PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“,...

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PEGASUS Effectively ensuring automated driving. Prof. Dr.-Ing. Karsten Lemmer | April 6, 2017

Transcript of PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“,...

Page 1: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

PEGASUSEffectively ensuring automated driving.

Prof. Dr.-Ing. Karsten Lemmer | April 6, 2017

Page 2: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

© PEGASUS | VDA Technical Congress | April 6, 2017

Starting Position for Automated Driving

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Consequently, the introduction of highly automated driving features today can only be achieved with great expenditure.

high standards regarding quality and performance of the automated vehicle

measures that product needs to meet

basic functionality is technologically given

has been demonstrated in various projects

automated driving is tomorrow’s subject matter(together with electric driving)

existing measures for testing and release are insufficient, too cost-intensive and too complex

Top issue! Technology works Confidence Testing differently

Page 3: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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individual analyses to optimize prototypes

current test stands/ test grounds do not provide enough test coverage for all HAD features currently in focus

there is no procedure for adequate testing (particularly performance) of HAD-systems

Current State of Development of Highly Automated Driving

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Prototypes Lab / Test Ground Products

current status

no release or introduction of variety of HAD-features without sufficient assurance

multitude of prototypes built by OEM with HAD-functionality

evidence, that HAD is technologically possible

partially tested in real traffic situations

test drives involve backup safety driver

OEM = Original Equipment Manufacturer HAD = Highly Automated Driving

Page 4: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

© PEGASUS | VDA Technical Congress | April 6, 2017

individual analyses to optimize prototypes

current test stands/ test grounds do not provide enough test coverage for all HAD features currently in focus

there is no procedure for adequate testing (particularly performance) of HAD-systems

Current State of Development of Highly Automated Driving

4

Prototypes Lab / Test Ground Products

current status

no release or introduction of variety of HAD-features without sufficient assurance

multitude of prototypes built by OEM with HAD-functionality

evidence, that HAD is technologically possible

partially tested in real traffic situations

test drives involve backup safety driver

OEM = Original Equipment Manufacturer HAD = Highly Automated Driving

Advancementthrough

PEGASUS

Page 5: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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PEGASUS Key Figures

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January 2016 – June 2019

i.a. BASt, IFR, ika, OFFIS

approx. 34,5 Mio. EUR subsidies: 16,3 Mio. EUR

approx. 1.791 man-month or 149 man-years

OEM: Audi, BMW, Daimler, Opel, Volkswagen Tier 1: ADC Automotive Distance Control, Bosch, Continental

Teves Test Lab: TÜV SÜD SMB: fka, iMAR, IPG, QTronic, TraceTronic, VIRES scientific institutes: DLR, TU Darmstadt

42 months term

17 partners

Affiliated partners & Subcontracts

Project volume

Personnel deployment

project for the establishment of generally accepted quality criteria, tools and methods as well as scenarios and situations for the release of highly-automated driving functions

Project coordination, Project office

Page 6: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Central Issues of the PEGASUS Project

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What level of performance is expected of an automated vehicle?How can we verify that it achieves the desired performance consistently?

How can complete-ness of relevant test runs be ensured?

What do the criteria and measures for these test runs look like?

What can be tested in labs or in simulation? What must be tested on test grounds, what must be tested on the road?

Testing

What human capacity does the application require?

What about technical capacity?

Is it sufficiently accepted?

Which criteria and measures can be deducted from it?

Scenario Analysis &

Quality Measures

Which tools, methods and processes are necessary?

ImplementationProcess

Is the concept sustainable?

How does the process of embedding work?

Reflectionof Results

& Embedding

Page 7: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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TestingScenario

Analysis &Quality Measures

ImplementationProcess

Reflectionof Results

& Embedding

Central Issues of the PEGASUS Project

What level of performance is expected of an automated vehicle?How can we verify that it achieves the desired performance consistently?

What human capacity does the application require?

What about technical capacity?

Is it sufficiently accepted?

Which criteria and measures can be deducted from it?

Page 8: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Scenario Analysis and Quality Measures

How good is good enough?Which functional performance do highly automated driving functions need tobe accepted by driver and society?

To answer this question generally accepted quality criteria, tools and methods are developed.

• employed to the sample application of the highway chauffeur

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driving performance

%

Ø?autopilot ?

less good good very good

human drivers

Page 9: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Scenario Analysis and Quality Measures

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Deduction of requirementsbased on the

accepted measure of quality

Determination of safety levelthrough assessment of probability

of occurrence and mechanical manageability in critical situations

Deduction of an accepted quality measurefor automated driving features

Determination of critical

traffic situations

Description of application scenario (sample application: Highway Chauffeur + enhanced application scenario)

Determination of human and mechanical performanceas well as effectiveness(accident avoidance potential)

Results are e.g.:System boundariesMetric perspectivesClasses of automation risks

Page 10: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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TestingScenario

Analysis &Quality Measures

ImplementationProcess

Reflectionof Results

& Embedding

Central Issues of the PEGASUS Project

What level of performance is expected of an automated vehicle?How can we verify that it achieves the desired performance consistently?

Which tools, methods and processes are necessary?

Page 11: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Implementation Process

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Analysis of modification needs of

existing metrics and automobile series

development processes

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Transfer of systematic scenario guidelines

into process steps in considerationof system classifications and

levels of vehicle utilization

Transfer of target value parameters

into process steps

Preparation of requirements definition for

simulation, lab tests, test ground and field coverage

Refinement of the guidelines for required

documentation of process steps

Guidelines and Protocolsfor the documentation of

technological state-of-the-art compliance during the development process

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Page 12: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

© PEGASUS | VDA Technical Congress | April 6, 2017 12

TestingScenario

Analysis &Quality Measures

ImplementationProcess

Reflectionof Results

& Embedding

Central Issues of the PEGASUS Project

What level of performance is expected of an automated vehicle?How can we verify that it achieves the desired performance consistently?

