Poll Presentation April 2013
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Transcript of Poll Presentation April 2013
Civitas Institute Poll Presentation
April 2013
600 Registered Voters: 25% Cell
Margin of Error =+/-4.00
Field Dates: April 20-22, 2013
National Research
21%
9%
7% 28%
32%
Party Self-ID
Strong GOP GOP
Democrat Strong Democrat
Independent
Party Registration
34%
43%
23%
Registration by Voter Roll
Republican Democrat Independent
#CivitasPoll
21%
44%
31%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Jan '11
Feb '11
Mar '11
May '11
Jul '11
Sep '11
Oct '11
Jan '12
Feb '12
Mar '12
May '12
July '12
Sep '12
Oct '12
Jan '13
Feb '13
Mar '13
Apr '13
Liberal Conservative Moderate
If you were to label yourself, would you say you are a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative in your political beliefs?
#CivitasPoll
Performance Data
37%
48%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70% Ja
n '1
1
Feb
'11
Mar
'11
May
'11
Jul '
11
Sep
'11
Oct
'11
Jan
'12
Feb
'12
May
'12
Jul '
12
Sep
'12
Oct
'12
Jan
'13
Feb
'13
Mar
'13
Ap
r '1
3
Right Direction Wrong Track
Do you feel things in North Carolina are generally headed in the right direction or have gotten off on the wrong track?
#CivitasPoll
38%
42%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Jan '12
Mar '12
May '12
Jul '12 Sep '12
Nov '12
Jan '13
Feb '13
Mar '13
Apr '13
Republican Democrat
And if the election for North Carolina State Legislature were held today, would you be voting for the:
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Now I am going to read you a list of people and organizations active in politics. After I read each name, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of that person or group. If you never heard of them, just tell me and we’ll go on to the next one…
Favorability
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32% 17% 10% 37% 5%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable
No Opinion
President Barack Obama
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25% 28% 12% 18% 18%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable
No Opinion
Governor Pat McCrory
#CivitasPoll
6% 34% 20% 13% 27%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable
No Opinion
North Carolina Legislature
#CivitasPoll
North Carolina Legislative Republicans
Republican 15% 27% 14% 26% 18%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable
No Opinion #CivitasPoll
16% 27% 17% 19% 22%
0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Very Favorable Somewhat Favorable
Somewhat Unfavorable Very Unfavorable
No Opinion
North Carolina Legislative Democrats
#CivitasPoll
Tax Topics
8% Strongly
53% Strongly
8%
13% Somewhat
17% Somewhat
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Support Opposed Undecided
Do you support or oppose a program that uses state taxpayer dollars to help pay for the political campaigns of judicial, Council of State and other statewide candidates?
#CivitasPoll
35%
13%
36%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Reducing the size of the state budget
Spending more money on state government programs
Reducing state tax rates
Increasing state tax rates
Of the following fiscal policy issues, which do you feel North Carolina state lawmakers should address FIRST?
#CivitasPoll
I'm going to read you a list of things you might purchase in any given month. Please tell me, to the best of your knowledge, if you pay the state sales tax when you purchase these things:
Sales Tax Knowledge
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95%
69%
31%
91%
44%
3%
19%
54%
7%
35%
2%
12%
15%
2%
21%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Clothes
Car Repairs
Haircuts
Groceries
Prescription Drugs
Yes No Don't Know
Sales Tax Knowledge
#CivitasPoll
If North Carolina were to completely eliminate its state personal income taxes while expanding the sales tax to also apply to services such as lawyers, accountants, car repair, house painting, etc., would this change make your household better off, worse off, or about the same?
Republican
#CivitasPoll
28%
19%
46%
7% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Better Off Worse Off About the Same
Don't Know
21%
15%
26%
13%
0% 10% 20% 30%
Eliminate income taxes
Eliminate sales taxes
Eliminate the corporate tax
Increase taxes to fund additional state government spending
Of the following state tax reform options, which do you feel would create the most jobs for North Carolina?
#CivitasPoll
37%
25%
16%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Reducing state government regulations on businesses
Increasing state spending on government programs such as
education, transportation, and Medicaid
Reducing the state tax burden
More subsidy programs that award taxpayer dollars to specific companies
North Carolina’s unemployment rate is 9.4 percent – tied for fifth highest in the nation. Which of the following policy changes would best help North Carolina lower its high unemployment rate?
