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Transcript of Private Equity Fund
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Mongolia
Sustainable Growth
Private Equity Fund
19 June 2015
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Because things are the way they are, things will not stay the way they are
- Bertold Brecht A commercially-focused organisation can invest for both financial and social returns for the nation, this will be the basis for sustainable growth in Mongolia.
1. A Diverse Economy
2. Growth Opportunities
3. Diversification
4. Economic Impacts
5. Social Impacts
6. Ecological Impacts
7. Structured Impact
8. Sectoral Focus (1)
9. Sectoral Focus (2)
10. Investment Focus
11. Case Study
12. Fund Structure
13. Investment Comparison
14. How to Invest
Contents
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1 A DIVERSE economy
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
As a resource-rich nation,
Mongolia is also developing
and differentiating its economy
Enhancing absorptive capacity
requires broad growth and a
perspective beyond typical
investment pace metrics
Private investment can take
the lead in generating non-
mineral growth, foregrounding
rich opportunities
Projected average growth of 5.9% 2015-
2020 non-mineral GDP
Far less volatility than mineral-related GDP
growth
Diversification is a key focus
Raising profile of expanding sectors
Resilience across cycles
0
8
15
23
30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Mongolia Mineral & Non-Mineral GDP Growth History
Mineral GDO Growth Non-mineral GDP Growth
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2 GROWTH opportunities
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
Mongolia has the right mix of wealth and income growth that
will promote strong consumer
demand in the medium and
long term. OBG The Report 2014
Mongolia needs to diversify the economy by developing value
chains for high-quality, locally
made agricultural products.
Establishing genuine Mongolian
brands. IMF - 2015
Economic diversification
Employment creation
Additional liquidity
Stimulating growth
Encouraging transparency
Raising profile of growth sectors
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SECTOR FOCUS OUTCOMES
Agriculture
Mechanisation
Standardisation
Production for domestic markets
Expanding export base
Job creation
Food security & import substitution
New export opportunities
Real Estate & Construction Rehabilitation of distressed assets
Preparing for growth in indirect demand
Emphasis upon Value-add
Expansion of service sector
Job creation
Improvements in low-end retail sector
Financial Sector New financial sector products
Insurance
Improved private-sector financing
Capital market growth
Manufacturing Moving up the value-chain Improved export opportunities
Value-add production
Job creation
Healthcare Diagnostics
Laboratory facilities
Healthcare improvements
Technology and skills transfer
Tourism Developing a more synergetic sector
Tourism infrastructure
Technology and skills transfer
Sectoral collaborations on infrastruture
Education Support facilities (i.e. student housing)
Expanding opportunities
Technical and vocational skills
Improvements in employability
Upscaling skills
Infrastructure Small-scale energy security
Clean-tech Clean-tech adoption
3 Diversification
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
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4 ECONOMIC Impacts Economic diversification
Employment creation
Additional liquidity
Stimulating growth
Encouraging transparency
Raising profile of growth sectors
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
The fund will initially focus on
issuing debt financing, whilst
managers work to prepare
appropriate projects for
equity financing.
Diversified approach spreads
risk and ensures return
across cycles - exemplified by
14%+ yields on low-end retail
real estate 2013-1015
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5 SOCIAL Impacts
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
Human capital improvement
Employment creation
Improving social housing
Creating sustainable living
conditions
Food security
Strong growth should not only be
measured in nominal terms, but
also be felt by the entire
population and the benefits of
growth should be equitably
shared - Axel van Trotsenburg - World Bank Vice President for East Asia
& Pacific.
Mongolia ranks 103 in the
United Nations Human
Development Index, up 3 places
from 2013
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6 ECOLOGICAL Impacts
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
Emphasis upon clean-tech
Improved energy usage
Small-scale and nodal energy
solutions
Carbon intensity of Mongolian energy sector is highest
among regional countries Ministry of Environment & Green
Development
Mongolia is a renewable energy paradise Asia Nikkei
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7 STRUCTURED Impact
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
Social Ecological
Economic Triple bottom line:
Economy, Society,
Environment
Diversification:
Enhance and underpin
growth in diverse sectors
Systemic approach:
Understanding synergies
and outcomes in our
investments Equitable Social Environment
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8 SECTORAL focus (1)
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
SECTOR DIRECT CONTRIBUTION GROWTH OPPORTUNITY
Agriculture Accounts for 16% of GDP and 40%
of employment
20% of the world's cashmere
production, with this industry set for
new growth
Meat and crop production growing to
meet national demand, with sown
areas for vegetable and fodder crops
growing 3.3 and 7% annually
Develop new value-chains
Create Mongolian brands for export
Standardisation
China / Russia export
Real Estate &
Construction
Construction sector achieved 91%
growth Q1-3 2013, accessing pent-
up demand on the back of lower cost
mortgages.
Despite contracting 11% in first 9
months of 2014, construction
continues to underpin growth as
other sectors grow
Accessing indirect demand
Low-level retail as driver of job
growth and regeneration
Distressed asset rehabilitation
Financial Sector
Fastest growing sector of Mongolia
since 2010. 20% in 2014 and
accounts for 5% of total GDP of
2014.
