PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

download PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into  Predictive Signals

of 37

Transcript of PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    1/37

    Turning the Web into

    Predictive SignalsDr. Christopher Ahlberg, CEO/Co-founder

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    2/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    3/37

    Internal to External, Past to Future

    From small datasets tovery large databases

    From structured data to

    unstructured data

    From corporate datato internet/web

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    4/37

    Seismic Shift in Intelligence

    4

    Temporal Indexing of Web Enables Web Intelligence

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    5/37

    Why Possible Now?

    Linguistics

    Signals

    Large/fast storage

    Fast math

    Web harvesting

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    6/37

    6

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    7/37

    7

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    8/37

    8

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    9/37

    Text Is Loaded with Temporal Signals

    North Korea apparently began

    pursuing a uranium enrichmentprogram in 1996 at the latest

    offering closes on Sept. 27, Tesorowill use net proceeds to buy back

    upcoming notes due in 2015 and 2017

    2012 is the year when China will exportmore chemicals according to this source

    Dr Sarkar says the new facility willbe operational by March 2014...

    Drought and malnutrition hindernextsprings expansion plans in Kabul...

    ...opposition organizersplan to meet on Thursday

    to protest...

    Going to see Sarkozyspeakthis weekend...

    New Russian worm setto unleash botnet on

    4/1/2012...

    According to CellBlog,Pakistans 4G network will be

    deployed by mid-2011

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    10/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    11/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    12/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    13/37

    Recorded Future Platform

    150,000 Real-time Sources

    5+ Billion Time-tagged Facts

    Dr Sarkar says the new facility willbe operational by March 2014...

    ...opposition organizers

    plan to meet on Thursdayto protest...

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    14/37

    Whats Going Down Next 90 Days

    14

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    15/37

    ViolenceCyber attacks

    Supply chainFinancial instruments

    Financial risksProduct opportunities & issues

    Sales opportunities

    Competitors

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    16/37

    Application I: Monitoring Unrest

    16

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    17/37

    Application I: Monitoring Unrest

    17

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    18/37

    Application I: Monitoring Unrest

    18

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    19/37

    Application II: Analyzing Cyber Threats

    19

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    20/37

    Application III: Competitive Intelligence

    20

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    21/37

    Application III: Competitive Intelligence

    21

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    22/37

    Application III: Competitive Intelligence

    22

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    23/37

    Application IV: Lead Generation

    23

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    24/37

    Application IV: Lead Generation

    24

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    25/37

    Application V: Trading on Patterns

    25

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    26/37

    Summary

    Surprise Foresight

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    27/37

    Appendix

    27

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    28/37

    Big data and unrest

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    29/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    30/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    31/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    32/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    33/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    34/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    35/37

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    36/37

    0"

    50"

    100"

    150"

    200"

    250"

    2012&07&17"

    2012&07&18"

    2012&07&19"

    2012&07&20"

    2012&07&21"

    2012&07&22"

    2012&07&23"

    2012&07&24"

    2012&07&25"

    2012&07&26"

    2012&07&27"

    2012&07&28"

    2012&07&29"

    2012&07&30"

    2012&07&31"

    2012&08&01"

    2012&08&02"

    2012&08&03"

    2012&08&04"

    2012&08&05"

    2012&08&06"

    2012&08&07"

    2012&08&08"

    2012&08&09"

    2012&08&10"

    2012&08&11"

    2012&08&12"

    2012&08&13"

    2012&08&14"

    2012&08&15"

    2012&08&16"

    2012&08&17"

    2012&08&18"

    2012&08&19"

    2012&08&20"

    2012&08&21"

    2012&08&22"

    2012&08&23"

    2012&08&24"

    2012&08&25"

    2012&08&26"

    2012&08&27"

    2012&08&28"

    2012&08&29"

    2012&08&30"

    2012&08&31"

    2012&09&01"

    2012&09&02"

    2012&09&03"

    2012&09&04"

    2012&09&05"

    2012&09&06"

    2012&09&07"

    2012&09&08"

    2012&09&09"

    2012&09&10"

    Other"media"

    Retweets"

    Tweets"

  • 7/27/2019 PRESENTATION Christopher Ahlberg Turning the Web into Predictive Signals

    37/37