PART I: National Income Originating in Financial ... · NATIONAL INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL...

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This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Studies in Income and Wealth Volume Author/Editor: Conference on Research in Income and Wealth. Volume Publisher: UMI Volume ISBN: 0-870-14165-1 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/unkn47-1 Publication Date: 1947 Chapter Title: PART I: National Income Originating in Financial Intermediaries Chapter Author: Dwight Yntema Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c5680 Chapter pages in book: (p. 23 - 50)

Transcript of PART I: National Income Originating in Financial ... · NATIONAL INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL...

Page 1: PART I: National Income Originating in Financial ... · NATIONAL INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES * DWIGHT B. YNTEMA AMONG THE LEAST SATISFACTORY CONCEPTS underlying

This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the NationalBureau of Economic Research

Volume Title: Studies in Income and Wealth

Volume Author/Editor: Conference on Research in Income and Wealth.

Volume Publisher: UMI

Volume ISBN: 0-870-14165-1

Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/unkn47-1

Publication Date: 1947

Chapter Title: PART I: National Income Originating in FinancialIntermediaries

Chapter Author: Dwight Yntema

Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c5680

Chapter pages in book: (p. 23 - 50)

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NATIONAL INCOME ORIGINATING IN

FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES *

DWIGHT B. YNTEMA

AMONG THE LEAST SATISFACTORY CONCEPTS underlying nationalincome methodology are those that have been constructed fordealing with financial intermediaries such as banks and life in-surance carriers. Exception may well be taken to assumptionsused in the theoretical approach for dealing with intermediariesas also to qualifications attaching to statistical procedures. Re-view and reformulation are overdue. The problem centersabout suitable definition and measurement of property incomeflows into and from financial intermediaries. As will be seen,decisions concerning flows in this area have repercussions innonintermediary industries.

The treatment the Department of Commerce and the Na-tional Bureau of Economic Research have accorded banks andlife insurance carriers is itself a departure from procedures ap-plied in ordinary industry areas, where income itemsare taken net of property income receipts.' This standard pro-* The proposed treatment of financial intermediaries is ajoint product to which severalmembers of the National Income Unit of the Department of Commerce contributed.In explaining the treatment, the writer does not imply any claim to originality butwishes to accept full responsibility for defects and faults of presentation. He takesthis opportunity to express particular indebtedness to Edward F. Denison for hishelpful criticism and encouragement.1 See, for example, National Income in Me United States, 1929—35, (Washington, D. C.,1936), pp. 14—5, 54—5, 168—70, and 236—8; and Simon Kuznets, National Income andIts Composition, 191Q—1938 (National Bureau of Economic Research, 1941), II,407—10.

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24 PART I

cedure would require that interest receipts (as defined) be de-ducted from interest payments (again as defined) and thatdividend receipts be deducted from dividend payments. Appli-cation of this protedure in certain financial and insurance areas,however, would lead to anomalous results in that net interestand dividends would typically tend to be negative. Negative orrelatively small positive values for interest and dividends woulddepress total income originating, in more extreme cases makingit negative as well. The effect may be observed in estimates forcertain types of financial institution, notably holding compa-nies, to which the standard procedure has been applied.

Results of this kind were not accepted as realistic measures offactor earnings for banks and life insurance companies and aspecial procedure was devised. On the assumption that financialintermediaries act as 'aggregates of individuals', interest (asdefined) and dividends received by such businesses are treatedas if they went directly to individuals. Then, income originatingin financial intermediaries is calculated by summing compen-sation of employees, entrepreneurial income, if this is present,and corporate profits. There are no entries for interest paidor for interest and dividends received by intermediaries. Thisprocedure yields more or less reasonable results for total in-come originating in intermediary industries.

The cure, however, introduces difficulties. All-industry totalsfor interest and dividends (and thereby corporate profits, sinceprofits are the sum of net dividends and corporate savings) areunsound in that they do not provide measures of interest anddividends actually received by individuals. In addition, certainawkward statistical difficulties, particularly in the measurementof interest originating in nonintermediary industries, are re-solved only by arbitrary assumptions. Interest going to indi-viduals including 'aggregates of individuals' is measured asinterest on long term debt of nonintermediary corporations, netof interest on government bonds received by such corporations,plus government bond interest and interest paid by individualmortgagors.2 The compilation is at best little more than an in-2 The 'aggregates-of-individuals' assumption for financial intermediaries does not,of course, necessarily require this particular method of measurement. Still, it is becauseof the treatment of banks and life insurance companies as aggregates that it is at allacceptable to assume that long term interest received by business offsets short terminterest received by individuals, implicit in this method of measurement.

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 23

direct estimate of the net interest flow to individuals, includingthat going via aggregates of individuals. Reconsideration ontheoretical grounds as well as the development of a bettermethodology is definitely indicated. The object should be todevise a treatment that puts measurements for financial inter-mediaries basically on a par with measurements for other in-dustry areas.3

ft is proposed that financial intermediaries be recognized asbusinesses in which at least part of the interest and dividendsreceived from the investment of funds made available by othersis used in providing seemingly free services to those supplyingfunds to intermediaries. For transactions of this kind, whichappear to short-cut usual business practices, imputation of in-come and services is sound and definitely in order. On the in-come side, a flow of property income over and above actualdividend and interest disbursements should be imputed in orderto account for an implicit payment by financial intermediariesto those who supply them with funds. It is perhaps simplest toclassify this imputed property income as imputed interest. Onthe product side, an imputation of services rendered by finan-cial intermediaries is indicated, equal in value to the imputedincome paid by intermediaries. In other words, it is assumedthat the income imputed to depositors or investors is automati-cally used by them in purchasing imputed services from finan-cial intermediaries. The imputed services are those rendered inconnection with both the investment of funds and the servicingof accounts. Financial intermediaries are defined to include

In 1932 Morris A. Copeland reviewed the 'banking-income dilemma' in the light ofthe then current work of W. I. King, comparing results obtained by a carefully con-sidered reformulation he presented with those of Mr. King, 'Some Problems in theTheory of National Income', Journal of Political Economy, XL, 1 (Feb. 1932), pp. 1—51.

In brief, Mr. Copeland proposed the calculation of a 'value added in banking' equalto interest income of banks from equities in nonbanking business minus interest paidon deposits and profit on bank proprietorship equity invested in nonbanking businesses.For estimating profit on bank proprietorship equity invested in nonbanking businesses,Mr. Copeland suggested taking (1 minus national wealth in banking divided by pro-prietorship equity) multiplied by proprietorship income. The 'value added in banking'would in its entirety become property income receipts of nonfinancial enterprises. Mr.Copeland concluded that present information was inadequate for apportioning thischarge among the several industry groups, and decided it was best to make the de-duction from total property income without apportionment. In this general connection,see also his 'Concepts of National Income', Studies in Income and Wealth, Vol. One(National Bureau of Economic Research, 1937), pp. 23—6.

