OIL & GAS Risk Based Inspection (RBI) Planning for Hull Structures of Mobile Offshore ... · 2020....

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SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER OIL & GAS Risk Based Inspection (RBI) Planning for Hull Structures of Mobile Offshore Units (MOUs) 1 Madhu Parlapalli, David Baxter DNV GL, Aberdeen

Transcript of OIL & GAS Risk Based Inspection (RBI) Planning for Hull Structures of Mobile Offshore ... · 2020....

  • SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

    OIL & GAS

    Risk Based Inspection (RBI) Planning for Hull Structures of Mobile Offshore Units (MOUs)

    1

    Madhu Parlapalli, David Baxter

    DNV GL, Aberdeen

  • Why do we inspect ?

    Does the structure

    have adequate

    structural integrity ?

    Degradation

    (fatigue cracking,

    corrosion…)

    Accidental loads

    or damage

    Environmental

    overload

    Fabrication defects or

    installation damage

    Design errors

    2

  • When do we inspect MOU Hull Structures?

    Time based approach

    • Fixed interval

    • Key areas

    • CLASS or other prescriptive regulatory

    requirements

    • Renewal survey every 5 years, or every

    2.5 years beyond fatigue design life

    Risk based approach

    • Variable intervals (probability and

    consequence of failure)

    • Qualitative or Quantitative approaches

    • DNVGL-RP-C210: Fatigue cracks

    • DNVGL-OTG-17: Coating and Corrosion

    3

  • What do we inspect ?

    4

  • What do we inspect ?

    5

  • Where do we inspect ?

    6

  • How do we inspect ?

    7

  • What else can be done ?

    8

    http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0CAcQjRxqFQoTCNWywp-JsMgCFUF3PgodMoMFeA&url=http://www.twi-global.com/technical-knowledge/job-knowledge/fatigue-testing-part-3-080/&psig=AFQjCNFpLX8kM31B17NR4lgULZtKYgmlVQ&ust=1444297361280035

  • Background : DNVGL-RP-C210

    • Specific guidance for:

    • Jackets

    • Semisubmersibles

    • FPSOs

    • Focuses on fatigue cracking

    • SN-Data

    • Fracture Mechanics

    • Assessment of Probability of

    Fatigue Failure

    • Target Reliability

    • Probability of Detection

    • Determining requirements for NDT

    at fatigue hotspots

    • Inspection Planning

    • Examples

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  • Background: DNVGL-OTG-17

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    • Guidelines for how to apply RBI Methodology for

    MOUS classed in DNVGL worldwide for the following:

    • Semi-submersible

    • Jack-up

    • FPSO

    • Deep Draft Floater

    • Buoy

    • TLP

    • The developed in-service inspection plan (IIP) shall

    be approved by DNVGL CLASS before the plan is

    implemented as part of the class in-service inspection

    plan.

    • Damage Degradation Mechanisms:

    • Fatigue (Section 3)

    • Coating and Corrosion (Section 4)

  • Typical methodology (overview) for Fatigue RBI

    • Data Collection:

    • Drawings, inspection

    history, operating history,

    etc.

    • Perform structural analysis (if

    not already available)

    • Perform quantitative RBI at

    selected hotspots

    (low fatigue life, history of

    cracking or high

    consequence)

    • NDT intervals determined by

    RBI

    • Visual inspection of other

    details

    Data Gathering

    Structural Analysis

    Consequence

    of failure

    Fatigue Life

    Crack History

    Probabilistic

    Analysis

    GVI CVI NDT

    low

    yes

    high

    low

    medium

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  • Qualitative Screening - Overview

    12

    • Develop structural hierarchy of inspectable elements

    • Identify relevant failure modes and damage mechanisms

    • Evaluate Probability ranking for relevant mechanisms

    • linked to inspection history, results of fatigue analysis, type of coating, fluid

    corrosivity etc.

