    will be accepted.

  • 35 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    35 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    AXIS

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    PAT 3 1.8003E3 721.86773 416.77053

    StockPrice 3 9.4762E2 423.92070 244.75073

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    t df Sig. (1-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    PAT 4.320 2 .050 1800.30667 7.0878 3593.5255

    StockPrice 3.872 2 .061 947.61667 -105.4607 2000.6941

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 3.872, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis

    will be accepted.

  • 36 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    36 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    NULL Hypothesis (H0):There is no Significant Impact of Capital Adequacy Ratio on Stock

    Price

    ALTERNATE Hypothesis (H1): There is Significant Impact of Capital Adequacy Ratio on

    Stock Price

    One-Sample Statistics

    N Mean Std. Deviation Std. Error Mean

    CapitalAdequacy 3 2.1254E4 5372.22551 3101.65584

    StockPrice 3 1.6795E3 671.69391 387.80266

    One-Sample Test

    Test Value = 0

    t df Sig. (1-tailed) Mean Difference

    95% Confidence Interval of the

    Difference

    Lower Upper

    CapitalAdequacy 6.852 2 .021 21253.79667 7908.4487 34599.1446

    StockPrice 4.331 2 .049 1679.50000 10.9198 3348.0802

    INTERPRETATION

    Here T value is 4.331, which is more than significant value. So thats why alternate hypothesis will be accepted.

  • 37 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    37 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    SAMPLE & SAMPLING DESIGN

    A sample design is a definite plan for obtaining a sample from the sampling frame. It refers to

    the technique or the procedure that is adopted in selecting the sampling units from which

    inferences about the population is drawn. Sampling design is determined before the collection of

    the data.

    Several decisions have to be taken in context to the decision about the appropriate sample

    selection so that accurate data is obtained and efficient results are drawn.

    Following questions have to be considered while sampling design-

    What is the relevant population?

    What is the parameter of interest?

    What is the sampling frame?

    What is the type of sample?

    What sample size is needed?

    How much will it cost?

    The sample size of past Three years will be taken for present study.

  • 38 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    38 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    DATA COLLECTION

    After the research problem has been identified and selected the next step is to gather the requisite

    data. While deciding about the method of data collection to be used for the researcher should

    keep in mind two types of data VIZ. primary and secondary.

    PRIMARY DATA

    The primary data are those, which are collected afresh and for the first time, and thus happened

    to be original in character. We can obtain primary data either through observation or through

    direct communication with respondent in one form or another or through personal interview

  • 39 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    39 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    SECONDARY DATA

    The secondary data on the other hand, are those which have already been collected by someone

    else and which have already been passed through the statistical processes. When the researcher

    utilizes secondary data then he has to look into various sources from where he can obtain them.

    For example, Books, magazines, newspapers, Internet, publications and reports etc.

    In the present study Researcher will be made use of secondary data collected from their

    website and from their records.

    METHODS OF PRIMARY DATA

    OBSERVATION

    METHOD

    QUESTIONNAI

    RE METHOD

    INTERVIEW

    METHOD

    SCHEDULE

    METHOD

  • 40 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    40 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    ANALYTICAL TOOLS

    RATIO ANALYSIS[40]

    Meaning:

    Absolute figures expressed in financial statements by themselves are meaningfulness. These

    figures often do not convey much meaning unless expressed in relation to other figures. Thus, it

    can be said that the relationship between two figures, expressed in arithmetical terms is called a

    ratio.

    According to R.N. Anthony

    A ratio is simply one number expressed in terms of another. It is found by dividing one

    number into the other.

    Objects And Advantages Or Uses Of Ratio Analysis

    Helpful in analysis of financial statements.

    Simplification of accounting data.

    Helpful in comparative study.

    Helpful in locating the weak spots of the business.

    Helpful in forecasting

    Estimate about the trend of the business

    Fixation of ideal standards

    Effective control

    Study of financial soundness.

