PRIVATISATION OF PUBLIC UTILITIES Bucharest, 09 APRIL 2002.
-
Upload
katherine-grant -
Category
Documents
-
view
216 -
download
1
Transcript of PRIVATISATION OF PUBLIC UTILITIES Bucharest, 09 APRIL 2002.
CONTENTS
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2. CSFB UTILITIES EXPERTISE
3. PRIVATISATION OBJECTIVES
4. KEY ISSUES
5. APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY
6. CASE STUDIES
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
I am pleased to have this opportunity to present on the privatisation alternatives for the Romanian utilities
CSFB has substantial experience in advising Governments on the privatisation of their utilities
Former and present clients include the Governments of Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Colombia, Philippines, Poland, Slovakia, Ukraine and United Kingdom
CSFB has been ranked #1 utilities privatisation advisor since 1992
Numerous alternatives are available to the Government in respect of the privatisation of its utilities
The chosen approach needs to meet the Government overall objectives
Each alternative should be evaluated within its timing and value implications
Depending on the readiness of the sector, a two phase approach may be most appropriate
Phase 1 – review, restructure and determine overall privatisation plan within the context of the Government objectives
Phase 2 – implement chosen privatisation strategy
CSFB UTILITY PRIVATISATION EXPERIENCE
CSFB is ranked #1 in utility privatisations worldwide
Source: Thomson Financial Securities Data Co., 18 June 2001. Since 1992
US$ 1,463,000,000
Advised Government ofAbu Dhabi on the privatisation
of Taweelah A1
2000
US$ 159,797,333
Advised Governmentof Ukraine on the privatisation
of 6 distribution companies
2001
US$ 313,000,000
Advised Governmentof Portugal and EDP
on selling minority stake
1998
US$ 1,900,000,000
Advised the city of Berlinon privatisation of50.8% of Bewag
1997
US$ 11,000,000,000
Advised Government ofSpain on sale of 68%
stake in Endesa
1997
£ 1,500,000,000
Advised the UKGovernment on privatisation
of British Energy
1996
US$ 17,000,000,000
Advised Governmentof Australia on privatisation of
Victoria electricity andgas industries
1995 – 1997
US$ 6,000,000,000
Advised Governmentof Argentina of 16 energy
and utility assets privatisation
1991 – 1997
Advised the Government of Slovakia on the sale of2.7 billion stake in SPP,Slovak gas monopoly
Government of Slovakia
US$ 2,200,000,000
2002
CSFB UTILITIES EXPERTISE
Over the past 5 years, CSFB has advised utilities or governments on all major transactions in the European utilities sector
UNITED KINGDOM Advised Innogy on its pending asset swap transaction with
Northern Electric plc ($2.1 bn) Advised Innogy on the acquisition of Yorkshire Power for a
cash consideration of £508.6m Advised Innogy on the acquisition of Yorkshire Power for a
total consideration of £1.9bn Advised Innogy on demerger from National Power ($2.8bn) Privatisation of British Energy ($2.3bn) Advised Cal Energy on acquisition of Northern Electric
($1.6bn) Global Co-ordinator in IPOs of PowerGen, National Power
and 12 RECs Advised Southern Electric on $7.6bn merger with Scottish
Hydro Advising UK Gov’t on privatisation of BNFL
FRANCE Advised Electricité de France on the acquisition of Dalkia
(Vivendi SA) ($1.4bn) Advised Electricité de France on acquisition of a stake in
ESTAG ($0.5bn) Lead managed Electricité de France notes due 2001 ($200m)
SPAIN Advisor to Endesa on acquisition of Iberdrola Advised Spanish Government on sale of 68% stake in
Endesa ($4bn) Advised on $2.7bn acquisition of 8 Spanish regional utilities
by Endesa
PORTUGAL Advised Government of Portugal and EdP on the strategic
partnership between EdP and Iberdrola Lead manager of loan facility for Electricidade de Portugal SA
($227m)
SCANDINAVIA Advised Incentive AB on disposal of AB Skandinaviska
Elverk ($1.1bn) Participated in loan facility for Vattenfall Treasury AB
($600m)
AUSTRIA Advised EdF on acquisition of strategic minority stake in
ESTAG SWITZERLAND Advised Swiss Railways on divestiture of various
electricity generation and grid assets Advised CS Holding on divestiture of 44.9% of Watt AG
($1.7bn)
ITALY Advising ENEL on the divesture of 15,000MW of
generation assets Advised City of Milan on IPO of 49% stake in AEM
Milano ($0.8bn) Advised Comune di Torino on privatisation of a 48%
stake in AEM Trino (Not disclosed)
CENTRAL EUROPE Advised the Slovak Government on the
privitatisation of SPP, its gas monopoly Advising the Government of Ukraine on
privatisation of further 12 distribution companies Advised Ukrainian government on privatisation of 6
distribution companies Arranged loan facility for Slovenske Elektra
($111m) Lead managed €200m debt offering for CEZ
GERMANY Advised E.ON on concurrent sale of VEBA Öl and
acquisition of Ruhrgas stake from BP ($7.7bn) Advised VEW on merger with RWE ($4bn) Advised Fortum on acquisition of EW Wesertal
($380m) Only non-German bank on IPO of MVV Advised City of Berlin on privatisation of Bewag
($1.9bn) to E. ON and Mirant Advising Mirant on acquisition of further Bewag
