Pert analysis
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Transcript of Pert analysis
PERT & CPM…are the two most widely use techniques for planning and coordinating large-scale projects…
…by using PERT or CPM, managers are able to obtain:
1. A graphical display of projects activities.2. An estimate of how long the project will
take.3. An indication of which activities are the
most critical to timely completion of the project.
4. An indication of how long any activity can be delayed without lengthening the project.
PERT & CPM
The network diagram: • The arrows represent the
project activities• The nodes represent both
beginnings and endings of activities
CPM Terminology
Activity A task or a certain amount of work
required in the project Requires time to complete Represented by an arrow
Dummy Activity Indicates only precedence relationships Does not require any time of effort
CPM Terminology
Event Signals the beginning or ending of an
activity Designates a point in time Represented by a circle (node)
Network Shows the sequential relationships
among activities using nodes and arrows
CPM Terminology
Path A connected sequence of activities
leading from the starting event to the ending event
Critical Path The longest path (time); determines the
project duration Critical Activities
All of the activities that make up the critical path
CPM Terminology
Earliest Start (ES) The earliest that an activity can begin;
assumes all preceding activities have been completed
Earliest Finish (EF) ES + activity time
Latest Finish (LF) The latest that an activity can finish and not
change the project completion time Latest Start (LS)
LF - activity time
Steps in CPM Analysis
Draw the CPM network A graphic view of the relationships among the
required activities Analyze the paths through the network
Determine the length of each path (time required to complete each path)
Starting at the beginning of the network and working toward the end (from left to right), determine the ES and EF for each activity
. . . more
Steps in CPM Analysis
Path analysis (continued) Identify the critical path(s) (the longest
path[s] through the network) The critical path(s) determines how long
the project will take . . . more
Steps in CPM Analysis
Determine the slack for each activity Working from the end of the project
network (from right to left), find the LF and the LS for each activity
Compute the activity’s slack slack = LS - ES = LF - EF
Slack is the maximum amount of time that this activity can be delay in its completion before it becomes a critical activity, i.e., delays completion of the project
PERT Analysis
Critical Path Method…is one of two ways or tools to identify the path through your project…
Critical Path Uses one time estimate
Where as
PERTUses three time estimate
Critical path is for those times when you are pretty sure about the duration of each task.
PERT is used in more uncertain situations.
ES(Early start)
A (Activity)
EF(Early finish)
S(Slack time)
LS(Late start)
D(Duration
)
LF(Late finish)
Details of Critical Path – Example 1Activity Predecessor Duration
A - 5B - 4C A 3D A 4E A 6F B, C 4G D 5H D, E 6I F 6J H, G 4
Path Diagram (For Example 1)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
Critical Path
Critical PathA C F I : 5 + 3 + 4 + 6 = 18 weeksA D G J : 5 + 4 + 5 + 4 = 18 weeksA D H J : 5 + 4 + 6 + 4 = 19 weeksA E H J : 5 + 6 + 6 + 4 = 21 weeksB F I : 4 + 4 + 6 = 14 weeks
Example 2Activity Precedence
activitiesActivities Duration
(Weeks)1 2 0 Locate
facilities8
1 3 0 Interview 42 4 Locate
facilitiesOrder furniture 6
2 5 Locate facilities
Remodel 11
3 5 Interview Hire/train 94 5 Order furniture Received/set
up furniture3
5 6 Received / set up furniture;
hire/train; remodeling
Move in 1
Network (For Example 2)
1
2
3
4
56
8 weeks
4 weeks
6 weeks
11 weeks
9 weeks
3 weeks
1 weeks
start
end
Critical Path (For Example 2)
Critical Path1 2 4 5 6 : 8 + 6 + 3 + 1 = 18 weeks 1 2 5 6* : 8 + 11 + 1 = 20 weeks*1 3 5 6 : 4 + 9 + 1 = 14 weeks
*Critical path
Slack time (week)1 2 4 5 6 : 20 – 18 = 2 weeks1 2 5 6* : 20 – 20 = 0 week1 3 5 6 : 20 – 14 = 6 weeks
Practicing draw a network
See Example on page 102 – 103 (Notes)
Example 3 (Project Crashing)
Activity Normal Time
Crash time
Cost per day to crash (RM)
Available days
1 2 6 6 - -
2 5 10 8 500 2
1 3 5 4 300 1
3 4 4 1 700 3
4 5 9 7 600 2
4 6 2 1 800 1
Network (For Example 3)
1
2
34
56
6 weeks
5 weeks
10 weeks
4 weeks9 weeks
2 weeks
start
end
Critical Path (For Example 3)
Critical Path1 2 5 6 : 6+ 10 + 2 = 18 weeks 1 3 4 5 6* : 5 + 4 + 9 + 2 = 20 weeks*
*Critical path
Slack time (week)1 2 5 6 : 20 – 18 = 2 weeks1 3 4 5 6* : 20 – 20 = 0 week
Crash time (summary)Length after crashing n days
Path n = 0 1 2 31 2 5 6 18 18 18* 17
1 3 4 5 6* 20* 19* 18* 17
Activity crashed 1 3 4 5 5 6
Cost (crash) RM300 RM600 RM800 Total : RM1,700
TUTORIAL EXERCISE – Q1 Syarikat KukuhSyarikah Kukuh is planning to develop and market a new racing bicycle. The project comprise of the following activities.
Activity Normal cost (RM)
Duration (day) Cost to reduce/day
(RM)
Time can be shorten until
(day)1 2 4000 5 600 21 3 12000 3 1000 21 4 10000 10 1600 72 5 2000 7 800 63 6 8000 8 1800 64 6 12000 7 1200 44 7 6000 4 1000 35 8 14000 6 1400 56 8 16000 5 1400 37 8 4000 6 1200 4
The contract specifies a RM2000 per day penalty for each day the completion of the project extends past 15 days:
Required to:
a)Draw the network diagramb)Determine the critical pathc) Determine the normal time (day)
and cost (RM) to finish the project
d)Determine the optimum time (day) and cost (RM) to finish the project
Solution (a) – Tutorial (Q1 – Syarikat Kukuh)
Please draw the network
Solution (b) – Tutorial (Q1 – Syarikat Kukuh)
Please determine the critical path
Solution (c) – Tutorial (Q1 – Syarikat Kukuh)Activity Normal cost
(RM)Duration (day) Cost to
reduce/day (RM)
Time can be shorten until
(day)1 2 4000 5 600 21 3 12000 3 1000 21 4* 10000 10* 1600 72 5 2000 7 800 63 6 8000 8 1800 64 6* 12000 7* 1200 44 7 6000 4 1000 35 8 14000 6 1400 56 8* 16000 5* 1400 37 8 4000 6 1200 4
Critical1468
Total cost:RM88000
Normal day:22 days
Normal cost (RM): Total cost + Penalty = RM88000 + (7*RM2000) = RM102000
Solution (d) – Tutorial (Q1 – Syarikat Kukuh)Path 0 1 2 3 4 End/
stop
Activity crashedCost crashed
Complete and determine the optimum day and cost to finish the project
Task to completeComplete all Questions in Workbook:
Question 2 – Harmony (F1001 F1023; F1091 F1037 F1042)Question 3 – Syarikat Ramadhani (F1009 F1026; F1010 F1045)Question 4 – Syarikat TT (F1012 F1025; F1013 F1028) Question 5 – Hitech (F1015 F1035; F1017 F1024)Question 6 – A Farm (F1018 F1052; F1039 F1044)Question 7 – Rainbow (F1041 F1047; F1048 F1049; F1050 F1051)