PowerPoint Presentation/media/Files/D/D-R-Horton...HB Revenue (TTM Ended 9/30/14) Midwest 7% South...

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Q4 FY2014

Transcript of PowerPoint Presentation/media/Files/D/D-R-Horton...HB Revenue (TTM Ended 9/30/14) Midwest 7% South...

  • Q4 FY2014

  • Q4 FY2014

    Forward-Looking Statements

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    This presentation may include “forward-looking statements” as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act

    of 1995. Although D.R. Horton believes any such statements are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no

    assurance that actual outcomes will not be materially different. Factors that may cause the actual results to be

    materially different from the future results expressed by the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to:

    potential deterioration in homebuilding industry conditions or general economic conditions; the cyclical nature of the

    homebuilding industry and changes in economic, real estate and other conditions; constriction of the credit markets,

    which could limit our ability to access capital and increase our costs of capital; reductions in the availability of mortgage

    financing and the liquidity provided by government-sponsored enterprises, the effects of government programs, a

    decrease in our ability to sell mortgage loans on attractive terms or an increase in mortgage interest rates; the risks

    associated with our land and lot inventory; home warranty and construction defect claims; supply shortages and other

    risks of acquiring land, building materials and skilled labor; reductions in the availability of performance bonds;

    increases in the costs of owning a home; the impact of an inflationary, deflationary or higher interest rate environment;

    the effects of governmental regulations and environmental matters on our homebuilding operations; the effects of

    governmental regulation on our financial services operations; our substantial debt and our ability to comply with

    related debt covenants, restrictions and limitations; competitive conditions within the homebuilding and financial

    services industries; our ability to effect our growth strategies or acquisitions successfully; our ability to realize the full

    amount of our deferred income tax assets; the effects of the loss of key personnel; the effects of negative publicity; and

    information technology failures and data security breaches. Additional information about issues that could lead to

    material changes in performance is contained in D.R. Horton’s annual report on Form 10-K and our most recent

    quarterly report on Form 10-Q, both of which are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

  • Q4 FY2014

    D.R. Horton, Inc.

    Traded on NYSE as DHI

    #1 builder for 12 consecutive years1

    $8.0 billion in annual revenues2

    28,670 in annual homes closed2

    $10.2 billion of total assets3

    $5.1 billion of stockholders’ equity3

    1 As reported by Builder Magazine2 Fiscal year ended September 30, 20143 As of September 30, 2014

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Geographic Diversification

    79 Markets | 27 States

    Region States Covered

    East Delaware, Georgia, Maryland, New Jersey, North Carolina,

    Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Virginia

    Midwest Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Minnesota

    Southeast Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, Tennessee

    South Central Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas

    Southwest Arizona, New Mexico

    West California, Hawaii, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Washington

    South

    Central

    25%

    Southwest

    4%

    West

    25%

    HB Revenue(TTM Ended 9/30/14)

    Midwest

    7%

    South

    Central

    23%Southeast

    26%

    Inventory (as of 9/30/14)

    East

    12%

    Midwest

    6%

    Southeast

    28%

    West

    29%

    Southwest

    4%

    East

    11%

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Broad Range of Product Offerings

    Homes for entry-level, move-up and luxury buyers

    54% of closings < $250,000 in Q4 FY14, down from 59% in Q4 FY13

    Revenues from homes > $500,000 increased to 17% of home sales revenues in

    Q4 FY14 compared to 13% in Q4 FY13

    Under $150k

    $200k to $250k

    $250k to $300k

    $300k to $400k

    $400k to $500k

    $500k+

    $151k to $200k

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  • Q4 FY2014

    D.R. Horton

    The Heart of our Business

    $500k+

    $151k to $200k

    79 markets and 27 states

    In the fourth quarter, accounted for:

    88% of homes sold

    92% of homes closed

    92% of home sales revenue

    Q4 Average Closing Price: $281,000

    FY14 Average Closing Price: $273,000

    Reported metrics for D.R. Horton include our Breland Homes

    and Crown Communities operations

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Emerald Homes

    Higher-end move-up and luxury buyer

    $151k to $200k

    Introduced in 2013

    34 markets and 14 states

    In the fourth quarter, accounted for:

