Project Mgnt

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    Slide 2.1

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    MSC756Project Management

    Topic 5

    P l a nni n

    g

    Slide 2.2

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    The Line Manager(s) ?The Project Manager ?

    Both Parties ?

    * Who plans the project?* Who executes the project?* Who is responsible for monitoring work and

    controlling work?* Who is responsible for providing feedback

    regarding the planning and execution phases of a project?

    Planning Questions Often Asked

    Slide 2.3

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Project Managers Responsibility

    Project Manager will define: Goals and objectives Major milestones Requirements Ground rules and assumptions

    Time, cost, and performance constraints Operating procedures Administrative policy Reporting requirements

    Slide 2.4

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Line Managers Responsibility

    Line manager will define: Detailed task descriptions to implement

    objectives, requirements, and milestones Detailed schedules and manpower

    allocations to support budget and schedule

    Identification of areas of risk, uncertainty,and conflict

    Slide 2.5

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Senior Managements Responsibility

    Senior management (project sponsor) will: Act as the negotiator for disagreements

    between project and line management Provide clarification of critical issues Provide communication link with

    customers senior management

    Slide 2.6

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Planning/Scheduling Tools

    What to do?

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    Slide 2.7

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Defining Requirements

    The statement of work (SOW) The project specifications The milestone schedule The work breakdown structure (WBS)

    Slide 2.8

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Points to Address When Developing an SOW

    Purpose - objectives Exclusions - what should not be done Quantities - how many Schedule - when the work will be started/completed Deliverables (i.e... work done) Acceptance criteria - what method will be used to

    accept deliverables Responsibility - department, office or person

    responsible

    Slide 2.9

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Preparation of internal SOWs Project office and/or user groups

    Preparation of external SOWs Dependent on situation, & complexity Project manager/ line managers and project sponsor Client who may have the capabilities Client may decide to contract out to an independent

    body Client may contract your servicesPREPARATION OF A STATEMENT OF WORK REQUIRES

    TRAINING RATHER THAN LUCK.

    Who Prepares the SOW?

    Slide 2.10

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Statement of Work Elements

    General scope of the work Objectives and related background Contractors tasks Contractor end-item performance requirements Reference to related studies, documentation, and

    specifications

    Data items (documentation) Support equipment for contract end-item

    Slide 2.11

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Statement of Work Elements (continued)

    Customer-furnished property, facilities,equipment, and services

    Customer-furnished documentation Schedule of performance Exhibits, attachments, and appendices

    Slide 2.12

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Purpose of WBS

    Detailed planning can be performed

    Costs and budgets can be established

    Objectives can be linked to available resources ina logical manner

    Specific authority and responsibility can beassigned

    IT IS TO STRUCTURE AN ASSIGNED PROJECTINTO VARIOUS ACTIVITIES IN ORDER THAT:

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    Slide 2.13

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) The total program can be described as a summation of

    subdivided elements Planning can be performed Costs and budgets can be established Time, cost, and performance can be tracked Objectives can be linked to company resources in a

    logical manner Schedules and status-reporting procedures can be

    established Network construction and control planning can be

    initiated The responsibility assignments for each element can be

    established

    Slide 2.14

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Have clearly defined start dates Have clearly defined end dates Must be able to be used as a

    communicative tool in which you cancommunicate the expected results

    Be estimated on a total time duration notwhen the individual activities start or end

    Be structured so that a minimum of projectoffice control and documentation (i.e.forms) are necessary

    In setting up the WBS the activitiesmust:

    Slide 2.15

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Most common type: Six-Level Indentured Structure

    LEVEL DESCRIPTION 1 Total Program 2 Project(s) 3 Task(s)

    4 Subtask(s) 5 Work Package(s) 6 Level of Effort

    Work Breakdown Structure(WBS)

    Slide 2.16

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    THE WBS BREAKS WORK DOWN INTO SMALLER ACTIVITIES THUS REDUCINGTHE RISK THAT ANY MAJOR OR MINOR ITEM WILL BE OMITTED

    WBS: Six Level Structure

    Usually specified by the client andmanaged the project manager

    Generated by contractor for in-housecontrol and managed by thefunctional manager(s)

