PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is...

26
PNE Group Presentation May 2019

Transcript of PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is...

Page 1: PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation

PNE GroupPresentation

May 2019

Page 2: PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation

2PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Disclaimer

This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities of

PNE AG and neither this presentation nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. This

presentation is being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person in whole or in

part.

All information contained herein has been carefully prepared. Nevertheless, we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.

The information contained in this presentation is subject to amendment, revision and updating. Certain statements contained in this presentation

may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on the company's current views and assumptions

and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements

as a result of, among others, factors, changing business or other market conditions and the prospects for growth anticipated by the management

of the Company. These and other factors could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. The

Company does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future

events or otherwise.

The distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should

inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of applicable

Securities Laws.

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3PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Agenda

I.

II.

III.

Company Profile & Business Model

Highlights 3M 2019

4

10

22

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4PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Who we are

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5PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

• PNE Group, consisting of the companies PNE AG

and WKN GmbH, is a leading wind farm developer

located in Northern Germany

> 2,900 MW realised onshore

• Germany’s most successful

project developer with

8 Offshore projects

sold totaling 2,644 MW

• Active in 14 countries

on 3 continents

• Nr. 2 player in operations &

management in Germany with

>1,500 MW under

management

• > € 10bn Euros of

investment done or initiated

…with a strong market position – nationally and internationally

Who we are

We are a leading developer of wind energy projects…

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6PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Who we are

We have a dedicated & experienced management team

• Seasoned wind energy pioneers with strong industry knowledge and large network

• CEO since May 2016

• COO 2011 - 2016

• Industry experience since 2000

• Sales, M&A, Procurement,

Offshore, Human Resources,

Communication

• CFO since April 2011

• Industry experience since 1999

• Finance and Accounting,

Controlling, Risk Management,

Legal

• COO since September 2016

• Industry experience since 1995

• Project Development,

Implementation, International

Markets

Jörg KlowatChief Financial Officer (CFO)

Markus LesserChairman of the

Board (CEO)

Kurt StürkenChief Operating Officer (COO)

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7PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

• Acquisition of

the site

• Wind analysis

• Selection of

equipment

• Permits

• Financial

analysis

• Legal concept

• Sales/

marketing

• Project financing

• Grid connection

• Infrastructure

• Assembly

• Start-up of

operations

• IPP

• Utility

• Infrastructure

fund

• Insurance

companies

• Technical and

commercial

management

Premium, bankable

projects with high certainty

of realization

Covering the entire value

chain – from a single source

Development, planning,

construction and operation

of wind farms onshore,

offshore and photovoltaics

Development ServiceIPP

Financing ConstructionSale

What we do

We have a successful business model

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8PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

VATTENFALLALLIANZBROOKFIELD INVESTORSDONG

Track Record

Major deals in recent years

2017

OFFSHORE

ATLANTIS I

Atlantis I ~584 MW

• Low double

digit € m payment

• Further milestone

payments expected

2016-17

ONSHORE

Wind farm

portfolio

142 MW of projects

• Enterprise value

(EV) > €330m

• Sales price in 2016

€103m for 80%

• Subsequent sales

price of €21m in

2017 and increase

of EV to > €360m

through optimiza-

tion of financing

UK

Pipeline Deal

2015

ONSHORE

PNE WIND UK ~

1,200 MW of

projects

• GBP 40m upfront

payment

• Up to GBP 63m

in milestones

possible till 2021

2012-18

ONSHORE

Various

international

project sales

• KGAL

• CEE

• CHORUS

• ALLIANZ

• ENBW

• ENEL

• JOHN LAING

2012

OFFSHORE

GODE WIND

Pipeline Deal

Gode Wind

~ 924 MW

• Payments of

€142m received

• Up to €15m due

as milestone

payments

B. Riffgrund

~ 760 MW

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9PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Agenda

I.

II.

III.

