Private Equity Fund

17
Mongolia Sustainable Growth Private Equity Fund 19 June 2015

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Private Equity Fund

Transcript of Private Equity Fund

  • Mongolia

    Sustainable Growth

    Private Equity Fund

    19 June 2015

  • Because things are the way they are, things will not stay the way they are

    - Bertold Brecht A commercially-focused organisation can invest for both financial and social returns for the nation, this will be the basis for sustainable growth in Mongolia.

    1. A Diverse Economy

    2. Growth Opportunities

    3. Diversification

    4. Economic Impacts

    5. Social Impacts

    6. Ecological Impacts

    7. Structured Impact

    8. Sectoral Focus (1)

    9. Sectoral Focus (2)

    10. Investment Focus

    11. Case Study

    12. Fund Structure

    13. Investment Comparison

    14. How to Invest

    Contents

  • 1 A DIVERSE economy

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    As a resource-rich nation,

    Mongolia is also developing

    and differentiating its economy

    Enhancing absorptive capacity

    requires broad growth and a

    perspective beyond typical

    investment pace metrics

    Private investment can take

    the lead in generating non-

    mineral growth, foregrounding

    rich opportunities

    Projected average growth of 5.9% 2015-

    2020 non-mineral GDP

    Far less volatility than mineral-related GDP

    growth

    Diversification is a key focus

    Raising profile of expanding sectors

    Resilience across cycles

    0

    8

    15

    23

    30

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    Mongolia Mineral & Non-Mineral GDP Growth History

    Mineral GDO Growth Non-mineral GDP Growth

  • 2 GROWTH opportunities

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    Mongolia has the right mix of wealth and income growth that

    will promote strong consumer

    demand in the medium and

    long term. OBG The Report 2014

    Mongolia needs to diversify the economy by developing value

    chains for high-quality, locally

    made agricultural products.

    Establishing genuine Mongolian

    brands. IMF - 2015

    Economic diversification

    Employment creation

    Additional liquidity

    Stimulating growth

    Encouraging transparency

    Raising profile of growth sectors

  • SECTOR FOCUS OUTCOMES

    Agriculture

    Mechanisation

    Standardisation

    Production for domestic markets

    Expanding export base

    Job creation

    Food security & import substitution

    New export opportunities

    Real Estate & Construction Rehabilitation of distressed assets

    Preparing for growth in indirect demand

    Emphasis upon Value-add

    Expansion of service sector

    Job creation

    Improvements in low-end retail sector

    Financial Sector New financial sector products

    Insurance

    Improved private-sector financing

    Capital market growth

    Manufacturing Moving up the value-chain Improved export opportunities

    Value-add production

    Job creation

    Healthcare Diagnostics

    Laboratory facilities

    Healthcare improvements

    Technology and skills transfer

    Tourism Developing a more synergetic sector

    Tourism infrastructure

    Technology and skills transfer

    Sectoral collaborations on infrastruture

    Education Support facilities (i.e. student housing)

    Expanding opportunities

    Technical and vocational skills

    Improvements in employability

    Upscaling skills

    Infrastructure Small-scale energy security

    Clean-tech Clean-tech adoption

    3 Diversification

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

  • 4 ECONOMIC Impacts Economic diversification

    Employment creation

    Additional liquidity

    Stimulating growth

    Encouraging transparency

    Raising profile of growth sectors

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    The fund will initially focus on

    issuing debt financing, whilst

    managers work to prepare

    appropriate projects for

    equity financing.

    Diversified approach spreads

    risk and ensures return

    across cycles - exemplified by

    14%+ yields on low-end retail

    real estate 2013-1015

  • 5 SOCIAL Impacts

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    Human capital improvement

    Employment creation

    Improving social housing

    Creating sustainable living

    conditions

    Food security

    Strong growth should not only be

    measured in nominal terms, but

    also be felt by the entire

    population and the benefits of

    growth should be equitably

    shared - Axel van Trotsenburg - World Bank Vice President for East Asia

    & Pacific.

    Mongolia ranks 103 in the

    United Nations Human

    Development Index, up 3 places

    from 2013

  • 6 ECOLOGICAL Impacts

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    Emphasis upon clean-tech

    Improved energy usage

    Small-scale and nodal energy

    solutions

    Carbon intensity of Mongolian energy sector is highest

    among regional countries Ministry of Environment & Green

    Development

    Mongolia is a renewable energy paradise Asia Nikkei

  • 7 STRUCTURED Impact

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    Social Ecological

    Economic Triple bottom line:

    Economy, Society,

    Environment

    Diversification:

    Enhance and underpin

    growth in diverse sectors

    Systemic approach:

    Understanding synergies

    and outcomes in our

    investments Equitable Social Environment

  • 8 SECTORAL focus (1)

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    SECTOR DIRECT CONTRIBUTION GROWTH OPPORTUNITY

    Agriculture Accounts for 16% of GDP and 40%

    of employment

    20% of the world's cashmere

    production, with this industry set for

    new growth

    Meat and crop production growing to

    meet national demand, with sown

    areas for vegetable and fodder crops

    growing 3.3 and 7% annually

    Develop new value-chains

    Create Mongolian brands for export

    Standardisation

    China / Russia export

    Real Estate &

    Construction

    Construction sector achieved 91%

    growth Q1-3 2013, accessing pent-

    up demand on the back of lower cost

    mortgages.

