Quan Shi G2E ASIA 2013 Baccarat Presentation
Transcript of Quan Shi G2E ASIA 2013 Baccarat Presentation
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Mining the Baccarat Bonanza:
A Baccarat Master Speaks
Quan Shi
Board MemberZuan Xin Lucky Dragon Gaming Pte Ltd
Las Vegas, Nevada
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Mr. Quan Shi is a member of the Board of Directors of Zuan Xin Lucky
Dragon Gaming Pte Ltd of Las Vegas, Nevada, maker of the
unprecedented mobile Chinese gaming expert app Zuan Xin LuckyDragon Baccarat that contains the solution to the game elaborated in
2006 by Zuan Xin and his group from Harvard. An honors graduate in
civil engineering from Nanyang Technological University in Singapore,
Quan mastered the Baccarat Great Learning of Zuan Xin and went on to
become one of the top Baccarat experts in Southeast Asia. As a boardmember of Zuan Xin Lucky Dragon Gaming, Quan oversees the design
and quality of the company's gaming expert apps for Baccarat and Pai
Gow and its novel Good Luck Machine app.
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Why Im Here
We Know Baccarat is Big
Lets Make It BiggerBut Lets Make It Better Too
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Global Gambling is Changing
Our Games Must Evolve
Or They Will DevolveSo We Strive to Understand
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Games Die from Neglect
We Focus on Strengths
Make Them StrongerWe Eliminate Nits
Invest Effort Elsewhere
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Bonanzas Can Be Mismanaged
But Not the Baccarat Bonanza
We Grow Game Taking Long View
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The Baccarat Bonanza
Nature of the Game
Nature of the PlayersNature of the Times
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Nature of the Game
Simplicity and Symmetry
Ceremony and ReputationTest of Luck
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Simplicity and Symmetry
Simple Mathematics
Simple Fascinating RulesFast Mesmerizing Card Game
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Ceremony and Reputation
Luxury and Aspirational Luxury
Association with James BondLore of the Great Whales
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What is the name of the self
proclaimed luxury lifestyle
magazine of Hong Kong?
Baccarat
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Test of Luck
No Apparent Method
Ed Thorp Couldnt Solve ItInfinite Ways to Play
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Edward O. Thorp declaredBaccarat unsolvable in 1966!
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Thus the results for n=13 seemto conclusively demonstrate
that no practical winning strategy
is possible for the Nevada game,
even with a computing machineplaying a perfect game.
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Psychoneurolinguistics
Keyed on Chinese Mind
Numbers and Characters
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Notion of Deep Unifying PatternStrong Bias Strong Attribute
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Insight in Ancient Characters
Fate Yun CNY YunReal PsychoneurolinguisticsReal Effects in Real People
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Baccarat Best SocialPai Gow Tiles Not Complex
Mahjong Tiles CompetitiveI Ching Hexagrams Not Social
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Baccarat by Her Very Name
Chinese Game of Patterns
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Nature of the Players
Compression of Attention
Hyperobsession with MoneyDesperation for Uncertainty
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Nature of the Times
Notion that Everythings Fixed
Infinite ComplexityHyperwired World of the Now
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What Does This Mean
Baccarats Purity is Her Strength
The Honesty of Random ShoesThe Integrity of an Honest Deal
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Desmond Lam arguably
top expert on both Chinese
gambling and gambling
addiction
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Says Lam
Illusion of Control is Key
Baccarat Delivers
No Wrong Way
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Theres No Other Game
That Can Deliver Endlessly
Quintessential Purity
With Quintessential Integrity
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There is Only One Game
Comparable to the Finest Wine
Baccarat
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Parallel
The Great Russian Writer
Dostoyevsky was a Gambler
He Described the Spell of Roulette
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However, I deduced from the sceneone conclusion which seemed to me
reliablenamely, that in the flow of
fortuitous chances there is, if not a
system, at all events a sort of order.
