Prognosticating Geriatric FrailtyCKD MDS, anemia Vitamin deficiencies PD, dementia. How do you...

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Prognosticating Geriatric Frailty SHELLY GARONE, MD, FACP ASSISTANT PHYSICIAN IN CHIEF KAISER PERMANENTE NORTH SACRAMENTO VALLEY

Transcript of Prognosticating Geriatric FrailtyCKD MDS, anemia Vitamin deficiencies PD, dementia. How do you...

Page 1: Prognosticating Geriatric FrailtyCKD MDS, anemia Vitamin deficiencies PD, dementia. How do you decide how bad it is? 2/10/2020 Over 67 tools to measure frailty Physical Frailty Phenotype

Prognosticating Geriatric FrailtyS H E L L Y G A R O N E , M D , F A C P

A S S I S T A N T P H Y S I C I A N I N C H I E F

K A I S E R P E R M A N E N T E

N O R T H S A C R A M E N T O V A L L E Y

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About me

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If you could choose….

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Where would you prefer to die?

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90% of Californians want to die at home

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25% of Californians get their wish

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If you could choose….

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Of what would you die?

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Sony Bono

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Patrick Swayze

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Dean Martin

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Ronald Regan

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Today

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We recognize frailty and related implications in meeting care needs of older adults

We utilize functional status to assess prognosis and guide critical conversations

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How might these two elders differ?

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How might these two elders differ?80 y/o sustained a hip fracture after falling off the roof

Repaired with ORIF under spinal anesthesia

Returned home POD #3

80 y/o sustained a hip fracture falling from the toilet

Repaired with ORIF under general anesthesia

To SNF on POD #2

Never returned home

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How are these two elders different?

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Frailty defined

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The condition of being weak and delicate

Vulnerability arising from dysregulation of multiple physiologic systems

Syndrome of physiological decline in late life, characterized by marked vulnerability to adverse health outcomes

Probably NOT “weakness in character or morals”

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Frailty

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Contributes to increased risk for adverse outcomes◦ Procedural complications

◦ Falls

◦ Institutionalization

◦ Death

Forerunner to falls, fractures, delirium, incontinence, cognitive decline

NOT defined by age alone◦ BUT, 24% age 90-94, 40% age 95 or greater

Physiologic vs psychosocial

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Risk factors

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AGING PHYSIOLOGICAL COMORBIDITIES

LOWER EDUCATIONAL LEVEL

CURRENT SMOKER SINGLE DEPRESSION

INTELLECTUAL DISABILITY

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Pathophysiology

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Endocrine –decreased HGH,

steroid, vit D

Immune –increased cortisol, CRP, IL6, clotting

factors

Dysregulation of autoimmune

system

Bone marrow failure

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Differential diagnoses

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Depression

Cancer

PMR

Thyroid dysfunction

CAD, CHF, PVD

CKD

MDS, anemia

Vitamin deficiencies

PD, dementia

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How do you decide how bad it is?

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Over 67 tools to measure frailty◦ Physical Frailty Phenotype

◦ Grip strength and walking speed

◦ Weight loss

◦ Exhaustion

◦ Weakness (decreased grip strength)

◦ Slow walking speed

◦ Decreased physical activity

◦ Frailty index◦ 20 questions about clinical and functional status

Concordance among the tools varies between none and high

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Bottom line? It depends

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An easier tool: FRAIL scaleFatigue: y=1, n=0

Resistance: y=1, no=0

Ambulation: y=1, n=0

Illnesses: >5=1, <5=0

Loss of weight: y=1, n=0

Have you felt fatigued most or all of the time in past month?

Do you have difficulty climbing a flight of stairs?

Do you have difficulty walking one block?

Do you have HTN, DM, CA, COPD/ILD, CAD, CHF, CVA, CKD, DJD, asthma, angina?

Have you lost more than 5% of your weight in the past year?

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Frail = 3-5, Prefrail = 1-2, Robust = 0

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Management

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Reverse what can be reversed

Use it or lose it (body and brain)

Vit D

Stop polypharmacy

Establish goals of care

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Can frailty be a prognostic indicator?