  • 41 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    41 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    The Researcher has used following Ratios

    Operating Profit Ratio

    Earning Per Share

    Capital adequacy ratio

    Profit after Tax

    Earnings Per share (EPS)

    Interpretation-Both Axis and HDFC Banks have rise in their EPS in 2008-10 due to increasing

    PAT more with shareholders funds.

    But ICICI Bank comparatively decline in their EPS due to more variation in their PAT which is

    not going in the same degree (Increasing/Decreasing).

    2008 2009 2010

    Axis 28.91 48.85 60.06

    HDFC 43.42 51.08 62.43

    ICICI 36.03 32.4 34.63

  • 42 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    42 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Profit after Tax (PAT)

    2008 2009 2010

    Axis 1071.03 1815.36 2514.53

    HDFC 1590.2 2244.94 2948.7

    ICICI 4157.73 3758.13 4024.98

    Interpretation-Both Axis and HDFC Banks have rise in their PAT

    But ICICI Bank comparatively decline in their PAT which is not going in the same degree

    (Increasing/Decreasing). But ICICI Bank has the maximum PAT between all the banks.

  • 43 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    43 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Operating Profit Ratio

    Operating Profit ratio=EBIT/Net Sales

    2008 2009 2010

    Axis 0.865 0.916 0.9

    HDFC 0.708 0.747 0.746

    ICICI 0.926 0.895 0.892

    Interpretation- There is no fluctuation in operating profit ratio of the three banks in last two

    years but there is fluctuation in comparison to year 2008.

  • 44 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    44 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Capital Adequacy Ratio

    2008 2009 2010

    Axis 13.73 13.69 15.8

    HDFC 13.6 15.69 17.44

    ICICI 13.97 15.53 19.41

    Interpretation-All Banks are consistently increasing their capital adequacy which is a good sign

    for these banks as they will get saved from the risk weighted assets, if any risk arise then they

    have sufficient capital in their banks to get out of that.

  • 45 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    45 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    CAMEL APPROACH[28]

    Researcher has used camel approach .It is use for the purpose of ranking. Each Parameter of

    Camel Capital adequacy , Asset Quality , Management Quality , Earning quality , Liquidity

    Quality will be evaluated taking two ratios and finally composite index will be developed by the

    researcher.

    Capital Adequacy Ratio (C)

    BANK 2008 2009 2010 CAR(Avg) RANK

    AXIS 13.73 13.69 15.8 14.41 3

    HDFC 13.6 15.69 17.44 15.58 2

    ICICI 13.97 15.53 19.41 16.30 1

    Net NPA to Net Advances Ratio (A)

    BANK 2008 2009 2010 (Avg) RANK

    AXIS 0.37 0.4 0.4 0.39 2

    HDFC 0.47 0.63 0.31 0.47 3

    ICICI 0.35 0.31 0.29 0.32 1

    Return on Net worth (M)

    BANK 2008 2009 2010 CAR(Avg) RANK

    AXIS 13.73 13.69 15.8 14.41 3

    HDFC 13.6 15.69 17.44 15.58 2

    ICICI 13.97 15.53 19.41 16.30 1

  • 46 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    46 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Net Interest Income (E)

    BANK 2008 2009 2010 (Avg) RANK

    AXIS 2585.35 3686.21 5004.49 3758.68 3

    HDFC 5227.9 7421.2 8386.6 7011.90 2

    ICICI 7304.1 8366.61 8114.36 7928.36 1

    Liquid Asset/Total Asset (L)

    BANK 2008 2009 2010 (Avg) RANK

    AXIS 0.11 0.1 0.08 0.10 2

    HDFC 0.11 0.09 0.13 0.11 1

    ICICI 0.09 0.07 0.1 0.09 3

    CAMEL Model

    BANK C RANK A RANK M RANK E RANK L RANK Group Avg RANK

    AXIS 3 2 3 3 2 2.8 3

    HDFC 2 3 2 2 1 2.4 2

    ICICI 1 1 1 1 3 2.4 1

    Interpretation- ICICI Bank has been given 1st Rank overall through this model. Because

    ICICI Bank is having Capital Adequacy maximum In Asset Quality, ICICI have less NPA Ratio

    which is a good sign. And also in Management Efficiency, Earning Quality and Liquidity, this

    bank performed best out of these banks. So Rank 1 is assigned to this bank.