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26 PART I

banks, life insurance carriers, and other financial enterprises,comprised chiefly of investment trusts and holding companiesand credit agencies.

Funds are supplied to financial intermediaries by indi-viduals and businesses and this requires a division of imputedamounts between the two. The income and services imputedto individuals on funds they supply to intermediaries becomecomponents of national income and of national product, re-spectively. In contrast, since income and services imputed tobusinesses cancel in all-industry summations, they do not ap-pear in national income and national product. The income im-puted on funds supplied by businesses must be treated as aproperty income receipt from the standpoint of business recipi-ents of this income. Along with dividends and actual interestreceived) it must be included as one of the offsets to interestand dividend payments in obtaining net property incom.e origi-nating. Correspondingly, imputed services rendered businessesby financial intermediaries are intermediate, not final products.As will be seen below in the detailed discussion of each of thethree intermediary industries, it is assumed that businesses re-ceive imputed income only from banking. Apportionment pro-cedures) consequently, are deferred to Section 4. Under theproposed division of imputed income between individuals andbusinesses, in summary, national income will include imputedinterest income to the extent of part of the income imputed inbanking and the entire income imputed in life insurance carriersand other finance.

In comparison with results that would be obtained were fi-nancial intermediaries treated like ordinary industries, theproposed calculation makes national income larger by theamount of imputed income going to individuals. The proposedtreatment, as developed below, also shifts to financial intermedi-aries some of the property income that would originate in otherindustry areas. Finally, it accomplishes a transformation oftotal property income shares for all industries directed towardputting them into the form in which they are returned to in-dividuals.

Comparison of the treatment developed here with themethod commonly used is complex because of the peculiarnature of the latter method with respect to interest originating

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 27

in nonintermediary industries. The outline below should behelpful in this connection, in that it reviews underlying assump-tions and the essential procedures of each.

COMPARISON OF COMMON AND PROPOSED TREATMENTS OFINTER-BUSINESS PROPERTY INCOME FLOWS IN

NATIONAL INCOME CALCULATIONS

COMMON METHOD DERIVING FROMAGGREGATES-OF-INDIVIDUALS ASSUMPTION

Unlike other types of business, banksand life insurance carriers are assumed toact as aggregates of individuals with re-spect to receipts of property income. Itis assumed that property income receiptsof intermediaries on long term debt andcorporate stock go to individuals viaintermediaries acting as aggregates ofindividuals. Property income paymentsof intermediaries (excluding corporateprofits) are not counted.

PROPOSED METHOD

By taking account of a type of businesstransaction implicit in operations of finan-cial intermediaries (banks, life insurancecarriers, & other finance), these enter-prises may be treated in the same manneras nonintermediary business. It is recog-nized that a property income payment(imputed interest) is made by financialintermediaries to those that supply inter-mediaries with investment funds. Thisimputed income is measured as interestand dividends (also net rents for lifeinsurance) received by intermediaries lessactual property income returned by inter-mediaries to those supplying investmentfunds.

Interest Flows of Nonintermediary EnterprisesAll long term interest as measured byinterest on (a) government securities,(b) long term debt of corporations, netof interest received by corporations ongovernment securities, (c) real estatemortgages outstanding against individualsis assumed to go to individuals, includingaggregates of individuals, directly fromthe industry in which it originates.

The correlative assumption is that allother interest is short term and paid tobusinesses only. Short term interest is notcounted, either where paid or wherereceived.

Payments of both long and short terminterest are taken in each case net ofreceipts of both types of interest, in-cluding imputed interest income re-ceived from banks.

Basic 4ssumptions concerning:Financial Intermediaries

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28 PART I

Computation of Property Income Originating in:Financial Intermediaries

For banking and life insurance carriers, For banking, life insurance carriers, &only profits of corporations are counted. other finance (investment trusts, creditThere are no entries for interest paid or agencies, etc.), property income returns,for interest and dividends received. including imputed income 'paid', are

taken net of property income receipts.

Nonintermediary EnterprisesInterest is computed as mortgage interest Interest is computed as all interest paidpaid by noncorporate borrowers, interest net of all interest received by corporationspaid by government, and interest paid on including imputed income (interest) re-long term debt of corporations net of ceived from banks, and net of imputedgovernment interest received by cor- income (interest) received from banks byporations. Dividends are taken net of noncorporate enterprises. Dividends aredividends received by corporations. taken net of dividends received by cor-

porations.

1 CHARACTERISTICS OF DIsTRIBUTIvE SHARE AND INDUSTRYCOMPONENTS OF NATIONAL INCOME

Perspective is needed for consideration of specialized problemsrelating to financial intermediaries. To this end it is desirablefirst to note important characteristics of distributive share andindustry components of national income. Next, some attentionmust be given to the computation of property income originat-ing in ordinary industry areas. This background is essential forconsideration of the property income problem.

As a value measure of factor input, national income is thesum of the earnings of productive factors for their participationin current economic activity. This total is taken to comprisecompensation of employees,, net incomes of businesses both non-corporate and corporate, interest, and net rents and royaltiesaccruing to individuals. Clearly, estimation of this total re-quires a complete yet unduplicated count of factor input values.Development of an unduplicated aggregate may then be takenas a first essential element in national income estimation.

Other basic characteristics relate to components of the un-duplicated aggregate. First, consider the distributive share com-ponents of national income. The total, a measure of net returnsto factors, comprises certain distributive shares. Withrespect to the share components, the viewpoint is basically oneenvisioning returns to individuals for input itito a consolidatedproductive system. Because factor earnings from the system

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 29

are so viewed, the distributive share analysis of national incomewould be expected to show share earnings in the form that theseleave the system. But this is also the form in which shares go toindividuals, including quasi-individuals such as nonprofit insti-tutions, and. individuals acting collectively through govern-ment. As a second requirement in national income estimation,then, it is proposed that distributive share components of na-tional income be measured in the form and amount going toindividuals.

