Perú: Recent Economic Developments and Perspectives Central Reserve Bank of Peru October 2002.
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Transcript of Perú: Recent Economic Developments and Perspectives Central Reserve Bank of Peru October 2002.
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Per: Recent Economic Developments and PerspectivesCentral Reserve Bank of PeruOctober 2002
*
ContentsGDP: Sources of GrowthBalance of PaymentsMonetary PolicyFiscal Policy
*
GDP and Domestic Demand rates of growth GDP January-August 2002: 4,1%
*
Private Fixed Investment rate of growth In the third quarter of 2002 Private Investment has increased 4,4 percent
*
Global Supply and DemandATPDEA: Extension of trade agreement with US (Clothing and agricultural products)Investment: Camisea Gas project (US$ 300 million in 2002 and US$ 500 million in 2003).Terms of trade: 3,2% in 2002 and 2,3% in 2003.GDP growth in 2003 (trade partmers): 2,9%El Nio (moderate) with possitive impacts in crops like grapes, mango, corn, sweet potatoes and sugar cane. Negative impact in fishing.
6 Real
TABLE 1|
GLOBAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND
(Percent variations)
2002
2001I Sem.I I Sem.Year200320042005
I.GLOBAL DEMAND (1 + 2)0.43.53.83.63.65.25.8
1.Domestic demand-0.72.63.93.33.14.95.2
a.Private consumption1.33.53.83.63.04.84.9
b.Public consumption-0.54.22.53.30.21.11.8
c.Domestic gross investment-8.0-1.45.11.74.37.28.1
- of which private investment-5.2-0.25.92.63.88.07.8
- Public-19.0-7.82.2-2.36.47.58.2
2.Exports6.98.63.15.66.46.89.0
II.GLOBAL SUPPLY (3 + 4)0.43.53.83.63.65.25.8
3.Gross Domestic Product0.24.23.13.73.5-4.05.05.5
a.Primary sectors1.98.23.96.14.36.17.1
b.Non-primary sectors-0.23.23.03.13.34.75.1
4.Imports1.6-0.87.43.34.26.57.5
1/ Estimated
2/ Projected
Source: Macroeconomic Framework 2003-2005
*
Gross Domestic Product (by Sector)GDP driven by growth of primary sectors.Mining growth in 2002 due to the increase in zinc production (Antamina) and copper (Southern). In 2003 the growth is explained by greater zinc, copper and silver production. Manufacturing growth during 2003 will respond to positive effects due to the ATPDEA.Increase on manufacturing and construction lead this impulse through their positive impact on employment.
Hoja1
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(Percent variations)
200120022003
ECONOMIC SECTORSI Sem.II Sem.Year
Agriculture and Livestock-0.66.41.74.33.4
Fishing-13.3-8.312.1-0.85.5
Mining and Fuel11.220.96.412.94.9
Manufacturing-1.11.93.72.83.9
Construction-6.08.95.47.14.2
Trade0.02.12.72.43.3
Other Services0.43.02.62.83.1
GDP0.24.23.13.73,5-4,0
GDP Primary Sectors1.98.23.96.14.3
GDP Non-Primary Sectors-0.23.23.03.13.3
Hoja2
Hoja3
*
World Economy
Data1
Tipo cambio
2001Interbank
2001Ene. 23.520
Ene. 33.523
Ene. 43.519
53.518
83.517
93.518
103.519
113.516
123.520
153.521
163.521
173.518
183.520
193.521
223.524
233.528
243.531
253.528
263.533
293.538
303.536
313.533
FebFeb. 13.530
Feb. 23.529
Feb. 53.532
Feb. 63.530
73.532
83.532
93.530
123.532
133.532
143.531
153.529
163.526
193.525
203.526
213.528
223.531
233.532
263.526
273.526
283.523
MarMar. 13.520
Mar. 23.520
Mar. 53.518
Mar. 63.516
Mar. 73.516
83.518
93.518
123.518
133.518
143.519
153.519
163.522
193.522
203.522
213.523
223.525
233.526
263.521
273.521
283.522
293.522
303.525
AprApr. 23.524
Apr. 33.525
Apr. 43.525
53.527
63.532
93.545
103.546
113.544
163.546
173.562
183.575
193.580
203.583
233.588
243.592
253.595
263.593
273.592
303.585
MayMay. 23.589
May. 33.598
May. 43.599
May. 73.594
May. 83.606
93.611
103.609
113.604
143.604
153.601
163.601
173.600
183.602
213.596
223.588
233.589
243.590
253.593
283.612
293.616
303.618
313.628
JunJun. 13.636
Jun. 43.568
Jun. 53.554
Jun. 63.552
Jun. 73.530
83.522
113.519
123.522
133.514
143.510
153.515
183.527
193.523
203.520
213.519
223.520
253.522
263.523
273.519
283.512
JulJul. 23.513
Jul. 33.514
Jul. 43.519
Jul. 53.519
Jul. 63.520
93.511
103.510
113.512
123.516
133.508
163.508
173.503
183.496
193.495
203.494
233.493
243.497
253.493
263.488
273.487
313.488
AgoAgo. 13.496
Ago. 23.499
Ago. 33.499
Ago. 63.501
Ago. 73.501
83.493
93.491
103.492
133.491
143.492
153.492
163.491
173.491
203.496
213.497
223.490
233.490
243.490
273.490
283.486
293.483
313.482
Sep33.479
43.481
53.484
63.484
73.483
103.482
113.495
123.493
133.495
143.504
173.504
183.501
193.501
203.501
213.502
243.493
253.486
263.483
273.484
283.482
Oct13.480
23.481
33.478
43.477
53.477
93.476
103.473
113.468
123.463
153.454
163.447
173.453
183.450
193.451
223.450
233.453
243.452
253.454
263.452
293.450
303.446
313.441
Nov53.439
63.444
73.449
83.447
93.446
123.447
133.443
143.440
153.437
163.438
193.437
203.435
213.435
223.438
233.437
263.438
273.438
283.436
293.435
303.435
Dic33.433
43.434
53.430
63.430
73.430
103.431
113.430
123.431
133.431
143.431
173.433
183.436
193.440
203.445
213.442
243.442
263.443
273.441
283.442
313.444
200223.441
33.441
43.444
73.444
83.448
93.459
103.486
113.477
143.472
153.457
163.460
173.457
183.459
213.462
223.463
233.461
243.462
253.464
283.466
293.467
303.479
313.479
Feb13.477
43.484
53.486
63.487
73.485
83.487
113.485
123.475
133.475
143.475
153.469
183.469
193.472
203.473
213.476
223.480
253.478
263.475
273.473
283.470
Mar13.470
43.469
53.463
63.459
73.458
83.454
113.456
123.453
133.452
143.451
153.454
183.454
193.456
203.456
213.456
223.455
253.453
263.451
273.446
Abr13.444
23.452
33.450
43.447
53.445
83.445
93.443
103.442
113.443
123.440
153.438
163.431
173.430
183.431
193.428
223.429
233.432
243.436
253.438
263.438
293.437
303.434
May23.434
33.436
63.434
73.433
83.434
93.440
103.447
133.452
143.449
153.447
163.452
173.457
203.459
213.464
223.470
233.469
243.453
273.455
283.469
293.470
303.461
313.461
Jun33.466
43.473
53.470
73.471
103.468
113.467
123.471
133.466
143.463
173.464
183.468
193.475
203.491
213.511
243.510
253.499
263.510
273.507
283.510
Jul13.511
23.519
33.525
43.525
53.538
83.539
93.537
103.545
113.557
123.546
153.538
163.533
173.538
183.536
193.530
223.518
233.527
243.538
253.544
263.536
313.555
Ago13.557
23.544
53.545
63.557
73.553
83.535
93.550
123.568
133.574
143.570
153.566
163.562
193.560
203.570
213.576
223.594
233.595
263.596
273.604
283.615
293.615
Set23.613
33.634
43.643
53.653
63.638
93.619
103.610
113.607
123.590
133.566
163.590
173.601
183.600
Data1
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0
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0
0
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0
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0
0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
0
0
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0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
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0
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0
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0
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0
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0
Incertidumbre poltica: elecciones
Efecto 11 de setiembre
Crisis Argentina
Impuesto a la renta y vencimientos forwards
Incertidumbre en Brasil y Uruguay
Factores polticos internos
TIPO DE CAMBIO INTERBANCARIO VENTAEne 2001- Set 2002
Hoja2
GROWTH OF MAIN TRADE PARTNERS1/
(Percentage)
Weight of Trade Partners * (%)September Forecast
200120022003
Trade Partners1001.21.42.9
North America390.32.22.7
United States340.32.22.6
Europe241.61.32.3
Asia162.63.04.3
Latin America221.4-1.32.8
Note:
World Average2.22.83.7
* Weighted by 2001 trade share (excluding oil).
