Practical Roadmap Exercise: Solar Energy · 2019-11-27 · Energy technology roadmaps Solar process...
Transcript of Practical Roadmap Exercise: Solar Energy · 2019-11-27 · Energy technology roadmaps Solar process...
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Practical Roadmap Exercise: Solar Energy
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Group exercise
• Establish a vision for the solar sector– Describe what you hope it looks like in the year 2030
• Identify critical stakeholders to engage in roadmap process – Government, academia, industry, NGO community
• Assess the status of your baseline information
• Identify 5, 10, 15, and 20-year milestones to monitor progress toward vision
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Solar Vision for South Africa in 2030
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Planning and Preparation
• Who will set roadmap goals and milestones?
• What human resources are available to accomplish roadmap activities and priorities?
• Who will be responsible for carrying out activities?
• What skills and tools will be needed to prepare roadmap?
• Are sufficient personnel available to manage and implement the roadmap development process?
• Are appropriate data and analytic tools available?
• What funds are available to develop the roadmap?
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Stakeholder Engagement
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Energy technology roadmaps
A solar roadmap for RSA
• Solar cooking
• Solar water heaters
• Solar process heat/solar cooling
• Off grid and mini-grid solar electricity
• On-grid solar electricity
• Solar fuels
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Solar cooking
• Is cooking an important issue for parts of the population?
• Is there a potential for solar cooking
– In households
– In community kitchens?
• What is the experience so far? Lessonslearned?
• Possible targets? Supporting policies?
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Solar water heaters
• What is the demand for water heating, how does it play on electricity demand, demand for other fuels? Potential for peak shaving?
• Targets and policies currently in place and lessons learned
• How could the policies be strengthened? Where are the weak points? Should targets berevisited?
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Solar process heat/solar cooling
• What are the heat requirements of industries?
– by temperature levels
• Has the potential for solar process heat been investigated? Any experience so far?
• Can targets be formulated? What support policies would be required?
• Is there a role for direct solar cooling (i.e. not from solar electricity)?
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Solar Cooking, Water & Space Heating
• Baseline
• Milestones – 5, 10, 15 20 yrs
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Off-grid and mini-gridelectrification
• How many people do not have access to the grid? How many in low-density population areas, how many in high-density areas?
• What policies are already in place to provideaccess with solar or hybrid systems? Lessonslearned?
• Can targets be formulated? What are the required support policies?
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
On-grid electrification
• What role for decentralised on-grid solarelectricity (PV), what role for centralised solarelectricity?
• How does the load curve look like? How important is it to shift generation to match the peaks? What role for utility-scale PV vs. CSP?
• What are the possibility for hybrid coal-CSP plants?
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
On-grid electrification (Continued)
• What policies have been put in place?
• Can targets be formulated?
• What would be investment costs and support costs?
• What policy instrument would be support the deployment of on-grid solar electricity ?
– Decentralised
– Centralised
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Solar Electricity
• Baseline
• Milestones – 5, 10, 15 20 yrs
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Solar fuels
• Is there a potential for solar fuels or solar-enhanced biofuels?
• Can solar heat substitute for fossil fuels as process energy for manufacturing liquid fuels from coal?
• Could targets be formulated? What would bethe required support policies?
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Solar Fuels
• Baseline
• Milestones – 5, 10, 15 20 yrs
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Visioning and Roadmap Development
• What data are needed to establish baseline conditions, set goals and targets, and prepare forecasts?
• Are essential analytic capabilities and tools available to evaluate alternative scenarios?
• What technical expertise is needed to evaluate technology performance and limitations?
• Which regulators and policy leaders can provide insight on factors affecting technology adoption?
• Which private entities will be key to technology success?
© OECD/IEA 2009
Energy technology roadmaps
Visioning and Roadmap Development
• Will goals and milestones include date-based, quantitative targets?
• Which solar technologies should be included?
• What information must be included in the roadmap?
• What level of detail is needed for effective implementation and action?
• What supporting information and data are needed?
• Will activities be assigned to organisations for action?