    But HDFC and AXIS Bank could not perform well as compared to ICICI Bank so they are

    Ranked 2nd

    and 3rd

    respectively.

  • 47 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    47 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    STATISTICAL TOOLS[5][8]

    An educated citizen needs an understanding of basic statistical tool to function in a world that is

    becoming increasingly dependant on quantitative information. Statistics means numerical

    description to most people. In fact the term statistics is generally used to mean numerical facts

    and figures such as agriculture production during a year, rate of inflation and so on. However as

    a subject of study, statistics refers to the body of principles and procedures developed for the

    collection, classification, summarization and interpretation of numerical data and for the use of

    such data.

    MEANING:-

    Broadly speaking, the term statistics has been generally used in two senses:-

    Plural Sense

    Singular Sense

    Plural sense refers to the numerical data. Singular Sense refers to a Science in which we deals

    with the techniques of collecting, classifying, presenting, analyzing and interpreting the data, the

    concept in its singular sense, refers to Statistical Method.

    PURPOSE: Without the assistance of Statistical Method, an organization would find it

    impossible to make sense of the huge data. The purpose of statistics is to:-

    Analyze

    Summarize

    Investigate

    Record

    A wide variety of statistical tools are available and any of them can be used by any businessman

    depending upon the nature of his trade.

    Various statistical tools are:-

    Correlation

    Time Series

    Index Numbers

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    48 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Probability Distribution

    Principal Component Analysis(PCA)

    Regression

    Analysis of Variance(ANOVA)

    Correlation

    Some important definitions of correlation are given below:

    Correlation analysis deals with the association between two or more variables- Simpson and

    Kafka.

    If two or more quantities vary in sympathy, so that movement in one tend to be accompanied by

    corresponding movements in the other, then they are said to be correlated- Conner.

    Correlation analysis attempts to determine the degree of relationship between variables.

    Types of Correlation:-

    Correlation is classified in several different ways. Three of the most important ways are:-

    Positive and Negative Correlation:-

    When two variable X and Y move in same direction is Positive Correlation and when both

    variables move in opposite direction that is Negative Correlation.

    Simple, Partial and Multiple Correlations:-

    When we study the relationship between two variables only that is Simple Correlation. When

    three or more variables are taken but relationship between any two of the variable is studied,

    assuming other variables as constant that is Partial Correlation and when we study the

    relationship among three or more variables that is Multiple Correlation.

    Linear and Curvi-Linear Correlation:-

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    49 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    When the ratio of change of two variables X and Y remains constant throughout, then they are

    said to be Linear Correlated and when the ratio of change between the two variables is not

    constant but changing, then correlation is said to be Curvi-Linear.

    Degree Of Correlation:-

    Sr. No. Degree of correlation Positive Negative

    1 Perfect correlation +1 -1

    2 High Degree of

    correlation

    Between +.75 to+1 Between -.75 to-1

    3 Moderate Degree of

    Correlation

    Between +.25

    to+.75

    Between -.25 to-.75

    4 Low Degree of

    Correlation

    Between 0 to+.25 Between 0 to-.25

    5 Absence of Correlation 0 0

    Karl Pearson's coefficient of correlation method:-

    Karl Pearson's coefficient of correlation method is the main important method to calculate the

    correlation between two variables.

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    50 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    CORRELATION

    HDFC

    Between Operating Profit and Stock Price

    Correlations

    OperatingProfit StockPrice

    OperatingProfit Pearson Correlation 1 .986

    Sig. (1-tailed) .108

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .986 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .108

    N 3 3

    INTERPRETATION

    There is High degree of correlation between Operating Profit and Share Price.