shares from E. ON and a stake in VEAG/Lambag Advised on merger of Badenwerk and EVS to form
EnBW ($6.5bn) Advised VEW/MEAG on acquisition of Stadrwerke
Leipzig ($650m)
GREECE Arranged loan facility for Public Power Corp
($220m) Acted as bookrunner in PPC’s issuance of
ITL340bn due 2004 and €500m 41/2% notes due 2009
PRIVATISATION OBJECTIVES
The motivation for the restructuring and privatisation of the energy industry can be driven by numerous objectives
Reduce the cost of energy supplies to consumers, whilst improving service
Increase efficiency, improving managerial performance and accountability
Initiate market forces to the energy markets
Compliance with European Directives
Encourage and facilitate technology transfer
Raise revenue for the Treasury
Raise investment capital for the industry or company undergoing transformation
Re-position government’s role in the industry to essential regulatory oversight
Encourage foreign investment
Develop domestic equity capital markets
PRIVATISATION OBJECTIVES (cont’d)
OBJECTIVE MODEL ADVANTAGES
Maximise proceeds
Sell controlling stake to strategic investor
Australia improved their fiscal deficit and obtained lower electricity and gas rates
Acquire new technology and increase efficiency
Sell to a strategic investor
Argentina significantly reduced the cost of electricity and gas
Fast track process
Sell controlling stake to strategic investor
Ukraine attracted top-quality companies to operate their distribution companies in less than 10 months, during the period of relative political uncertainty in the country
PRIVATISATION OBJECTIVES (cont’d)
OBJECTIVE MODEL ADVANTAGES
Gain political support/improve image
Sell controlling stake through public offering
The UK privatised its companies through IPOs. Strategic investors later acquired most of the privatised companies at higher premiums
Develop capital markets
Domestic public offering
In Latin America, privatisation offerings have been unsuccessful in developing capital markets because of culture of low saving large flow-backs
KEY ISSUES
Several key issues would need to be addressed to ensure that the Government privatisation objectives are met
Industry structure model
Clear separation between generation /purchasing, transmission, distribution and supply / Creation of vertically integrated utilities
Level of regulation vs. competition
Regulatory Framework
Status of Industry Regulator
Rate of Return / Performance based regulation
Readiness of the industry for privatisation
Accounting / Technical / Environmental / Legal
European Energy Directives
Compliance required prior to accession to EU
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE MODELS (ELECTRICITY)
Customers choose their retailers under full competition
Distribution companies buy direct from producers (or through aggregators)
Single buyer chooses from Vertically-integrated
The choice of initial model should not prevent the Government from achieving its ultimate goals, and to the extent desired, complying with EU Electricity Directives
There are four general industry structure models differentiated by degree of competition. The choice of the initial structure will greatly depend on timing and value considerations, overall industry readiness as well as resources available
1. MONOPOLY 2. SINGLE BUYER 3. WHOLESALECOMPETITION
4. RETAILCOMPETITION
Generator(s)
Purchaser/Wholesaler
Distribution/Retail
Consumer
G
C
D&R
GG
G
C
D&R
A
GG
G
C
R
A
D
GG
C
D&R
SB
INCREASING COMPETITION AND COMPLEXITY – BUT EXPECTED LOWER PRICES
REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
Simplicity: allows to set tariffs and recover the costs plus a reasonable rate of return
Adjusts prices instantaneously to ensure that a regulated company always earns a fair return on capital
Advantages Inability to effectively promote productive
efficiency, which can lead to dynamic inefficiencies over time
Prices do not necessarily reflect marginal costs, which leads to allocative inefficiencies
Delays in resetting prices Risk of over-investment
Disadvantages
The company has the flexibility to set individual tariffs
Companies have an incentive to achieve productive efficiency
Dynamic efficiency: companies have flexibility to respond to new developments
Advantages Possibility of price distortion in an allocatively
inefficient manner It involves a simple comparison of average prices
between years, which could lead to difficulties if the mix of units changes
Complexity: need to use quantity forecasts and potentially correction factors
Disadvantages
Rate of Return Approach
Performance Based Regulation (also known as RPI - X)
PRIVATISATION STRATEGY
In deriving its privatisation strategy the Government would need to take into consideration numerous factors, some of which may be conflicting in nature
Government objectives— Protection of end-customers
— Timing
— Valuation
— Employment considerations
Results of Strategic Review— Existence of Legal, Technical, Environmental and Accounting Issues
Availability of credible Regulatory framework
Determination of Industry Structure
Market Conditions— Strategic Sale vs. Initial Public Offering
APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY TO ENSURE A SUCCESSFUL PROCESS
CSFB recommends that the Government adopts a global approach to the privatisation of its utilities by addressing as many issues as practicable prior to privatisation, to
maximise the value of assets sold
We believe that a two phase approach should be particularly suitable for Romania
During Phase 1, CSFB could assist the Government with the following tasks:
Assess overall readiness of the industry
Assist with hiring other advisors, as necessary
Address identified issues
Assist with industry restructuring
Perform valuation analysis
Consider sales strategy and tactics
Propose final privatisation plan
Phase 1: Strategic Review and Preparation of Preferred Privatisation Strategy
Following the completion of Phase 1, CSFB would anticipate immediately proceeding to Phase 2. Our approach to Phase 2 will enable us to accomplish the following tasks
Preparation of Documents, including the Information Memorandum
Marketing and Road Show
Prequalification of Bidders
Data Room Preparation / Due Diligence
Proposal Evaluation
Assistance in negotiation with the Selected Bidders
Phase 2: Implementation of the Chosen Strategy
PRIVATISATION ALTERNATIVES
Sell majority stake equity to strategic investor
MODEL
Sell minority control to strategic investor and float the rest, Government might retain stake
Maximise proceeds
Relatively fast Gain new
technology and operational best practices
ADVANTAGES
Relatively easy to implement
Develop capital markets
Gain new technology and operational best practices
Doesn’t stimulate domestic capital markets
No opportunity for general population to participate
DISADVANTAGES
Government doesn’t receive control premium
Less interest without control
The Netherlands Australia Columbia El Salvador Panama Czech Republic Ukraine
EXPERIENCES
Peru
No two countries followed identical privatisation models, and Romania would need to develop a model that best suits its needs
PRIVATISATION ALTERNATIVES (cont’d)
Sell control to strategic investor and float the remainder, Government might retain stake
MODEL
Float 30%-100% of the equity(in tranches or in full)
Gain control premium
Gain new technology
Develop capital markets
ADVANTAGES
Opportunity to broaden share ownership
Easier political sell Develop domestic
capital markets
Argentina Panama Chile Poland
EXPERIENCES
UK Spain Italy Chile YPF
Government doesn’t receive full control premium
DISADVANTAGES
Does not maximise proceeds
May be difficult in current markets
Requires high degree of asset readiness
No two countries followed identical privatisation models, and Romania would need to develop a model that best suits its needs
CASE STUDY – UKRAINIAN DISCO PRIVATISATION
CSFB Role
CSFB assisted the Government in all aspects of the privatisation process— Selection and appointment of other advisors — Limited restructuring— Future structure of the industry — Regulatory framework— Design and implementation of marketing strategy
Project Environment
Government objectives — Raise revenue for the treasury — Introduce market forces into the industry— Quick implementation — Keep electricity prices as as low as possible— Fair and transparent process
CASE STUDY – UKRAINIAN DISCO PRIVATISATION (cont’d) State of the companies
— No audited accounts — No reliable technical / environmental information — Substantial debt to state owned Energy market — Inability to cut-off non payers
Industry Structure — Viable short term industry structure in place / long term objectives identified— No regulatory framework
Political Situation — Government of PM Yushenco dismissed few days before auction
Tender process attracted six audible bidders from U.S., Spain, France, Japan and Slovakia — Sales proceeds in excess of $150 million — First successful privatisation with participation of foreign buyers
CSFB was re-mandated to privatise another 12 discos
CASE STUDY: PRIVATISATION OF SPP
CSFB Role
CSFB assisted the Government in all aspects of the privatisation process— Selection and appointment of other advisors
— Limited restructuring
— Future structure of the industry
— Regulatory framework
— Design and implementation of marketing strategy
Project Environment
Government objectives— Maximise revenue within the context of protecting Slovak consumers
— Compliance with EU Gas Directive
— Quick implementation
— Fair and transparent process
CASE STUDY: PRIVATISATION OF SPP (cont’d)
Industry Structure— Long term structure dictated by EU Gas Directive
— No infrastructure to implement EU Gas Directive (lack of regulatory framework)
— Long-term off take contracts restricting medium term liberalisation
SPP readiness— Audited accounts (but not unbundled along areas of activity)
— Technical / Environmental audits available
— Substantial cross subsidies between international and domestic businesses
Other factors— Difficult privatisation environment (Post Enron and Sep 11)
— Upcoming elections
— Competition from Czech Republic (Transgas privatisation)
Successful privatisation – $2.7 billion for 49%— Company sold to a consortium of Ruhrgas / GdF / Gazprom
— 13% of Slovak GDP