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As Dostoyevsky said
P
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A Similar Fate
Baccarat Meant To Be
Overwhelming Favorite
Chinese Gambling Game
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The Shoe
8 Packs of Cards
Billion Trillion PatternsEndless Roads
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Endless Roads
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Chinese Gambling Model
Integrating not Isolating
Socializing not Alienating
Mindful not Mindless
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This is Why Gambling
Holds a Special Place in
Chinese Culture
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Sweet Spot for Growing Game
Patterns
Side Bets on Patterns
Variations Based on Patterns
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ETG/LD Can Redefine
Perfect Test Bed
Decisions Runs SequencesEasy to Test Propositions
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Scoreboard as Map
Each Shoe a Journey
Each Shoe as Journey
Dealer as Journey Guide
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Bigger Better Scoreboards
Las Vegas Sports Book Model
More Analysis the Merrier
Macaus Asias Baccarat Sages
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Three Truest Truths
We Need to Embrace Winners
We Need More Players
We Need to Elevate the Game
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How to Embrace Winners
Encourage Analysis
Discourage Obsession
Big Analytical Competitions
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Terminology
Decisions (B or P only)
Runs (BB or PP simplest)
Sequences (BPBPBP simplest)
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Typical Shoe
80 Hands
8 Ties
72 Decisions
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Runs
36 Total
18 Runs of 1
18 Runs of More Than 1
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Sequences
18 Sequences of Runs
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Meta Sequences
18 Meta Sequences
Containing All Sequences
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Baccarat Solved
Presented Next Thursday
ICGRT at Caesars Palace
Baccarat Beatable
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The Pattern of the Patterns
Elaborated by Zuan Xin
Validated Three Ways
More Interesting than Useful
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Validated Three Ways
Mathematically
Empirically
Computationally
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Baccarat Solved a Good Thing
Magnet for Non Asians
Game Overpowers All Methods
Generates Self Justification
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Big Analytical Competitions
Many Many Many Methods
Celebrity Plays Shoe Publicly
Somebody Must Win
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Next Level Competitions
More Player Development Value
High Return on Investment
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The Edward O. Thorp Effect
Perception that a game of chance
is beatable is the magnet that pulls
in every player that wants to win
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Make Baccarat Bigger
Attract Non Asians Too
Promote the Game like Poker
We Need Ambassadors
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Ambassadors of Baccarat
Male and Female Celebrities
Chinese and Non Asian
Lovers of the Game
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Make Baccarat Better
Pick and Choose Best Ways
Dont Thrash About Edges
Protect Integrity of the Game
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Player Development
Mobile Applications Footprint
Electronic Training Versions
Hyperemphasis on Winners
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Mobile Mobile Mobile
Mobile Mobile Mobile
Mobile Mobile Mobile
Mobile Mobile Mobile
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Smartphone Reality
Absorb It Before It Absorbs Us
Nothing Can Be Sacred
Accept It Will Get Its Share
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The Question
Is the Smartphone a Threat?
The Answer
Absolutely Not!
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Why Shouldnt Baccarat
the Greatest Game andthe Biggest Game
be the Coolest Game Too?
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For Example
Baccarat Stadiums on Steroids
Celebrity Live Dealers
Luxury Brand Sponsored Prizes
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The Casino as Mobile Network
Baccarat Happenings Feasible
Patterns Patterns Patterns
Shared Insights Networks
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A Word on Variations
Try Any and All
Dont Amp Up House Edge
Player Development Tools
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Exotica
Three Card Baccarat
Baccarat Insurance
Player Development Tools
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Law of Large Numbers
With Us Not Against Us
Everyone Aspires to VIP
Millions of Ten Thousands
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Fold Venues into the Game
Global Baccarat Meccas
Larger Than Life Events
Celebrate Winners
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Celebrate the Game
Shes an Honorable Game
No One Doesnt Love Her
Every Day is a Special Day
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Translate Macau VIP Baccarat
Macau Raised the Bar in Gaming
Now We Make Everyone VIP
Because VIP is a State of Mind
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The New Baccarat Room
Hybridize Twice Excitement
High Limit Slot Parlor
Internet Mobile Social Cafe
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More Endless RoadsTo Captivate Younger Players
Personalized Roads
Socially Shared Roads
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Bring All Baccarat In House
Player Banker Option
Player Groups Option
Live Mobile Play Option
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Everyones a VIP
New Kind of Baccarat Host
Players Journeys Guides
Reinforcement of Winning Okay
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New Emphasis
Deemphasize Addicts
Emphasize New Players
Ten Twenty Times More Players
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Player Development Cycling
Trainee (ETG/LD/Variants)Mass Market (Public Tables)
Premium Mass Market (Focused)
VIP (Into Private Rooms)
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New Baccarat
Social Sharing Game
Craps Table Like Intimacy
Efficient Well Trained Staff
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New Baccarat Management
Each Shoe an Event
Macau Asia Baccarat Vegas Keno
Mobile Engagement
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The Next Level
Super Shoe as Super Bowl
Entire Casinos Engaged
All of Macau Asia Engaged
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A Word on Scoreboards
Make Them Bigger
Bigger the Better
Less Busy More Entertaining
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Key Next Step
A New Approach to the Game
Roads and Patterns Experts
Spend Money Make Money
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Suggestions for Vendors
Integrate the Smartphone
It Aint Broke Dont Fix It
VIP Entertainment Events
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More Suggestions for Vendors
Manufacture Baccarat Stars
Creative Baccarat Pit Design
Junket Stylized Side Bets
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Baccarat Tournaments
This Needs Assessment
Think Higher Real ROI Events
Suggest Celebrity/TV Baccarat
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What Im Saying
Dont Tweak the Game
Spectacularize the Game
Self Generating Expansion
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And Then
Assess True Customer ROIs
Enhance Status of True VIPs
Internationalized Baccarat
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Dont Be Afraid of Winners
Winners Generate Players
Players Generate Winners
Winners Generate Players
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Most Important Takeaway
Baccarat Shes Special GameShe Taps Deep into the Brain
No Need to Make Her Up
Just Shine the Light on Her
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G2E Conference 2008
Landmark Session
Blackjack vs. Baccarat
David Sofers Prescient Remark
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Baccarats pure, Blackjack isnt.
Blackjacks peaked,Baccarat hasnt.
Heres to a bigger better game!
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Last Word
Remember to embrace winners
Remember to respect the game
Remember to laugh at ourselves
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