Photovoltaics; Opportunities and Challenges Photovoltaics; Opportunities and Challenges Harnessing...
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Transcript of Photovoltaics; Opportunities and Challenges Photovoltaics; Opportunities and Challenges Harnessing...
Emanuel Sachs Fred Fort Flowers and Daniel Fort Flowers
Professor of Mechanical Engineering MIT
Photovoltaics; Opportunities and Challenges
Harnessing solar energy is critical
• Covering 0.2% of the land area of the US with 20% efficient PV systems would generate all the electricity that the US consumes
History and Status of Silicon PV
*LCOE calculated assuming 5.75kWh/m2/day (17% capacity factor), a 7% discount rate, and a 30-year project life.
Solar at the cost of coal
Wafers; Sawn ingots vs. Kerfless Current Silicon-Wafer Process
Cast Ingot Cut Brick
5
Saw Wafers Clean & Damage Etch Wafers
2X of Everything for
1 Wafer
Silicon to Wafer in 1 Machine
Mold Wafer
Pure Silicon
50% contaminated
waste
Pure Silicon
1366 Direct Wafer (DW)
Direct Wafer: Timeline
1/09 Dec Conception
First Tin Wafers
First Silicon Wafers
Win $500k NREL
Win $4M
ARPA-E
First cells
1/10 6” furnace design and build
Scale to 3” wafers
12.5% cells
15-16% on 6”
wafers
String Ribbon silicon Issues: 1. Break quality /
throughput tradeoff
2. Reduce capital costs
3. Produce standard‐size wafer
Vertical ribbon growth Increasing Growth rate → Low Lifetime
→ high dislocation density → low lifetime (after Bentzen, J. Appl Phys. 99)
Maximize growth rate → high temperature gradient & curvature → high stress
Te m pe
ra tu re
Height
Self-Aligned Cell
Self‐Aligned MetallizaUon
30µm fingers Texture and grooves in 1 step
Light-trapping texture guides precision metallization
9
Isotexture Issues • Light trapping • CosmeUc uniformity and consistency
• Saw damage sensiUvity • Wafer quality sensiUvity
– ShunUng at dislocaUons • Inconsistent with future PV direcUons – Rear dielectrics – Kerfless wafers
1366 Texture Solution • Elegant, low‐cost, texturing technology to simultaneously:
1. Form honeycomb front texture o Best proven texture for
mulU
2. Polish the back 3. Form front grooves if
desired o High performance
metallizaUon
1366 Metallization Solution
• Self aligned deposiUon of Ag paste into grooves • Plated fingers
China Leading Global Race to Make Clean Energy Jan 30, 2010
• Largest Manuf of Wind Turbines
• Largest Manuf of solar panels
• 2% loans to build factories
PV in China
• Cost of capital • Labor rate • Cost of raw materials • Permicng and Environmental
Total cost advantage with idenUcal technology ~30%
Basic Science; US Dominates
Balance of Trade??
Can Silicon PV be Manufactured in US Silicon is >80% of PV market,
but US trails Asia/Europe
Source: Photon International
1366 Strategy in Cell Making
• Sell Equipment • Partnered with RENA, global leader in wet processing for PV, based in Germany
• First product launch scheduled for Sept 2010
U.S. In Manufacturing: The Bigger Picture
Restoring American Competitiveness Gary Pisano and Willy Shih Harvard Business Review, July-Aug 2009.
• Decades of outsourcing manufacturing has left U.S. industry without the means to invent the next generation of high-tech products that are key to rebuilding its economy”
• Industrial Commons: the collective R&D, engineering, and manufacturing capabilities that sustain innovation
Summary
• Lots of US innovaUon in PV • US may be able to secure a posiUon in PV manufacturing equipment
• In current environment, Asia will dominate manufacturing of PV products.
• Economists need to take into account collateral damage of moving manufacturing offshore.
• Loss of supply chain jobs. • Loss of industrial commons.