PVR/DVR Market November 4 th, 2004 Brendan Collins VP, Core Products Marketing Maxtor Corporation.
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Transcript of PVR/DVR Market November 4 th, 2004 Brendan Collins VP, Core Products Marketing Maxtor Corporation.
PVR/DVR MarketPVR/DVR Market
November 4November 4thth, 2004, 2004
Brendan Collins
VP, Core Products Marketing
Maxtor Corporation
Maxtor Confidential 2Nov 4, 2004
Total CE Market
173% Portable Video430% Cell Phone
59% Camera
72% Audio/MP3
’02-06 CAGR
59% Overall
Un
its
(mil
lio
ns)
CE HDDs by Application
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
104% Auto
13% Game Box
133% PVR/DVR
Source: TrendFOCUS
Maxtor Confidential 3Nov 4, 2004
3.5” Form Factor
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
97% Personal Storage
44% Enterprise
50% CE
11% Channel Inventory
5% Home PC
5% Business PC
’02-06 CAGR
Un
its
(mil
lio
ns)
3.5” HDD Unit Growth
13% Overall
The CE market is by far the fastest growing segment of the 3.5” space, but is still a long way off from approaching the size of the PC market
Source: TrendFOCUS
Maxtor Confidential 4Nov 4, 2004
Size, Growth, and Penetration of DE Markets
-40%
-20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
100%HDD Penetration
CA
GR
Size of the bubbles is proportional to the size of the corresponding market (in units)
Mobile Phones
Desktops
Laptops
PVR/DVR/STB
MP3 Players
Game Box
Automotive
Digital Photo
PDAs
Handheld Games
Portable Video
Device % w/HDD CAGR Units Desktop PC 100% 5% 125.7
Notebook PC 100% 16% 38.4 PVR/DVR/STB 100% 92% 10.0
Game Box 28% -22% 33.9 MP3 players 8% 74% 32.2 Automotive 6% 50% 10.3
Portable Video 5% 14% 1.2 Digital photo 1% 55% 48.8
PDAs 1% -10% 10.4 Mobile Phones 0% 17% 535.9
Handheld Game 0% -9% 19.7
Full year 2003 actuals
PVR, Laptops, and Desktops all have 100% HDD penetration. All other applications but game box have less than 10%. All would require small form factor drives
Maxtor Confidential 5Nov 4, 2004
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Desktops PVR/DVR/STB
MP3 Players
Portable
Video
PDAs Mobile Phones
Un
its,
Mill
ion
s
Notebooks Game box Automotive DigitalPhoto
Handheldgames
Devices with HDDs
Devices without HDDs
100%
100%
100%
28% 8%6% 5%
1%
1% 0%
0%
All potential markets are dwarfed by the cell phone market. Applications with a PC-architecture (PVR, Game box) show high penetration
Size and Penetration of DE Markets - 2004
Maxtor Confidential 6Nov 4, 2004
PVR/DVR Market Segmentation
Stand AloneStand AloneDVRsDVRs
Pay TV Set Pay TV Set Top BoxesTop Boxes
Converged Converged Devices & Devices &
Media CentersMedia CentersDVD-R/HDD DVD-R/HDD RecordersRecorders
• 40 - 80 GB • 2 Streams 1 tuner (40 Mbps) • $ 600 - 1200 ASP• Acoustics
• 40 GB • 2 Streams 1 tuner (40 Mbps) • $ 400 - 600 ASP• Acoustics • Power/Heat “Best in Class”
• 80 GB• 2 Streams 1 tuner (40 Mbps) • $100-200 ASP• Acoustics • Power/Heat “Best in Class”
• 40 GB• 2 Streams, 1 tuner (40 Mbps) • $100-200 ASP • Acoustics• Reliability
• 80 - 300 GB • 2 - 4 Streams, 2 tuners (80 Mbps) • $ 700 - 1800 ASP• Acoustics
• 80 - 300 GB • 2 - 4 Streams, 2 tuners (80 Mbps) • $ 700 - 2000 ASP• Acoustics • Power/Heat “Best in Class”
• 80 - 300 GB • 2 - 4 Streams, 2 tuners (80 Mbps) • $ 250 - 400 ASP• Acoustics • Power/Heat “Best in Class”
• 80 - 300 GB • 2 - 3 Streams, 2 tuners (60 Mbps) • $ 250 - 400 ASP• Acoustics
• 400 - 500 GB • 2 - 4 Streams 4 tuners (80 Mbps) • $ 1000 - 2500 ASP• Acoustics
• 400 - 500 GB • 2 - 4 Streams 4 tuners (80 Mbps) • $ 850 - 2000 ASP• Acoustics • Power/Heat “Best in Class”
• 300 - 500 GB • 4 - 7 Streams 4 tuners (140 Mbps) • $ 250 – 2,000 ASP• Acoustics • Power/Heat “Best in Class”
• 300 - 500 GB • 3 - 4 Streams, 4 tuners (80 Mbps) • $ 250 - 400 ASP• Acoustics
EntryEntry
Mid Mid RangeRange
High High EndEnd
Maxtor Confidential 7Nov 4, 2004
Editing Broadcasting On Demand PVR/DVR
Creation Delivery Playback
Multiple AV Content Storage Systems
• Maxtor has participated mostly in the Playback segment• Distributed VOD systems are potential SCSI/SATA opportunity that is being opportunistically supported• Edit and Broadcast area are unknown opportunities and are small but profitable
Maxtor Confidential 8Nov 4, 2004
Digital Entertainment Landscape
Audio
Video
Games
Creation Delivery Creation Delivery PlaybackPlayback
Maxtor Confidential 9Nov 4, 2004
Why Maxtor?
Maxtor is the early mover in the DVR market
• An original investor in TiVo• Market share leader• First HDD in a cable STB• Large number of design wins
with ~50 different customers
Maxtor Confidential 10Nov 4, 2004
• Mechanical design consulting, testing and integration support
– Thermal– Acoustics– EMI– Shock and Vibration– Packaging– Power
• Qualification– Joint qualification – Support
• Performance– AV Throughput– AV profiling, modeling, testing– STB system optimization
• AV HDD feature development– QuickVIEW (Advanced)– Industry standard (T13)– Custom (Proprietary)
• Host-based software technology– Core Linux DVR functionality– Content encryption/security
• Manufacturing support services– Factory integration consulting,
training• Quality systems
– Process assistance– AFR Monitoring and Reporting– Failure Analysis
• Systems solutions co-development
– Reference designs– Chipset/middleware compatibility– Open Standards influence
(T13, SATA, 1394 TA, USB2, etc.)
PVR/DVR MarketPVR/DVR Market
November 4November 4thth, 2004, 2004
Brendan Collins
VP, Core Products Marketing
Maxtor Corporation