In contrast to the distributive share analysis of nationalincome, the industrial components of national income showearnings from factor use in each industry. These provide meas-ures that are fundamental to an appraisal of the relative im-portance of different industries, as judged by factor earnings.Since distributive share earnings in a particular industry mayin the case of property income go either to individuals or toother industries, the net share figures for an industry cannot bemeasures of net returns going directly to individuals from theindustry. They represent merely the industry's net contribu-tion to all industry totals that in leaving the economic systemmust go to individuals. In brief, the third requirement in na-tional income estimation is that factor input by industries bemeasured in the industries where factors are used, not in the in-dustries where individuals make their contributions of factors.4

Passing attention should be given to the alternative industrial allocation whichwould show factor earnings going directly to individuals from each industry. The twocalculations can be contrasted by a simple illustration. Assume that two companiesconstitute an economic system and that factor earnings are in the form of profits andbond interest only, as shown below for companies A and B. Individuals, apparently,must own directly all the securities of Company B but not all of Company A since,judged by factor earnings, Company B holds one-fourth of the bonds and one-fifth ofthe stock of Company A.

COMPANY A COMPANY BInterest paid 100 30Dividends paid 50 75Corporate savings 20 0Property income received

Interest 0 25Dividends 0 10

National income in this simple illustration is the sum of net interest and dividendspaid and corporate savings.

INCOME ORIGINATING INNATIONAL INCOME COMPANY A COMPANY B

Total 240 170 70Interest 105 100 .5

Dividends 115 50 65Corporate savings 20 20 0

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30 PART I

2 DISTRIBUTIVE SHARES AND INCOME ORIGINATING ININDUSTRIES OTHER THAN FINANCE AND INSURANCE

In reviewing the treatment of property income flows in non-finance industries, particular interest attaches to elements thatassure that the income calculations have the basic character-istics noted above; namely, that national income be an undupli-cated yet complete measure of factor input values, that thedistributive share components of national income measurefactor earnings in the form and amount going to individuals,and that industrial components indicate the value of net factoruse in each industry. In practice, of course, such ends as theseare realized only approximately since in statistical calculationsminor atypical elements must be neglected. A case in point isthat of firms in industries other than finance so far as these mayengage in financial operations that account for only minor partsof total activity. When this happens, it is common practice tonet out the income flows from minor activities without intro-ducing the specialized procedures that would be used werefinancial operations dominant in company activities.

Results of the alternative industrial allocation are somewhat different. We knowthat all the property income'receipts of Company B came from Company A. Deductionoi these receipts from total factor earnings in Company A leaves net earnings going toindividuals from that company and there is no netting out of Company B returns.The income total for the two companies, however, is the same as before and the distri-butive share components of this total for the two companies combined are unchanged.

INCOME RETURNED TO INDIVIDUALSNATIONAL INCOME COMPANY A COMPANY B

Total 240 135 105Interest 105 75 30Dividends 115 40 75Corporate savings 20 20 0

It is clear that industry by industry the alternative calculation of national incomecomponents cannot measure net earnings from factor use. In the extremely simplifiedillustration, the economic system was assumed to comprise only two companies. Thisassumption greatly facilitated the alternative computation since it could be inferredthat property income receipts of Company B must have come from Company A. Ifeven a third company, Company C, had existed and had factor earnings like those ofCompany A and no property income receipts, the solution would have required ad-ditional data. To make the alternative computation in such a case, it would be necessaryto know either the amounts of property income receipts of B from A and from C or thedivision of the factor earnings of the companies between amounts returned to othercompanies and amounts returned to individuals. Such data, however, are unavailable,so that the alternative calculation is not statistically possible. It is doubtful, further-more, that results from the alternative calculation, if they could be obtained, would beas useful as those derived by the ordinary procedure.

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 31.

The following comments touching in succession upon eachdistributive share are confined to procedural aspects of incomecalculations relating to inter-business flows of factor earningsin nonintermediary industries.

Compensation of employees. Wages and salaries and other com-pensation of employees are calculated on the assumption thatlabor input of hired workers is used in the industry that em-ploys them. This rules out inter-industry flows of wages andsalaries and their supplements. There can be no duplication onaccount of inter-business flows of wages. If services of laborerson the payroll of Firm A are made available to another firm orto consumers, it is assumed that Firm A is supplying businessservices. Payments to Firm A are for services rendered and arenot in the form of compensation of employees.5

Entrepreneurial income. Net income of unincorporated busi-nesses — sole proprietorships and partnerships is estimatedon the assumption that property income receipts in the form ofinterest and dividends of persons who are proprietors in addi-tion to being individuals are in effect received by these personsas individuals, not as proprietors. If basic data on unincorpo-rated businesses show interest and dividend receipts, these prop-erty income items are deducted from reported net income inestimating entrepreneurial income for national income pur-poses. Correspondingly, interest and dividends received are notdeducted as receipt items from property income paid. Thistreatment forestalls possible duplications as between propertyand entrepreneurial income; also the industrial source of prop-erty income flows, that in basic data may be channeled throughnoncorporate firms, is properly that of originating

It must be admitted that this assignment does not preciselymeasure the property share components of national income, in

It will be noted in the review of the corporate profit and interest shares immediatelyfollowing that an analogous assumption is not made in the treatment of propertyincome flows. ii it were, it would call for treating interest and dividend income ofbusiness as receipts for services rendered (use or investment of funds). Only propertyincome flows to individuals would then be in the form of interest and dividends (profits)and the computation of income would take the form suggested in the preceding footnote.But the assumption underlying such treatment is out of harmony with the manner inwhich business accounts are kept and, even if the treatment were desirable, statisticalsources do not admit of computation.

C

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.32 PART I

the form and amount actually going to individuals. Difficultiesdevelop in the case of partnerships. Treating interest and divi-dend receipts of partnerships as if they go directly to individu-als is clearly unrealistic since partners can consider such incomeas accruing to them only as partnership net income. Yet theassumption is necessary because of lack of much detailed dataunderlying entrepreneurial income and because it is simplest tocombine the estimates for the two eypes of noncorporatebusiness.

Corporate profits. Net income of incorporated businesses istaken net of receipts of corporate dividends. As the netting outof dividends received is entirely against dividends paid, cor-porate savings are unaffected by the adjustment. The fact thatcorporate profits in national income accounts are measured ex-clusive of capital gains and losses substantially prevents thecorporate savings (positive or negative) of one company frombeing reflected in the profits of another. This treatment satis-factorily meets criteria relating to duplication in the total, dis-tribution share composition, and industrial source.

Because, in the past, reports on dividend receipts coveredonly dividends received from domestic corporations, the prac-tice has been to net out only dividends received from domesticcorporations. This left dividends from abroad implicit in theprofits of industries receiving such dividends. In consequence,it was necessary that the dividend component of the balance ofpayments entry in the miscellaneous industry be computed asdividends from abroad received by individuals minus all divi-dend payments abroad. Since information on total dividendsreceipts by corporations is now available as far back as 1937 itis possible to eliminate this incongruity. Netting out total divi-dend receipts against dividends paid gives a better measure ofnet factor earnings by industries. The meaningfulness of theadjustment for international flows of property income is im-proved by taking all dividends received from abroad minus alldividends paid abroad.