    Despite contracting 11% in first 9

    months of 2014, construction

    continues to underpin growth as

    other sectors grow

    Accessing indirect demand

    Low-level retail as driver of job

    growth and regeneration

    Distressed asset rehabilitation

    Financial Sector

    Fastest growing sector of Mongolia

    since 2010. 20% in 2014 and

    accounts for 5% of total GDP of

    2014.

    90% of business in Mongolia are

    SMEs, but few have access to

    finance. Efficient and broad financial

    intermediation is critical.

    SME financing

    Manufacturing Manufacturing contributes around

    7% to national GDP, although this is

    slowing

    Primary and tertiary activities

    are growing faster than

    manufacturing.

    Growth is imperative to move up the

    value chain

    Identify manufacturing opportunities

    that use local raw materials, can be

    economically produced and compete

    in international markets

  • 9 SECTORAL focus (2)

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    SECTOR DIRECT CONTRIBUTION GROWTH OPPORTUNITY

    Healthcare

    Private healthcare providers

    leading the growth of medical

    sector, accounting for over 15% of

    healthcare financing

    Healthcare remains a key concern,

    with need for improved financing,

    insurance and technical facilities

    Testing facilities

    Diagnostic centres

    Insurance

    Tourism

    4% of GDP, growth, 5%+ growth

    2013-2014.

    Accounts for 58,000 jobs directly

    and indirectly

    Expected sector growth of 5.7% p.a

    by 2024 (3.6% of GDP)

    Tourism supported by Government

    as a key growth industry

    Shared tourism infrastructure

    Hotels and hospitality investment

    Education

    A well educated workforce

    increased opportunities and

    national economic and social

    success.

    Deficit of over 43.1 million US$ in

    education funding.

    Improvements planned to current

    supply driven irrelevant vocational education for youth and adults

    Number of students growing 0.6%

    p.a.

    Modernise vocational training

    Support PPP programs in primary

    and secondary education

    Provide supporting facilities

    including student accommodations

    Infrastructure

    Road and rail links crucial to

    development of mining sector

    Urban infrastructure in critical

    condition,

    US$5 billion worth of trade deals

    with China signed

    US$80 billion required for major

    infrastructure projects

    Equity in nodal infrastructure

    platforms

    Co-investment in clean-tech energy

  • 10 INVESTMENT focus

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    HORIZON SHORT-TERM MID-TERM I MID-TERM II

    Sectors Agriculture & Food Production

    Distressed Assets

    Financial Sector

    Real Estate Yielding Assets

    Agriculture & Food Production

    Distressed Assets

    Technology

    Education

    Manufacturing

    Tourism

    Small-scale energy

    Healthcare

    Financial Sector

    Real Estate

    Manufacturing

    Agriculture & Food Production

    Investment Structure Debt / Equity (80/20) Debt / Equity (70/30) Debt / Equity (60/40)

    Target Return (IRR) 14-20% 13-16% 12-16%

    Exit Disposal of assets

    Conversion of debt

    Amoritisation

    Disposal of assets

    Conversion of debt

    Amoritisation

    Disposal of assets

    Conversion of debt

    Amoritisation

    Fund Allocation 35% 35% 30%

  • 11 Case Study

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    Investment Multiple retail locations, including two marketplaces

    Investment Size US$ 5.1 mm

    Tenor 3 years into 5 year investment strategy

    Risk management Deal structure + transaction monitoring on title transfer

    Exit Sale of structure - improved attractiveness as a result of large balance of developable land

    Return Profile Current NAV US$ 6.2 mm (6% capital appreciation per year) + 14% NET yields, expected ROI of 2.03

    over 5 years.

    Social Good Created 200+ direct jobs

  • 12 FUND structure

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    LLC Debt

    International Audit

    SPV

    PE Fund (Mongolia domiciled holding co.)

    BoD comprised of

    independent members

    Independent

    managers with

    sector-specific

    track-record

    originate

    investment

    opportunities

    Arms Length Asset

    Management

    Board of Directors

    Investors

    Fund Management

    Arms Length Asset

    Management

    Arms Length Asset

    Management

    40% 60%

  • 13 INVESTMENT comparison

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    Risk

    Retu

    rns

    Government Bonds

    Bank Term Deposits

    Direct Real Estate Ownership

    Vehicle Typical Return Considerations

    15.7%+ Additional

    exposure to

    market upside

    Bank Term

    Deposits 15.1% typical Minimal risk

    Govt Bonds 13%-16% Lowest risk

    Direct RE

    Ownership 8%-14%

    Highest risk and no

    differentiation

  • 14 HOW to Invest

    JUNE 2015: FUND 1

    Fund Size US$ 100 million

    Tenor 5 years

    Fund Structure Closed-ended Private Investment

    Fund

    Currency USD, Investments will be made in

    USD and MNT

    Investment Mechanisms Debt & Equity

    Management Fee 2% of committed capital annually

    payable quarterly in advance

    Performance Fee 19% of NAV growth, with 8%

    hurdle

    Valuation / Reporting Audited NAV published annually

    and reporting quarterly

    Return Profile 15.7 % IRR

    Expertise in identifying high-

    growth opportunities Economy, Society, Environment

    Experienced Management Asset managers with sector-specific

    knowledge participate in management

    Sustained growth across

    Mongolias cycles Long-term outlook and focus on

    essential goods and services

    Independent, Experienced

    Board International board selected based

    upon EM investment track-record

  • Thank You

    FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT

    Alex Skinner +976 97 07 55 50 [email protected]

    Monsor Nyamdavaa +976 99 10 82 46 [email protected]

    Mongolia Sustainable Growth Private Equity Fund