1/ Source: World Economic Outlook FMI
*
ContentsGDP: Sources of GrowthBalance of PaymentsMonetary PolicyFiscal Policy
*
Sustainable External Accounts% of GDP
*
New Projects will turn Trade Balance into surplusMillion US$
*
Foreign financing requirementThe foreign financing requirement in 2002 amounts to US$ 5,3 billion, thus decreasing down to US$ 3,1 billion in 2003.Non-financial public sectors requirement will decrease its foreign financing requirement from US$ 2,9 billion in 2002 to US$ 1,8 billion in 2003.
Hoja1
200120022003
I SemII. SemII SemYear
(Millones of US$)
1. Current account-1094-641-598-598-1239-1119
(% de GDP)-2.0-2.2-2.2-2.2-2.2-1.9
2. Total amortization179797991491418931933
a. Non-Financial public sector1/7684325055059371074
b. Private sector1029547409409956859
0
3. NIR accumulation433513737737125070
0
4. Gross foreign financing requirement (=-1+2+3)332421332,249224943823122
a. Non financial public sector1/13519101,136113620461827
b. Private sector197312231,113111323361295
1/ Excluding Bradys Bond swap of febreary 2002.
Hoja2
Hoja3
*
Net International ReservesOctober 22: US$ 9 9 75 million
*
Indicators of External Vulnerabilities
Hoja1
INDICATORS OF EXTERNAL SECTOR VULNERABILITY: 2001
1. Current Account Balance (% of GDP)2%
2. Export concentration
4 products48%
4 countries50%
3. Net International Reserves/Short Term Liabilities200%
4. External Debt (% of GDP)37%
5. Public Debt Service (% of Exports)26%
Hoja2
Hoja3
*
ContentsGDP: Sources of GrowthBalance of PaymentsMonetary PolicyFiscal Policy
*
Inflation Target: 2.5% +/- 1%.Inflation Targeting adopted in 2002Jan-Sep 2002:Headline 1,2 percentCore 1,3 percent
*
Exchange Rate Indicators
Hoja1
Grfico 4
EXCHANGE RATE INDICATORS
January 2001-September 2002
Hoja1
599.45743598.9194326241
587.031433.698.9194326241
567.659427.698.9194326241
590.429360.297.1729408435
613.963330.397.1729408435
604.338350.497.1729408435
613.455350.497.1729408435
607.333357.597.1729408435
624.37359.8101.6900651005
637.957363.7101.6900651005
642.627369.5101.6900651005
644.327372101.6900651005
632.132404.1101.6900651005
626.482419.7101.3934333428
618.752431.9101.3934333428
620.805437.7101.3934333428
627.8440.6101.3934333428
610.77434.9101.3934333428
628.286380.7116.6006227003
616.669404.6116.6006227003
606.761406116.6006227003
583.368443.9116.6006227003
591.378426.2116.6006227003
567.261461.5119.0621629293
593.659426.1119.0621629293
574.977435.7119.0621629293
553.078444.5119.0621629293
554.501444.1119.0621629293
549.887448.2117.8220266818
531.468455117.8220266818
541.47449.7117.8220266818
563.752427117.8220266818
556.673420.7117.8220266818
574.703410.3131.2435424354
571.207406.8131.2435424354
591.26383.3131.2435424354
579.654398.6131.2435424354
596.918394.8131.2435424354
606.882405.6127.2747658246
596.472399.4127.2747658246
590.632401.2127.2747658246
599.059414.1127.2747658246
594.511409.9127.2747658246
583.293427.7135.6191827469
579.121403.981135.6191827469
587.658388.2135.6191827469
607.09373.5135.6191827469
612.519367.1135.6191827469
588.66380.9149.6980703746
588.865374.4149.6980703746
614.544363.6149.6980703746
612.777366.9149.6980703746
599.206378.4149.6980703746
616.914382.1167.9344494892
609.461379.2167.9344494892
582.223412.7167.9344494892
594.9420.3167.9344494892
580.1426167.9344494892
599410.8163.4602724177
595.8430.8163.4602724177
580.1440.2163.4602724177
586424.5163.4602724177
596.95403.9163.4602724177
597.55437.4139.0539160045
586.55444139.0539160045
602.31446.6139.0539160045
575.61461.2139.0539160045
562.61486.6139.0539160045
589.31483.2148.1042654028
571.51495.2148.1042654028
586.21516.9148.1042654028
603.11499.9148.1042654028
586.1514.5162.4636186228
591.3515.3162.4636186228
586.9501.8162.4636186228
588.2527.9162.4636186228
598.5547.8183.6944521885
606.5555.1183.6944521885
590586.6183.6944521885
572608.7183.6944521885
562.7613.3183.6944521885
572.8587.3204.5411207137
572.1590.1204.5411207137
558.8579.5204.5411207137
554.351589.2204.5411207137
570.7574.3196.8006626173
545.6583.7196.8006626173
536.8585.7196.8006626173
550.1591196.8006626173
558.2598.3196.8006626173
580596.1205.8934290447
566592.6205.8934290447
523.7626.2205.8934290447
540.4616.7205.8934290447
531595.4205.8934290447
565.5566190.3139149641
562.3576.1190.3139149641
553.6583.9190.3139149641
556.7581.5190.3139149641
565.7567190.3139149641
573.6558.3182.1093318608
565.1573.7182.1093318608
564.5570.3182.1093318608
574.7580.3182.1093318608
569.4585.8182.1093318608
591.1584.7191.4861941361
584.4552.8191.4861941361
573.8545.2191.4861941361
561.7540.1191.4861941361
565.1528.4191.4861941361
576.1510.8185.4602903501
578.7499.8185.4602903501
600.1493.4185.4602903501
585.7518.4185.4602903501
597512.9185.4602903501
619.7516.7184.0677483632
594.3545.6184.0677483632
572.6548.1184.0677483632
557.1551.3184.0677483632
574.7534.2184.0677483632
593.2512.7209.7469399374
591.5500.4209.7469399374
598.9488.3209.7469399374
593.6492.5209.7469399374
599.6508.8209.4543125534
558.7523.9209.4543125534
555.5516209.4543125534
560.2511.3209.4543125534
560.4509.4209.4543125534
569.4507.6229.7028964726
549.8517.5229.7028964726
551.9537229.7028964726
541.8544.1229.7028964726
559.1554.1229.7028964726
563.2571.8289.1187266992
553.1571.5289.1187266992
532.7582289.1187266992
524590289.1187266992
537560.5289.1187266992
530.8565.5288.3868655004
504.4594.3288.3868655004
496.4589.2288.3868655004
481.5603288.3868655004
472.1606.7288.3868655004
476.6601.8290.9744766275
462.2599290.9744766275
460.1585.9290.9744766275
436.2592.6290.9744766275
480.9546.7289.8716255026
479.2541.6289.8716255026
486.3556.3289.8716255026
477.3565.1289.8716255026
475.3570.8289.8716255026
466.3573.4282.5919012062
482.3555.1282.5919012062
500.2544.1282.5919012062
496.3559.4282.5919012062
471.5586.9282.5919012062
470.2603.6291.0537047674
443609.3291.0537047674
446.6615.7291.0537047674
441.1618.1291.0537047674
428.4622.7291.0537047674
429.9620.8294.1140149339
440.3597.3294.1140149339
437.8596.4294.1140149339
434.6593.9294.1140149339
446595.5268.2610568639
445.4601268.2610568639
423603.1268.2610568639
439.1592268.2610568639
454.4575.6268.2610568639
466.1571.9244.2914154465
457.1577.5244.2914154465
438.4593244.2914154465
450.8591.6244.2914154465
470.3593.4244.2914154465
468.7617.2264.343095033
483.3567.6264.343095033