Company Profile & Business Model

Market & Strategy

Highlights 3M 2019

4

10

22

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10PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Market & Growth Drivers

Markets are becoming more integrated…

Source: e/m/w 2017, PNE AG

Battery storageBattery storage

Power gridPower gridWind

Power-to-heat

Pump

and

compressed

air storage

Households, businesses, industry

Power grid

E-Mobility

Electrolysis

Natural gas drive

MethanationPower gridWind Electrolysis MethanationPower gridWind Electrolysis Methanation Gas grid

Gas and steam power plants

Cogeneration power plants

Electricity flow

Hydrogen

Artificial natural gas

(generated through

green electricity)

Heat supply

CO2

Solar PV

Hydrogen drive

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11PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Challenges in the current market

• Regulatory uncertainties

• Auctions for grid connections and tariffs

• Growth (in MW) in established markets is stagnating, returns are decreasing

Market & Growth Drivers

Auction systems become the norm…

Global overview of renewable energy auctions

Chile (2016) $29.1/Mwh

Chile (2016) $21.9/Mwh

Peru (2016) $37.2/Mwh

Mexico (2016) $21.04/Mwh

Mexico (2016) $35.85/Mwh

Canada (2017) $85.94/Mwh

Argentinia (2016) $59/Mwh

Argentinia (2016) $49/Mwh

South Africa (2016) $38.32/Mwh

Zambia (2016) $60.2/Mwh

Abu Dhabi (2016) $24.2/Mwh

India (2017) $37.24/Mwh

Dubai (2016) $30/Mwh

Marokko (2016) $30/Mwh

UK (2015) $69.35/Mwh

Germany (2017) 60 €/Mwh

Germany (2017) 42 €/Mwh

Italy (2016) 58 €/MwhSpain (2017) 39 €/Mwh

Egypt (2016) $29.1/Mwh

Countries with auctions or renewable energy tenders in use or planned

Onshore wind bids

Solar PV bids

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

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12PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Market & Growth Drivers

… and are significantly impacting project pricing

• Increasing market competition, also between various technologies in the renewable energy sector

• Fast decreasing tariffs in auctions – Solar PV is catching up

• Current price trends in tender markets partly anticipate future technological developments and cost

reduction effects

• Larger projects require higher security deposits and greater need for pre-financing

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

US

D/M

Wh

Onshore wind average auction price

Solar PV average auction price

Source: Renewables 2017, IEA

Announced wind and solar PV auction prices by commissioning date

Onshore wind average auction price

Solar PV average auction price

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13PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Market & Growth Drivers

…But growth drivers are fully intact

Minimum prices for CO2

emissions

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14PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

EPEX Day Ahead EPEX Baseload EEG Auction historical Auction modelled

Market & Growth Drivers

Electricity prices will increase

Electricity prices Germany

• Electricity prices will increase as nuclear power plants will go offline in Germany and France

• Prices of CO2 certificates will increase

• This will open up new business opportunities (e.g. project sold in Sweden relies solely

on forecasted energy pricing)

Source: PNE AG

Modelled / AuctionedHistorical

EU

R/M

Wh

2022 2023

November 2017, 3,82 ct/kWh

Mai 2017, 5,78 ct/kWh

August 2017, 4,29 ct/kWh

Februar 2018, 4,73 ct/kWh

Mai 2018, 5,73 ct/kWh

August 2018, 6,16 ct/kWh

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15PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Market & Growth Drivers

While established markets are stagnating,

growth will be mainly driven by emerging markets

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Make Consulting, Baringa Analysis

WEAKEST WEAK STRONG STRONGEST

• By 2020 more than 40 countries could

each install >1GW of wind energy

• Diverse development stages

in the different markets offer

different risk / reward profiles

• Emerging markets will experience

a strong increase in energy demand

due to growing populations und

economies

• Ca. 7,200 GW are necessary by 2040

to meet increasing electricity demand

and planned power plant shutdowns

Page 16: PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation

16PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Market & Growth Drivers

Growth trend of renewable energies remains unbroken

and will continue in the future

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

PW

h/y

r

Solar PV

Offshore Wind

Onshore Wind

Hydro

Other

Gas-fired

Nuclear

Oil-fired

Coal-fired

• Wind and Solar PV will grow significantly and offer huge market potential in the short, mid and long term

• Will increasingly replace electricity generation from conventional energy sources

Source: DNV GL 2017

Solar PV

Offshore Wind

Onshore Wind

Global electricity production by generation type

Ma

rket p

ote

ntial

Hydro

Other

Gas-fired

Nuclear

Oil-fired

Coal-fired

Page 17: PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation

17PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

We are developing

into a Clean Energy

Solution Provider

Strategy

We are setting the course for the future:

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18PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Strategy

We are expanding our business:

We develop and

implement wind farms

onshore as well as

offshore.