90% of business in Mongolia are
SMEs, but few have access to
finance. Efficient and broad financial
intermediation is critical.
SME financing
Manufacturing Manufacturing contributes around
7% to national GDP, although this is
slowing
Primary and tertiary activities
are growing faster than
manufacturing.
Growth is imperative to move up the
value chain
Identify manufacturing opportunities
that use local raw materials, can be
economically produced and compete
in international markets
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9 SECTORAL focus (2)
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
SECTOR DIRECT CONTRIBUTION GROWTH OPPORTUNITY
Healthcare
Private healthcare providers
leading the growth of medical
sector, accounting for over 15% of
healthcare financing
Healthcare remains a key concern,
with need for improved financing,
insurance and technical facilities
Testing facilities
Diagnostic centres
Insurance
Tourism
4% of GDP, growth, 5%+ growth
2013-2014.
Accounts for 58,000 jobs directly
and indirectly
Expected sector growth of 5.7% p.a
by 2024 (3.6% of GDP)
Tourism supported by Government
as a key growth industry
Shared tourism infrastructure
Hotels and hospitality investment
Education
A well educated workforce
increased opportunities and
national economic and social
success.
Deficit of over 43.1 million US$ in
education funding.
Improvements planned to current
supply driven irrelevant vocational education for youth and adults
Number of students growing 0.6%
p.a.
Modernise vocational training
Support PPP programs in primary
and secondary education
Provide supporting facilities
including student accommodations
Infrastructure
Road and rail links crucial to
development of mining sector
Urban infrastructure in critical
condition,
US$5 billion worth of trade deals
with China signed
US$80 billion required for major
infrastructure projects
Equity in nodal infrastructure
platforms
Co-investment in clean-tech energy
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10 INVESTMENT focus
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
HORIZON SHORT-TERM MID-TERM I MID-TERM II
Sectors Agriculture & Food Production
Distressed Assets
Financial Sector
Real Estate Yielding Assets
Agriculture & Food Production
Distressed Assets
Technology
Education
Manufacturing
Tourism
Small-scale energy
Healthcare
Financial Sector
Real Estate
Manufacturing
Agriculture & Food Production
Investment Structure Debt / Equity (80/20) Debt / Equity (70/30) Debt / Equity (60/40)
Target Return (IRR) 14-20% 13-16% 12-16%
Exit Disposal of assets
Conversion of debt
Amoritisation
Disposal of assets
Conversion of debt
Amoritisation
Disposal of assets
Conversion of debt
Amoritisation
Fund Allocation 35% 35% 30%
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11 Case Study
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
Investment Multiple retail locations, including two marketplaces
Investment Size US$ 5.1 mm
Tenor 3 years into 5 year investment strategy
Risk management Deal structure + transaction monitoring on title transfer
Exit Sale of structure - improved attractiveness as a result of large balance of developable land
Return Profile Current NAV US$ 6.2 mm (6% capital appreciation per year) + 14% NET yields, expected ROI of 2.03
over 5 years.
Social Good Created 200+ direct jobs
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12 FUND structure
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
LLC Debt
International Audit
SPV
PE Fund (Mongolia domiciled holding co.)
BoD comprised of
independent members
Independent
managers with
sector-specific
track-record
originate
investment
opportunities
Arms Length Asset
Management
Board of Directors
Investors
Fund Management
Arms Length Asset
Management
Arms Length Asset
Management
40% 60%
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13 INVESTMENT comparison
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
Risk
Retu
rns
Government Bonds
Bank Term Deposits
Direct Real Estate Ownership
Vehicle Typical Return Considerations
15.7%+ Additional
exposure to
market upside
Bank Term
Deposits 15.1% typical Minimal risk
Govt Bonds 13%-16% Lowest risk
Direct RE
Ownership 8%-14%
Highest risk and no
differentiation
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14 HOW to Invest
JUNE 2015: FUND 1
Fund Size US$ 100 million
Tenor 5 years
Fund Structure Closed-ended Private Investment
Fund
Currency USD, Investments will be made in
USD and MNT
Investment Mechanisms Debt & Equity
Management Fee 2% of committed capital annually
payable quarterly in advance
Performance Fee 19% of NAV growth, with 8%
hurdle
Valuation / Reporting Audited NAV published annually
and reporting quarterly
Return Profile 15.7 % IRR
Expertise in identifying high-
growth opportunities Economy, Society, Environment
Experienced Management Asset managers with sector-specific
knowledge participate in management
Sustained growth across
Mongolias cycles Long-term outlook and focus on
essential goods and services
Independent, Experienced
Board International board selected based
upon EM investment track-record
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Thank You
FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT
Alex Skinner +976 97 07 55 50 [email protected]
Monsor Nyamdavaa +976 99 10 82 46 [email protected]
Mongolia Sustainable Growth Private Equity Fund