Results Presentation 1H 2011 - EDP Renováveis › sites › edpr › files ›...
Embed Size (px)
Transcript of Results Presentation 1H 2011 - EDP Renováveis › sites › edpr › files ›...
-
Results Presentation1H 2011
27th July, 2011www.edpr.com
-
2
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by EDP Renováveis, S.A. (the "Company") solely for use at the presentation to be made on the 27th July 2011. By attending the meetingwhere this presentation is made, or by reading the presentation slides, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. Therefore, thispresentation may not be distributed to the press or any other person, and may not be reproduced in any form, in whole or in part for any other purpose without the expressconsent in writing of the Company.
The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified by any of the Company's advisors. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express orimplied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. Neither theCompany nor any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of thispresentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of theCompany or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof, northe fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. Any decision to purchaseany securities in any offering should be made solely on the basis of the information to be contained in the relevant prospectus or final offering memorandum to be published indue course in relation to any such offering.
Neither this presentation nor any copy of it, nor the information contained herein, in whole or in part, may be taken or transmitted into, or distributed, directly or indirectly tothe United States. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. This presentation does not constitute and should not be construedas an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities in the United States. No securities of the Company have been registered under U.S. securities laws, and unless soregistered may not be offered or sold except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of U.S. securities laws andapplicable state securities laws.
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. Thewords “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intends,” “estimate,” “will,” “may”, "continue," “should” and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for futuregrowth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; developments of the Company’s markets; the impact of regulatoryinitiatives; and the strength of the Company’s competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based,in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management’s examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company’s records and otherdata available from third parties. Although the Company believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significantknown and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. Such risks,uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company or industry results to differ materiallyfrom those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.
The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without noticeunless required by applicable law. The Company and its respective agents, employees or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to,make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflectany change in events, conditions or circumstances.
-
Key Messages
-
4
Key Messages
Is EDPR being able to convert capacity growth into higher cash-flows?
1•Production 8.8 TWh: +27% YoY
•Net Income €90m: +2.1x YoY
•Op. Cash-Flow €353m: +49% YoY
Sound headline growth fromtop-to-bottom
and solid cash-conversion
Is EDPR capturing alternative funding sources and
controlling financial costs?
2 •Cash-Flow exceeded Capex in 1H
•€0.4bn through Project Finance and Tax Equity
•Stable net interest expenses over the last 5 quarters
Quality projects enabling increased cash-generation capabilities and access to local
project finance and tax equity
Is wind becoming a cost-adequate source within national energy plans?
3•Lower capex per MW (-10%)
•Enhanced turbine productivity
• Increased asset longevity (25y)
A new cycle for the wind businesswith a lower Cost of Energy and
increased competitiveness
EDPR in the 1H 2011
-
1H11 Operating and Financial Performance
-
6
Installed capacity increased 24% YoY to 7.2 GW
• Ongoing growth: 1.4 GW installed in the last 12 months (+24% YoY)• 486 MW added in the 1H11 represent almost 60% of the expected additions for 2011• 376 MW under construction provide visibility towards the execution of expected capacity growth (800-900 MW)
+188
800-900
+298
+486
376
1Q11 2Q11 1H11 Under Const.
2011E Additions
2011 Quarterly Additions(EBITDA MW + Eólicas PT (1))
YoY Capacity Increase(EBITDA GW + Eólicas PT (1))
Notes: (1) Equity consolidated: 127 MW as of Jun-2010 and 275 MW as of Jun-2011; 36 MW installed in the 1H11
5.8
7.2
1H10 1H11
+24%% of 2011E Additions
~60%
-
7
Top-class assets continuously deliveringpremium load factors
Load Factor: Quarterly Evolution(%)
Load Factor(%)
1H10 1H11
US 32% 36%
EU 29% 26%
EDPR 31% 32%
• EU: lower wind resource in the 1H11, but clearly above market average (2Q in Spain: +400bps spread over Mkt.)• US: load factor increased 400bps to 36% on higher wind resource and an outstanding 38% load factor in the 2Q• EDPR: delivering a sound top-sector net capacity factor of 32%
29%
23%
34% 33%31%
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11
+200bps
-
8
Capacity growth and strong load factors contributed to the 27% YoY production growth
Electricity Output Breakdown(%)
YoY Electricity Output (1)(TWh)
14% 18% 16%
39% 36% 42%
47% 46% 42%
1H10 2H10 1H11
6.9 +0.4+1.4
8.8
1H10 EU US 1H11
+27%
Regulated Frameworks
Long-TermContracts
Spot & Short-term hedges
• Strong electricity output performance (+27% YoY) on the back of the outstanding US performance (+39% YoY)• US increased its production weight to 58% (vs. 53% in 1H10 and 54% in 2H10)• 84% of 1H11 production sold under long-term stable frameworks
Notes: (1) Includes 14 GWh in 1H10 and 29 GWh in 1H11 from Brazil
-
9
Price evolution unfavorable on higher US production weight and weaker US Dollar
5956
1H10 1H11
EDPR Price Evolution(€/MWh)
-6%
Higher prices in Europe in all geographies, while US prices reflect different structures and low spot prices
• Stable price on regulatory frameworks• Higher contribution from CEE countriesEurope +1.8€
• New PPA price structures• Lower merchant prices YoYUS -1.7€
• Higher contribution from US platformOutput Mix -2.7€
• Unfavorable US$/€ Forex evolution (US Dollar depreciated 5% YoY)US$/€ -1.1€
Impact onEDPR Price €/MWh
-
10
Revenues increased 18% YoY to €547m...