479.8576264.343095033
487.8574.6264.343095033
489.3571.6264.343095033
509.3572279.0347401665
488.7575.3279.0347401665
475.8581.3279.0347401665
476.7574.8279.0347401665
476.8575.5279.0347401665
667.1572.1295.6078093597
687560.2295.6078093597
679.7571.9295.6078093597
675.2577.3295.6078093597
675.4563.2295.6078093597
578.8571.9305.4612031386
561.1579.9305.4612031386
566573.7305.4612031386
585.9570.8305.4612031386
572.8592311.6460331299
562.5601.7311.6460331299
557.8593.4311.6460331299
567.4606311.6460331299
570.8611.5311.6460331299
525.9634.5293.2400464981
525615.5293.2400464981
531.3617.1293.2400464981
506.9624.3293.2400464981
516.4611.6293.2400464981
514.1611.2287.9761697181
522.5594.5287.9761697181
500.6606.7287.9761697181
526.6595.3287.9761697181
553.6583.6299.7461426492
524.4608.2299.7461426492
529.9606.4299.7461426492
528.8607299.7461426492
548.5581.4305.5784570597
542.8591.6305.5784570597
552.7595.2305.5784570597
530.8625.8305.5784570597
548.9605.9305.5784570597
576.8592.8314.1106259098
562.8604.6314.1106259098
548.2612.2314.1106259098
549.8608.2314.1106259098
560.2601.1314.1106259098
565.9605.7297.5487627365
549.8619.7297.5487627365
537621.1297.5487627365
535.5626.2297.5487627365
554.2611.6297.5487627365
585618337.4320232897
583.8607.5337.4320232897
572.7610.3337.4320232897
555.5617.2337.4320232897
561.1611.9337.4320232897
569.6596.3350.475029036
579.3602.2350.475029036
558.7609.5350.475029036
563.5603.2350.475029036
579.5598.1350.475029036
586.9600.9330.637340302
578.5599330.637340302
578.7592.3330.637340302
580.7603330.637340302
587.3615.3330.637340302
580.1622.1270.7947154472
594.7601.6270.7947154472
605.7606.5270.7947154472
594.7598.6270.7947154472
611.8585269.7151567944
586586.4269.7151567944
565.7576.9269.7151567944
562.7571.6269.7151567944
577.6569.2281.381125216
553.4578.1281.381125216
576565.3281.381125216
571.6583.5281.381125216
585.3578.6281.381125216
602.4562.9284.6980155306
588.9577.9284.6980155306
589.8572.1284.6980155306
586.22599.5284.6980155306
582.6611.21284.6980155306
592.12618.61280.9692263446
591.66636.3280.9692263446
605.38643.07280.9692263446
607.3636.1280.9692263446
608.4643.7280.9692263446
628.1629.8266.9447799827
626.9626.3266.9447799827
583.3662.2266.9447799827
586.2679.6266.9447799827
589.9686.5266.9447799827
576.6713.4239.7838616715
576.3715.8239.7838616715
528.6748.5239.7838616715
558.2727.5239.7838616715
569.7721.3239.7838616715
563.5723.9242.681556196
576.9707.6242.681556196
561.4710.1242.681556196
560.1725.6242.681556196
587.7715.7242.681556196
573.1731.2235.521037464
557.2739.8235.521037464
562.4745.5235.521037464
579.3757.7235.521037464
601.5756.1235.521037464
611.7769.8196.7452449568
616.6753.3196.7452449568
593.2763196.7452449568
600.9761.9196.7452449568
642740.4196.7452449568
648.6718.6203.0580383053
633.9721.1203.0580383053
634.1704.5203.0580383053
610.2730.3203.0580383053
589.6739.7203.0580383053
583.3744.7200.9361578642
610.6724.4200.9361578642
581.6754.9200.9361578642
602.2732.8200.9361578642
602.8726.9200.9361578642
616.4693.7198.2704585026
612.9673.2198.2704585026
609.5684.4198.2704585026
630.4661.6198.2704585026
630.6674.2198.2704585026
632.2666211.6178177597
627.2655.9211.6178177597
627660.1211.6178177597
634.7682.4211.6178177597
618.4671.2190.417295415
630664.8190.417295415
650.1663190.417295415
644.6681.8190.417295415
653.9674183.6269656377
639679.2183.6269656377
691632.2183.6269656377
672.5646.5183.6269656377
648666.6183.6269656377
690.3660.4168.4804892254
714.2649168.4804892254
712.5669.6168.4804892254
688.8692.1168.4804892254
684.1689168.4804892254
691.9694.8182.5538730344
683.9691.1182.5538730344
689.1705.7182.5538730344
673.9727.2182.5538730344
670.9738.7182.5538730344
683.7722.2171.1869539895
689.9726171.1869539895
696705.1171.1869539895
688.4708.3171.1869539895
706.8696.1169.4325339497
680.3687.5169.4325339497
674.5686.4169.4325339497
659.8699.6169.4325339497
659.5709.9169.4325339497
674.1724.1182.8422421266
671.9746.8182.8422421266
680.5749.5182.8422421266
682.3755.4182.8422421266
678.8762.6182.8422421266
684.1776.7209.895405952
663.3776209.895405952
653.2794.9209.895405952
647.1792.2209.895405952
673.1771.4209.895405952
665.1748.9213.9384570933
635.4764.7213.9384570933
633765.9213.9384570933
646.1752.9213.9384570933
643.5760.7213.9384570933
636.6782.4228
625.7782.9228
644771.9228
639.6768.6228
648.5763.1205.3071225071
641.4771.9205.3071225071
647.4772205.3071225071
657.2782205.3071225071
668774.9205.3071225071
674.4778.8204.5982905983
673.1779204.5982905983
663.6786.9204.5982905983
692.2776.5204.5982905983
684.8806.4204.5982905983
685.2835.4235.8735042735
675.2840.4235.8735042735
657.1845.5235.8735042735
650.7871.9235.8735042735
637.3869.9235.8735042735
644.8868.5253.1912884312
629.9865.9253.1912884312
635857.3253.1912884312
649861.7253.1912884312
594.9875.7253.1912884312
576.6894.9266.4883065652
587.4868.9266.4883065652
606.7840.7266.4883065652
619.7855.3266.4883065652
626.4868.4266.4883065652
640.6870.3307.0929839391
644.8881.8307.0929839391
618.5927.4307.0929839391
638.3931307.0929839391
628.8946.2307.0929839391
641.3974.8336.0524091293
607.8984.9336.0524091293
604.9984.8336.0524091293
598.9991.9336.0524091293
605.9979.1336.0524091293
611.8986.1309.7497886729
610.4976.3309.7497886729
609.7956.8309.7497886729
611.7942.5309.7497886729
602.7930.2309.7497886729
610925.3309.7497886729
610.2922.4309.7497886729
578.7926.3309.7497886729
593.7928.8335.9636212163
606.6932.5335.9636212163
621939.4335.9636212163
640.6934.6335.9636212163
647923.8335.9636212163
636.6927.9381.8083865593
618.9935.5381.8083865593
633.3936.2381.8083865593
630.1949.7381.8083865593
631.6960.4381.8083865593
636.9956.4362.0492548345
661.4936.3362.0492548345
610.9980.9362.0492548345
631.2977.8362.0492548345
649.7969.4362.0492548345
634.5962.5371
647.8953371
675.6954.4371
659.5966.7371
665.71012.1397
656.81015.1397
634.11039.1397
6381046.1397
627.81042.9397
637.71040.4435
629.11050.4435
629.91055.6435
643.81051.9435
646.81064.7435
667.31052.1459
673.81028.8459
664.21040.4459
673.71032.8459
6771022459
703.81015.7449.0299505563
705.81016.8449.0299505563
Bank Position
Forward Position
AFPs' US$ Deposits
PCCu
Saldo Neto Forward
Depositos en ME de AFPs
Millons of US$
Bank Position, Forward Position and AFPs' US$ deposits.