Interest. The interest component of national income has in thepast been estimated as the sum of interest payments on longterm debt outstanding against nonintermediary corporations,governmental bodies, and real property owned by individuals.

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 33

Corporate receipts of government interest payments have beennetted put against long term interest payments of corporations.Short term interest then is an inter-business flow. The assump-tion introduces arbitrary elements not only in the national in-come total but in its industrial and distributive share com-ponents as well.

The procedure proposed makes it possible to recognize bothlong and short term interest flows. Interest for an industry iscomputed as total interest paid by all enterprises minus totalinterest (explicit and imputed) received by corporations andminus imputed interest received by noncorporate enterprises.The imputed interest that is allocated to the industry frombanking is discussed below. The resulting estimate is theoreti-cally sound in that it is a direct measure of net earnings forfactor use in each industry.

Incidental attention must be given at this point to the needfor proper coverage of interest payments made by individualsunder the proposed procedure. As was done in connection withthe earlier method, all long term interest paid on mortgagesoutstanding against real estate owned by individuals must becounted; this appears as a component of the interest originatingin real estate. Second, interest payments by individuals on in-debtedness other than mortgages must be included, at least tothe extent that it is paid to business. From the standpoint ofestimation, it may be necessary to omit inter-individual pay-ments of nonmortgage interest, placing this outside the scope ofeconomic activity encompassed in national income estimates.Nonmortgage interest payments of individuals to businessesare entered in some suitable industry group, presumably the'private households' industry of the service division along withwages of domestic service workers.

Net rents. Like entrepreneurial income and corporate profits,this return is computed net of costs. It is basically a specialtype of entrepreneurial net income realized by individuals fromreal estate they own and either rent or use for housing as owner-occupants. In the latter case, the return is an imputed net rent;the Department of Commerce is increasing its national incomecoverage to include this item. Returns netted by businesses fromthe lease of their real estate holdings do not, of course, appear

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34 PART I

as net rent in national income complications; they are implicitin business profits. Realizations from real estate used by owningbusinesses are similarly in business net income. The remainingarea of real estate ownership, government, can be divided be-tween properties leased to tenants and other properties. Netrents realized on the former will be taken into account in cal-culations for government. Imputed realizations on other govern-ment properties are not covered in Department of Commerceestimates, essentially because of difficulties in making trust-worthy estimates.

Net rents realized by individuals on their real estate holdingsare grouped together and classified under real estate in thebroad finance, insurance, and real estate group. It may be notedfirst that in national income tabulations this return is 'net' inthe sense of being net of various expenses and charges. This isquite different from the meaning of net as used in connectionwith interest and dividend payments. Also, the classification ofnet rents as a type of income originating in real estate is quiteindependent of any industry implications concerning propertyuse. On theoretical grounds, such as the smallness of residualnet rents in comparison with gross rents and because of numer-ous statistical difficulties besetting a calculation of net rent byproperty-using industry, it is best to view gross rents paid bytenants simply as payments for property-use services. Net rentsthen become a specialized business profit.

3 FINANCE AND INSURANCE INDUSTRIES

In turning from general procedures applicable in most industryareas to the development of modified methods suited to seg-ments of the finance and insurance industries, it is worth whilefirst to note explicitly the distinguishing characteristics of thegroups that are to have special treatment. The financial inter-mediaries comprised in the special groups differ from firms inother areas in that a major if not substantially complete shareof total receipts is in the form of interest and dividend income.This is not to imply that businesses in other industrial areas donot typically have some property income; it is intended only topoint out that the dividing line involves little more than a dif-ference in degree. In practice, however, this dividing line is im-

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 35

portant since whenever interest and dividend income is sizablein comparison with income from sales of commodities or serv-ices, ordinary statistical methods used in calculating propertyincome originating in an industry give thoroughly untenablemeasures of returns for factor use.

The fact that imputation is undertaken in connection withfinancial intermediaries when these differ from other industriesonly in degree suggests that some adjustment of proceduresmight be desirable also in other industrial areas. On a theoreticallevel, this would necessarily follow. Quantitatively, however,the adjustment would not be very important; moreover, itwould be necessary to rely upon rather doubtful solutions todifficulties confronting statistical measurement.

The procedure proposed is simple in basic outline. It requiresthe imputation of an interest payment, equal to the value ofservices rendered without explicit charge, to supplement actualdisbursements of interest plus certain dividends. However, atleast a minimum amount of detail concerning procedure andmethodology must be added before the outline takes on muchmeaning. Chief problems center about the definition of the in-terest to impute and its allocation between businesses and indi-viduals and among businesses. This detail will tend to differamong the several types of financial intermediary. Conse-quently, different types of intermediary — banks, other finance

long and short term credit companies, investmenttrusts and holding companies), and life insurance carriers —are discussed. Each area is sufficiently homogeneous to admitof reasonable similarity in the treatment of property incomeflows.

4 BANKING

If usual procedures for dealing with inter-enterprise propertyincome are applied in banking, the large interest and dividendreceipts of banks result in negative net property returns. Thesum of net property income and compensation of employees isalso negative and clearly does not measure the cost of factor usein banking. The difficulty is overcome and at the same time thecalculation for banks can be put on a sound basis consistentwith the treatment accorded other industries by recognizing atype of business transaction that is implicit in bank operations

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36 PART I

— the supplying of seemingly 'free' services to depositors in re-turn for 'free' use by banks of depositors' funds. The amount ofimputed property income originating in banking is taken asinterest and dividend receipts minus interest payments. It isallocated to depositors including individuals, government, andindustries. From the standpoint of industries, the im-puted income allocated to business is essentially similar toother property income received. Along with interest and divi-dend receipts, it must be deducted from property income pay-ments in arriving at net income originating.

The nature of the property income computations can best beshown by numerical illustration. Part A provides illustrativereceipt, expenditure, and profit figures for all other industriescombined and for commercial banking. Part B 'shows the com-putation of income originating in each industry, group andnational income. For convenience, receipts and expendituresrelating to intermediate products are consolidated for enter-prises within each group, but not interest and dividends. Fur-ther, entries for imputed income and imputed services are in-cluded. The numerical magnitudes are arbitrary.

PART A

Receipts, Expenditures, and Profits for Banking and for OtherIndustries

OTHER.