462
547
1H10 1H11
+18%
...reflecting capacity growth but impacted by unfavorable forex and different production mix
Strong electricity output increase (YoY)
US +39%; EU +13%
Stable top-notch
net capacity factor of 32%
Different portfolio mix and
unfavorable US$/€ Forex evolution
Revenues(€ million)Main drivers for Revenues performance
-
11
EBITDA’s 19% YoY growth to €409mreflects top-line performance and cost control
EBITDA: Geographic Breakdown (2)(€ million)
EBITDA (1)(€ million)
343 +16%+22%
409
1H10 EU US 1H11
256 62%
16038%
409
EU US 1H11
Notes: (1) Includes €-6.6m in 1H11 and €-9.6m in 1H10 from Brazil, Other and Adjustments(2) Includes €-6.6m in 1H11 from Brazil, Other and Adjustments
EDPR continues to deliver a recurrent top-sector EBITDA margin
80% 72% 75%
(US$224m)
+19%
€9m negative impact from
forexevolution
(+29% in US$)
EBITDAmargin
-
12
Net Profit of €90m (x2.1 vs 1H10), outpacing operating performance
Net Profit(€ million)
43
90
1H10 1H11
x2.1• Strong operational growth• High efficiency levels (EBITDA mg 75%)EBITDA +19%
• New installed capacity• Higher useful life (from 20 to 25 years)D&A +7%
• Net Interests reflect LT fixed funding• Capital gain from SEASA sale
Financial Results -1%
• Pre-Tax Profit increased by 88%• Tax rate of 21% vs. 27% in 1H10Taxes +43%
YoY %
Notes: D&A includes €17m in 1H11 vs. €9m in 1H10 from PPA (Price Purchase Allocation) amortization.
Bottom-line reflects strong operating growth, higher asset useful life (+€21m)and the announced capital gain on the sale of a financial stake (+€7m)
-
13
Operating assets continuously delivering solid Cash-Flow growth (+49% YoY)
Operating Cash-Flow (Before Capex)(€ million)
1H11: Net Profit to Cash-Flow(€ million)
237
353
1H10 1H11
90
353+98
+129
+36
Net Profit FinancialExpenses
Non-CashItems
WorkingCapital
OperatingCash-Flow
Solid conversion of assets’ high quality productivity into Cash-Flow
+49%
-
14
Operating Cash-Flow exceeded 1H Capex
1H11: Source and Use of Funds (1)(€ million)
353 393 345
486
26 23
242
252
48
OperatingCash-Flow
Cash and Equivalents
Divestments Acquisitions & Investments
Other Payments
Capex
Notes: (1) Cash and Equivalents include €65m from the reduction and use of restricted cash related to US Institutional partnerships; illustration excludes non-cash Forex impact on Net Debt (€109m)
1H funding needs covered by Operating Cash-Flow and Cash and Equivalents
Equipment Suppliers
NewDebt
Source of Funds Use of Funds
-
Diversifying Funding Sources
-
16
Ability to manage debt levels and interests under control over the last 12 months...
Net Interest Costs(€ million)
Financial Debt(€ billion)
3.373.53 3.56
Jun-10 Dec-10 Jun-11
Nominal Cost of Debt of 5.6% at June-2011 reflecting long-term funding maturity
44.9 42.348.4
44.5 46.0
2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11
+2%
-
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 >2018
17
...through the right funding strategy on a capital intensive industry...