TCR
3.5204
3.5226
3.5188
3.5178
3.5165
3.5179
3.5186
3.5164
3.5201
3.5211
3.5206
3.5184
3.5199
3.5209
3.5238
3.5276
3.5312
3.5278
3.5328
3.5383
3.5357
3.5331
3.5303
3.5293
3.532
3.5296
3.5323
3.5322
3.5301
3.5316
3.5321
3.531
3.5293
3.5257
3.5248
3.5262
3.5281
3.5307
3.5315
3.5264
3.5257
3.5228
3.5203
3.5197
3.5175
3.5161
3.5156
3.5175
3.5183
3.5179
3.5177
3.5186
3.519
3.5219
3.522
3.5221
3.5234
3.525
3.5258
3.5213
3.521
3.5217
3.5221
3.5245
3.5244
3.5253
3.5249
3.5273
3.532
3.5445
3.5455
3.5437
3.5463
3.5623
3.575
3.5803
3.5827
3.5883
3.5923
3.5952
3.5929
3.5923
3.5845
3.5893
3.598
3.599
3.5943
3.6057
3.6111
3.609
3.6035
3.6043
3.6009
3.601
3.5996
3.6015
3.5958
3.5876
3.5888
3.59
3.5929
3.6115
3.6164
3.6175
3.6278
3.6364
3.5683
3.5538
3.5518
3.5298
3.5222
3.519
3.5216
3.5141
3.5104
3.5147
3.5268
3.5232
3.5203
3.5189
3.5199
3.5215
3.5229
3.519
3.5115
3.5128
3.5137
3.5188
3.5186
3.5204
3.5108
3.5104
3.5123
3.5163
3.5081
3.508
3.5025
3.4961
3.495
3.4938
3.4934
3.4965
3.4934
3.488
3.4866
3.4878
3.4962
3.4988
3.499
3.5007
3.5013
3.4934
3.4914
3.492
3.4909
3.4924
3.4918
3.4905
3.4913
3.4957
3.4969
3.4897
3.4895
3.4899
3.4898
3.4861
3.4832
3.4815
3.4788
3.481
3.4839
3.4837
3.4833
3.482
3.4954
3.4929
3.4946
3.504
3.5035
3.5007
3.5008
3.5009
3.5018
3.4925
3.4859
3.4831
3.4836
3.482
3.48
3.4808
3.4783
3.4768
3.4771
3.476
3.4726
3.4684
3.4628
3.4535
3.4471
3.4532
3.4497
3.4505
3.4501
3.4529
3.4522
3.4535
3.4521
3.4498
3.4458
3.4412
3.439
3.4444
3.4485
3.4473
3.4463
3.4473
3.4425
3.4395
3.4368
3.4381
3.4373
3.4345
3.4349
3.4384
3.4366
3.4379
3.4377
3.4357
3.4349
3.4351
3.4332
3.4341
3.4301
3.4299
3.4296
3.4309
3.4303
3.4314
3.4312
3.4314
3.4326
3.436
3.4398
3.4446
3.4422
3.4415
3.4432
3.4405
3.4415
3.4441
3.4413
3.4411
3.4438
3.4438
3.4484
3.4594
3.4861
3.477
3.4715
3.4566
3.46
3.4573
3.4594
3.4615
3.4634
3.4614
3.4617
3.464
3.4663
3.4665
3.4793
3.4788
3.4773
3.4837
3.486
3.4871
3.4846
3.4874
3.4853
3.4752
3.4752
3.4748
3.4691
3.4694
3.4717
3.473
3.4759
3.4798
3.4784
3.4747
3.4733
3.4703
3.4704
3.4692
3.463
3.4594
3.4583
3.4535
3.4556
3.4533
3.4517
3.451
3.4536
3.4543
3.456
3.4564
3.4562
3.4547
3.4527
3.4507
3.4456
3.4442
3.4521
3.4499
3.4469
3.4449
3.4447
3.4427
3.442
3.4432
3.4399
3.4384
3.4306
3.4296
3.4307
3.4278
3.4289
3.432
3.436
3.4381
3.4378
3.437
3.4344
3.4339
3.4361
3.4344
3.4326
3.4335
3.4404
3.4474
3.4524
3.4487
3.4473
3.4517
3.4571
3.4589
3.4642
3.4697
3.4694
3.4527
3.4549
3.4687
3.4697
3.4613
3.4611
3.4664
3.4727
3.4699
3.4709
3.4683
3.4667
3.4705
3.4657
3.463
3.4636
3.4683
3.4749
3.491
3.5113
3.5102
3.4989
3.5102
3.5069
3.51
3.5106
3.5189
3.5245
3.5245
3.5378
3.5388
3.5366
3.5454
3.5566
3.5456
3.5379
3.5327
3.5384
3.5355
3.5299
3.518
3.5265
3.5376
3.5439
3.5357
3.5545
3.5573
3.5435
3.5449
3.5574
3.5533
3.5349
3.5501
3.5679
3.5736
3.5703
3.5655
3.5623
3.5602
3.5703
3.5758
3.5935
3.5946
3.5959
3.6035
3.6149
3.6145
3.6126
3.6339
3.6425
3.6525
3.6377
3.6187
3.6095
3.6074
3.5896
3.5664
3.5903
3.6006
3.6004
3.612
3.6283
3.6329
3.634
3.6375
3.6384
3.647
3.6457
2001
2002
Interbank Bid Exchange Rate (Nuevos Soles/US$)
PCCu SVN AFPs
105.8065453062120.1443690306
105.3211357188120.5158724369
103.51748371119.8738805409
104.327444198122.2069679162
105.2740893802124.1615501919
102.5653229793122.0763349762
100.9905888871120.556389169
102.2220934086120.5054343
102.2167502921120.9199171564
100.5865876198119.4397077241
100.5210402103119.1081815915
100.5973265102118.6039427011
100.3137749766120.3525987171
98.9909802344121.4455480562
98.1421751278120.7680546141
97.7580475594119.9461348833
98.2440626189120.2248007638
98.9171684309121.5942911837
100.9866040212123.533765058
101.0115937509125.064651338
101.30435337126.1938083517
Bilateral
Multilateral
Multilateral
Bilateral
Indice de Tipo de Cambio Real (1994=100)
PBI World
BilatMulti
200198 E97.8593.55
febF98.7894.95
marM97.9294.21
aprA97.9894.49
mayM98.4094.78
junJ100.1795.71
julJ100.1395.71
augA101.4196.32
sepS104.88100.80
octO105.75103.76
novN107.22105.00
dicD107.97106.51
200299 E112.11109.04
febF116.86110.72
marM115.94108.84
aprA115.06108.35
mayM113.90106.89
junJ113.93105.86
julJ113.46104.76
augA114.87106.96
sepS116.82108.60
O119.00110.99
N119.06110.63
D118.86110.88
00E119.52111.68
F118.15109.17
M118.05108.63
A118.74108.96
M119.69107.53
J119.68108.29
J119.10107.42
A118.45105.96
S118.65105.12
O119.11104.71
N120.06105.57
D119.51105.15
2001120.1105.8
Feb120.5105.3
Mar119.9103.5
Abr122.2104.3
May124.2105.3
Jun122.1102.6
Jul120.6101.0
Ago120.5102.2
Set120.9102.2
Oct119.4100.6
Nov119.1100.5
Dic118.6100.6
2002120.4100.3
Feb121.499.0
Mar120.898.1
Abr119.997.8
May120.298.2
Jun121.698.9
Jul123.5101.0
Ago125.1101.0
Set126.2101.3
PBI World
105.8065453062120.1443690306
105.3211357188120.5158724369
103.51748371119.8738805409
104.327444198122.2069679162
105.2740893802124.1615501919
102.5653229793122.0763349762
100.9905888871120.556389169
102.2220934086120.5054343
102.2167502921120.9199171564
100.5865876198119.4397077241
100.5210402103119.1081815915
100.5973265102118.6039427011
100.3137749766120.3525987171
98.9909802344121.4455480562
98.1421751278120.7680546141
97.7580475594119.9461348833
98.2440626189120.2248007638
98.9171684309121.5942911837
100.9866040212123.533765058
101.0115937509125.064651338
101.30435337126.1938083517
Bilateral
Multilateral
Multilateral
Bilateral
INDICE DE TIPO DE CAMBIO REAL(1994=100)
Saldo operac. del Mcdo Forward por vencerPCCuDepsitos en US$ de AFP en Bancos
200143559999
43458799
42856899
36059097
33061497
35060497
35061397
35860797
360624102
364638102
370643102
372644102
404632102
420626101
432619101
438621101
441628101
435611101
381628117
405617117
406607117
444583117
Feb426591117
462567119
426594119
436575119
445553119
444555119
448550118
455531118
450541118
427564118
421557118
410575131
407571131
383591131
399580131
395597131
406607127
399596127
401591127
414599127
Mar410595127
428583136
404579136
388588136
374607136
367613136
381589150
374589150
364615150
367613150
378599150
382617168
379609168
413582168
420595168
426580168
411599163
431596163
440580163
425586163
404597163
437598139
Abr444587139
447602139
461576139
487563139
483589148
495572148
517586148
500603148
515586162
515591162
502587162
528588162
548599184
555607184
587590184
609572184
613563184
587573205
590572205
May580559205
589554205
574571197
584546197
586537197
591550197
598558197
596580206
593566206
626524206
617540206
595531206
566566190
