Public Copy of Auto BE_Oct 12

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    HUNTERSVILLEUNTERSVILLE POLICEOLICE

    DEPARTMENTEPARTMENT 9630 Julian Clark Ave P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C.

    28070

    (704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200Philip K. Potter, CLEE

    Chief of Police

    MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN

    Auto Breaking and Entering

    October 2012

    Activity Summary:

    There were thirty-one (31) Auto B&Es reported in October 2012. There were twenty(20) Auto B&Es

    reported during the same time frame in 2011. This is a 55% increase from 2011 to 2012.

    The zone with the highest number of incidents was East 2 with twelve(12), or39%.

    The reporting area with the highest number of incidents was B3 with twelve(12), or39%.

    Nineteen (19), or61%, took place at residential locations.

    Twenty-one (21), or68%, of the incidents involved unforced entry.

    Eighteen (18), or58%, of the incidents were discovered on a Tuesday.

    Twelve (12), or39%, were discovered between the hours of0400 to 0759.

    Twenty-one (22) incidents are open for further investigation, eight (8) have been closed with leads

    exhausted and one (1) has been closed unfounded.

    Historically, HPD has an average of 34 Auto B&Es during the month of October with a current threshold of 20 to 48.

    This October, we were withinthethreshold with 31 reported Auto B&Es.

    Forecast for November:The average number of Auto B&Es for the month of Novemberis 25 plus or minus 7. By the end of November,

    there is a 68% chance HPD will have received between 18 and 32 reported Auto B&Es.

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    31 Auto B&Es Reported in October 2012

    A map of the incidents is not available at this time.

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    BREAKING AND ENTERING MOTOR VEHICLE

    October 2012

    Geographic Analysis

    Incidents per Reporting Tract Number of Crimes per Location

    Incidents by Response Area

    Location # % of totalCommercial 10 32%

    Residential 19 61%

    School 0 0%

    Hospital 0 0%

    Park

    Hotel

    Unknown

    0

    1

    1

    0%

    3%

    3%

    31 100%

    Tract # % of totalA1

    A2 5 16%

    A3

    A4

    A5

    B1

    B2 7 23%

    B3 12 39%B4

    B5

    C1 1 3%

    C2

    C3 2 6%

    C4

    C5

    C6D1 2 6%

    D2 2 6%

    D3

    D4

    D5

    31 100%

    Beat # % of

    total

    East 1 8 26%

    East 2 12 39%

    East 3 4 13%

    West 1 5 16%

    West 2 0 0%West 3 2 6%

    31 100%

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    Temporal Analysis

    # of Incidents/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals

    Modus Operandi Analysis

    Forced or Non-forced Entries Method of Entry

    Entry Type # % of total

    Forced 10 32%

    Unforced 2168%Unknown 0 0%

    31 100%

    Day # % Total

    Sunday 0 0%

    Monday 2 6%

    Tuesday 18 58%

    Wednesday

    413%

    Thursday 1 3%

    Friday 3 10%

    Saturday 3 10%

    31 100%

    Time Period # % per Allocation

    0000-0359 1 3%

    0400-0759 12 39%

    0800-1159 6 19%

    1200-1559 2 6%1600-1959 8 26%

    2000-2359 2 6%

    31 100%

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    Door (Pass. Side) 0 0%

    Other 2 6%

    Window 6 19%

    Unknown 20 65%

    Open truck bed 0 0%

    31 100%

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    Monthly Crime Analysis for October 2012

    Auto B&E

    Tract Case # Street

    Date

    From

    Time

    From

    Date

    To

    Time

    To

    A2 121002184903 NORTHCROSS DR 10/2/12 1750 10/2/12 1840

    A2 121010154000 SANDOWNE LN 10/10/12 0130 10/10/12 0330

    A2 121009070901 NORMAN VIEW LN 10/8/12 2200 10/9/12 0700

    A2 121009105303 MERLON CT 10/9/12 0030 10/9/12 1045

    A2 121028132601 GLENFURNESS DR 10/21/12 0800 10/27/12 1700

    B2 121026072000 SPRUELL ST 10/25/12 1830 10/26/12 0700

    B2 121026143903 SPRUELL ST 10/25/12 2100 10/26/12 1439

    B2 121023171604 KAUFINGER ST 10/23/12 1500 10/23/12 1716

    B2 121002192200

    CALDWELL CREEK

    DR 10/2/12 1820 10/2/12 1920

    B2 121024094802

    CALDWELL CREEK

    DR 10/23/12 2300 10/24/12 0600

    B2 121013195601 STATESVILLE RD 10/13/12 1830 10/13/12 1950

    B2 121025214403 STATESVILLE RD 10/25/12 2100 10/25/12 2140

    B3 121030080001

    KANE ALEXANDER

    DR 10/30/12 0000 10/30/12 0600

    B3 121030084403 PEPPERWOOD CT 10/30/12 0000 10/30/12 0600

    B3 121030085800

    KANE ALEXANDER

    DR 10/30/12 0000 10/30/12 0600

    B3 121030091404

    KANE ALEXANDER

    DR 10/30/12 0000 10/30/12 0600

    B3 121030071701 SAXON TRACE CT 10/29/12 2200 10/30/12 0700

    B3 121030072000 SAXON TRACE CT 10/29/12 2200 10/30/12 0719

    B3 121030172600 HIAWATHA CT 10/29/12 2030 10/30/12 0730

    B3 121030075605 SAXON TRACE CT 10/29/12 2100 10/30/12 0755

    B3 121030083402 KEMERTON LN 10/29/12 1900 10/30/12 0800

    B3 121030082301

    KANE ALEXANDER

    DR 10/28/12 2200 10/30/12 0822

    B3 121030140800

    KANE ALEXANDER

    DR 10/29/12 1800 10/30/12 1407

    B3 121030165301 KEMERTON LN 10/30/12 1653 10/30/12 1653

    C1 121001195603 GILEAD RD 10/1/12 1900 10/1/12 1956

    C3 121002172002 CEDAR FALL DR 9/27/12 1530 9/28/12 0630

    C3 121010091700 HILLSTON RIDGE RD 10/10/12 0030 10/10/12 0917

    D1 121030100100 STATESVILLE RD 10/27/12 1800 10/30/12 0945

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    D1 121031200804 STATESVILLE RD 10/31/12 1930 10/31/12 2000

    D2 121022081403 STATESVILLE RD 10/20/12 1800 10/22/12 0814

    D2 121027172201 ALEXANDERANA RD 10/27/12 1545 10/27/12 1715

    Incidents per Month 2011 Compared to 2012

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    October and November Auto B&Es Over Time

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    #

    ofIncide

    nts

    October

    November

    Comparison of # of Incidents in October to # of Incidents in November over time

    Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean # Change by Month

    October 2006 24 November 2006 22 23 -2

    October 2007 41 November 2007 30 35.5 -11

    October 2008 35 November 2008 21 28 -14

    October 2009 51 November 2009 18 34.5 -33

    October 2010 49 November 2010 23 36 -26

    October 2011 20 November 2011 39 29.5 +19

    Standard Deviation for Mean of Incidents # for 2006-2011 +-5.1 Standard Deviation for change in

    incidents # b/w Oct and Nov

    +-18.4

    Month Year # of

    Incidents

    % Change

    October 2011 20October 2012 31 55%