Planning for the Future in a Changing Environment
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Transcript of Planning for the Future in a Changing Environment
Planning for the Future in a Changing Environment
2016 D-STOP SymposiumUniversity of Texas at Austin
April 1, 2016
Arash Mirzaei, P.E.North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG)
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North Central Texas Council of Governments
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Regional Perspective
Popula
tion
•2015: 7.0 million•2040: 10.7 million•4th Largest MSA by Population
Area
•9,441 square miles•2nd Largest Metropolitan Planning Area
Econo
my
•Home to 18 Fortune 500 Firms•Ranked 6th in Gross Metropolitan Product
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Transportation Planning Issues in DFW
Increased travel time
Air quality non-attainment
Lack of coordination between land-use and transportation investments
Central Expressway at Belt Line Road
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Blueprint for the region’s transportation system
> 20-year timeframe
Updated every 4 years
Financially constrained
Metropolitan Transportation Plan
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Mobility 2040 Prioritization and Expenditures
Max
imize
Ex
isting
Sys
tem
Stra
tegi
c In
fras
truc
ture
Inve
stm
ent
$37.4
$7.2
$3.6
$27.2
$43.4Freeways/Tollways and Arterials
Additional Vehicle Capacity
HOV/Managed LanesIncrease Auto Occupancy
Rail and BusInduce Switch to Transit
Growth, Development, And Land Use Strategies
More Efficient Land Use & Transportation Balance
Management and Operations• Improve Efficiency & Remove Trips from System• Traffic Signals and Bicycle & Pedestrian Improvements
Infrastructure Maintenance• Maintain & Operate Existing Facilities• Bridge Replacements
Mobility 2040 Expenditures $118.9*
*Actual dollars, in billions. Values may not sum due to independent rounding.
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2017
2040
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1. Understand future technologies to support CAV
2. Develop possible future scenarios for DFW region
3. Investigate effects on both supply and demand sides, and identify changes to the NCTCOG planning process
University Partnership Program – Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs)
Project goals
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Task 1 – Future Technologies
1. Vehicle technologies
2. Infrastructure needs
3. Legal aspects
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Task 2 – Future Scenarios
1. Likely future scenarios
2. Timeline for future scenarios
3. When and how does NCTCOG need to act?
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Impact
Transportation Network Behavior
Public Transportation
Land Use
Safety
Environment
Task 3 – Future Impacts
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Contact
• Arash Mirzaei, P.E.• Model Development and Data Management, NCTCOG• Tel: 817-695-9261• E-mail: [email protected]