    Planning accuracy is dependent on the WBS levelselected. The lower the level the greater is the planningaccuracy but the higher the management cost

    LEVELS RESPONSIBILITY

    123456

    Slide 2.17

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Developing a WBS

    PROTOTYPEDEVELOPMENT

    (1.1.0)

    ADVANCEDDEVELOPMENT

    (1.2.0)

    PRE-PRODUCTION

    QUALIFICATION(1.3.0)

    FINALPRODUCTION

    (1.4.0)

    UTILITY CAR (1.00.00)

    Slide 2.18

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    1.00.00

    1.1.0 1.2.0 1.3.0 1.4.0

    1.2.1 1.2.31.2.2

    1.2.2.1 1.2.2.2 1.2.2.3

    1.2.2.1.1 1.2.2.1.2 1.2.2.1.3 1.2.2.1.4

    WBS ExampleWBS LEVELS

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1 PROGRAM

    PROJECT

    TASK

    SUBTASK

    WORKPACKAGE

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    Slide 2.19

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    WBS Controls

    WORK

    BREAKDOWN

    STRUCTURE

    MGT.

    COORDIN.

    ORGANIZ.

    CHARTS

    COSTSACCOUNT-

    ABILITY

    DECISIONTREES

    SCHEDULES

    Slide 2.20

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    WBS Interfacing Benefits

    The responsibility assignment matrix Network scheduling Costing Risk analysis Organizational structure Coordination of objectives Control (including contract administration)

    Slide 2.21

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Work Package Control Point

    WORK

    PACKAGES

    WBS

    FUNCTIONAL

    ORGANIZATION

    Slide 2.22

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    WBS Work Packages Represents units of work at the level where

    the work is performed Clearly distinguishes one work package from

    all others assigned to a single functionalgroup

    Contains clearly defined start and end datesthat are representative of physicalaccomplishment

    Target is 80 hours and about two weeks, butdepends on size/nature of the project

    Slide 2.23

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    WBS Packages (Continued)

    Specifies a budget in terms of dollars, man-hours,or other measurable units

    Limits the work to be performed to relativelyshort periods of time to minimize the work-in-process effort

    Slide 2.24

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Change Management YOU CANNOT MANAGE YOUR CUSTOMER

    WITHOUT MANAGEMENT OF YOUR PROJECTMANAGEMENT PROCESS

    WHEN YOUR CUSTOMER INITIATES A CHANGEREQUEST, YOU MUST BE ABLE TO PREDICTIMMEDIATELY THE IMPACT ON SCHEDULE ,COST AND TECHNICAL PERFORMANCE

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    Slide 2.25

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Unmanaged vs. Managed Changes

    UnmanagedChange

    Where TIMEis invested

    HowENERGYis invested

    WhichRESOURCES

    are used

    ManagedChange

    Back-end

    Front-end

    Rework Enforcement Compliance Supervision

    Education Communication Planning Improvements Value-Added

    Senior Managementand keyplayers only

    Stakeholders(internal)

    Suppliers Customers

    Slide 2.26

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Definition

    Cost of Corrections

    $1

    PreliminaryPlanning

    $5 $25 $100 $1000

    DetailedPlanning Execution

    Implementation /Conversion

    Slide 2.27

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Scheduling Techniques Gantt or bar charts Milestone charts Line of balance Networks

    Program Evaluation and Review Technique(PERT)

    Arrow Diagram Method (ADM) [Sometimescalled the Critical Path Method (CPM)] Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique

    (GERT) Precedence Diagram Method (PDM)

    Slide 2.28

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Bar (Gantt) Chart

    TASKS 1 2 3 4 5

    4

    MONTHS AFTER GO-AHEAD

    3

    2

    1

    5

    Slide 2.29

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Milestone Chart

    ACTIVITY

    TESTINGANALYSISREPORTPRESENTATION

    TIME

    Slide 2.30

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Simplified PERT Network

    1 9

    3

    42 8765

    LEGEND: (TIME = WEEKS)

    EVENTACTIVITYCRITICAL PATH ACTIVITY

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    Slide 2.31

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Slack Identification

    C (8,10)2 (15,17)