576562190
584554190
582557190
567566190
558574182
574565182
570565182
580575182
586569182
Jun585591191
553584191
545574191
540562191
528565191
511576185
500579185
493600185
518586185
513597185
517620184
546594184
548573184
551557184
534575184
513593210
500592210
488599210
493594210
509600209
Jul524559209
516556209
511560209
509560209
508569230
518550230
537552230
544542230
554559230
572563289
572553289
582533289
590524289
561537289
566531288
594504288
589496288
603482288
607472288
602477291
599462291
Ago586460291
593436291
547481290
542479290
556486290
565477290
571475290
573466283
555482283
544500283
559496283
587472283
604470291
609443291
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703.81015.7449.0299505563
705.81016.8449.0299505563
Bancos
Depsitos en US4 de AFPs
Saldo Neto Forwards
PCCu
Saldo Neto Forward
Depositos en ME de AFPs
Mlls. USD
Posicin de bancos, Saldo Neto de Forwards y Depsitos en US$ de las AFPs
PROYECCIONES DE CRECIMIENTO DEL PBI DE LOS PRINCIPALES SOCIOS COMERCIALES 1/
Porcentaje de Participacin 2001 *MayoSetiembre
20012002200320022003
Estados Unidos33.61.22.83.52.43.0
Reino Unido9.22.21.82.81.52.5
Chile6.62.82.94.72.03.6
Japn6.3-0.4-1.01.1-0.90.9
China Popular5.17.37.37.77.77.5
Brasil4.61.52.13.61.22.6
Alemania4.10.61.02.50.41.5
Colombia3.71.52.03.21.42.4
Espaa3.52.82.13.21.92.5
Venezuela3.02.7-2.60.8-5.70.3
Corea del Sur2.73.05.66.06.15.6
Mxico2.7-0.31.74.51.64.0
Argentina2.4-3.7-12.21.2-14.71.1
Italia2.41.81.32.70.51.8
Canad2.21.53.03.73.43.4
Francia2.12.01.42.81.01.9
Blgica1.61.11.32.60.72.1
Taiwan1.5-1.93.03.93.33.5
Bolivia1.41.02.03.41.63.3
Holanda1.31.11.32.80.41.7
Promedio Socios Comerciales100.01.62.03.41.52.9
Norteamerica38.51.12.73.62.43.1
Europa24.11.81.62.81.12.1
Asia15.72.63.24.43.54.1
Amrica Latina21.71.40.13.2-1.22.4
* Ponderado de acuerdo al comercio (excluyendo petrleo) del 2001.
1/ Datos del Concensus Forecast de mes respectivo.
Hoja1
Grfico 4
EXCHANGE RATE INDICATORS
January 2001-September 2002
Hoja1
599.45743598.9194326241
587.031433.698.9194326241
567.659427.698.9194326241
590.429360.297.1729408435
613.963330.397.1729408435
604.338350.497.1729408435
613.455350.497.1729408435
607.333357.597.1729408435
624.37359.8101.6900651005
637.957363.7101.6900651005
642.627369.5101.6900651005
644.327372101.6900651005
632.132404.1101.6900651005
626.482419.7101.3934333428
618.752431.9101.3934333428
620.805437.7101.3934333428
627.8440.6101.3934333428
610.77434.9101.3934333428
628.286380.7116.6006227003
616.669404.6116.6006227003
606.761406116.6006227003
583.368443.9116.6006227003
591.378426.2116.6006227003
567.261461.5119.0621629293
593.659426.1119.0621629293
574.977435.7119.0621629293
553.078444.5119.0621629293
554.501444.1119.0621629293
549.887448.2117.8220266818
531.468455117.8220266818
541.47449.7117.8220266818
563.752427117.8220266818
556.673420.7117.8220266818
574.703410.3131.2435424354
571.207406.8131.2435424354
591.26383.3131.2435424354
579.654398.6131.2435424354
596.918394.8131.2435424354
606.882405.6127.2747658246
596.472399.4127.2747658246
590.632401.2127.2747658246
599.059414.1127.2747658246
594.511409.9127.2747658246
583.293427.7135.6191827469
579.121403.981135.6191827469
587.658388.2135.6191827469
607.09373.5135.6191827469
612.519367.1135.6191827469
588.66380.9149.6980703746
588.865374.4149.6980703746
614.544363.6149.6980703746
612.777366.9149.6980703746
599.206378.4149.6980703746
616.914382.1167.9344494892
609.461379.2167.9344494892
582.223412.7167.9344494892
594.9420.3167.9344494892
580.1426167.9344494892
599410.8163.4602724177
595.8430.8163.4602724177
580.1440.2163.4602724177
586424.5163.4602724177
596.95403.9163.4602724177
597.55437.4139.0539160045
586.55444139.0539160045
602.31446.6139.0539160045
575.61461.2139.0539160045
562.61486.6139.0539160045
589.31483.2148.1042654028
571.51495.2148.1042654028
586.21516.9148.1042654028
603.11499.9148.1042654028
586.1514.5162.4636186228
591.3515.3162.4636186228
586.9501.8162.4636186228
588.2527.9162.4636186228
598.5547.8183.6944521885
606.5555.1183.6944521885
590586.6183.6944521885
572608.7183.6944521885
562.7613.3183.6944521885
572.8587.3204.5411207137
572.1590.1204.5411207137
558.8579.5204.5411207137
554.351589.2204.5411207137
570.7574.3196.8006626173
545.6583.7196.8006626173
536.8585.7196.8006626173
550.1591196.8006626173
558.2598.3196.8006626173
580596.1205.8934290447
566592.6205.8934290447
523.7626.2205.8934290447
540.4616.7205.8934290447
531595.4205.8934290447
565.5566190.3139149641
562.3576.1190.3139149641
553.6583.9190.3139149641
556.7581.5190.3139149641
565.7567190.3139149641
573.6558.3182.1093318608
565.1573.7182.1093318608
564.5570.3182.1093318608
574.7580.3182.1093318608
569.4585.8182.1093318608
591.1584.7191.4861941361
584.4552.8191.4861941361
573.8545.2191.4861941361
561.7540.1191.4861941361
565.1528.4191.4861941361
576.1510.8185.4602903501
578.7499.8185.4602903501
600.1493.4185.4602903501
585.7518.4185.4602903501
597512.9185.4602903501
619.7516.7184.0677483632
594.3545.6184.0677483632
572.6548.1184.0677483632
557.1551.3184.0677483632
574.7534.2184.0677483632
593.2512.7209.7469399374
591.5500.4209.7469399374
598.9488.3209.7469399374
593.6492.5209.7469399374
599.6508.8209.4543125534
558.7523.9209.4543125534
555.5516209.4543125534
560.2511.3209.4543125534
560.4509.4209.4543125534
569.4507.6229.7028964726
549.8517.5229.7028964726
551.9537229.7028964726
541.8544.1229.7028964726
559.1554.1229.7028964726
563.2571.8289.1187266992
553.1571.5289.1187266992
532.7582289.1187266992
524590289.1187266992
537560.5289.1187266992
530.8565.5288.3868655004
504.4594.3288.3868655004
496.4589.2288.3868655004
481.5603288.3868655004
472.1606.7288.3868655004
476.6601.8290.9744766275
462.2599290.9744766275
460.1585.9290.9744766275
436.2592.6290.9744766275
480.9546.7289.8716255026
479.2541.6289.8716255026
486.3556.3289.8716255026
477.3565.1289.8716255026
475.3570.8289.8716255026
466.3573.4282.5919012062
482.3555.1282.5919012062
500.2544.1282.5919012062
496.3559.4282.5919012062
471.5586.9282.5919012062
470.2603.6291.0537047674
443609.3291.0537047674
446.6615.7291.0537047674
441.1618.1291.0537047674
428.4622.7291.0537047674
429.9620.8294.1140149339
440.3597.3294.1140149339
437.8596.4294.1140149339
434.6593.9294.1140149339
446595.5268.2610568639
445.4601268.2610568639
423603.1268.2610568639
439.1592268.2610568639
454.4575.6268.2610568639
466.1571.9244.2914154465
457.1577.5244.2914154465