Receipts INDUSTRIES BANKING

Sales of final products 170 55 (50 imputed)Sales of intermediate products 30 40 (all imputed)Total sales 200 95Interest received 10 70Dividends received 5 30Receipts of interest imputed on deposits 40Total other income 55 100Total receipts 255 195

Expenditures and ProfitsExpenses to other industries 40 (imputed) 30Wages 95 60Interest paid 75 10 (on deposits)Dividends paid 35 3Undivided profits 10 2Payment of interest imputed on deposits 90Total 255 195

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 37

PART B

Income Originating in Banking and in Other Industries andNational Income

INCOME ORIGINATINGOther GROSS NATIONAL

Industries Banking TOTALS INCOME

Total 160 65 225Wages 95 60 153 155Interest 75 10 83 5DiVidends 35 3 38 3Undivided profits 10 2 12 12Payment of interest imputed on deposits 90 90 50Deductions for property income receivedInterest 10 —70 —80Dividends — 3 —30 —35

Receipt of interest imputed on deposits —40 —40

In the illustration it will be seen (Part A) that banks receive100 in interest and dividends and 5 in service charges to indi-viduals (sales of final products). Of the 100 interest and dividendreceipts, 10 is paid out as interest on time deposits, leaving 90retained by banks. This 90, together with the 5 received fromcharges to individuals, is used by banks for expenses to otherindustries, wages, and profits. In retaining the 90, banks maybe said to short-cut ordinary business procedures which wouldcall for (1) payment of 90 to depositors, this being the majorshare of the interest and other income received by banks fromthe investment of deposit funds, and (2) a counterbalancingservice charge of 90 to depositors for services rendered in carry-ing depositors' accounts and investing their funds. Recognitionof these two balancing transactions results in entries of 90 forreceipts from sales of final and intermediate products by bank-ing and payment of 90 income imputed on deposits. Since 40 ofthe imputed income goes to other industries (intermediate prod-ucts), the 'other industry' column carries entries of 40 in re-ceipts of income imputed on deposits and 40 in expenses toother industries, i.e., banking.

Compilations of national income and its components (Part B)are derived directly from entries in Part A, including imputeditems. Deductions for property income received by other indus-tries include the receipt of 40 in income imputed on deposits.Banking has an imputed income payment of 90. Algebraic addi-tion yields 160 for income originating in other industries and65 in banking. National income totals 225, equal to total salesof final products (170 plus 55). The distributive share corn-

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38 PART I

ponents of national income are obtained by adding entries forthe two industries and netting out the property income deduc-tions. For the sake of clarity, interest imputed on deposits wasnot consolidated with other interest in showing distributiveshare components of national income.6

The income computations in Part B of the illustration meetthe tests suggested in Section 1. First, the total is an undupli-cated yet complete value measure of net factor input. Second,the distributive share components of the total are in the formand amount actually going to individuals one share is neces-sarily interest imputed on deposits. Finally, income originatingin each industry measures factor earnings for net input; in bank-ing, for example, this is simply the sum of wages and profits.

Other procedures would give somewhat different results. Ifbanking is treated like an ordinary industry, the imputed en-tries are dropped. Then income originating is —25 for bankingand 200 for other industries, and national income, 175.

If banking is to be treated as aggregate of individuals,property income flows to banking that are creditable to mdi-'viduals would be treated as if they go directly to individuals.On the assumption that all interest and dividend receipts ofbanking accrue to individuals, imputed entries would bedropped as well as interest paid by banks. Then income origi-

The illustration raises usual problems in connection with the netting out of positiveand negative entries for interest and for dividends in national income tables. Totalproperty income originating in an industry (interest plus dividends plus corporateprofits) is properly measured in net form. All-industry totals for each share must alsobe in net form in order to show amounts returned to individuals. Within an industry,deductions of interest received from interest paid or of dividends received from divi-dends paid gives a specialized figure that must be carefully interpreted. It shows thereturn for the net use of the particular factor in an industry or the industry's contribu-tion to the all-industry total for the factor.

The difficulty with such figures arises from the fact that dividend receipts may betransformed into interest payments, or vice versa, and, in extreme cases, the figuresfor either item may be negative. in the illustration above, for example, net dividendsoriginating in banking are —27 (not especially descriptive of actual banking data),indicating a net transformation of dividends received into interest returned (paid andimputed). The combined figure for net interest and dividends (or profits), however, ismeaningful as a measure of net property income originating in the industry. In con-trast, gross interest and dividends paid by an industry are realistically descriptive ofactual business disbursements, as based upon tax returns to the Bureau of InternalRevenue, and have analytical value in this connection. Consequently, it may be ex-pected that gross dividends and interest paid as well as net figures will be made avail-able to users of national income data.

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 39

nating in banking (65) would be calculated as wages (60) plusprofits (5). For other industries the total originating would be200, comprised of wages (95), net interest (65), and profits netof dividends received (40). National income would be 265.

The calculation commonly made under the aggregates-of-individuals assumption gives still different results. It is basedupon a distinction between long and short term interest paidby nonintermediary enterprises; interest on long term debt is.assumed to go to individuals. In keeping with this assumption,let it be agreed in connection with the example that long terminterest accounts for 60 of the 75 interest total paid by otherindustries. Assume also that interest received by other indus-tries is from government bonds. For the customaPy computa-tion under the aggregates-of-individuals assumption imputedentries are dropped, as are interest paid on bank deposits andbanking receipts of interest and dividends. Then, income origi-(Eating in banking is 65, comprised of wages (60) and profits (5).Income originating in other industries totals 185, the sum ofwages (95), interest (figured as 60 minus 10, or 50), and profitsnet of dividends received (40). The 250 national income totalincludes 155 in wages, 45 in profits, and 50 in interest.

It seems evident that the ordinary industry treatment ofbanking gives an anomalous negative income originating inbanking that is thoroughly unacceptable in measuring factorearnings in banking in terms of factors in use in the industry.Also, the relatively low totals for national income and for inter-Vest and dividends reflect an unsound canceling of part of thiskind of property income. The aggregates treatment based uponthe assumption that all property income receipts of banks ac-crue to individuals gives satisfactory results for banking. Itoverstates national income, however, through failure to recog-nize that some of the property income must accrue to business.Furthermore, the property income components of national in-come simply are not in the form going to individuals, save byassumption.