    EARLIEST START TIME

    EARLIEST FINISH TIME

    LATEST FINISH TIME

    LATEST START TIME

    ACTIVITY

    TIME

    Slide 2.32

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Types Of Slack

    [ 20, 26 ]

    [ 24, 30 ]

    [ 30, 36 ]

    [ 24, 30 ]

    POSITIVE SLACK NEGATIVE SLACK

    Slide 2.33

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Schedule Compression

    Elimination of some parts of the project Addition of more resources Substitution of less time-consuming components

    or activities Parallelization of activities Shortening critical path activities Shortening early activities Shortening longest activities

    Slide 2.34

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Schedule Compression (Continued) Shortening easiest activities Shortening activities that are least costly to

    speed up Shortening activities for which you have more

    resources Increasing the number of work hours per day

    Slide 2.35

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Resource Leveling Resource leveling is an attempt to eliminate the

    manpower peaks and valleys by smoothing outthe period-to-period resource requirements. Theideal situation is to do this without changing theend date. However, in reality, the end date movesout and additional costs are incurred.

    Slide 2.36

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Resource Allocation Resource allocation (or resource limited

    planning) is an attempt to find the shortestpossible critical path based upon the available or fixed resources. The problem with this approachis that the employees may not be qualifiedtechnically to perform work on more than oneactivity in a network

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    Slide 2.37

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Types Of Precedence Charts

    ACTIVITY 1

    ACTIVITY 1

    ACTIVITY 2

    ACTIVITY 2FINISH-TO-START

    START-TO-START

    FINISH START

    START

    START

    Slide 2.38

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Types Of Precedence Charts

    ACTIVITY 1

    ACTIVITY 1

    ACTIVITY 2

    ACTIVITY 2

    FINISH-TO-FINISH

    PERCENT COMPLETE

    FINISHFINISH

    20 %

    50 %

    Slide 2.39

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Pricing and Estimating Many managers regard this as an art !

    Information available to one bidder isgenerally available to others

    This is an essential part of the planningprocess

    Forms the basis for establishing standardsfor budgets, man-hours, material costs,

    contingencies, etc. Specific pricing strategies must be

    developed for each situation

    Slide 2.40

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Two Types Of Acquisition PoliciesType I acquisition:

    One-of-a-kind contract with little or no follow-on potential Objective:- Win the contract- Execute it profitably

    Type II Acquisition: One of many contracts

    An entry point to larger follow-up project contractsObjective:- Win the contract- Perform with excellence

    Slide 2.41

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cost/Hour Estimates

    EstimatingMethod

    GenericType WBSRelationship

    Accuracy Time toPrepare

    Parametric

    Analogy

    Engineering(Grass Roots)

    ROM*

    Budget

    Definitive

    Top Down

    Top Down

    Bottom Up

    -25% to +75%

    -10% to +25%

    -5% to +10%

    Days

    Weeks

    Months

    * Rough Order of Magnitude

    Slide 2.42

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Types Of Estimates Order of magnitude estimates

    - Made without any detailed engineering data- May use past experience- Accuracy +- 35% within the scope of the project

    Approximate (rule of thumb) estimates- Made without any detailed engineering data- May use previous similar projects --- Accuracy +- 15%

    Definitive (or detailed) estimates- Prepared from well-defined engineering data, vendor

    quotes, unit prices, etc. Accuracy +- 5% Estimating manual

    - Developed over time- Use to price out effort. Accuracy +-10%

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    Slide 2.43

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Additional Estimating Methods Direct Estimate

    - Estimate/experienced person- Requires judgement

    Estimate by analogy - Compare with similar activities- Requires judgement

    Factored method - Based on historical data- Requires equipment lists, sizes- Starts with equipment quotes

    Gross proration method - Based on historical data- Near duplicate information

    Slide 2.44

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Detailed estimate- Uses the WBS - Takes the WBS down several levels

    Quotation method - Compare three quotations- Select the best quotation

    Handbook manuals Learning curves

    Additional Estimating Methods (continued)

    Slide 2.45

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Do project managers controlcosts, monitor costs or both?

