R&D in the FY 2017 Budget - National...

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Copyright © 2015 American Association for the Advancement of Science 8/26/15 1 R&D in the FY 2017 Budget Matt Hourihan February 29, 2016 For the Government-University-Industry Research Roundtable AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/program/rd-budget-and-policy-program

Transcript of R&D in the FY 2017 Budget - National...

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5%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Federal Spending Since FY 2010Percent change from FY10 levels, constant dollars

Base DiscretionaryCaps

DOE AppliedPrograms*

NSF

DOE Science

NIH

NASA

USDA R&D

DOD S&T

*Includes EERE, OE, Fossil, Nuclear; excludes ARPA-E (regular appropriations began in FY 2011). Based on AAAS analyses of historical OMB , agency, and appropriations data and the President's FY 2017 request. © 2016 AAAS

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Defense Discretionary*

$529[Defense R&D]*

$79

Nondefense Discretionary*

$557

[Nondefense R&D]*$68

Social Security$967

Medicare$598

Medicaid$386

Other Mandatory$656

Net Interest$303

Composition of the Proposed FY 2017 BudgetTotal Outlays = $4.1 trillion

outlays in billions of dollars

*Approximately $4 billion for R&D is classified as mandatory spending. Figures are estimates.Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2017 . Projected deficit is $503 billion. © AAAS | Feb. 2016

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DOD, $73.2

HHS (NIH), $32.7

DOE, $17.4

NASA, $12.0

NSF, $6.5

USDA, $2.9

Commerce, $1.9

All Other, $6.2

Total R&D by Agency, FY 2017budget authority in billions of dollars, including new mandatory

Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents and data. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. © 2016 AAAS

Total R&D = $152.9 billion

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-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Basic Research

Nondefense

Defense

TOTAL

DOD S&T

NASA

Environ Protection Agency

NOAA

Homeland Security

National Institutes of Health

Veterans Affairs

DOD Development

NIST

DOE Science

National Science Foundation

Agriculture

Transportation

US Geological Survey

DOE Defense

DOE Energy Programs

Current Estimates of Total R&D in FY17 Budgetpercent change from FY16, nominal dollars, including new mandatory proposals

Based on AAAS analyses of OMB, OSTP and agency budget data. © AAAS

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NEW Mandatory Funding in FY 2017

$4.2 billion for R&D, all nondefense

Select agency funding (including non-R&D):

$2.0 billion for NIST

$1.825 billion for NIH

$1.6 million for DOE clean technology and science programs

$763 million for NASA

$400 million for NSF

$325 million for USDA

$300 million for EPA

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-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Basic Research

Nondefense

Defense

TOTAL

DOD S&T

NASA

Environ Protection Agency

NOAA

Homeland Security

National Institutes of Health

Veterans Affairs

DOD Development

NIST

DOE Science

National Science Foundation

Agriculture

Transportation

US Geological Survey

DOE Defense

DOE Energy Programs

Current Estimates of Total R&D in FY17 Budgetpercent change from FY16, nominal dollars, including new mandatory proposals

Based on AAAS analyses of OMB, OSTP and agency budget data. © AAAS

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-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Basic Research

Nondefense

Defense

TOTAL

DOD S&T

NASA

Environ Protection Agency

NOAA

Homeland Security

National Institutes of Health

Veterans Affairs

DOD Development

NIST

DOE Science

National Science Foundation

Agriculture

Transportation

US Geological Survey

DOE Defense

DOE Energy Programs

Current Estimates of Total R&D in FY17 Budgetpercent change from FY16, nominal dollars, excluding new mandatory proposals

Based on AAAS analyses of OMB, OSTP and agency budget data. © AAAS

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DOD, $73.2

HHS (NIH), $30.9

DOE, $16.6

NASA, $11.3

NSF, $6.2

USDA, $2.6

Commerce, $1.9

All Other, $6.0

Base Budget R&D by Agency, FY 2017budget authority in billions of dollars, excluding new mandatory proposals in FY 2017

Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents and data. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. © 2016 AAAS

Total base budget R&D = $148.8 billion

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1.4%

-9.5%

-2.7%

-2.6%

-2.3%

-1.9%

-0.5%

2.3%

3.2%

4.0%

19.8%

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%

TOTAL

Space

Commerce (NIST)

Health (NIH)

Agriculture

Transportation

Justice (DHS)

General Science (NSF, DOE SC)

Environment Agencies

Defense Activities

Applied Energy Programs

FY17 R&D in the Base Budget by Functionpercent change from FY 2016, nominal dollars

Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and agency budget documents. © 2016 AAAS

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0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

Trends in Federal R&DAs a percent of GDP

Total

Defense

Nondefense

Source: AAAS analyses of historical budget and agency data and the FY 2017 request. GDP figures from OMB. R&D includes conduct and facilities. © AAAS

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Agency Highlights: NIH

$33.1 billion program level (+$825 million, +2.6%) OR

$31.3 billion program level (-$1 billion, -3.1%)