The treatment of banking currently in vogue as applied tothis illustration, including the assumptions concerning longterm interest, gives a national income total that reflects the factthat short term interest (15) is only fortuitously related to in-come imputed on business deposits (40). Also important in con-

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40 PARTI

nection with this method is the deficiency apparent in the sharecomponents of national income since interest and dividends go-ing to banks (banks in effect are assumed to act as aggregates ofindividuals) are included as such in the interest arid dividendcomponents of national income as if these actually went to in-dividuals. Of course, by this method neither interest paid ondeposits nor income imputed on deposits is counted in theshare compilations.

In a brief statement of the general rationale underlying theproposed treatment of property income flows of banking, noteshould first be taken of the two basic types of banking activitywith which we are concerned: provision of demand (checking)and savings account services, and activities related to the in-vestment of funds. In the first banks provide facil-ities for accepting deposits and for servicing accounts. In thesecond, banks may be viewed as depositors' agents, investingdeposit funds in order to obtain interest (plus a small amount ofcdividend) income. Some of this income is passed on to depos-itors, mainly in the form of interest on savings deposits, butthe major portion is retained by banks in order to finance theirinvestment and deposit services. The treatment proposed as-sumes that all interest and dividend income of banks (but notnet rent realizations) accrue to the account of depositors, eitherin the form of interest on deposits or in the form of income im-puted on deposits. This implies that bank profits come frombanking operations proper, as distinct from the investment offunds yielding interest and dividend income from other in-dustries.

In using the foregoing formulation, it will be recognized, first,that the distributive shares comprised in the national incometotal for all industries will include only the income imputed ondeposits of individuals. The income imputed on private businessdeposits will cancel in the all-industry summation. Second, finalproducts will include imputed investment and account servicesrendered by banks to individuals. Again, imputed services pro-vided by banks in connection with deposits of private businessare intermediate products. Finally, all interest and dividend in-come of banks must be counted in calculating the property in-come received by banks. The total must include the short terminterest which is purposely omitted when banks are treated as

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 41

aggregates of individuals. Short term interest received by bankscomes from noncorporate as well as corporate businesses andalso from individuals as such. Interest paid by businesses ap-pears in the income originating tabulations of the many indus-try groups that borrow from banks. Interest paid by individualsto banks also must appear as part of interest paid in some properindustry, such as the 'private households' component of service.

Since the preceding discussion deals specifically with com-mercial banking, a word should be added concerning the treat-ment of mutual savings banks. As depositors and stockholdersare identical it is necessary to define imputed income as totalinterest and dividend receipts minus interest and dividendspaid depositors and minus interest paid on capital notes anddebentures. The imputed interest, consequently, includes onecomponent that is paralleled on the product side by an imputedservice flow and a second component that represents a conver-sion of retained net earnings of mutual banks to imputed in-terest. The imputed interest paralleled by services is defined asinterest and dividend receipts minus net income before incomeand excess profits taxes. Net income is, of course, divided amongtaxes on net income (insignificant), 'interest and dividends'paid, and a remainder representing net undistributed earnings.The component series for imputed interest representing retainednet earnings is defined as the remainder of net income after'interest and dividends' paid but including taxes on net income.By this treatment, income originating in mutual savings banksis equal to compensation of employees, since cash interest anddividends paid and imputed interest are exactly offset by inter-est and dividend income, and retained net earnings are elim-inated.

A brief note should be added concerning the allocation of im-puted income originating in banking among individuals, govern-ment, and business, and within business among the manyindustries. Followingthe basic approach used in measuring im-puted income in banking, it is assumed that the apportionmentis determined by the distribution of deposits. Obviously, thestatistical allocation of imputed income among depositors mustinvolve various assumptions and approximations. It is believedthat these do not significantly violate faèts. First, mutual say-

banks are isolated by assuming that individuals alone

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42 PART I

supply them with funds. Income imputed in mutual savingsbanks, then, is allocated entirely to individuals.

Regularly reported data for commeréial banks provide a dis-tribution of demand and time deposits between government —federal and state and local — and individuals, partnerships,and corporations. It is assumed that this deposit informationbased on bank records effectively shows the composition offunds supplied to banks by the two classes of depositors. Allo-cation of imputed income between the two follows this distri-bution. In using this deposit pattern as the basis for allocation,the following procedure may be adopted: (1) combine imputedincome and interest paid on demand and time deposits; (2) allo-cate this total according to the distribution of demand and timedeposits of the different types of depositor; and (3) from com-ponents obtained under (2), deduct interest paid on demandand on time deposits, each distributed according to depositsownership.

For the further apportionment of income imputed to indi-viduals, partnerships, and corporations, it is necessary to turnto special studies in the field.7 Without going into details, thesestudies may be said to supply essential information by which itis possible to allocate the ownership of deposits between indi-viduals and businesses, and within businesses among majorcorporate and noncorporate types. This information providesthe basis for making the primary allocation of imputed incomegoing to individuals, partnerships, and corporations. Again, thetotal of imputed income and interest paid on deposits for thegroup would first be allocated among the several depositor typeswith subsequent deductions of interest paid and service charges,each properly distributed against depositor types. For the finerindustrial distributions within major industry divisions) it isnecessary to turn to balance sheet and other data, such as arereported by the Bureau of Internal Revenue. Through the useof cash data for industries it is possible to distribute approxi-mately imputed income among corporate in4ustry components

Solomon Shapiro, 'The Distribution of Deposits and Currency in the United States,1929—1939', 7ournal of the American Statistical 4ssociation, Vol. 38, No. 224 (Dec.1943), pp. 438—44.

Articles on the ownership of deposits in the Federal Reserve Bulletin, Aug. 1943,Oct. 1943, May 1944, Nov. 1944, and June 1945.

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 43

of the major divisions. It is probably necessary also to carrythrough an allocation of imputed income to noncorporate busi-ness despite difficulties in distinguishing satisfactorily betweendeposit funds a business man may use for business and forpurely personal purposes. Failure to carry out this step wouldtend to inflate national income by an amount that rightlyshould be charged to business. This treatment of imputed prop-erty income received• by noncorporate business differs, ofcourse, from procedures adopted for non-imputed interest anddividends received.

5 FINANCE, NOT ELSEWHERE CLASSIFIED

For national income study, the finance industry proper may bedivided into (1) banking, (2) security, commodity-exchange,and over-the-counter brokers and dealers, and (3) other finance.The third comprises enterprises such as investment and holdingcompanies of various kinds, long and short term credit agencies,and other miscellaneous financial businesses of relatively minorimportance. Investment and holding companies dominate otherfinance as illustrated by the fact that their interest and dividendreceipts accounted in recent years for well over three-quartersof the group's receipts of interest and dividends; most of theremainder is for the credit firms. Nearly 90 percent of totalreceipts of investment and holding companies is in the form ofinterest and dividends as against about one-third for the othercategories combined. It is this rather heterogeneous financialdivision that must now be considered with respect to the meas-urement of property income flows.

