PIA + Prepare SeminarChallenges to Victorian ResilienceLew ShortGeneral Manager Risk, Consequence & Resilience

“The world has entered the era of ‘mega crisis’ or catastrophic emergencies’ whose force and magnitude defy even the best laid plans and the most robust response systems”

Professor Paul ‘t Hart

• Our focus has been on hazard and risk not necessarily consequences and cascading consequences.

• What is a reasonable tolerance of risk?• Post event, our first response is to build it back. • The question needs to be asked “should we

build it back and what does the new normal look like?”

Planning and building challenges

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EM Resilience ChallengesEM Resilience Challenges• More frequent & intense natural disasters. Longer & deeper droughts, more frequent

& intense bushfires, extreme heat, more costly storms & floods, sea level rise… • There will be more of us (Vic 6m to 10m 2021) & aged population• Catastrophic events will overwhelm emergency services• Natural disasters will cost us a lot (around $12 billion by 2030) • Insurers will be price signalling to reflect risk & exposure;• Integrated landuse planning and building• Tension in the planning system • The precautionary principle• Expectations of the community… will be for no loss of life or assets;• We will be network centric (fragility of systems, dependency of community);• More warnings and evacuations = > losses of assets• Violent extremism• Health and epidemic

The Opportunity

Resilience hard coded into the landscape….

Based on:

•Liveability;

•Sustainability;

•Wellbeing;

•Viability

How do we do this?

@lewshort14

http://www.slideshare.net/LewShort

ThanksThanks