Rfid Markets Toulouse Idtechex v2 Good One (1)

Consulting Publications Conferences IDTechEx Ltd

The global market for RFID

2010-2020

Dr Peter Harrop [email protected]

www.IDTechEx.com


RFID is a fast growing business

$bn 2005 2010 2020

Tags 1.0 2.1 9.9

Other 0.9 3.5 12

Total 1.9 5.6 21.9


It is not all about paybacks

GOVERNMENT LAWS fit it to your cattle in Australia, Canada, Uruguay, Botswana, dogs in New Zealand,

sheep and goats in Europe or go to jail

GOVERNMENT MONEY largest orders are military and local government for non stop road tolling and air

baggage in USA/Korea and city cards and national ID

card in China. E-Passports in 70 countries

CRIME PREVENTION hospitals, postal service ERROR PREVENTION healthcare LIFE SAVING AND HEALTH - healthcare


Largest orders are placed by Government

China National ID Card $6 billion HF passive

ACS for New York/ New Jersey EZ Pass $500 million UHF Active (In 2006,

New Jersey Turnpike Authority spent $28 million to replace 1.1 million old E-Z

pass toll tags before their batteries ran out)

Savi Technology for US Army $500 million 433 MHz active

Unisys consortium for US Army $500 million 433MHz active/UHF passive

E-Passports UK De La Rue $600 millionE-passport infrastructure UK and USA $30-$65 million HF passive

E-passport RFID inserts for USA $50 million HF passive

Applied Digital river readers US Army/ Bonneyville Hydro $45 m LF passive


RFID is $5.6 billion in 2010 but fragmented

Over 1000 suppliers: top ten have half the business

Largest include these (double counting in the sales)

Gemplus RFID cards & passports $500 million+NXP chips $500 millionACS Non stop road tolling and transport card system integrators $500 million

Assa Abloy secure access, livestock$400 millionSavi military & heavy logistics systems integration $200 million

Smartrac - Passport inlays $150 million

Allflex livestock tags $110 million


Passive and active RFID

Passive has no power supply in the tag - low cost, longest life tags

BIGGEST MARKET

Active has a power supply in the tag, usually a battery

First generation active is a tag that is read when near an interrogator longer

range, can initiate a signal. BIG MARKET eg car keys, military, road toll

Second generation active is Real Time Locating Systems RTLS - many

interrogators locating a tag from a distance eg 150 US hospitals

Third Generation Active is Wireless Sensor Networks WSN - every tag

node can be a reader in a mesh network like the internet ie self organising, self healing and it can sense something.


HF RFID is over 50% of market value

Security

and/or

Memory

size

7 cents Chip cost 3 dollars

Retail

pallet/case

label

Passport

label/ page

Item

drug label

Aircraft

part tag

Library

book label

Transit ticket

Transit card

Secure

access or credit

card

National ID

card

Spec

ificati

on ty

pically

ISO

1444

3 or 1

5693

Dropping price to 2 cents by getting rid of the chip

Kovio ink jet printed, nanosilicon RFID in the lead

Samples are now available

ISO14443

1000

transistors

*


RFID markets tout a change

The worlds most popular annual analysis of RFID markets IDTechEx RFID Forecasts, Players & Opportunities 2010-2020 finds

Largest expenditure by sector

2010

1. Financial, Security, Safety

2. Passenger Transport, Automotive

3. Animals and Farming

2020

1. Retail, Consumer Goods

2. Financial, Security, Safety

3. Land & Sea Logistics, Postal


Worlds largest reality check on RFID The IDTechEx Knowledgebase of over 4100 projects in

112 countries (4150 organisations, 770 slide

shows/audio) shows:

Largest number of projects is

1.Financial, Security, Safety, nearly all HF

2.Retail and Consumer Goods, mainly UHF

However, Retail/CPG is under 5% of the money

spent on RFID so there is a long way to go


Number of case studies by project status is a glimpse

of the future from the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

One

-off e

vent

Ord

ered

Pla

nned

Pro

of o

f Con

cept

Rol

l-out

(Com

plet

e)

Rol

l-out

(Ong

oing

)

Tria

l (Com

plet

e)

Tria

l (Ong

oing

)

Tria

l (Pla

nned

)