Debt Maturity(€ Million)
1H11: Debt Profile(%)
9% 7%
91%
38%
55%
Type Currency
Fixed
Variable
EUR
USD
PLN/BRL
Long term fixed rate debt structure designed to match business model with Cash-Flow profile
-
18
...and increased cash generation capabilities along with multiple funding sources
YTD Sources of Funds(€ million)
Operating Cash-Flow 353
Cash & Equivalents 486
Financial Debt (net sources) 23
1H11 888
Project Finance Romania I & II (228 MW) 188
Project Finance Brazil (70 MW) 102
Tax Equity US (99 MW) 82
Secured in July 372
Ability to access to multiple and local funding sources driven byhigh quality assets and a rigorous investment criteria
Increased cash conversion of thecapital already invested
Flexible funding and diversified sources to support future growth at competitive cost
Funding Strategy
Divestments 26
-
Wind Increased Competitiveness
-
20
Wind industry is entering a new cycle and showing a remarkable improved performance...
…Lower energy cost(per MWh)
Higher Longevity, and…(years, 1H2011)
An expected sustainable downward trendof wind energy cost per unit of output
Detailed technical assessment on EDPR's portfolio performed by an industry expert
3.0
2.4
3.6
EDPR
US
EuropeLower Capex/MW: -10%
Manufacturing overcapacity and sellerscompetition leading to price pressure
Higher productivity for the same wind speed
Manufacturers R&D efforts being reflected intonew generation turbines
0 20 25
EDPR Assets Age
-
21
...resulting in a competitive technologyto meet electricity demand
Levelized Cost of Energy by Technology(€/MWh, European Case for new investments)
Wind Levelized Cost of Energy (LCoE)(€/MWh on Load Factor scenarios)
€20
€40
€60
€80
€100
€120
20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Notes: Analysis based on: Gas 7.0$/Mmbtu, Coal $80/ton, CO2 €15/ton, €/$ 1.35
DismantlingCO2FuelO&MInvestment
5869 72
78 79
Hydro Wind Onshore
Nuclear CCGT Coal
Wind is becoming a cost-adequate alternative energy within national long-term electricity system plans
Lower capex costand higher useful life
Excludes intermittency
costs
-
22
Are the ambitious wind targets sustainable in the current economic and environmental context?
… ongoing renewable support is justified as a way to reduce imported
energy, decarbonize economy and to partly cope with nuclear capacity shutdowns
… wind increased competitiveness vs. conventional technologies place it as the
most cost adequate renewable option for countries' current energy policy
… wind is a clean and safe energy source that will provide a predictable
and stable energy cost for the long-term
Yes...
-
IR ContactsRui Antunes, Head of IRFrancisco BeirãoDiogo Cabral
E-mail: [email protected]: +34 914 238 402Fax: +34 914 238 429
Serrano Galvache 56, Edifio Olmo, 7th Floor28033, Madrid,Spain
EDP Renováveis online
Site: www.edpr.com
Link Results & Presentations:www.edpr.com/investors
Next Events
13 Sept.: London Roadshow
14 Sept.: BBVA Conference (London)
15 Sept.: Morgan Stanley Conference (London)
23 Sept.: BPI Conference (Lisbon)
-
Results Presentation�1H 2011DisclaimerSlide Number 3Key MessagesSlide Number 5Installed capacity increased 24% YoY to 7.2 GWTop-class assets continuously delivering�premium load factorsCapacity growth and strong load factors contributed to the 27% YoY production growthPrice evolution unfavorable on higher US production weight and weaker US DollarRevenues increased 18% YoY to €547m...EBITDA’s 19% YoY growth to €409m�reflects top-line performance and cost controlNet Profit of €90m (x2.1 vs 1H10), outpacing operating performanceOperating assets continuously delivering solid Cash-Flow growth (+49% YoY)Operating Cash-Flow exceeded 1H CapexSlide Number 15Ability to manage debt levels and interests under control over the last 12 months......through the right funding strategy on a capital intensive industry......and increased cash generation capabilities along with multiple funding sourcesSlide Number 19Wind industry is entering a new cycle and showing a remarkable improved performance......resulting in a competitive technology�to meet electricity demandAre the ambitious wind targets sustainable in the current economic and environmental context?Slide Number 23Slide Number 24