    2% of homes sold

    2% of homes closed

    4% of home sales revenue

    FY14 Average Closing Price: $566,000

    Higher margin, slower absorption

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Express Homes

    Targeted at the true entry-level buyer

    $500k+

    $151k to $200k

    Introduced in Spring 2014

    24 markets and 8 states

    In the fourth quarter, accounted for:

    10% of homes sold

    6% of homes closed

    4% of home sales revenue

    Q4 Average Closing Price: $169,000

    Higher absorption, lower margin

    Reported metrics for Express include our Regent Homes operations

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Operational Focus

    Current land ownership level is sufficient to support

    double-digit revenue growth

    Underwriting criteria for land and lot purchases and

    operational expectations for each community:

    Minimum 20% annual net return on inventory investment

    (ROI) for all three brands

    Net ROI% = Pre-tax Income divided by Average Inventory

    Consistently optimize balance of sales absorptions and

    gross margins to maximize returns in each community

    Manage land and home inventory levels efficiently

    Improve cash flow generation

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Q4 FY 2014 Highlights

    The value of net homes sold, homes closed and homes in

    backlog increased by 41%, 33% and 29%, respectively

    7,135 net homes sold and 8,612 homes closed

    9,888 homes in backlog at 9/30/14

    Consolidated pre-tax income increased 24% to $250.8

    million

    Consolidated pre-tax income margin was 10.1%

    Net income increased 19% to $166.3 million

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  • Q4 FY2014

    FY 2014 Highlights

    The value of net homes sold, homes closed and homes in

    backlog increased by 27%, 30% and 29%, respectively

    29,709 net homes sold and 28,670 homes closed

    9,888 homes in backlog at 9/30/14

    Consolidated pre-tax income increased 24% to $814.2

    million

    Consolidated pre-tax income margin was 10.1%

    Net income increased 15% to $533.5 million

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Sales, Closings & Backlog – Q4 FY14

    Net Sales Orders, Homes Closed and Homes in Backlog increased 38%, 25%

    and 21%, respectively, in Q4 of FY2014 compared to Q4 of FY2013

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    Sales Closings Backlog

    4Q FY12 4Q FY13 4Q FY14

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Income Statement

    9/30/2014 9/30/2013 9/30/2014 9/30/2013

    Homes closed 8,612 6,866 28,670 24,155

    Revenues:

    Home sales 2,403.6$ 1,802.0$ 7,804.7$ 6,024.8$

    Land/lot sales & other 19.7 15.8 53.8 61.1

    2,423.3 1,817.8 7,858.5 6,085.9

    Gross Profit:

    Home sales 492.0 394.8 1,665.6 1,253.3

    Land/lot sales & other 3.0 3.7 9.5 10.2

    Inventory & land option charges (21.3) (27.1) (85.2) (31.1)

    473.7 371.4 1,589.9 1,232.4

    SG&A 241.0 186.6 834.2 649.9

    Interest and other (income) (3.9) (4.6) (13.1) (9.8)

    Homebuilding pre-tax income 236.6 189.4 768.8 592.3

    Financial Services pre-tax income 14.2 13.4 45.4 65.5

    Pre-tax income 250.8 202.8 814.2 657.8

    Income tax expense 84.5 63.3 280.7 195.1

    Net income 166.3$ 139.5$ 533.5$ 462.7$

    $ in millions

    3 Months Ended Fiscal Year Ended

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Home Sales Gross Margin

    Shown as a % of home sales revenues

    Includes interest amortized to cost of sales

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    FY11 FY12 1QFY13

    2QFY13

    3QFY13

    4QFY13

    Q1FY14

    Q2FY14

    Q3FY14

    Q4FY14

    16.1%17.7%

    18.8%

    20.4%

    21.4% 21.9% 22.3%22.5% 20.7% 20.5%

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    Homes sales gross margin of around 20% in a stable housing market