    Cost

    Slide 2.46

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cost Management Cost estimating Cost accounting Project cash flow Company cash flow Direct labor costing Overhead rate costing

    Others, such as incentives, penalties, and profit-sharing

    Slide 2.47

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cost And Control System

    PLANNING

    WORK

    AUTHORIZATION

    AND RELEASE

    DATA

    COLLECTION

    AND REPORTING

    COST

    ACCOUNTING

    CUSTOMER AND

    MANAGEMENT

    REPORTING

    PHASE I PHASE II PHASE III PHASE IV PHASE V

    OPERATING CYCLECYCLE

    PLANNING

    Slide 2.48

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cost Control Requirements Measure resources consumed Measure status and accomplishments Compare measurements to projections and

    standards Provide the basis for diagnosis and re-planning

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    Slide 2.49

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cost Control Requirements

    Thorough planning of the work to be performed tocomplete the project Good estimating of time, labor, and costs Clear communication of the scope of required tasks A disciplined budget and authorizations of expenditures Timely accounting of physical progress and cost

    expenditures Periodic re-estimation of time and cost to complete

    remaining work Frequent, periodic comparison of actual progress and

    expenditures to schedules and budgets, both at the timeof comparison and at project completion

    Slide 2.50

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    When to implement a costmanagement system?

    CONCLUSIONA cost management system should be implemented right at the

    beginning of the life cycle of the project

    Possible costreductions

    Cost of change

    PROJECTCOSTS

    PROJECT LIFE CYCLE PHASES

    Slide 2.51

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Work Authorization Form

    Description Cost Work WorkCenters Hours Cost Starts Ends

    - Test Material 2400 150 R4500 1 Aug 15 Sept- Processing 2610 160 R7500- Final inspection 2621 140 R3500- Packaging 2623 46 R 750- Delivery 2624 R 350

    Project office authorization signature:________________

    WBS: 31.03.02 Work order no: D1385

    Date of original release: 03 Feb 97Date of revision: 18 March 97Revision number: C

    Slide 2.52

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Planning and Budgeting

    Work packages

    WBS Element

    MGR

    Org

    Org

    Org

    Work PackageWP______ORG_______ Description of task_____

    ____________________ Sched: Start____Stop__ Budget:______________

    Slide 2.53

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    CACN No. _____________ Revision to Cost Account No. ____________ Date ________

    DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE: ____________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________

    REASON FOR CHANGE: ____________________________________________________________________________________ ____________________________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________________________________________________________ _________________________________________________________________________________

    Requested Budget Authorized BudgetLabor Hours ________ _________ _________________ Period of performa nceMaterials _________________ _________________ From _____________ ODCS _________________ _________________ To _____________

    BUDGET SOURCE:Funded Contract ChangeManagement ReserveUndistributed BudgetOther _________________

    INITIATED BY: __________________ __________ APPROVALS: Program Mgr. ________ Prog. Control ____ ____

    Cost Account Change Notice (CACN)Slide 2.54

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Sources Of Additional Funding Funded contract change

    Management reserve

    Undistributed budget

    Other (e.g. profits)

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    Slide 2.55

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cost data collation and reporting flowchart

    Actuals

    Labor

    ACWP

    InventoryAccounts

    BCWP

    Computer

    BCWS

    Monthly TotalProgram Effort

    Weekly Labor Reports

    MCCS C omparisonreports To All Execs

    Variance Report

    Slide 2.56

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cost Data

    Labor Material Other direct charges Overhead

    Slide 2.57

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Types of Budgets

    Distributed budget Management budget Undistributed budget Contract changes

    Slide 2.58

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Variance Analyses

    Slide 2.59

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Variables for Variance Analysis

    BUDGETED COST FOR WORKED SCHEDULED (BCWS) IS THEBUDGETED AMOUNT OF COST FOR WORD SCHEDULED TO BEACCOMPLISHED PLUS THE AMOUNT OF LEVEL OF EFFORT ORAPPORTIONED EFFORT SCHEDULED TO BE ACCOMPLISHED IN AGIVEN TIME PERIOD.

    BUDGETED COST FOR WORK PERFORMED (BCWP) IS THEBUDGETED AMOUNT OF COST FOR COMPLETED WORD, PLUSBUDGETED FOR LEVEL OF EFFORT OR APPORTIONED EFFORTACTIVITY COMPLETED WITHIN A GIVEN TIME PERIOD. THIS ISSOMETIMES REFERRED TO AS AN EARNED VALUE.

