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HHUNTERSVILLE PPOLICE

DDEPARTMENT 9630 Julian Clark Ave P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C.

28070

(704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200Philip K. Potter, CLEE

Chief of Police

MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN

Motor Vehicle Theft

October 2012

Activity Summary:

There were six(6) motor vehicle thefts reported in October 2012. There were two(2) motor vehicle theftsreported during the same time frame in 2011. This is a 200% increase from 2011 to 2012.

Five (5) incidents are open for further investigation and one (1) incident has been closed due to victim

refusal to cooperate.

Historically, HPD has an average of 5 motor vehicle thefts during the month of October with a current threshold of 2 to

8. This October, we were withinthethreshold with 6 reported motor vehicle thefts.

Forecast for November:

The average number of MV Thefts for the month ofNovember is 4 plus or minus 3. By the end of November, there

is a 68% chance HPD will have received between 1 and 7 reported MV Thefts.

Prepared by: Laura Rooks, Crime Analyst

Submitted to: Philip K. Potter, Chief of Police

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MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT

October 2012

Geographic Analysis

Incidents per Reporting Tract Number of Crimes per Location

Incidents by Response Area

Location # % of totalCommercial 1 17%

Residential 4 67%

PVA 0 0%

Hotel/Motel 0 0%

Roadway 1 17%

6 100%

Tract # % of total

A1

A2 1 17%

A3

A4 1 17%

A5

B1 1 17%

B2 1 17%

B3 1 17%B4

C1

C2

C3

C4 1 17%

C5

C6

D1D2

D3

D4

D5

99

6 100%

Beat # % of total

East 1 1 17%

East 2 2 33%

East 3 0 0%

West 1 2 33%

West 2 0 0%

West 3 1 17% 6 100%

District # % of

total

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Temporal Analysis

# of Incidents/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

Modus Operandi Analysis

Method of EntryForced or Non-forced Entries

Entry Type # % of total

Forced 0 0%Unforced 6 100%

Unknown 0 0%

6 100%

Point of EntryPoint of Entry # % of total

Door (Driver) 3 50%

Door (Pass) 0 0%

Day # % Total

Sunday 0 0%

Monday 0 0%

Tuesday 5 83%

Wednesda

y

1 17%

Thursday 0 0%

Friday 0 0%

Saturday 0 0%

6 100%

Time Period # % per Allocation

0000-0359 0 0%

0400-0759 2 33%0800-1159 1 17%

1200-1559 2 33%

1600-1959 1 17%

2000-2359 0 0%

6 100%

Method # % of total

Broke Glass 0 0%

Force Door 0 0%Forced Window 0 0%

Bodily Force 0 0%

Pried/Punch Lock 0 0%

No Force 6 100%

Key 0 0%

Unknown 0 0%

6 100%

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Monthly Crime Analysis for October 2012

Motor Vehicle Theft

Tract Case # Address Date From: Time From: Date To: Time To: Common Name:

A1 None Reported

A2 121009072903 Norman View Ln 10/9/12 0729 10/9/12 0729A3 None Reported

A4 121010155904 Henry Ln 10/10/12 1545 10/10/12 1555

A5 None Reported

B1 121030135603 Statesville Rd 10/30/12 1130 10/30/12 1356

B2 121030175404 McCormick Pl 10/30/12 1630 10/30/12 1750

B3 121030071701 Saxon Trace Ct 10/29/12 2200 10/30/12 0700

B4 None Reported

C1 None Reported

C2 None Reported

C3 None ReportedC4 121016093903 Kerns Rd 10/15/12 2030 10/16/12 0900

C5 None Reported

D1 None Reported

D2 None Reported

D3 None Reported

D4 None Reported

D5 None Reported

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Incidents per Month 2011 Compared to 2012

October and November Motor Vehicle Thefts Over Time

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

#

ofIncid

ents

October

November

NC = Non-Calculable

Comparison of # of Incidents in October to # of Incidents in November over time

Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean # Change by Month

October 2006 3 November 2006 10 6.5 +7

October 2007 5 November 2007 4 4.5 -1

October 2008 3 November 2008 3 3 0

October 2009 3 November 2009 4 3.5 +1October 2010 4 November 2010 2 3 -2

October 2011 2 November 2011 6 4 +4

Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2006-2011 +-1.3 Standard Deviation for change inincidents # b/w Oct and Nov:

+-3.4

Month Year # of Incidents

% Change

October 2011 2October 2012 6 200%