CLEAN ENERGY

SOLUTION PROVIDERPROJECT

DEVELOPER

We develop and implement projects

and solutions for the planning,

construction and operation of

renewable energy power plants.

SOLUTIONS

CORE

ADAPT

LEVERAGE

EXPAND

Provide clean energy solutions

Grow our core business

Optimize our structures

Leverage our expertise

Expand along the value chain

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19PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Strategic Portfolio

• Build-up of an onshore project

portfolio of ca. 200 MW in

Europe by end of 2020

• Optimization and sale – partially

or completely

• Acquisition of existing wind farms

over 15 years old for repowering

and acquisition of already well

developed projects

Strategy

We capitalize on our core competencies…

…to open up further elements of the value chain

Services

• Grow O&M business to >2200 MW

under operational management

• Start smart energy supply

management

• Expand consulting solutions and

deliver everything necessary

around operation and optimization

for wind farms

Project development

• Will remain core business

• Significant volume increase above

400 MW p.a. across various

technologies in the mid term

• International markets will drive growth

• Combination of new technologies and

markets creates huge market potential

Page 20: PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation

20PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Strategy

Scale Up Milestones

2017

2018

2019

2020

• Start of ramp-up

phase

• Structures /

People /

Processes

• Implement Smart

Development

Team Hamburg

• Start build-up of

200MW portfolio

• Completion of

ramp-up phase

• First new

products/services

available

• First revenues

with new products

and services

• Partnering

• Improvement of

financing structure

• Development of

project pipeline in

the 1st new

market

• 1st PV project in

development

• Provide additional

services and

expand consulting

solutions

• Expansion of

Offshore

Development

• Sale of 200MW

portfolio share

• Completion and

sale of 1st

developed project

in new markets

• 1st PPA (Power

Purchase

Agreement) in

foreign markets

• Market entrance

2nd market

• Sale of 1st Hybrid

project

• Add further new

products/services

• Product range

of different Hybrid

Power Plants is in

place

• Start the build-up

of next portfolio

• Market entrance

3rd market

• Identify remaining

white spots in

regions, value

chain and

products

2023

• Finalisation of

SCALE UP

Page 21: PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation

21PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Agenda

I.

II.

III.

Company Profile & Business Model

Market & Strategy

Highlights 3M 2019

4

10

22

Page 22: PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation

22PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Current Business Development

Operational Highlights Q1 2019

Successes in the onshore wind business – nationally and internationally

Scale Up – Implementation fully on track

Successes in the offshore business

Wind Farm Portfolio 2020 – Progress as scheduled

• Projects completed: Gerdau-Repowering (21.6 MW), Laxaskogen (25.2 MW), Laperrière (19.2 MW)

• 44.4 MW of project rights sold in Italy

• 27.2 MW of projects under construction in Germany

• Tender win of 4.7 MW in Germany

• New permits in Germany received for 30.6 MW

• Total MW in pipeline increased by 321 MW to 5,204 MW

• Borkum Riffgrund 2 put into operation by Ørsted

• 4 offshore wind farms, which were developed by PNE, with output of 1,344 MW now in operation

• Project Gerdau-Repowering (21.6 MW) completed

• Wind farm Schlenzer (6.5 MW) under construction

• Service business strengthened with new products and acquisition of Argus GmbH

• Successful market entry in Panama

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23PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Current Business Development

Wind Onshore

Phase I – II = Exploration & Development

Phase III = Planning

Phase IV = Implementation till handover

Land I-II III IV Total MW

Germany 1,402 208 27 1,637

Bulgaria 121 0 0 121

France 373 149 0 522

United Kingdom 43 0 0 43

Italy 40 0 0 40

Canada 505 0 0 505

Panama 352 0 0 352

Poland 92 132 0 224

Romania 54 102 0 156

South Africa 230 30 0 260

Sweden 0 170 0 170

Turkey 629 71 0 700

Hungary 0 42 0 42

USA 232 200 0 432

Total 4,073 1,104 27 5,204

As of March 31, 2019

• Germany – Good activity despite delays in

permitting process

• Project Gerdau-Repowering (21.6 MW) completed

• Kittlitz (21 MW) under construction

• Schlenzer (6.5 MW) under construction

• Klein Büllesheim (4.7 MW) successful in tender

• New permits for Willerstedt (13.8 MW) and

Wölsickendorf (16.8 MW)