Of the $1.825 billion in mandatory spending: $825 million for cancer

research, BRAIN Initiative, Precision Medicine

Remaining $1 billion to keep all other ICs flat

17.5% success rate in FY17

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

$45

$50

NIH Budget, FY 1998 - 2017budget authority in billions of constant FY 2016 dollars

New Mandatory(FY17)

ARRA Funding

General Med Sci

Cancer

NIAID

Heart Lung Blood

NIDDK

Mental Health

All Other

Source: Agency budget data and the FY 2017 request. Excludes Ebola-related funding in FY 2015. Adjusted

for biomedical R&D inflation rate (BRDPI). © 2016 AAAS

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Agency Highlights: DOE

SC: $5.7 billion (+6.1%) OR

$5.6 billion (+4.2%) Advanced computing; BER;

BES all with moderate boosts Domestic fusion energy

research cut again (-15.5%) While ITER boosted, again

Applied programs: gains for EERE, ARPA-E, grid (20% or more for each) 21st Century Clean

Transportation Plan Fossil cut, Nuclear flat

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000

DOE Office of Science BudgetsBudget Authority in millions of constant FY 2016 dollars

Adv Sci Comp Basic Energy SciBio Env Res Fusion EnergyHigh-Energy Phys Nuclear Phys

Source: Historical DOE budget data and FY17 request. © 2016 AAAS

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Agency Highlights: NSF

$8.0 billion (+6.7%)

OR

$7.6 billion (+1.3%)

Base budgets for most directorates roughly flat

ENG: boosts for SBIR, ERCs

BIO, MPS: infrastructure v. research?

New research vessels

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

National Science Foundation BudgetBudget Authority in billions of constant FY 2016 dollars

New Mand. NSF ARRA All Other EHR

MREFC Other R&RA SBE CISE

BIO ENG GEO MPS

Source: NSF budget data. © 2016 AAAS

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Agency Highlights: NASA

NASA: $19 billion (-1.3%) OR

$18.3 billion (-5.3%) Mandatory spending ($763

million) directed to Science, Aeronautics, Space Technology, Exploration

Familiar contours: Priorities include Earth

Science, Space Technology; also Heliophysics

Asteroid Retrieval Mission Cuts for Planetary Science

(Europa Mission), Exploration (SLS and Orion), Astrophysics

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

NASA Budgets, FY 2007 - FY 2017billions of constant 2016 dollars

New Mandatory ARRA

Other Exploration Systems

Space Operations Space Technology

Aeronautics Science

"Other" includes support, construction, OIG, and education programs. © 2016 AAAS

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Other Notes

DOD S&T: Basic research cut by 9.0%; DARPA +3.7%

USDA: small changes at ARS; AFRI discretionary +7.1%, with an additional $325 million mandatory

NIST, NOAA Research Office, USGS all increased to varying degrees

Zika supplemental: $1.8 billion for CDC, NIH, others

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

130%

140%

ARS ERS NIFA [AFRI*]

USDA R&D Funding Since FY 2010Estimated funding as a percent of FY 2010 levels, constant dollars

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Request

*Also contained within NIFA.

Based on AAAS analyses of agency budget documents. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. © 2016 AAAS

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-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Federal Spending Since FY 2010Percent change from FY10 levels, constant dollars

Base DiscretionaryCaps

DOE AppliedPrograms*

NSF

DOE Science

NIH

NASA

USDA R&D

DOD S&T

*Includes EERE, OE, Fossil, Nuclear; excludes ARPA-E (regular appropriations began in FY 2011). Based on AAAS analyses of historical OMB , agency, and appropriations data and the President's FY 2017 request. © 2016 AAAS

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-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017Request

Federal Spending Since FY 2010Percent change from FY10 levels, constant dollars, excluding new mandatory proposals in FY 2017

Base DiscretionaryCaps

DOE AppliedPrograms*

NSF

DOE Science

NIH

NASA

USDA R&D

DOD S&T

*Includes EERE, OE, Fossil, Nuclear; excludes ARPA-E (regular appropriations began in FY 2011). Based on AAAS analyses of historical OMB , agency, and appropriations data and the President's FY 2017 request. © 2016 AAAS

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0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

R&D as a Share of GDP by Funder

Total Federal Industry Other

Source: National Science Foundation, National Patterns of R&D Resources series. © 2015 AAAS

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0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

Research as a Share of GDP by Funder

Total Research Federal Research Industry Research Other

Source: National Science Foundation, National Patterns of R&D Resources series. © 2015 AAAS

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$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

Total R&D

Defense

Nondefense

ARRA Total

ARRA Defense

ARRA Nondefense

Trends in Federal R&D, FY 1976-2017in billions of constant FY 2016 dollars, excluding mandatory proposals in FY 2017

Source: AAAS analyses of historical budget and agency data and the FY 2017 request. R&D includes conduct and facilities. © AAAS | Feb. 2016