Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA –...

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Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder, Colorado 80305, U.S.A Email: [email protected] K.E. Baugh, B.T. Tuttle, A.T. Howard and P.J. Hayes University of Colorado – CIRES 325 Broadway E/GC2 Boulder, Colorado 80305, U.S.A E.H. Erwin NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder, Colorado 80305, U.S.A April 26, 2006
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Page 1: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia

Chris ElvidgeNOAA – National Geophysical Data Center

325 Broadway, E/GC2Boulder, Colorado 80305, U.S.AEmail: [email protected]

K.E. Baugh, B.T. Tuttle, A.T. Howard and P.J. Hayes

University of Colorado – CIRES325 Broadway E/GC2

Boulder, Colorado 80305, U.S.A

E.H. ErwinNOAA – National Geophysical Data Center

325 Broadway, E/GC2Boulder, Colorado 80305, U.S.A

April 26, 2006

Page 2: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Exxon-Mobil Amenam Platform, Nigeria

• Crude oil contains associated hydrocarbon gases.

• When brought to surface the gases are released.

• Where there is no market for the gas the industry standard for disposal is flaring.

• Venting also occurs – releasing unburnt gases directly into the atmosphere.

• Alternatives include reinjection, on-site power generation, and transport to markets.

The Gas Flaring Issue

Page 3: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

How Much Gas Is Flared?• A number of countries report

gas flaring volumes, but these are not all viewed as reliable.

• The World Bank Global Gas Flaring Reduction Initiative (GGFR) estimates that a 150 billion cubic meters (BCM) of gas is flared or vented per year.

• This is equivalent to 25% of US consumption.

• There is large uncertainty in the estimates since reporting is voluntary and the activity occurs primarily in remote locations.

GGFR 2004 Reported ValuesIn Billion Cubic Meters (BCM)• Nigeria 24.1• Russia 14.7• Iran 13.3• Iraq 8.6• Angola 6.8• Venezuela 5.4• Qatar 4.5• Algeria 4.3• Eq. Guinea 3.6• Indonesia 3.5• USA 2.8• Kazakhstan 2.7• Azerbaijan 2.5• Libya 2.5• Mexico 1.6• UK 1.6• Brazil 1.5• Gabon 1.4• Cameroon 1.1• Canada 1.0

Page 4: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Why Not Estimate Gas Flaring Volumes From Satellite Data?• Open combustion produces a unique

signature that should be detectable by satellite sensors.

• Systematic global observations of gas flaring from satellites could provide estimates free of corporate and national disclosure constraints.

Page 5: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

The U.S. Air ForceDefense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP)Operational Linescan System (OLS) has aUnique capability to collect low-light imagery.

Polar orbiting3000 km swath2.7 km ground sample

distance (GSD)Two spectral bands:

visible and thermalNightly global coverageFlown since 1972Will continue till ~2012

Visible

Thermal

Page 6: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Pros and Cons of DMSP

• OLS sensor extremely sensitive to light emitted by gas flares.

• Global archive extending back to 1992.

• NGDC has standardized and largely automated annual product generation.

• Lighting detected from many other sources.

• No onboard calibration of visible band.

• Gas flares not detected in OLS thermal band data.

Page 7: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Total Number of Coverages

Page 8: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Total Number of Cloud-Free Coverages

Page 9: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Average Digital Number of Lights x Percent Frequency of Detection

Page 10: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Mollweide Projection – 1 km Equal Area GridAverage Digital Number of Lights x Percent Frequency of Detection

Page 11: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Nigeria

F162004 = RedF141998 = GreenF101992 = Blue

Vectors drawn ongas flares.

Page 12: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

RussiaF162004 = Red F141998 = Green F101992 = BlueVectors drawn on gas flares. Yellow vectors = Khanty Mansiysk.

Page 13: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Algeria

F162004 = RedF141998 = GreenF101992 = Blue

Vectors drawn ongas flares.

Page 14: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

IndonesiaF162004 = Red, F141998 = Green, F101992 = BlueVectors drawn on gas flares.

Page 15: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

MalaysiaF162004 = Red, F141998 = Green, F101992 = BlueVectors drawn on gas flares.

Page 16: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

IndiaF152003 = RedF141998 = GreenF101992 = Blue

Page 17: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

VietnamF152003 = RedF141998 = GreenF101992 = Blue

Page 18: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Beijing1992 = blue1998 = green2003 = red

Page 19: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

GGFR Reported Gas Flaringin Billion Cubic Meters

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

BCM

Su

m o

f L

igh

ts Nigeria

Russia Excluding KM

KhantyMansiysk

IranIraq

Angola

F15 = BlueF16 = Red

F15BCM = Sum of Lights/28543R2=0.89

F16BCM = Sum of Lights/33901R2=0.87

Page 20: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Brunei

Brunei

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 21: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Myanmar - Offshore

Myanmar

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 22: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

China Onshore & Offshore

China

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 23: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

India - Offshore

India

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 24: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Indonesia – Onshore & Offshore

Indonesia

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 25: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Malaysia - Offshore

Malaysia

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 26: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Philippines - Offshore

Philippines

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 27: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 28: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Thailand - Offshore

Gulf of Thailand

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 29: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Vietnam - Offshore

Vietnam

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006Year

Sum

of Lig

hts

un

F10

F12

F14

F15

F16

Page 30: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

2004 Gas Flaring Volumes (BCM)GGFR F15 F16

• Russia 14.7 ??? ???• Nigeria 24.1 25.8 25.8• Iran 13.3 11.5 11.4• Iraq 8.6 9.0 8.7• Algeria 4.3 7.0 7.2• Kazakhstan 2.7 6.9 7.3• Angola 6.8 5.8 5.9• Saudi Arabia NA 5.2 5.0• Libya 2.5 4.9 5.0• UAE NA 3.7 3.7

Page 31: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Estimated 2004 Gas Flaring Volumes (BCM)

GGFR F15 F16

• Indonesia 3.5 3.23 3.39• China NA 2.50 2.23• Malaysia NA 1.95 2.07• India NA 0.78 0.75• Vietnam NA 0.67 0.68• PNG NA 0.31 0.37• Thailand NA 0.24 0.21• Brunei NA 0.118 0.119• Philippines NA 0.064 0.045• Myanmar NA 0.036 0.024

Page 32: Preliminary Estimation of Annual Gas Flaring Volumes in South and East Asia Chris Elvidge NOAA – National Geophysical Data Center 325 Broadway, E/GC2 Boulder,

Conclusions• The satellite data estimate of global gas flaring

volumes is 190-199 BCM in 2004.• This is about 30% higher than the GGFR

estimate of 150 BCM.• Russia has the largest flaring – more than 30%

of the global total.• Indonesia, China, and Malaysia have the largest

amount of flaring in south and east Asia.• NGDC plans to extend the annual estimates

back to 1992 using the DMSP archive.