438.4593244.2914154465
450.8591.6244.2914154465
470.3593.4244.2914154465
468.7617.2264.343095033
483.3567.6264.343095033
479.8576264.343095033
487.8574.6264.343095033
489.3571.6264.343095033
509.3572279.0347401665
488.7575.3279.0347401665
475.8581.3279.0347401665
476.7574.8279.0347401665
476.8575.5279.0347401665
667.1572.1295.6078093597
687560.2295.6078093597
679.7571.9295.6078093597
675.2577.3295.6078093597
675.4563.2295.6078093597
578.8571.9305.4612031386
561.1579.9305.4612031386
566573.7305.4612031386
585.9570.8305.4612031386
572.8592311.6460331299
562.5601.7311.6460331299
557.8593.4311.6460331299
567.4606311.6460331299
570.8611.5311.6460331299
525.9634.5293.2400464981
525615.5293.2400464981
531.3617.1293.2400464981
506.9624.3293.2400464981
516.4611.6293.2400464981
514.1611.2287.9761697181
522.5594.5287.9761697181
500.6606.7287.9761697181
526.6595.3287.9761697181
553.6583.6299.7461426492
524.4608.2299.7461426492
529.9606.4299.7461426492
528.8607299.7461426492
548.5581.4305.5784570597
542.8591.6305.5784570597
552.7595.2305.5784570597
530.8625.8305.5784570597
548.9605.9305.5784570597
576.8592.8314.1106259098
562.8604.6314.1106259098
548.2612.2314.1106259098
549.8608.2314.1106259098
560.2601.1314.1106259098
565.9605.7297.5487627365
549.8619.7297.5487627365
537621.1297.5487627365
535.5626.2297.5487627365
554.2611.6297.5487627365
585618337.4320232897
583.8607.5337.4320232897
572.7610.3337.4320232897
555.5617.2337.4320232897
561.1611.9337.4320232897
569.6596.3350.475029036
579.3602.2350.475029036
558.7609.5350.475029036
563.5603.2350.475029036
579.5598.1350.475029036
586.9600.9330.637340302
578.5599330.637340302
578.7592.3330.637340302
580.7603330.637340302
587.3615.3330.637340302
580.1622.1270.7947154472
594.7601.6270.7947154472
605.7606.5270.7947154472
594.7598.6270.7947154472
611.8585269.7151567944
586586.4269.7151567944
565.7576.9269.7151567944
562.7571.6269.7151567944
577.6569.2281.381125216
553.4578.1281.381125216
576565.3281.381125216
571.6583.5281.381125216
585.3578.6281.381125216
602.4562.9284.6980155306
588.9577.9284.6980155306
589.8572.1284.6980155306
586.22599.5284.6980155306
582.6611.21284.6980155306
592.12618.61280.9692263446
591.66636.3280.9692263446
605.38643.07280.9692263446
607.3636.1280.9692263446
608.4643.7280.9692263446
628.1629.8266.9447799827
626.9626.3266.9447799827
583.3662.2266.9447799827
586.2679.6266.9447799827
589.9686.5266.9447799827
576.6713.4239.7838616715
576.3715.8239.7838616715
528.6748.5239.7838616715
558.2727.5239.7838616715
569.7721.3239.7838616715
563.5723.9242.681556196
576.9707.6242.681556196
561.4710.1242.681556196
560.1725.6242.681556196
587.7715.7242.681556196
573.1731.2235.521037464
557.2739.8235.521037464
562.4745.5235.521037464
579.3757.7235.521037464
601.5756.1235.521037464
611.7769.8196.7452449568
616.6753.3196.7452449568
593.2763196.7452449568
600.9761.9196.7452449568
642740.4196.7452449568
648.6718.6203.0580383053
633.9721.1203.0580383053
634.1704.5203.0580383053
610.2730.3203.0580383053
589.6739.7203.0580383053
583.3744.7200.9361578642
610.6724.4200.9361578642
581.6754.9200.9361578642
602.2732.8200.9361578642
602.8726.9200.9361578642
616.4693.7198.2704585026
612.9673.2198.2704585026
609.5684.4198.2704585026
630.4661.6198.2704585026
630.6674.2198.2704585026
632.2666211.6178177597
627.2655.9211.6178177597
627660.1211.6178177597
634.7682.4211.6178177597
618.4671.2190.417295415
630664.8190.417295415
650.1663190.417295415
644.6681.8190.417295415
653.9674183.6269656377
639679.2183.6269656377
691632.2183.6269656377
672.5646.5183.6269656377
648666.6183.6269656377
690.3660.4168.4804892254
714.2649168.4804892254
712.5669.6168.4804892254
688.8692.1168.4804892254
684.1689168.4804892254
691.9694.8182.5538730344
683.9691.1182.5538730344
689.1705.7182.5538730344
673.9727.2182.5538730344
670.9738.7182.5538730344
683.7722.2171.1869539895
689.9726171.1869539895
696705.1171.1869539895
688.4708.3171.1869539895
706.8696.1169.4325339497
680.3687.5169.4325339497
674.5686.4169.4325339497
659.8699.6169.4325339497
659.5709.9169.4325339497
674.1724.1182.8422421266
671.9746.8182.8422421266
680.5749.5182.8422421266
682.3755.4182.8422421266
678.8762.6182.8422421266
684.1776.7209.895405952
663.3776209.895405952
653.2794.9209.895405952
647.1792.2209.895405952
673.1771.4209.895405952
665.1748.9213.9384570933
635.4764.7213.9384570933
633765.9213.9384570933
646.1752.9213.9384570933
643.5760.7213.9384570933
636.6782.4228
625.7782.9228
644771.9228
639.6768.6228
648.5763.1205.3071225071
641.4771.9205.3071225071
647.4772205.3071225071
657.2782205.3071225071
668774.9205.3071225071
674.4778.8204.5982905983
673.1779204.5982905983
663.6786.9204.5982905983
692.2776.5204.5982905983
684.8806.4204.5982905983
685.2835.4235.8735042735
675.2840.4235.8735042735
657.1845.5235.8735042735
650.7871.9235.8735042735
637.3869.9235.8735042735
644.8868.5253.1912884312
629.9865.9253.1912884312
635857.3253.1912884312
649861.7253.1912884312
594.9875.7253.1912884312
576.6894.9266.4883065652
587.4868.9266.4883065652
606.7840.7266.4883065652
619.7855.3266.4883065652
626.4868.4266.4883065652
640.6870.3307.0929839391
644.8881.8307.0929839391
618.5927.4307.0929839391
638.3931307.0929839391
628.8946.2307.0929839391
641.3974.8336.0524091293
607.8984.9336.0524091293
604.9984.8336.0524091293
598.9991.9336.0524091293
605.9979.1336.0524091293
611.8986.1309.7497886729
610.4976.3309.7497886729
609.7956.8309.7497886729
611.7942.5309.7497886729
602.7930.2309.7497886729
610925.3309.7497886729
610.2922.4309.7497886729
578.7926.3309.7497886729
593.7928.8335.9636212163
606.6932.5335.9636212163
621939.4335.9636212163
640.6934.6335.9636212163
647923.8335.9636212163
636.6927.9381.8083865593
618.9935.5381.8083865593
633.3936.2381.8083865593
630.1949.7381.8083865593
631.6960.4381.8083865593
636.9956.4362.0492548345
661.4936.3362.0492548345
610.9980.9362.0492548345
631.2977.8362.0492548345
649.7969.4362.0492548345
634.5962.5371
647.8953371
675.6954.4371
659.5966.7371
665.71012.1397
656.81015.1397
634.11039.1397
6381046.1397
627.81042.9397
637.71040.4435
629.11050.4435
629.91055.6435
643.81051.9435
646.81064.7435
667.31052.1459
673.81028.8459
664.21040.4459
673.71032.8459
6771022459
703.81015.7449.0299505563
705.81016.8449.0299505563
Bank Stance
Forward Net stock
AFPs' US$ Deposits
PCCu
Saldo Neto Forward
Depositos en ME de AFPs
Millons of US$
Bank Stance, Forwards Net Stock y AFPs' US$ deposits.