    ACTUAL COST FOR WORK PERFORMED (ACWP) IS THE AMOUNTREPORTED AS ACTUALLY EXPENDED IN COMPLETING THE WORKACCOMPLISHED WITHIN A GIVEN TIME PERIOD.

    COST VARIANCE = BCWP ACWP SCHEDULE/PERFORMANCE VARIANCE = BCWP - BCWS

    Slide 2.60

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Variances The cost variance compares deviations only from

    the budget and does not provide a measure of comparison between work scheduled and workaccomplished

    The scheduling variance provides a comparisonbetween planned and actual performance but doesnot include costs

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    Slide 2.61

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Measurements Measurable efforts : discrete increments of work

    with a definable schedule for accomplishment,whose completion produces tangible results

    Level of effort : work that does not lend itself tosubdivision into discrete scheduled incrementsof work, such as project support and projectcontrol

    Slide 2.62

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cost Variance Calculation

    A NEGATIVE VARIANCEINDICATES A COST OVERRUN

    CV = BCWP - ACWP

    Slide 2.63

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Schedule Variance Calculation

    SV = BCWP - BCWS

    A NEGATIVE VARIANCE INDICATESA BEHIND SCHEDULE CONDITION

    Slide 2.64

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Variance Percents

    SCHEDULE VARIANCE % =(SVP)

    COST VARIANCE % =(CVP)

    SVBCWS X 100

    CVBCWP X 100

    Slide 2.65

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Project Variance Analysis

    R&D QUALIFICATION DEVELOPMENTPHASE I PHASE II PHASE III

    VARIANCE LOWER BOUNDARY

    ACTUAL COST VARIANCE

    PROJECTED COST

    VARIANCE UPPER BOUNDARY

    TIME

    $

    Slide 2.66

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Management Reserve

    CONTRACTED COST

    RELEASED BUDGET

    ACTUAL COST

    TIME

    MANAGEMENTRESERVE

    $

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    Slide 2.67

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Information Requirements

    Budgeted cost for work scheduled (BCWS) Budgeted cost for work performed (BCWP) Actual cost for work performed (ACWP) Estimated cost at completion Budgeted cost at completion Cost and schedule variances/explanations Traceability

    Slide 2.68

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Variance Analysis Questions

    What is the problem causing the variance? What is the impact on time, cost, and

    performance? What is the impact on other efforts, if any? What corrective action is planned or under

    way? What are the expected results of the

    corrective action?

    Slide 2.69

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Variance Reporting

    Variance reporting is accomplished ateach reporting interval. However, thevariance threshold reports areexception reports and occur onlywhen the variances exceed the upper and lower boundaries of the projectvariances envelope.

    Slide 2.70

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Reporting Intervals

    Depends on the type of organization andcharacteristics of the projects.

    Project-driven organization - weekly. Non-project-driven organization -

    monthly

    Slide 2.71

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    The 50/50 rule

    HALF OF THE BUDGET FOR EACH ELEMENT ISRECORDED AT THE TIME THAT THE WORK ISSCHEDULED TO BEGIN AND THE OTHER HALF AT THETIME THE WORK IS SCHEDULED TO BE COMPLETED

    FOR A PROJECT WITH A LARGE NUMBER OFELEMENTS THE AMOUNT OF DISTORTION FROM SUCHA PROCEDURE IS MINIMAL

    Slide 2.72

    Projject ManagementChandana UnnithanJ F M A M J J A S O N D

    ANALYSIS

    Budgeted cost for work Scheduled (BCWS)Performed (BCWP)

    Budget - 6

    8

    14

    12

    10

    12

    8

    12

    10

    8

    Work packages

    Cost account budget = 100(thousands)

    BCWS = 38BCWP = 49SCHED. VARIANCE = +11

    50-50 rule used for work in process

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    Slide 2.73

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Using The 50-50 Rule

    4,000

    10,000

    12,000

    4,000

    6,000

    6,000

    10,000

    TIME

    TIME LINE

    COMPLETED

    NOT COMPLETED

    LEGEND

    BCWS = 34,000BCWP = 33,000BAC = 52,000

    Slide 2.74

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Earned Value Status Reporting

    SV

    CV

    BCWS

    BCWP

    ACWP

    TIME LINE

    C U M M U L A T I V E C O S T

    , $

    TIME

    Slide 2.75

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    ESTIMATE AT COMPLETION(EAC)

    EAC = ACWPBCWP X

    Budget at completion

    The estimate at completion is the best estimate of the total cost at the completion of the project.

