Persistence with anti -retroviral therapy improved between 2001 … · 2016-05-25 · Persistence...

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Persistence with anti-retroviral therapy improved between 2001 and 2010 in the US Bora Youn, MS, MPH; Yoojin Lee, MS, MPH; Theresa Shireman, PhD, RPh; Omar Galárraga, PhD; Aadia Rana, MD; Ira Wilson, MD 11th International Conference on HIV Treatment and Prevention Adherence May 9-11, 2016

Transcript of Persistence with anti -retroviral therapy improved between 2001 … · 2016-05-25 · Persistence...

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Persistence with anti-retroviral therapy improved between 2001 and 2010 in the US

Bora Youn, MS, MPH; Yoojin Lee, MS, MPH; Theresa Shireman, PhD, RPh; Omar Galárraga, PhD; Aadia Rana, MD; Ira Wilson, MD

11th International Conference on HIV Treatment and Prevention AdherenceMay 9-11, 2016

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Study Background

Continuous use of anti-retroviral therapy (ART) is a critical component of the Care Continuum

Improved ART adherence in some individual HIV clinics and academic-based cohorts

Limited nationally representative data on time trends or sociodemographic predictors

Generalizable estimates can help identify areas for targeted interventions

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Objectives

(1) To examine the changes in ART persistence in representative U.S. population with Medicaid between 2001 and 2010(2) To determine the factors associated with ART persistence in a real-world setting

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Persistence vs. Implementation

PERSISTENCE: duration of use without exceeding the permissible gap

IMPLEMENTATION: % of doses taken as prescribed during the corresponding period of persistence

StartMedication

PermissibleGap

Ends Medication

Non-persistent periods

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Data

Medicaid Analytic Extract (MAX) file, 2001-2010 Medicaid is the single largest source of care for HIV patients 14 states with the highest HIV prevalence (75% of US cases)

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Individuals with HIV based on ICD-9 diagnosis codes and ART fill records

n=397,836

Individuals with complete ART regimen episoden=227,531

Individuals fully observable in the Medicaid FFS system n=44,456

Study Inclusion Criteria

Individuals who initiated ART (no ART fill records six month prior to initiation & continuously eligible)

n=91,741

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Outcome Measurement

Treatment duration: first ART fill date to the last fill date before the 90 days permissible gap (treatment discontinuation)

Censoring for survival analysis– End of the study– Death– Lost Medicaid FFS coverage

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Study Variables

Main Independent Variable

Treatment initiation year (2001-2003, 2004-2006, 2007-2010)

Covariates

Age group Gender Race/Ethnicity State Initial ART regimen type

(integrase inhibitor based, NRTI based, NNRTI based, PI based, multiple classes)

Initial NRTI backbone (TDF/ABC, AZT, ddl/d4T, others)

Single tablet regimen use

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Statistical Analysis

Chi-square tests used to examine the differences among the patients who initiated ART during the three time periods

Kaplan-Meier plots used to compare crude time to discontinuation

Cox-proportional hazards models used to evaluate the factors associated with non-persistence, adjusting for covariates

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0

4000

8000

12000

16000

20000

2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2010

Treatment Initiation Year

Cohort Characteristics

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

<25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55+

Age group

2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2010

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

Male Female

Gender

2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2010

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

Black White Hispanic Asian/PI/NA Multi/unknown

Race/Ethnicity

2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2010

n=18,336

n=13,286 n=12,834

%

% %

All p<.0001

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Cohort Characteristics

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

IntegraseInhibitor

Based

NNRTI based PI based NRTI based multipleclasses

Initial ART regimen type

2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2010

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

TDF/ABC AZT ddl/d4T others

Initial NRTI backbone

2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2010

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

Yes

Single Tablet Regimen Use

2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2010

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

CA FL GA IL LA MA MD NC NJ NY OH PA TX VA

State

2001-2003 2004-2006 2007-2010

%

%

%

%

All p<.0001

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Time to treatment discontinuation (unadjusted Kaplan-Meier Curve)

Log-rank test p<.0001

Initiation year 2001 - 2003

Initiation year 2004 - 2006

Initiation year 2007 - 2010

Time from ART initiation (months)

Prop

ortio

n pe

rsist

ent o

n tr

eatm

ent

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Time to treatment discontinuation by State and Race/Ethnicity

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

CA NJ NC PA MAMD VA IL OH NY FL GA LA TX

25% time Median time

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

25% time Median time

mon

ths

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Cox Proportional Hazards Model

HR<1: Less likely to discontinue ART The following factors were associated with lower hazards of

treatment discontinuation: older age, male, non-black, newer ART regimen, initiation in recent years, living in NJ, and single tablet regimen use.

aHR 95% CI p-value

Calendar year (ref=2001-2003)

2004-2006 0.93 (0.90, 0.97) 0.0001

2007-2010 0.81 (0.77, 0.85) <.0001

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Cox Proportional Hazards Model

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

NJ MD PA VA CA NC IL OH MA FL GA LA TX

Adjusted Hazard Ratio of Treatment Discontinuation by States (ref=NY)

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Cox Proportional Hazards Model

aHR 95% CI p-value

Gender (ref=female) Male 0.89 (0.86, 0.91) <.0001

Race/Ethnicity (ref=Black)

Asian/PI/NA 0.85 (0.73, 0.98) 0.03

Hispanic 0.86 (0.83, 0.90) <.0001

Multiracial/Unknown 0.82 (0.77, 0.87) <.0001

White 0.83 (0.80, 0.87) <.0001

Regimen Type(ref=PI based)

Integrase Inhibitor Based 0.77 (0.58, 1.02) 0.07

NNRTI based 0.90 (0.87, 0.93) <.0001

NRTI based 1.03 (0.99, 1.08) 0.18

Multiple Classes 1.36 (1.26, 1.45) <.0001

NRTI backbone (ref=TDF/ABC)

AZT 1.33 (1.27, 1.38) <.0001

ddl/d4T 1.35 (1.29, 1.42) <.0001

others 1.14 (1.01, 1.29) 0.03Single tablet regimenuse (ref=no) Yes 0.72 (0.67, 0.78) <.0001

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Conclusions

Marked improvement in ART persistence between 2001 and 2010

Site adherence counseling as a potential explanatory factor

Significant problems with non-persistence remain, with clear disparities for Blacks and women

State differences are concerning, may relate to Medicaid generosity, and merit further study

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Limitations

No follow-up with the patients after Medicaid disenrollment

No viral loads or CD4 counts Not generalizable to the uninsured, commercially

insured, and Medicare population Not all states were included

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Implications

National, population-based data that can be generalized to HIV patients in the U.S with Medicaid

Can help identify areas for targeted interventions Differences between the results of persistence and

implementation analysis (next presentation)

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Acknowledgements

Team Members: Yoojin Lee, Theresa Shireman, Omar Galárraga, Aadia Rana, and Ira Wilson

NIMH 1R01MH102202 Providence/Boston Center for AIDS Research

(Providence/Boston CFAR NIH/NIAID grant P30AI042853)

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Thank you