• France – Strong momentum continues

• Project Laperrière (19.2 MW) completed

• Sweden – Project completed

• Project Laxaskogen (25.2 MW) completed

• Poland – Project sold

• Construction management for Barwice (42 MW)

• Jasna (132 MW) sold to Stadtwerke München [Q2]

• Panama – Pipeline acquired

• 5 projects with approx. 352 MW

• USA – Project sold

• Burleigh sold to Burke Wind, LLC [Q2]

Page 24: PNE Group · 2019-06-03 · PNE AG IIGroup Presentation May 2019 2 Disclaimer This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute a public offer or invitation

24PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Current Business Development

Wind Offshore

Phase 2 = Application conference held, 3 = Hearing held,

4 = Approval granted, 5 = Grid connection, 6 = Investment decision,

7 = Under construction, 8 = In operation

• Borkum Riffgrund 2 put into operation by Ørsted

in Q1 2019

• Active as service provider for projects sold

• Consultant agreements in place with Ørsted &

Vattenfall

• Further milestone payments expected

• Up to € 15m from Gode Wind 4

• Regulatory changes

• According to WindSeeG all projects in Zone 3 to 5

will be brought into the “Central Model” to be

tendered off by the government

• As legal opinions conclude that parts of WindSeeG

are unconstitutional, a constitutional complaint has

been filed in July 2017 together with others

• Our expectation of a successful outcome of the

constitutional complaint and claim for damages

remains unchanged

Zone Sold projects Phase #WEA Total MW Sold to

1 Borkum Riffgrund 1 8 78 312 Ørsted (DONG)

1 Borkum Riffgrund 2 8 56 448 Ørsted (DONG)

1 Gode Wind 1 & 2 8 / 8 55 + 42 582 Ørsted (DONG)

1 Gode Wind 3 & 4 5 / 5 30 242 Ørsted (DONG)

2 Atlantis I 3 73 584 Vattenfall

4 HTOD5 (Nautilus II) 2 68 476 Ventizz/Hochtief

Total 402 2,644

Atlantis I*

Atlantis II

Atlantis III

Nemo

Nautilus I

Jules Verne

Gode Wind 1*

Gode Wind 2*

Gode Wind 3*

Gode Wind 4*

Nautilus II*

Borkum Riffgrund I*

Borkum Riffgrund II*

* Project sold, PNE

act as service provider

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

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25PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

Onshore wind power

Outlook

Outlook – Promising start to the year

Scale up

Offshore wind power

• Development of project pipeline in the 1st new market Panama

• Examination of entrance into further new markets: e.g. PV international

• 1st PV project in development: PV projects started in Germany and international markets

• Additional services and consulting solutions introduced

• Ongoing consultant agreements with Ørsted and Vattenfall

• Explore new markets (e.g. USA)

• Sale of project Jasna (132 MW) - Poland and sale project rights of Burleigh (298 MW) – USA in Q2/2019

• Promising outlook due to well-filled project pipeline in Germany and France with a total of 357 MW in Phase III

• Continue build-up of Wind Farm Portfolio 2020

• Continue ongoing sales processes in international markets

Positive outlook for FY 2019 confirmed

• EBIT of € 15-20m, EBITDA of € 25-30m

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26PNE AG II Group Presentation II May 2019

CONTACT

Rainer Heinsohn

Head of Communication

Tel: +49 (0) 4721 – 718 - 453

Fax: +49 (0) 4721 – 718 - 373

E-mail: [email protected]

Christopher Rodler

Head of Investor Relations

Tel: +49 (0) 40 879 331 14

Fax: +49 (0) 4721 – 718 - 373

E-mail: [email protected]

www.pne-ag.comHarnessing the power of the wind means for us

connecting environmental responsibility with

corporate success

PNE AG