TCR
3.5204
3.5226
3.5188
3.5178
3.5165
3.5179
3.5186
3.5164
3.5201
3.5211
3.5206
3.5184
3.5199
3.5209
3.5238
3.5276
3.5312
3.5278
3.5328
3.5383
3.5357
3.5331
3.5303
3.5293
3.532
3.5296
3.5323
3.5322
3.5301
3.5316
3.5321
3.531
3.5293
3.5257
3.5248
3.5262
3.5281
3.5307
3.5315
3.5264
3.5257
3.5228
3.5203
3.5197
3.5175
3.5161
3.5156
3.5175
3.5183
3.5179
3.5177
3.5186
3.519
3.5219
3.522
3.5221
3.5234
3.525
3.5258
3.5213
3.521
3.5217
3.5221
3.5245
3.5244
3.5253
3.5249
3.5273
3.532
3.5445
3.5455
3.5437
3.5463
3.5623
3.575
3.5803
3.5827
3.5883
3.5923
3.5952
3.5929
3.5923
3.5845
3.5893
3.598
3.599
3.5943
3.6057
3.6111
3.609
3.6035
3.6043
3.6009
3.601
3.5996
3.6015
3.5958
3.5876
3.5888
3.59
3.5929
3.6115
3.6164
3.6175
3.6278
3.6364
3.5683
3.5538
3.5518
3.5298
3.5222
3.519
3.5216
3.5141
3.5104
3.5147
3.5268
3.5232
3.5203
3.5189
3.5199
3.5215
3.5229
3.519
3.5115
3.5128
3.5137
3.5188
3.5186
3.5204
3.5108
3.5104
3.5123
3.5163
3.5081
3.508
3.5025
3.4961
3.495
3.4938
3.4934
3.4965
3.4934
3.488
3.4866
3.4878
3.4962
3.4988
3.499
3.5007
3.5013
3.4934
3.4914
3.492
3.4909
3.4924
3.4918
3.4905
3.4913
3.4957
3.4969
3.4897
3.4895
3.4899
3.4898
3.4861
3.4832
3.4815
3.4788
3.481
3.4839
3.4837
3.4833
3.482
3.4954
3.4929
3.4946
3.504
3.5035
3.5007
3.5008
3.5009
3.5018
3.4925
3.4859
3.4831
3.4836
3.482
3.48
3.4808
3.4783
3.4768
3.4771
3.476
3.4726
3.4684
3.4628
3.4535
3.4471
3.4532
3.4497
3.4505
3.4501
3.4529
3.4522
3.4535
3.4521
3.4498
3.4458
3.4412
3.439
3.4444
3.4485
3.4473
3.4463
3.4473
3.4425
3.4395
3.4368
3.4381
3.4373
3.4345
3.4349
3.4384
3.4366
3.4379
3.4377
3.4357
3.4349
3.4351
3.4332
3.4341
3.4301
3.4299
3.4296
3.4309
3.4303
3.4314
3.4312
3.4314
3.4326
3.436
3.4398
3.4446
3.4422
3.4415
3.4432
3.4405
3.4415
3.4441
3.4413
3.4411
3.4438
3.4438
3.4484
3.4594
3.4861
3.477
3.4715
3.4566
3.46
3.4573
3.4594
3.4615
3.4634
3.4614
3.4617
3.464
3.4663
3.4665
3.4793
3.4788
3.4773
3.4837
3.486
3.4871
3.4846
3.4874
3.4853
3.4752
3.4752
3.4748
3.4691
3.4694
3.4717
3.473
3.4759
3.4798
3.4784
3.4747
3.4733
3.4703
3.4704
3.4692
3.463
3.4594
3.4583
3.4535
3.4556
3.4533
3.4517
3.451
3.4536
3.4543
3.456
3.4564
3.4562
3.4547
3.4527
3.4507
3.4456
3.4442
3.4521
3.4499
3.4469
3.4449
3.4447
3.4427
3.442
3.4432
3.4399
3.4384
3.4306
3.4296
3.4307
3.4278
3.4289
3.432
3.436
3.4381
3.4378
3.437
3.4344
3.4339
3.4361
3.4344
3.4326
3.4335
3.4404
3.4474
3.4524
3.4487
3.4473
3.4517
3.4571
3.4589
3.4642
3.4697
3.4694
3.4527
3.4549
3.4687
3.4697
3.4613
3.4611
3.4664
3.4727
3.4699
3.4709
3.4683
3.4667
3.4705
3.4657
3.463
3.4636
3.4683
3.4749
3.491
3.5113
3.5102
3.4989
3.5102
3.5069
3.51
3.5106
3.5189
3.5245
3.5245
3.5378
3.5388
3.5366
3.5454
3.5566
3.5456
3.5379
3.5327
3.5384
3.5355
3.5299
3.518
3.5265
3.5376
3.5439
3.5357
3.5545
3.5573
3.5435
3.5449
3.5574
3.5533
3.5349
3.5501
3.5679
3.5736
3.5703
3.5655
3.5623
3.5602
3.5703
3.5758
3.5935
3.5946
3.5959
3.6035
3.6149
3.6145
3.6126
3.6339
3.6425
3.6525
3.6377
3.6187
3.6095
3.6074
3.5896
3.5664
3.5903
3.6006
3.6004
3.612
3.6283
3.6329
3.634
3.6375
3.6384
3.647
3.6457
2001
2002
Interbank Ask Exchange Rate (Nuevos Soles/US$)
PCCu SVN AFPs
105.8065453062120.1443690306
105.3211357188120.5158724369
103.51748371119.8738805409
104.327444198122.2069679162
105.2740893802124.1615501919
102.5653229793122.0763349762
100.9905888871120.556389169
102.2220934086120.5054343
102.2167502921120.9199171564
100.5865876198119.4397077241
100.5210402103119.1081815915
100.5973265102118.6039427011
100.3137749766120.3525987171
98.9909802344121.4455480562
98.1421751278120.7680546141
97.7580475594119.9461348833
98.2440626189120.2248007638
98.9171684309121.5942911837
100.9866040212123.533765058
101.0115937509125.064651338
101.30435337126.1938083517
Bilateral
Multilateral
Multilateral
Bilateral
Indice de Tipo de Cambio Real (1994=100)
PBI World
BilatMulti
200198 E97.8593.55
febF98.7894.95
marM97.9294.21
aprA97.9894.49
mayM98.4094.78
junJ100.1795.71
julJ100.1395.71
augA101.4196.32
sepS104.88100.80
octO105.75103.76
novN107.22105.00
dicD107.97106.51
200299 E112.11109.04
febF116.86110.72
marM115.94108.84
aprA115.06108.35
mayM113.90106.89
junJ113.93105.86
julJ113.46104.76
augA114.87106.96
sepS116.82108.60
O119.00110.99
N119.06110.63
D118.86110.88
00E119.52111.68
F118.15109.17
M118.05108.63
A118.74108.96
M119.69107.53
J119.68108.29
J119.10107.42
A118.45105.96
S118.65105.12
O119.11104.71
N120.06105.57
D119.51105.15
2001120.1105.8
Feb120.5105.3
Mar119.9103.5
Abr122.2104.3
May124.2105.3
Jun122.1102.6
Jul120.6101.0
Ago120.5102.2
Set120.9102.2
Oct119.4100.6
Nov119.1100.5
Dic118.6100.6
2002120.4100.3
Feb121.499.0
Mar120.898.1
Abr119.997.8
May120.298.2
Jun121.698.9
Jul123.5101.0
Ago125.1101.0
Set126.2101.3
PBI World
105.8065453062120.1443690306
105.3211357188120.5158724369
103.51748371119.8738805409
104.327444198122.2069679162
105.2740893802124.1615501919
102.5653229793122.0763349762
100.9905888871120.556389169
102.2220934086120.5054343
102.2167502921120.9199171564
100.5865876198119.4397077241
100.5210402103119.1081815915
100.5973265102118.6039427011
100.3137749766120.3525987171
98.9909802344121.4455480562
98.1421751278120.7680546141
97.7580475594119.9461348833
98.2440626189120.2248007638
98.9171684309121.5942911837
100.9866040212123.533765058
101.0115937509125.064651338
101.30435337126.1938083517
Bilateral
Multilateral
Multilateral
Bilateral
INDICE DE TIPO DE CAMBIO REAL(1994=100)
Saldo operac. del Mcdo Forward por vencerPCCuDepsitos en US$ de AFP en Bancos
200143559999
43458799
42856899
36059097
33061497
35060497
35061397
35860797
360624102
364638102
370643102
372644102
404632102
420626101
432619101
438621101
441628101
435611101
381628117
405617117
406607117
444583117