    Between PAT and Share Price

    Correlations

    PAT SharePrice

    PAT Pearson Correlation 1 .999*

    Sig. (1-tailed) .030

    N 3 3

    SharePrice Pearson Correlation .999* 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .030

    N 3 3

    *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (1-tailed).

    INTERPRETATION

    There is High degree of correlation between PAT and Share Price.

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    51 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    BETWEEN EPS and Stock Price

    Correlations

    EPS StockPrice

    EPS Pearson Correlation 1 .991

    Sig. (1-tailed) .088

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .991 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .088

    N 3 3

    INTERPRETATION

    There is High degree of correlation between EPS and Share Price.

    BETWEEN Capital Adequacy and Stock Price

    Correlations

    CapitalAdequacy StockPrice

    CapitalAdequacy Pearson Correlation 1 .983

    Sig. (1-tailed) .116

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .983 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .116

    N 3 3

    INTERPRETATION

    There is High degree of correlation between Capital Adequacy and Share Price.

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    52 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    ICICI

    BETWEEN Operating and Stock Price

    Correlations

    OperatingProfit StockPrice

    OperatingProfit Pearson Correlation 1 .705

    Sig. (1-tailed) .502

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .705 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .502

    N 3 3

    INTERPRETATION

    There is Moderate degree of correlation between Operating Profit and Share Price.

    BETWEEN PAT and Stock Price

    Correlations

    PAT StockPrice

    PAT Pearson Correlation 1 .448

    Sig. (1-tailed) .705

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .448 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .705

    N 3 3

    INTERPRETATION

    There is Moderate degree of correlation between PAT and Share Price.

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    53 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    BETWEEN EPS and Stock Price

    Correlations

    EPS StockPrice

    EPS Pearson Correlation 1 .501

    Sig. (1-tailed) .666

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .501 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .666

    N 3 3

    INTERPRETATION

    There is Moderate degree of correlation between EPS and Share Price.

    AXIS BANK

    BETWEEN Operating Profit and Stock Price

    Correlations

    OperatingProfit StockPrice

    OperatingProfit Pearson Correlation 1 .990**

    Sig. (1-tailed) .005

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .990** 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .005

    N 3 3

    **. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (1-tailed).

    INTERPRETATION

    There is High degree of correlation between Operating Profit and Share Price.

  • 54 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    54 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    BETWEEN PAT and Stock Price

    Correlations

    PAT StockPrice

    PAT Pearson Correlation 1 .998*

    Sig. (1-tailed) .021

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .998* 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .021

    N 3 3

    *. Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (1-tailed).

    INTERPRETATION

    There is High degree of correlation between PAT and Share Price.

    BETWEEN EPS and Stock Price

    Correlations

    EPS StockPrice

    EPS Pearson Correlation 1 .459

    Sig. (1-tailed) .348

    N 3 3

    StockPrice Pearson Correlation .459 1

    Sig. (1-tailed) .348

    N 3 3

    INTERPRETATION

    There is Moderate degree of correlation between Operating Profit and Share Price.

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    55 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Regression Analysis6

    Regression is the study of the nature of relationship between the variables so that one may be

    able to predict the unknown value of one variable for a known value of another value.

    It is the measure of average relationship between two or more variables.

    Types of regression analysis:-

    Simple and multiple regression:- incase of simple regression, we study only tewo variables i.e.

    one dependent and one independent. But in case of multiple regression we take more than two

    variables i.e. one dependent and other independent.

    Linear and Non-linear regression :- when one variable changes with another variable in some

    fixed ratio, it is called as linear regression. But if this ratio is not constant, it is known as Non-

    linear regression.

    Partial and Total regression:- If from more than two variabless only two two variables are

    taken into consideration. It is called as partial regression. But all variables are taken into

    consideration at a single slank. It is called as total regression.