How can complete-ness of relevant test runs be ensured?

What do the criteria and measures for these test runs look like?

What can be tested in labs or in simulation? What must be tested on test grounds, what must be tested on the road?

Page 13: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Testing

What does a test strategy need to look liketo cover the range of situations sufficiently?

How can all safety relevant scenarios in theapplication scope of the function be ensured?

How can we determine the functional limitations –and prove that we rule them?

How can we verify and validate our test methods, test instances and test results?

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Page 14: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Testing

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Ensurance trap*:

Up to now the system‘s behaviour in traffic has been considered as merestochastic process.

This equates the attempt to cover the state space representatively simply throughdriving.

accident

unrecognized risk

expecteddriving

Dimension of effect A

* „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013

If the previous method would be transferred to highly automated driving, 240 million kilometer* of driving would be necessary!

Page 15: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Testing

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A paradigm shift is mandatory!for a holistic approach for sufficient, complete and efficient testing of highly automateddriving within the functional limits by systematic scenario creation and methods of test coverage

Black Box Stochastic field testing

?

SoftwareCameras

Fusion Situation analysis

Control/Plan

ActuatingelementsRadars

Lidar etc.

System integrity observer

White Box / Testable Design

OEM-specific PEGASUS

Page 16: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Testing

Approach: iterative determination of the

scenarios for the highly automatedfunction using simulation, test groundand field test in comparison with a central database of test specifications

virtualization of the test andensuring process to control thehuge test range and volume

simulative determination of the functional limitation andproof of controllability

challenges for the simulation:

realistic models (traffic, sensors)

proof of realistic reproduction, that means verification and validation on testground and in field tests

automated identification of potential critical situations that are not yet modelled

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functional limitation

simulation based identification offunctional limitations

simulation basedverification of functional limitations

Dimension of effect A

Dim

ensi

on o

feffe

ctB

Page 17: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Testing

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Functional scenariosBasis road:

highway in bend

Stationary objects:

-

Movable objects:

ego, jam;interaction: ego approachesend of jam

Environment:

summer, rain

Logic scenariosBasis road:

number of lanes [2..4]curve radius [0,6..0,9] kph

Stationary objects:

-

Movable objects:

End of jam position[10..200] mjam speed [0..30] kphego distance [50..300] mego speed [80..130] kph

Environment:

temperature [10..40] °Cdroplet size [20..100] µmrain amount [0,1..10] mm/h

level of abstraction

Concrete scenariosBasis road:

number of lanes 3curve radius 0,7 km

Stationary objects:

-

Movable objects:end of jam position 40 mjam speed 30 kphego distance 200 mego speed 100 kph

Environment:

temperature 20 °Cdroplet size 30 µmrain amount 2 mm/h

number of scenarios

Generation of scenarios: levels of abstraction

bunch/jam

ego

Page 18: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Testing

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SP 1

Field tests

Simulationselection of

logic scenarioincl.

containment ofparameter range

Selektion log. Szenario inkl.

Eingrenzung Parameterbereich

Test ground

selection ofconcrete scenarioand test planning

identification ofcritical

scenarios in measuring data

simulation(determination

of criticalconcrete

scenarios)

test execution

verification

calibration & validation

Data base

logic scenarios incl. scenario parameters

functional scenarios

concretescenarios

metrics andassessment criteria

Test Preparation

test results

Test conceptautomated

evaluation andassessment

evaluation andassessment

Replay2Sim(measuring data

2 concretescenario)

Page 19: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

© PEGASUS | VDA Technical Congress | April 6, 2017 19

TestingScenario

Analysis &Quality Measures

ImplementationProcess

Reflectionof Results

& Embedding

Central Issues of the PEGASUS Project

What level of performance is expected of an automated vehicle?How can we verify that it achieves the desired performance consistently?

Is the concept sustainable?

How does the process of embedding work?

Page 20: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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Reflection of Results & Embedding

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Verification of methods to identify relevant situations, quality and criticality measures for the assurance of HAD features

Assessment, whether the test goal can be achieved with the utilized processes and methods in PEGASUS

Statement about the distribution ratio between the applied test methods (from simulation to test ground to field test)

Assistance with embedding of acquired

results with our project partners

Lessons learned regarding the implementation of the

results in existing corporate structures

Proof of Concepttrough verification (1),

assessment (2) and statement (3)

Page 21: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

© PEGASUS | VDA Technical Congress | April 6, 2017

Summary / Selected Goals of the Project

development of a procedure for the determination of design criteria and establishment of quality measures

considering the driver in regards to his abilities

design of the development process for the release of highly automated vehicle systems

conceptual design, assembly and demonstration of building blocks for an efficient toolchain for simulation, test ground and field test

embedding of findings in the industry

distribution and pioneering of a standardization

All essential project results are freely accessible.

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Page 22: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

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PEGASUS closes key gaps in the field of testingfor highly automated driving functions

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Prototypes Lab / Testing Ground Products

current status

Advancementthrough

PEGASUS

…and prepares theway for introducinghighly automated

driving functions on the market!

Page 23: PEGASUS VDA techn.Kongress PaB 4-3 05 en fürStick · * „Absicherung automatischen Fahrens“, Prof. Dr. H. Winner, 6. FAS-Tagung München, 29.11.2013 If the previous method would

Contact:Prof. Dr. Karsten LemmerMember of the Executive Board for Energy and TransportGerman Aerospace Center (DLR)

[email protected]/295-3401

www.pegasusprojekt.de