Estimation of property income for finance, n.e.c., raises prob-lems essentially similar to those met in banking and, as mightbe expected, a treatment may be formulated to parallel the com-putation for banking. Interest and dividend receipts of creditand investment firms may be assumed to reappear as interestpaid and profits realized from investment operations plus anelement of income imputed on invested funds. Imputed incomeis calculated as interest and dividend receipts minus interestpaid and profits. This imputation presumes a comparable im-putation on the product side of the account as if the imputedincome, which, by assumption, is paid out, is forthwith used byrecipients in purchasing investment and related services from

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44 PART I

companies making the imputed payments. The treatment is adistinct departure from procedures commonly applied. In thepast, the financial activities of the kind under considerationwere part of the miscellaneou.s industry in which the aggregates-àf-individuals assumption was not used.

The procedure for dealing with the other. finance group maybe illustrated by the use of six assumed items.' Income imputed

1 Interest received 502 Dividends received 803 Total property income 1304 Interest paid 205 Net profits, before income & excess profits taxes of 10 &

without deduction for dividends received 856 Total interest paid & profits ' 105

on investment company funds is calculated as line 3 minusline 6, or 25. This is also the value of imputed services. If, inaddition, compensation of employees is taken to be 15 (the re-maining 10 is used for expenses to other industries), incomeoriginating equals 15.

Income originating 15Compensation of employees 15Interest paid 20Net profits before taxes 85

Income imputed on investment funds 23Deductions for property income received S

Interest received —50Dividends received —80

Total income originating is inevitably equal to compensationof employees since property income receipts offset interest paid,net profits, and imputed income. The computation provides amechanism whereby property income receipts in the form re-ceived by financial intermediaries of the other finance group areconverted into property income as this accrues to individuals,including the element of imputed income. This is important tothe'all-industry summation by shares in that th'e several prop-erty' income entries — positive and negative — contributetoward putting the net share totals for all industries in the formreceived by individuals. Furthermore, total income originatingis consonant with earnings of factors used in the industry group.

Application of the foregoing formulation is best restricted tothe corporate form of organization and to certain mutual com-panies, such as savings and loan associations, which need not bediscussed. In most of the lines of financial activity comingwithin the other finance group (except security, etc. dealers and

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARiES 45

brokers), nearly all the business is done by corporations. Onlyin the small miscellaneous segment of other finance are partner-ships and sole proprietorships of even minor importance,accounting for perhaps 10 percent of total receipts and a consid-erably smaller percentage of interest and dividend receipts. Con-sequently, it may be assumed for statistiêal computations thatdividend and interest receipts of noncorporate firms in the otherfinance group accrue as such to individuals. There are no en-tries for noncorporate business receipts of interest and dividendsand, if included in reported figures, the effect of such propertyincome receipts is removed in measuring entrepreneurial in-come. The imputed income in the case of corporations may beviewed as comprising both imputed dividends and imputed in-terest. It is probably best, however, to call it all imputed inter-est; this will keep all the imputed income in the interest cate-gory.

Proper allocation of income imputed in other finance is diffi-cult because of lack of information concerning the distributionof ownership among individuals and the numerous industrygroups. Amounts going to industry should be treated as prop-erty income received (deductions from property earnings wher-ever received) and only amounts allocated to indiviçluals wouldenter all-industry totals. But, as very little information regard-ing ownership is available, it is perhaps best to assume that allimputed income of the other finance group goes to individuals.Overstatement from this assumption would be minor.

Because of its influence on the resulting imputations, it isdesirable to review generally the statistical procedures that maybe used in estimating imputed income. Were income accounts ofother finance enterprises in such form as to isolate accounts forloan and investment activities from accounts for other opera-tions, the several types of corporation included in this divisionof finance could be treated directly in the indicated manner.But profits, as reported, are for all operations of each company;i.e., returns on loans and investments are combined with real-izations from other activities. If the latter are appreciable, thetreatment suggested above becomes untenable. This is illus-trated by the rather extreme case in which interegt and divi-dends received are smaller than interest paid plus profits, result-ing in a negative imputed income figure. It becomes necessary,

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46 PART I

consequently, to effect some statistical isolation of loan andinvestment activities so that the special treatment is applied toproperty income flows alone.

Perhaps the most promising approach is to use informationfor a specific type of financial company in which operations aresubstantially confined to loan or investment activities. If dataare available, it is possible to calculate a relation between im-puted income (interest and dividends received minus interestpaid and profits) and interest and dividend receipts that can beapplied to interest and dividend receipts of the 'other finance'group generally. This, of course, assumes that loan and invest-ment activities proper of all companies are similar to the opera-tions of the particular subgroup, at least with respect toproperty income calculation.

Investment trust companies of the management type prob-ably offer the most acceptable approximation to the require-ments noted above. Not only is the necessary minimum of dataavailable, so that it is possible to carry out the computations,but operations of these companies also are substantially con-fined to investment activities. Further, these companies form asubgroup of the broad investment trust and holding companygroup that accounts for a major share of the property incomereceived in other finance.

6 SECURITY AND COMMODITY EXCHANGE BROKERS ANDDEALERS

This group may be treated like ordinary industries as far asproperty income receipts are concerned,, since enterprises in itdo not act in appreciable degree as financial intermediaries ivithrespect to property income flows.

It may be noted in passing that current revisions of data bythe Department of Commerce will treat brokers and dealerslike ordinary industries in respect of capital gains and losses.The change will remove from profits of this industry, as com-puted in the past, elements that are due to brokers' gains orlosses in trading on their own account. Profits of this kind haveso far been included in national income on the grounds that'trading on own account' was an integral part of the brokeragebusiness, the trading profits being considered part of factorincome from 'productive' services.

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 47

7 INSURANCE CARRIERS

In 'dealing with property income flows of insurance carriers, it isdesirable from the outset to distinguish life insurance compá-nies from carriers of other types of insurance. The former arerequired to set aside and accumulate substantial legal reservesagainst the fulfilment of their contracts which normally spanseveral years and typically call for payment of sizable sums. Incontrast, other types of insurance carrier (fire, casualty, marine,etc.) ordinarily issue term insurance against possible ioss duringa relatively short period, such as a year or a very few years.Accumulation of reserves is not an inherent feature of nonlifeinsurance. This distinction underlies the different treatment ofthe two groups of insurance carriers as developed below.