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    56 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    HDFC

    BETWEEN Operating Profit and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .986a .972 .943 160.15318

    a. Predictors: (Constant), OperatingProfit

    INTERPRETATION

    There is high Impact of Operating Profit on Share Price i.e by 98.6%

    BETWEEN PAT and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .999a .998 .995 45.36985

    a. Predictors: (Constant), PAT

    INTERPRETATION

    There is high Impact of PAT on Share Price i.e by 99.9%

  • 57 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    57 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    BETWEEN EPS and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .991a .981 .962 130.14677

    a. Predictors: (Constant), EPS

    I

    NTERPRETATION

    There is high Impact of EPS on Share Price i.e by 99.1%

    BETWEEN Capital Adequacy and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .983a .967 .934 172.02715

    a. Predictors: (Constant), CapitalAdequacy

    INTERPRETATION

    There is high Impact of Capital Adequacy on Share Price i.e by 98.3%

    ICICI

    BETWEEN Operating and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .705a .498 -.005 353.07945

    a. Predictors: (Constant), OperatingProfit

    INTERPRETATION

    There is Moderate Impact of Operating Profit on Share Price i.e by 70.5%

  • 58 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    58 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    BETWEEN PAT and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .448a .200 -.599 445.41679

    a. Predictors: (Constant), PAT

    INTERPRETATION

    There is Low Impact of PAT on Share Price i.e by 44.8%

    BETWEEN EPS and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .448a .200 -.599 445.41679

    a. Predictors: (Constant), PAT

    INTERPRETATION

    There is Low Impact of PAT on Share Price i.e by 44.8%

    AXIS BANK

    BETWEEN Operating Profit and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .990a .990 .999 9.73358

    a. Predictors: (Constant), OperatingProfit

    INTERPRETATION

    There is high Impact of Operating Profit on Share Price i.e by 99.0%

  • 59 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    59 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    BETWEEN PAT and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .998a .996 .991 39.51967

    a. Predictors: (Constant), PAT

    INTERPRETATION

    There is high Impact of PAT on Share Price i.e by 99.8%

    BETWEEN EPS and Stock Price

    Model Summary

    Model R R Square

    Adjusted R

    Square

    Std. Error of the

    Estimate

    1 .459a .210 -.579 532.76650

    a. Predictors: (Constant), EPS

    INTERPRETATION

    There is Low Impact of EPS on Share Price i.e by 45.9%

  • 60 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    60 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    LIMITATION OF THE STUDY

    In spite of best efforts of the investigator the study was subjected to following limitations:-

    Less Time Period: The time period given to me for the completion of the project was

    short in such a short span of time it is difficult to complete any project in detail.

    Unavailability of primary data: Manager some time denied disclosing some important

    financial matters, which can be helpful in this study.

    Limited Area of Study: Researcher have studied only a single firm of the industry. So,

    Researcher got knowledge about just a minor player in the team.

    Some information related to the study, which had been collected from the company was rounded

    off because of some influence.

    Some data like Bank Statements were to be called from distant units and it was too bulk that

    units refuse to deliver it and if deliver after delaying too much.

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    61 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    RESULTS AND FINDINGS

    Both Axis and HDFC Banks have rise in their EPS in 2008-10 due to increasing PAT

    more with shareholders funds. But ICICI Bank comparatively decline in their EPS due to

    more variation in their PAT which is not going in the same degree

    Both Axis and HDFC Banks have rise in their PAT But ICICI Bank comparatively

    decline in their PAT which is not going in the same degree (Increasing/Decreasing). But

    ICICI Bank has the maximum PAT between all the banks.

    All Banks are consistently increasing their capital adequacy which is a good sign for

    these banks as they will get saved from the risk weighted assets, if any risk arise then

    they have sufficient capital in their banks to get out of that.