Feb426591117
462567119
426594119
436575119
445553119
444555119
448550118
455531118
450541118
427564118
421557118
410575131
407571131
383591131
399580131
395597131
406607127
399596127
401591127
414599127
Mar410595127
428583136
404579136
388588136
374607136
367613136
381589150
374589150
364615150
367613150
378599150
382617168
379609168
413582168
420595168
426580168
411599163
431596163
440580163
425586163
404597163
437598139
Abr444587139
447602139
461576139
487563139
483589148
495572148
517586148
500603148
515586162
515591162
502587162
528588162
548599184
555607184
587590184
609572184
613563184
587573205
590572205
May580559205
589554205
574571197
584546197
586537197
591550197
598558197
596580206
593566206
626524206
617540206
595531206
566566190
576562190
584554190
582557190
567566190
558574182
574565182
570565182
580575182
586569182
Jun585591191
553584191
545574191
540562191
528565191
511576185
500579185
493600185
518586185
513597185
517620184
546594184
548573184
551557184
534575184
513593210
500592210
488599210
493594210
509600209
Jul524559209
516556209
511560209
509560209
508569230
518550230
537552230
544542230
554559230
572563289
572553289
582533289
590524289
561537289
566531288
594504288
589496288
603482288
607472288
602477291
599462291
Ago586460291
593436291
547481290
542479290
556486290
565477290
571475290
573466283
555482283
544500283
559496283
587472283
604470291
609443291
616447291
618441291
623428291
621430294
597440294
596438294
594435294
596446268
Set601445268
603423268
592439268
576454268
572466244
578457244
593438244
592451244
593470244
617469264
568483264
576480264
575488264
572489264
572509279
575489279
581476279
575477279
576477279
572667296
Oct560687296
572680296
577675296
563675296
572579305
580561305
574566305
571586305
592573312
602563312
593558312
606567312
612571312
635526293
616525293
617531293
624507293
612516293
611514288
595523288
607501288
595527288
Nov584554300
608524300
606530300
607529300
581549306
592543306
595553306
626531306
606549306
593577314
605563314
612548314
608550314
601560314
606566298
620550298
621537298
626536298
612554298
618585337
Dic608584337
610573337
617556337
612561337
596570350
602579350
610559350
603564350
598580350
601587331
599579331
592579331
603581331
615587331
622580271
602595271
607606271
599595271
585612270
586586270
2002577566270
572563270
569578281
578553281
565576281
584572281
579585281
563602285
578589285
572590285
600586285
611583285
619592281
636592281
643605281
636607281
644608281
630628267
626627267
662583267
680586267
687590267
Feb713577240
716576240
749529240
728558240
721570240
724564243
708577243
710561243
726560243
716588243
731573236
740557236
746562236
758579236
756602236
770612197
753617197
763593197
762601197
740642197
Mar719649203
721634203
705634203
730610203
740590203
745583201
724611201
755582201
733602201
727603201
694616198
673613198
684610198
662630198
674631198
666632212
656627212
660627212
682635212
Abr671618190
665630190
663650190
682645190
674654184
679639184
632691184
647673184
667648184
660690168
649714168
670713168
692689168
689684168
695692183
691684183
706689183
727674183
739671183
722684171
726690171
705696171
May708688171
696707169
688680169
686675169
700660169
710660169
724674183
747672183
750681183
755682183
763679183
777684210
776663210
795653210
792647210
771673210
749665214
765635214
766633214
753646214
761644214
782637228
Jun783626228
772644228
769640228
763649205
772641205
772647205
782657205
775668205
779674205
779673205
787664205
777692205
806685205
835685236
840675236
846657236
872651236
870637236
869645253
Jul866630253
857635253
862649253
876595253
895577266
869587266
841607266
855620266
868626266
870641307
882645307
927619307
931638307
946629307
975641336
985608336
985605336
992599336
979606336
986612310
976610310
Ago957610310
943612310
930603310
925610310
922610310
926579310
929594336
933607336
939621336
935641336
924647336
928637382
936619382
936633382
950630382
960632382
956637362
936661362
981611362
978631362
969650362
Set963635371
953648371
954676371
967660371
1012666397
1015657397
1039634397
1046638397
1043628397
1040638435
1050629435
1056630435
1052644435
1065647435
1052667459
1029674459
1040664459
1033674459
1022677459
1016704449
1017706449
599.45743598.9194326241
587.031433.698.9194326241
567.659427.698.9194326241
590.429360.297.1729408435
613.963330.397.1729408435
604.338350.497.1729408435
613.455350.497.1729408435
607.333357.597.1729408435
624.37359.8101.6900651005
637.957363.7101.6900651005
642.627369.5101.6900651005
644.327372101.6900651005
632.132404.1101.6900651005
626.482419.7101.3934333428
618.752431.9101.3934333428
620.805437.7101.3934333428
627.8440.6101.3934333428
610.77434.9101.3934333428
628.286380.7116.6006227003
616.669404.6116.6006227003
606.761406116.6006227003
583.368443.9116.6006227003
591.378426.2116.6006227003
567.261461.5119.0621629293
593.659426.1119.0621629293
574.977435.7119.0621629293
553.078444.5119.0621629293
554.501444.1119.0621629293
549.887448.2117.8220266818
531.468455117.8220266818
541.47449.7117.8220266818
563.752427117.8220266818
556.673420.7117.8220266818
574.703410.3131.2435424354
571.207406.8131.2435424354
591.26383.3131.2435424354
579.654398.6131.2435424354
596.918394.8131.2435424354
606.882405.6127.2747658246
596.472399.4127.2747658246
590.632401.2127.2747658246
599.059414.1127.2747658246
594.511409.9127.2747658246
583.293427.7135.6191827469
579.121403.981135.6191827469
587.658388.2135.6191827469
607.09373.5135.6191827469
612.519367.1135.6191827469
588.66380.9149.6980703746
588.865374.4149.6980703746
614.544363.6149.6980703746
612.777366.9149.6980703746
599.206378.4149.6