Tria

ls

Tria

ls a

nd rol

l-out

s

With

draw

n

Nu

mb

er

of

ca

se

stu

die

s


Here comes China

From the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase

1375

397303

224 190 170118 101 93 87

0

500

1,000

1,500

Uni

ted

Stat

es

Uni

ted

Kin

gdom

Chi

na

Ger

man

y

Japa

n

Fran

ce

Aus

tral

ia

Can

ada

Net

herla

nds

Italy

Nu

mb

er

of

case s

tud

ies


Case studies by tag location


0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Air

Bag

gage

Ani

mal

s

Car

d (in

c. k

ey fo

b)

Clic

ker/i

mm

obili

ser

Con

veya

nce

Inte

rmod

al c

onta

iner

/ULD

Item

leve

l

Oth

er

Palle

t/cas

e

Pass

port

Peop

le

Phon

e

Tick

et

Vehi

cle

Nu

mb

er

of

case s

tud

ies


HF is always the most popular frequency

(but UHF people shout loudest)

Source: IDTechEx RFID Forecasts, Players & Opportunities 2009-2019

www.IDTechEx.com/forecasts

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

Chi

ples

s (2

Hz-

100

GHz)

LF (1

25-1

35 K

Hz)

HF

(13.

56 M

Hz)

315-

333

MHz

433

MHz

UHF

(868

-960

MHz)

Mic

rowav

e (2

.45

GHz)

Mic

rowav

e (5

.8 G

Hz)

Ultr

a W

ide

Ban

d (U

WB)

Mul

tiple

freq

uenc

ies

Nu

mb

er

of

ca

se

stu

die

s

Worlds favourite RFID

standard is HF=

ISO14443

(+15693)

HF is over 50% of the value

of the RFID market - cards,

tickets, passports, logistics

etc


Case studies by active/passive


0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Active Passive

Nu

mb

er

of

case s

tud

ies


Case studies by read/write


0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

Read Only Read/Write

Nu

mb

er

of

case s

tud

ies


0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Airlin

es a

nd A

irpo

rts

Ani

mal

s an

d Fa

rmin

g

Boo

ks, L

ibra

ries

, Arc

hivi

ng

Fina

ncia

l, Sec

urity

, Saf

ety

Hea

lthca

re

Land

and

Sea

Log

istic

s, P

osta

l

Laun

dry

Leis

ure,

Spo

rts

Man

ufac

turing

Mili

tary

Oth

er

Pas

seng

er T

rans

port, A

utom

otiv

e

Ret

ail,

Con

sum

er G

oods

Nu

mb

er

of

case s

tud

ies

Case studies by application



Case studies by tag shape


0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Bad

ge

But

ton

Car

d

Ear

tag

/ Bol

us ta

g

Ele

ctro

nic

hous

ings

/ Pla

stic

mou

ldin

gs

Em

bedd

ed

Gla

ss B

ead

Impl

ant

Inte

grat

ed

Key

fob

Labe

l

Pap

er ti

cket

Wrist

band

/Bra

cele

t

Nu

mb

er

of

ca

se

stu

die

s


Tag numbers will rocket if printed RFID

with no chip is available and adopted but

unnecessarily complicated standards

must be abandoned

Number

billion

2005 2010 2020

Tags 0.7 2.4 125 mainly 2 cent chipless

tags


Passive tags remain dominant in numbers

Number

billion

2005 2010 2020

Active 0.05 0.06 0.8

Passive 0.66 2.3 124

Total 0.71 2.4 125

Passive tag systems migrate to HF and UHF

Active tag systems migrate to 2.45GHz and UWB and

are more profitable

For more read:

RFID Forecasts, Players and

Opportunities 2010-2020

"We found the report to be extremely helpful and well

done"Daniel Luch, CEO, Ertek

www.idtechex.com

Cambridge UK 28-29 September

SPEAKERS INCLUDE

BMW

Goodyear

Gerry Weber

Copenhagen Airports

Sony

NP Collection

Centre Pompidou

NYK Logistics

Cubic

NXP

Guide Dogs for the Blind

www.idtechex.com/rfidEurope

Conference

Exhibition

Masterclasses

Visits

Global Research & Analysis on Printed Electronics, Photovoltaics, Energy Harvesting and RFIDCopyright 1999-2009 IDTechEx

www.IDTechEx.com

YOUR BUSINESSOUR INSIGHT

For reports and events see

www.idtechex.com

For custom consulting contact :

Americas - Raghu Das at [email protected]

Europe and Rest of World - Dr Peter Harrop

[email protected]

or call + 44 1223 813703

Rfid Markets Toulouse Idtechex v2 Good One (1)

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