    The EAC is a periodic evaluation of the statusof the project - usually on a monthly basis or until a significant change has been identified

    (BAC)

    Slide 2.76

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Progress Reporting

    Progress reporting needs to answer four fundamental questions:

    1. Where are we today (time and cost)?

    2. Where will we end up (time and cost)?

    3. What are the present and future risks?

    4. Are there any special problems that needto be addressed and what can

    management do to help?

    Slide 2.77

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    1. VARIANCE ANALYSIS (Cost in Thousands) 1 June 1997

    Budgeted Budgeted CostMilestone Cost Work Work Actual Variance, %

    Subtask Status Scheduled Performed Cost Schedule Cost1 Completed 100 100 100 0 02 Completed 50 50 55 0 -103 Completed 50 50 40 0 204 Not Started 70 0 0 -100 --5 Completed 90 90 140 0 -55.56 Not started 40 0 0 -100 --7 Started 50 50 25 0 508 Not started 0 0 0 -- --

    Total 450 340 360 -24.4 -5.9

    Monthly Project Report

    Slide 2.78

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    2. ESTIMATE AT COMPLETION (EAC)EAC = (360/340) X 579,000 = $613,059Overrun = 613,059 - 579,000 = $34,059

    3. COST SUMMARYCosts are running approximately 5.9% over budget due to higher salaried labor.

    4. SCHEDULE SUMMARYThe 24.4% behind schedule condition is due to subtasks 4 and 6 which havenot yet begun due to lack of raw materials and the 50/50 method for bookingcosts. Overtime will get us back on schedule but at an additional cost of 2.5% of direct labor costs.

    Monthly Project Report (Continued)

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    Slide 2.79

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    5. MILESTONE REPORTMilestone/ Scheduled Projected ActualSubtask Completion Completion Completion

    1 4/1/97 4/1/972 5/1/97 5/1/973 5/1/97 4/23/974 7/1/97 7/1/975 6/1/97 6/1/976 8/1/97 8/1/977 9/1/97 9/1/978 10/1/97 10/1/97

    Monthly Project Report(Continued)

    Slide 2.80

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Monthly Project Report(Continued)

    6. ACTIVITY REPORTCurrent Potential Corrective

    Problem Impact Action(a) Lack of raw Cost overruns and Overtime is scheduled.

    materials . behind schedule We wil l t ry to use lower condition. salaried staff. Raw

    materials areexpected to be onnext week.

    (b) Customer un- May need add- Customer will providehappy with test results itional planning. us with revised

    statementof work on 6/15/97.

    Slide 2.81

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    RISK

    Risk management focuses on: Known unknowns Proactive management

    The alternative to proactive management is

    reactive management, also called crisismanagement. This requires significantly more

    resources and takes longer for problems tosurface.

    Slide 2.82

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Definition Of Risk

    Risk = f ( Likelihood, Impact )

    Likelihood is the probability of occurrence

    Impact is the amount at stake

    event

    Slide 2.83

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Tolerance For Risk and Decision-MakingCategories

    Tolerance for Risk Risk Avoider Risk Neutral Risk Lover

    Decision MakingCategories

    CompleteUncertainty

    Relative Uncertainty(Partial information)

    Complete Certainty

    Slide 2.84

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Risk Management Risk Management focuses on the future Risk and information are inversely related Historically, we focused our attentions on

    schedule and cost risk managements Today, our primary emphasis is on

    technological risk management CAN WE DESIGN IT AND BUILD IT? WHAT IS THE RISK OF

    OBSOLESCENCE?