#CivitasPoll
There is a proposal being considered that would reform North Carolina's tax system. Among other things, it would not tax the first $12,000 of any family's income, would institute a flat tax rate for personal income above that amount, and lower the corporate tax rate. The proposal would also lower the sales tax rate, BUT would expand sales taxes to services not currently being taxed.
Proposed Tax Reform
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22% Strongly 19%
Strongly 16%
29% Somewhat
13% Somewhat
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Support Opposed Undecided
Do you support or oppose this tax reform proposal?
#CivitasPoll
32%
23%
12%
11%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Fair, equal rates
Support flat tax
Lowers taxes, more money for the people
First $12,000 untaxed
Why do you support this tax plan?
#CivitasPoll
32%
15%
15%
14%
8%
8%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Oppose flat tax
Unfair
Only benefits corporations
Hurts the poor, only benefits the rich
Won't work, no benefit
Raises taxes, too expensive
Don't need more taxes
Why do you oppose this tax plan?
#CivitasPoll
41% Strongly
16% Strongly 10%
26% Somewhat
6% Somewhat
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Support Opposed Undecided
If you knew this tax reform plan would be the biggest tax cut in state history for North Carolina families, would you support or oppose the proposal?
#CivitasPoll
36% Strongly
9% Strongly
21%
26% Somewhat
7% Somewhat
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Support Opposed Undecided
If you knew this tax reform plan would be a $500 million tax cut for North Carolina families, would you support or oppose the proposal?
#CivitasPoll
Currently non-profit Hospitals get a state refund on sales taxes worth almost $150 million a year. With that in mind, please tell me which of the following comes closer to your own opinion when it comes to non-profit hospitals getting these sales tax refunds...
Republican
Oppose 52%
Support 32%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
...because recent news reports show these hospitals mark up the prices on life saving
cancer drugs by up to 500% and make billions of dollars in profits. Even though they are
nonprofits, these hospitals pay their executives multi-million dollar salaries
...because these hospitals provide a vital service, are a business, and tax refunds can help them make improvements in medical care and
equipment.
#CivitasPoll
UNC
The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill recently adopted a policy called "Gender Non-Specific Housing" which allows students of opposite sexes to apply for university housing and live in the same suite or apartment, but not the same room. They would share bathrooms and common living space in suites and apartments. The stated purpose for such housing is “concern for the safety of gay and transgendered students.”
UNC Housing
#CivitasPoll
22% Strongly
42% Strongly
9%
17% Somewhat
10% Somewhat
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Approve Disapprove Undecided
Do you approve or disapprove of Gender Non-Specific Housing?
#CivitasPoll
Questions?
Keep in touch with Civitas!
@nccivitas
facebook.com/CivitasInstitute
youtube.com/CivitasInstitute
5%
5%
9%
9%
12%
30%
31%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Don’t Know/Refused
Homemaker
Unemployed
Work for Government
Self Employed
Work for Private Company
Retired
Employment
#CivitasPoll
12%
30%
6%
31%
9% 5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
Jul '11
Sep '11
Oct '11
Jan '12
Feb '12
Mar '12
May '12
Jul '12
Sep '12
Oct '12
Jan '13
Feb '13
Mar '13
Apr '13
Are Self Employed Work for a Private Company Work for Government
Are a Spouse Are Retired Are Unemployed
In terms of your current employment status, would you say you…
#CivitasPoll
16%
29% 27%
23%
2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Highest Level of Education Completed
#CivitasPoll
3%
32%
20%
6% 4% 6% 1%
48%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Do you or an immediate family member get any government benefits such as Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, food stamps, VA benefits and so on?
#CivitasPoll
25%
20%
28%
14%
6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
66+ 56-65 41-55 26-40 18-25
Age
#CivitasPoll
72%
22%
3% 2%
White
Black
Latino
Native American
Ethnicity
#CivitasPoll
48% 52% Men
Women
Gender
#CivitasPoll
13%
14%
12%
18%
22%
21%
Northeast
Southeast
Western
Piedmont Triad
Charlotte
Triangle
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Geographic Area
#CivitasPoll