    ICICI Bank has been given 1st Rank overall through this model. Because ICICI Bank is

    having Capital Adequacy maximum. In Asset Quality, ICICI have less NPA Ratio which

    is a good sign. And also in Management Efficiency, Earning Quality and Liquidity, this

    bank performed best out of these banks. So Rank 1 is assigned to this bank. But HDFC

    and AXIS Bank could not perform well as compared to ICICI Bank so they are Ranked

    2nd

    and 3rd

    respectively.

    There is High degree Positive correlation & High Degree Impact of Operating Profit,

    EPS, PAT, Capital Adequacy ratio on stock Price of HDFC Bank

    There is Moderate degree Positive correlation& High Degree Impact of Operating

    Profit, EPS, PAT, Capital Adequacy ratio on stock Price of Axis Bank

    There is High degree Positive correlation& High Degree Impact of Operating Profit,

    EPS, PAT, Capital Adequacy ratio on stock Price of ICICI Bank

  • 62 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    62 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    RECOMMENDATIONS

    Banks should focus on their NPA which is a major factor for checking the banks credit

    quality. If NPA increases that means loan amount as well as interest amount is not

    coming on time so banks have to take proper measures to decrease the NPA ratio.

    Increases of NPA decreases the Net Interest Income as Interest received amount get less

    from increasing of NPAs. So focus should be to decrease the NPA ratio to total assets.

    Major focus should be to increase the PAT as shareholder funds are increasing, so PAT should be

    increasing more in proportion of shareholders funds because it contributes to Return on Net

    worth.

    Liquidity is also the major issue that to be considered and to increase so that liquidity risk will not

    arise in future.

    Capital Adequacy plays an important role, the more the capital adequacy, more will be the

    goodwill of Bank as this symbolizes that bank have adequate capital to meet out from risk

    weighted assets. If some of the loans gets into NPAs then Bank have sufficient or have the

    maximum capital with compared to all the banks that Customers will be more coming to banks.

  • 63 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    63 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    POLICY IMPLICATIONS

    The researcher suggested various policies to organisation which he thinks that if they

    implemented in the right manner can increase the earnings of the firm which in turn increase the

    goodwill of the firm.

    Implementation of policy on the related issues depends upon the result of discussion among the

    top executives of an organisation for the flowing policies.

    The various policies that should be applied in an organisation on the basis of the study of

    financial analysis of organisation are as follows:-

    Monitor your accounts receivable on an ongoing basis.

    More investment in fixed assets.

    Maintenance of Proper Records of those agents wherever it has been shown

    as Old Outstanding/Closed Outstanding.

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    64 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    BIBLIOGRAPHY

    BOOKS

    1. Sekran Uma, (4th edition), Business Research Methodology (Researcher choose this

    book for studied, for Knowledge about research process.)

    2. Ciaran Walsh, Key Management Ratios (The book is selected to get analysis of ratio.)

    3. Kothari C.R. (2th edition), Research methodology methods & techniques, (Knowledge

    about the hypothesis development like null and alternate hypothesis and hypothesis

    testing)

    4. .Cooper R. Donald (Edition-8th) Business Research Methods.- (The various type of

    research design and the other concepts of research methodology are studied from this

    book.)

    5. Sheridan J Coakes, Lyndall Steed, Peta Dzidic SPSS VERSION 13.0 forWindows-

    (This book has been used for applying the various statistical, tools and tests on the

    study )

    6. Gupta S.P (2008) Statistical Methods.- (This book reveals information regarding the

    statistical tools and their limitations in different fields the research is given in this section.

    This section explains the use of regression analysis techniques.)

    7. Beri G.C., (2nd edition), Marketing Research,- (This book will help Researcher in

    understanding the different research designs and sources of data collection and methods

    of data collection are given in this section.)

    8. Jain T.R. and Aggarwal S.C (Edition-3rd) Statistics for MBA.- (This gives

    information about how to find the values of Correlations, Regression, Hypothesis and

    Trend analysis.)

    9. L.M Bhole (Edition-5th) Financial Institution and Market.- (This books include the

    information about the banks.)