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    Slide 2.85

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Developing and Using Payoff Tables

    Maximin ApproachMaximax ApproachMinimax regret ApproachInsufficient Reason Approach

    Establishing the

    procedure to follow

    Construct thePayoff table

    Decision-makingunder certainty

    Decision-makingunder completeuncertainty

    Decision-makingunder risk

    Expected Monetary Value (EMV) ApproachExpected Opportunity Loss (EOL) ApproachExpected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) Approach

    Slide 2.86

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Five Steps to develop Pay Off Table

    List all the alternatives List the future consequences of each

    alternative Identify the payoffs associated with each

    combination Assess the degree of certainty that these

    combinations will materialize Decide on a decision criterion

    Slide 2.87

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Risk Management Processes

    Risk planning Risk assessment

    Risk identification Risk analysis/quantification

    Risk handling Risk monitoring Developing Contingency Plans

    Slide 2.88

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Types Of Risks (General)

    Business risks Insurable (pure) risk

    Direct property damage Indirect consequential loss Legal liability Personnel

    Slide 2.89

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Types Of Risk (PMI Method)

    External unpredictable External predictable Internal non-technical Internal technical Legal

    Slide 2.90

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Risk QuantificationSTAGE I STAGE II GUID-

    ANCEWARHEAD

    COST

    MANU.

    TEST

    DESIGN

    HIGH

    MEDIUM

    LOW

    LEGEND

    PROGRAMSUMMARY

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    Slide 2.91

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Risk Handling

    Assumption (retention) Avoidance Control (mitigation) Transfer Risk Problem Solving

    Idea generation - brainstorming

    Slide 2.92

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    How Much Risk Is Acceptable?

    High tolerance for risk

    Medium tolerance for risk

    Low tolerance for risk

    Slide 2.93

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Prioritization of Risks

    Schedule CostTechnical

    Performanceor Quality

    First(Highest )Priority

    SecondPriority

    ThirdPriority

    Slide 2.94

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    P r o

    j e c t P r o c e

    d u r a

    l

    D o c u m e n

    t a t i o n

    GuidelinesHigh Low

    Tolerance for Risk

    RigidPolicies/

    Procedures

    Assumption

    Reduction

    Transfer

    Avoidance

    Which Method to Use?

    Slide 2.95

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    The Risk-Reward Matrix

    Low High Reward

    Medium

    Risk

    High

    Low

    Medium

    Q u a l i t

    y o f

    R e s o u r

    c e s N e

    e d e d

    L o w

    M e d i u

    m H i g h

    Slide 2.96

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Poor Risk Management

    Risk Planning

    TechnicalInability C u

    s t o m e

    r E x p e

    c t a t i o n

    s

    A c t u a l P e r f

    o r m a n c e P

    e r f o r m a n c e

    Time

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    Slide 2.97

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Quality Why is it important?

    You are buying a house take a home loan What service level do you expect?

    Want to buy a new car? A bank is willing to give you100% finance. How much documentation would you tolerate? How many phone calls? What if a credit card company calls you every week for

    cross selling a new product? Acceptable?

    How much are you willing to accept and how criticalis it? 100 mistakes in your monthly repayments? A phone call every week?

    Slide 2.98

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Six Sigma

    Pioneered by Motorola Improve product and services quality 100 fold by a

    set period of time, with an ultimate goal of zerodefects.

    Six Sigma translates to 99.99966 defect freeperformance

    GE Capital The best practices of a branch in which a customer

    nearly every time got answered from an employeeinstead of voice mail was applied to 41 branches.

    Result: 99.9 percent chances of a customer getting arepresentative online

    Slide 2.99

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    The SEI-CMM Assessment Software Engineering Institute (Carnegie Mellon) model known as

    Capability Maturity Model, used by organisations worldwide for identifying best practices useful in helping them increase thematurity of their processes

    There are 5 levels of maturity, the fifth level is the people level Capability Maturity Model? Integration (CMMI) is a process

    improvement approach that provides organizations with theessential elements of effective processes. It can be used to guide

    process improvement across a project, a division, or an entireorganization. CMMI helps integrate traditionally separateorganizational functions, set process improvement goals and

    priorities, provide guidance for quality processes, and provide a point of reference for appraising current processes .- CMMI, SEI,2006

    Used for maintaining and implementing quality in organisations

    Slide 2.100

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Cause and Effect Diagrams

    Slide 2.101

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Data Tables

    Slide 2.102

    Projject ManagementChandana Unnithan

    Comparative Pareto Analysis