Life insurance carriers. A much simplified statement of theoperations of life insurance carriers would show that income isderived from two main sources: premiums paid by policyholdersand property income in the form of interest, dividends, andrents. This neglects, purposely, the relatively small premiumincome from nonlife policies. Largest expenditures are for deathlosses, matured endowments, annuities, dividends, and sur-rendered policies. Other expenditures account for about one-third of the total. The excess of premium and property incomeover payments to policyholders and other expenditures goesvery largely into increased reserves, becoming in effect savingsof individuals. The fact that most life insurance carriers aremutuals provides support for viewing increases in reserves assavings of policyholder individuals rather than savings ofcorporations.

It is proposed to treat life insurance carriers so that propertyincome receipts from the investment of funds appear as incomeimputed to policyholders. All property income is assumed toaccrue to policyholders and the amount of imputed income isequal to property income receipts. In the measurement of prop-erty income, interest and dividends may be taken in gross formas received but rents received must be put on a net basis. Thetreatment accorded interest and dividends is analogous to thatsuggested for other financial intermediaries. Net rents, however,are a special case. Net rent realizations of life insurance carriersoriginating in the industry are converted into income imputed

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48 PART!

to policyholders. This essentially similar to the manner inwhich realizations upon rental of real estate owned by afacturing corporation, for example, automatically appear in. theprofits of the corporation. In insurance, the net rent takesthe form of imputed income.

By proposed procedure, the distributive share compo-nents of income originating in life insurance carriers include aniterii of imputed income 'paid' that is equal to receipts of inter-est and dividends plus net rents realized. Total income originat-ing in the industry is numerically equal to compensation ofemployees, profits of nonmutual corporations,8 and net rent —imputed income paid being exactly offset by interest and divi-dends received (which are deducted as property income re-ceipts) and net rents (which originate in the life insuranceindustry). The compilation for income originating may be sum-marized by illustrative numerical magnitudes.

Income originating 190Compensation of employees 150Corporate profits (measured as dividends paid) 20Income imputed to policyholders * 1,050Deductions for property income received

Interest —1,000Dividends —30

* Includes 20 arising from net rent realizations resulting, for example, from contractrental receipts of 60 minus property management costs of 40.

It has been common practice to assume that dividends andlong term interest received by life insurance carriers go, as such,to individuals via insurance companies as aggregates of indi-viduals. This treatment gives a total income originating in lifeinsurance carriers that is lower than the total resulting from theproposed procedure by the amount of imputed income attribut-able to net rent. Presumably, this increment is found also in thenational income total since by the prior method net rents in-cluded only those going to individuals (total rents minus rentsgoing to corporations, and life insurance carriers included withordinary corporate businesses). in addition, the all-industryaggregates for property income shares showing amounts leavingthe economic system are modified by the removal of dividend8 As implied in the discussion of savings, the nature of available data makes it neces-sary to define corporate profits of nonmutual corporations in the life insurance carrierdivision as dividends paid tQ stockholders. To the extent that there are savings accruingto stockholders of nonmutual companies, national income is understated; the matteris relatively unimportant, however, since most life insurance carriers are mutuals.

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INCOME ORIGINATING IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES 49

and interest receipts of life insurance carriers and the substitu-tion of an imputed income item, and by a more complete ac-counting for the short term interest flow. In both procedures itis assumed that policyholders are individuals, so that all im-puted income accrues to individuals, none to business. This lastassumption conflicts with reality in a minor way, i.e., to theextent that businesses may choose to protect themselves bytaking out life insurance on individuals.

The proposed treatment requires the inclusion in consump-tion expenditures of an allowance for company expenses in con-nection with financial operations through which interest, divi-dends, and net rents are realized. Expenses in connection withnet rents will be only the minor expenses in addition to the usualcosts of real estate rental operations that are charged againstgross rentals in obtaining net rents. Consumer expenditures onlife insurance then are defined as total operating expenses (ex-cluding payments to policyholders) minus (1) expenses allo-cated to accident and health insurance and (2) costs of realestate operations as such. An additional point deserves men-tion, namely, that interest paid by individuals on borrowingsfrom life insurance carriers must appear as interest paid in someproper industry such as the private households group withinservice.

Carriers oJ insurance other than 4fe. Dealing in fire, marine,automobile, casualty, and related types of risk, the carriers ofinsurance other than life are predominantly stock companiesthat offer term insurance against specified risks in return forstated premium payments. Balance sheets of these companiesas a group show that capital and net surplus account for nearlyhalf of the liability total. Unearned premiums, unpaid losses,and other liabilities are in diminishing order of importance,constituting, respectively, about one-fourth, one-sixth, andone-tenth of total liabilities. On the asset side, we find thatroughly three-fourths of the total is invested in bonds, stocks,and mortgages, and a minor amount in real estate. The remain-ing portion is made up very largely of cash, uncollected premi-ums, and agents' balances. Interest and dividend income isabout million a year.

On the basis of the foregoing, it might be argued that policy-holders typically maintain substantial balances in nonlife in-

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50 PART I

surance carriers (unearned premiums less unpaid premiums)and that these are in effect invested by the carriers in income-producing assets. Income from the investment of prepaid in-surance might be imputed to policyholders in the belief thatpremiums are lower by the amount of earnings on prepaid in-surance funds. An amount well under million might be im-puted on this basis. In comparison with the ordinary industrytreatment commonly applied to the group,9 the effect would beto increase income originating in the industry. This would beaccomplished very largely by shifting relatively minor amountsof property income from other industries to nonlife insurancecarriers. Since most of the imputed income would accrue to

(including home owners) rather than to individuals,the national income total would be affected little.

Despite possible merits of the refinement, it seems preferableto use the ordinary property income procedure in the case ofinsurance carriers other than life. It is much simpler and theamounts involved are relatively small. Netting out of propertyincome received from factor earnings does, of course, give riseto negative net interest figures for the industry and also nega-tive property income (profits plus interest paid minus interestand dividends received). But the amounts involved are rela-tively small and, as noted above, national income is substan-tially the same by both procedures.

COMMENT

SOLOMON 17ABRJCANT

All who have tried to make international comparisons of eco-nomic or social statistics have learned to fear differences in con-cept and terminology. They would wish to sing hymns of praiseto the three government agencies whose agreement on so manypoints is embodied in Mr. Denison's paper. Although I wouldjoin in that chorus, I shall not now take the time for congratu-lations. The very importance of such an agreement makes itimperative that it be reviewed carefully by this Conference,

The treatment applied until now by the Department of Commerce made a specialcase of nonlife mutual companies. Dividends received by mutual companies in in-surance carriers other than life went to individuals on an aggregates assumption.Consequently, there was no deduction for them (as estimated).