    10. Goel D.K (2008), Management Accounting And Financial Management:- (The book

    was selected to get the types of ratios like profitability, liquidity etc)

  • 65 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    65 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    11. Kothari C.R. (2th edition), Research methodology methods & techniques, - (Knowledge

    about the hypothesis development like null and alternate hypothesis and hypothesis

    testing)

    12. P.N Varshaney (Edition-3rd) Indian Financial System.

    (This books include the information about the commercial banks and their roles.)

    13. Gupta.k.Shashi (Edition-13th) Financial Institution and Market.

    (This book include the information about the history of bank industry.)

    14. Varshaney P.N. & Mittal D.K.[14], (Revised Edition-10th) Indian Financial System.

    (Information about Indian financial system has taken)

    15. Gupta S.P. & Gupta M.P. [15], (Edition 15th) Business Statistics.

    (Correlation Topic will be taken from this book)

    JOURNALS:

    16. Usha Arora (vol xxi no. 1, March 2007), An analysis of operational and productivity

    efficiency of public sector banks, Finance India pp no. 167-176.

    17. A. Amarender Reddy (vol xix ,no3 ,September 2005), Banking sector deregulation and

    productivity change decomposition of Indian banks, Finance India. Pp no. 983-1001

    18. Sanjiv Joshi (vol xxi no. 4,december 2007), Central banking in a liberalising

    economy:Autonomy of the reserve bank of india, Finance India pp no. 1405-1442.

    19. Meena Sharma (vol. Xix ,No-3 ,sept. 2005), problems of NPAs and its impact on

    strategic banking variables, Finance India pp no. 953-967.

    20. Thorsten Beck, Ross Levine, Alexey Levkov ( Vol lxv ,No.5 ,October 2010), Big bad

    banks? The winners and looser from bank deregulation in the united states,The Journal

    of finance pp no. 1637-1667.

  • 66 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    66 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    21. C.S. Balasubramaniam (Vol.xix, No.4, december 2005), Corporate governance and its

    role in banking sector, Finance India pp no. 1393-1404.

    22. D.M.N. Raju ( Vol xxiii, No.3, sept. 2005), Evaluation of the performance of the state

    bank of india with special reference to the non performing assets, Finance India pp no.

    985-989.

    23. Jyoti Saluja (Vol 4, april 2010), Indian journal of finance.

    24. Dr. N Bharati (Vol 4, march 2010), Indian journal of finance.

    Magazine:

    25. P K Kulkarni (SEPT.- DEC. 2007), ICFAI Reader

    26. G S Rathore (November 2007), Impact of financial sector reforms on banking sector in

    india, ICFAI Reader.

    27. V P Shetty (October 2006), The changing Paradigm, Chartered financial Analyst

    28. B Sambamurthy (November 2006), Indian banking future perfect, Chartered

    financial Analyst

    29. Steve Payne (October 2010), The analyst.

    30. Natasha khakhar Patel (jan 28- jul 11,2010), Capital Market

    31. Kaushik Chakaraborty (January 2007), Chartered financial Analyst

  • 67 | P a g e S u b m i t t e d B y : R i c h a K a l r a j s a j s

    67 Comparative Analysis of Indian Private Banks

    Websites

    32. http://www.experiment-resources.com/research-designs.html

    33. http://www.socialresearchmethods.net/kb/stat_t.php

    34. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank

    35. http://in.jobstreet.com/jobs/2008/5/h/60/1321591.htm?fr=J

    36. http://www.icicigroupcompanies.com/corporate_governance.html

    37. http://www.axisbank.com/aboutus/ourmissionandvalues/Our-Mission-And-Values.asp

    38. http://www.hsbc.com.tr/eng/about_HSBC/our_vision_and_values/

    39. http://www.samples-help.org.uk/mission-statements/bank-of-america-mission-statement.htm

    40. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Research

    41. http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/ratioanalysis.asp

    42. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/eps