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What do they need to hear?2/10/2020 COLLABRIA CARE CONFERENCE FEB 2020 25

What’s “normal”

What COULD happen

What IS LIKELY to happen

What IS NOT LIKELY to happen

That the “right” decision is the one that feels right

That we will create a care plan aligned to their carefully considered decision

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Practice: 86 y/o with COPDNormal is daily cough, progressive loss of energy and stamina, recurrent exacerbations

Complete respiratory failure could (or could not) happen

Recurrent exacerbations and steroid dependence are likely to happen

Returning to the health enjoyed 10 years ago is not likely

Choices include looking only at exacerbations without context of larger disease “You’ll be good as new” vs planning for progressive decline

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92 y/o with frailtyNormal is progressive loss of physiological functions

Slowing of decline could possibly happen

Falls, infections, malnutrition and weight loss will happen

Recovery to pre-trauma state will not happen

Choices include denying underlying frailty and just fixing issues in isolation as they arise, or planning for the next decline

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The art of prognostication

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What it boils down to2/10/2020 COLLABRIA CARE CONFERENCE FEB 2020 29

Functional decline Unintentional weight loss Impaired cognition

Accumulated organ system diseases

Metabolic markers:

•hyponatremia

•serum prealbumin

•blood cell counts (lymphopenia, then anemia)

•cholesterol

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Functional losses occurring over days-weeks portends very short prognosis

Functional losses occurring over weeks-months suggests it’s time for hospice

Functional losses occurring over months-years suggest we should create both long and short-term care plans

The rate of decline is pretty constant2/10/2020 COLLABRIA CARE CONFERENCE FEB 2020 30

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So what do you say?How are you different now than 6 months ago?

What is your understanding of the situation?

What potential choices and outcomes do you have?

What are your fears?

What are your hopes?

What trade-offs are you willing to make? Not willing to make?

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All health care workers can speak

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You seem less able to do things like you could a few months ago

I’m worried that you’re still losing weight

Mr. Jones, your wife’s persistent confusion and forgetfulness worries me

Mrs. Smith, the doctor is seeing some lab abnormalities that he does not like

If this does not end up the way we’re hoping it will, do you have a contingency plan? What I call Plan B?

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Your role may simply be firing the warning shot

This lets patient and family know that we are worried…

and that we CARE

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Starting to talk2/10/2020 COLLABRIA CARE CONFERENCE FEB 2020 34

• We cannot say, “I’m worried,” and drop itMandates that we follow-up

• We cannot abandon them

• “Can we see how this next week goes and re-address my worries afterward, if I still have them?”

Acknowledges that our patient / family may not be

ready to hear us

Does NOT condemn the patient to worsen or die

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Pitfalls

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Speaking unintentionally or without thought

Assuming that your listener knows what you mean

Not being aware of your “body language”

Not assessing if patient or family needs a break

Not assessing patient’s impact on yourself

Forgetting that a patient will remember HOW a message is delivered far more than what the message was

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The costs of not prognosticating

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Frustrated care

Inappropriate care

Delayed / forfeited progress in the “work of dying”

Misdirected energy, time, resources

Misunderstanding, anger, resentment

Missed job satisfaction

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Mrs. L

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96 y/o woman brought to the ED for refusal to eat

• Refused an offered hip replacement at age 87Baseline is nonambulatory, but able to transfer to her wheelchair

New decub on contralateral hip

• “Why bother living this way?”Tells me she hurts too much to eat

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Mrs. L

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We changed her from 100mcg of fentanyl patch to methadone 2.5mg every 8 hours

She was moved from a B&C to a senior ALF with more activity and socialization

Within 6 weeks, she was out of bed, chatty, eating, happy with her pain control

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Ms. P

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86 y/o retired RN with early vascular dementia◦ FAST 6 – fluent in language, retained humor

Stopped walking 10 months ago after a hip fracture

Baseline is transfer to a chair

Admitted for sepsis, found to have PCM, abnormal weight loss

Sent to SNF for rehab

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Ms. P

2/10/2020

Ornery enough to graduate from SNF

Back in her ILF, now refusing to go out for meals

Newly incontinent

Labs corrected

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Ms. M

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90 y/o with chronic systolic heart failure

Irritated that she gets short of breath doing her ironing

Goes out to manicures every other week, daily lunch dates

Wanted to know when she would be hospice appropriate

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Ms. M

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At my 2 month check in, she reported “tough Christmas” but was back to normal activity of lunches and manicures and daily house chores

Daughter called me 13 days after that check-in to report patient has been down for 10 days

Hospice?

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The world according to Shelly2/10/2020 COLLABRIA CARE CONFERENCE FEB 2020 43

• Feisty independence does not transform into docile receipt of care

• The more stubbornly independent, the faster death seems to come

We die as we live

• I only get a say in how well

There is a power bigger than me that determines how long we live

Having no conversation at all when aging is obvious just frustrates everybody

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“I could be wrong…”

• www.projectafterforums.com

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Comments or questions?

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