Penguasaan Teknologi dan Teknologi Baru

Andjar Firmansjah

JAKARTA HAM FESTIVAL 2000

Arah Teknologi Telekomunikasi

Andjar Firmansjah

Facts to Consider

•Technology’s Pace of Change

•Industry Restructuring

•Service Complexity

Liberalization

Tec

hnol

ogy

Pace of c

hange

Competition

Ser

vice

s

Operators

Pro

duct

s

Industry

restructu

ring

End user concernE

nd u

ser

conc

ern

Technology’s Pace of Change

• Moore’s Law

1985 1995 2005

Silicon Processing Power

1

102

104

106

1985 1995 2005

Fibre Optics Throughput

1

102

104

106

Industry Restructuring

• Conflict between customer and supplier needs in competitive global markets

• Essential to define platforms with the right interface for flexibility

Seeking market share with features

Seeking cost with product

rationalization

Fea

ture

s ric

h

Low

er c

ost

Service Complexity• Single terminal

– Multi-mode– Affordable– User-friendly

• Any Networks• Single Billing

– Simple– Comprehensive– Personalized

Abu’s Dreams

Trends of Telecommunication Technology

• Internet Phenomenon

• Fixed & Wired

• Mobile & Wireless

• Satellite

Telecommunication Parts

CPE

Access Part

wired

wireless

Transport Network

Switching

Transmission

Services

Internet Phenomenon

Number of Domain

increasing with multiply effect

So as its revenue

Technology Convergence

• Operator Domain – Infrastructure– Services

• IT Domain– Content

Multimedia TechnologyMultimedia Technology

Access Evolution• ADSL

Switching Evolved!

• Internet with current network

• Bottle neck

Narrow Band to Broad Band

• Switching Evolution– narrow band– broad band

Wireless: Towards Evolution

• Merging to more integrated system– residential– business– indoor– outdoor

Strategy: One of A Kind

GSM based to UMTS

• Three Generation Step

Mobile

• GSM UMTS

• AMPS D-AMPS CDMA

• PHS vs PCN

Towards Integrated Network

End User Terminal Comparation

Satellite: Instant &Global Coverage

Switching History• 1920 - automatic switches• 1970 - universal standard• 1970 - digital switches• now - not all digital

Satellite• Instant coverage• Global Coverage

Satellite Transponder

Direct Broadcast Applications

• End User Services– multimedia

WorldSpace

• Radio Broadcast through Satellite

Worldspace Coverage

Navigation & ILS

• Integrate communication satellite with GPS

• ILS with DGPS

• CNS/ATM - ATN

Data Network Backbone

Integrated Networks

Business Facts 1997

• Ericson & Nokia growth due to:– Ericson : 25% revenue from terminal– Nokia : 52% revenue from terminal

• Cisco achieves tremendous growth

Mobile & Data

History Proof Itself

Trends (up to now)!?

• Mobile (anywhere, anytime)

• Wider band-width

Amateur Radio Implication

• Radio– need frequency– bandwidth is a limited resources

• New telecommunication system required more and more bandwidth, especially with the growth of internet

• Bandwidth is “unlimited” resources (auction etc.)

Spectrum threat

• Building and operating sw-radio is inducement to communicate with other people

• Internet access as other attractive solution. No license required.

• Radio Packet (AX-25)

Technology Attraction

• Radio Amateurs historical records:– CW– morse– telephony– AM– SSB– FM– ?

Technology Innovation & Experimentation

Terima Kasih

• Information are gathered through internet from several sources

• Copyrighted materials are owned respectively by its holder

Andjar Firmansjah

Active as ham radio (yd1gwn) during study at Telecommunication Engineering, ITB until 1985 when he assigned to US by Elektrindo from 1985 to 1990.

In Elektrindo As Head of R&D Division until he appointed as Director at PT. Alcatel Enkomindo. In 1998 as Director of SENATEL, a subsidiary company of Elektrindo.