  • Q4 FY2014

    Homebuilding SG&A

    Long-term annual SG&A goal = 10% of homebuilding revenues

    Fiscal Year 2014 Fourth Fiscal Quarter 2014

    $0

    $200

    $400

    $600

    $800

    $1,000

    2013 2014

    $649.9

    $834.2

    10.7%

    10.6%

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    $250

    Q4 FY13 Q4 FY14

    $186.6

    $241.0

    9.9%

    SG&A $ SG&A $

    10.3%

    Shown as a % of homebuilding revenues

    $ in millions

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Homebuilding Pre-tax Income

    Homebuilding pre-tax income margin in Q4 2014 was 9.8%

    Fiscal Year 2014 Fourth Fiscal Quarter 2014

    $0

    $200

    $400

    $600

    $800

    2013 2014

    $592.3

    $768.8

    9.7%

    9.8%

    PTI $

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    $250

    Q4 FY13 Q4 FY14

    $189.3

    $236.6

    10.4%

    9.8%

    PTI $

    Shown as a % of homebuilding revenues

    $ in millions

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Balance Sheet

    9/30/14 9/30/13

    HB cash and cash equivalents 632.5$ 954.2$

    Restricted cash 10.0 77.8

    Inventories 7,700.5 6,197.4

    Deferred income taxes, net 565.0 586.6

    Other assets 1,294.5 1,040.4

    Total 10,202.5$ 8,856.4$

    Notes payable - HB 3,323.6$ 3,270.4$

    Other liabilities 1,759.2 1,524.6

    Equity 5,119.7 4,061.4

    Total 10,202.5$ 8,856.4$

    Homebuilding Leverage

    Gross 39.4% 44.6%

    Net of cash 34.5% 36.3%

    Book Value/Share $14.04 $12.58

    $ in millions

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Homes in Inventory

    Growing housing inventory to meet increasing sales pace

    0

    2,000

    4,000

    6,000

    8,000

    10,000

    12,000

    14,000

    16,000

    18,000

    20,000

    9/30/11 9/30/12 9/30/13 12/31/13 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14

    Models Sold Specs

    10,500

    13,000

    17,000 16,80017,600

    20,500 20,600

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Robust Lot Position

    69,000 of our total lots are finished at 9/30/14

    85,800 94,600

    126,600 125,800 124,700 124,900 124,600

    26,900

    58,100

    54,300 49,000 46,900 53,60058,900

    0

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    140,000

    160,000

    180,000

    200,000

    9/30/11 9/30/12 9/30/13 12/31/13 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14

    Optioned Owned

    112,700

    152,700

    180,900174,800 171,600

    178,500183,500

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Inactive Land Held for Development

    “Mothballed” lot count down 33% from a year ago

    $699.2

    $628.3

    $450.2

    $383.3

    $332.8

    43,100

    39,400

    20,800

    16,80014,000

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    35000

    40000

    45000

    50000

    $0

    $100

    $200

    $300

    $400

    $500

    $600

    $700

    $800

    9/30/11 9/30/12 9/30/13 6/30/14 9/30/14

    Balance Lots HeldLand held for development is shown as separate line item on face of balance sheet

    $ in millions

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  • Q4 FY2014

    Public Debt Maturities by Year

    Balance of public notes outstanding as of 9/30/14 was $3.0 billion.

    $ in millions

    $0

    $100

    $200

    $300

    $400

    $500

    $600

    $700

    $800

    FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19 FY 22 FY 23

    4.750%

    $350

    $500

    $400

    $350

    $543

    $158

    5.250% 5.625%

    6.500%

    4.750% 3.625% 3.750% 4.375%

    $700

    5.750%

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  • Q4 FY2014

    FY 2015 Expectations*

    Fiscal Year:

    Closings between 34,500 and 37,500 and consolidated revenues between $9.5 billion and $10.5 billion

    Home sales gross margin of 19.5% to 20.5% with potential quarterly fluctuations outside of this range

    Homebuilding SG&A expense of 10.0% to 10.3% of homebuilding revenues for full year

    Financial Services operating margin of 25% to 30%

    2015 income tax rate between 35% and 36%

    Diluted share count of approximately 370 million shares

    First Quarter:

    Backlog conversion rate of around 75%

    Home sales gross margin around 19.5% to 20.0%

    Homebuilding SG&A expense around 11% of homebuilding revenues

    *Based on the relatively stable market conditions noted on the Company’s conference call on 11/11/14.

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