    • Evaluate Consequence ranking for safety, environment or business impact

    • Evaluate Risk level using agreed risk matrix

    • Develop inspection plan for different inspection activities based on risk

    • Typical Inspection intervals are as shown below

  • Quantitative Analysis

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    • For high risk items or where there is a desire to optimize inspection

    frequencies beyond those given by screening assessment

    • Quantitative assessment of fatigue in accordance with DNVGL-RP-C210

    • Quantitative assessment of corrosion in accordance with DNVGL coating

    degradation model and DNVGL-OTG-17

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    Quantitative analysis of fatigue

    • Fracture mechanics Model

    • Probabilistic approach: probability of

    failure as a function of time, taking

    account of uncertainties in loading and

    material properties, as well as inspection

    history

    • Calibrated against S-N life to ensure

    consistency

    • Optimum inspection frequency

    to keep POF below target level

    (target level depends on

    consequence of failure)

    • Structural improvements, toe-

    grinding etc., where

    appropriate

  • Probabilistic Crack Growth Analysis

    Optimal inspection plans for details with different fatigue lives (time between

    NDT inspections)

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  • Quantitative analysis for Corrosion / Coating degradation

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    POF associated with coating degradation modelled using parameters such as:

    • Target life (depending on coating specification)

    • Surface preparation factor (cleanliness)

    • Environmental exposure factor (type and temperature of tank contents)

    • Osmosis factor (salts on surface or solvents in paint)

    • Cathodic disbondment (type of coating and test results)

    • Other factors: such as flexibility of coating, resistance to shrinkage etc.

    Inspection frequency:

    • Time at which expected coating quality falls

    below target

    • Time at which the probability of unacceptable

    coating quality exceeds target

    • Cost optimal criteria depending on cost of

    re-coating and/or patch repairs

    = input parameter = calculated value

    Coating Specification

    Target Life (years)fractile

    level %± # Std

    Tl ife Uncertainty Value

    Type III 15 3 90 % 1.645

    Installation Year = 2004

    Coating Year = 2004

    Planning Year = 2004

    Definition of Target life Mean value StDTlife

    15.0 1.82

    Repair Strategy Q

    Limit for coating repair 0.98 LRepair

    Limit for re-coating 0.95 LRe-coat

    Definition of Target life 0.9 LLife

    Reducion factors for coating life Mean CoV

    Surface preparation factor FCoating 1 0.05

    Steel flexibility factor FFlexibility 1 0

    Environmental factor FEnviroment 1 0.1

    Osmosis factor FOsmosis 1 0.05

    Cathodic disbonding factor FCP 1 0.05

    Coating generic type factor FGeneric type 1 0.1

    Total Life Reduction factor FTotal 1.00

    Repaired area coating breakdown

    factorFRepair 0.800 0.1

    Total Tank Area (m3) 100 000

    IMR Costs (relative or absolute)

    Expected

    cost Variable

    Inspection cost 50 000 C Inspection N insp : Number of inspections

    Repair cost pr. area unit (m3) 40 C Repair P Repair : Probability of performing repair during inspection

    Re-coating cost pr. area unit (m3) 40 C Re-Coating P Re-Coating : Probability of performing re-coating during inspection

    Discount rate (%) 6 r

    INPUT parameters for Coating Specification & Re-coating Requirements

    Coating System

    Limit State Models :

    - Q(t) > LRepair => No Repair or Re-coating

    - LRepair > Q(t) > LRe-coat => Coat Repair

    - Q(t) < LRe-coat => Re-coating

    Q : Coating Quality measured as 1 - D

    D : Ratio of coating degradation

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Uncertainties:

    Tl ife : Standard deviation of coating life is specified by given

    fractile level i.e. 90% fractile level => ± 1.645 StD

    CoV : All reduction factors for coating life can be modelled

    as uncertain with given CoV

    Type III

    Coating Degradation

    80 %

    82 %

    84 %

    86 %

    88 %

    90 %

    92 %

    94 %

    96 %

    98 %

    100 %

    0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16Years

    Q =

    1 -

    Co

    ati

    ng

    bra

    ked

    ow

    n (

    %)

    .Bets estimate Coating quality

    L_repair

    L_re-coat

    L_Life

    =

    −−

    +

    ++=

    insp

    i

    N

    it

    iCoatingReiCoatingReiRepairiRepairiInspection

    Totalr

    tCtPtCtPtCC

    1 )1(

    )()()()()(

  • Methodology – Corrosion / Coating degradation

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    • Update of Models based on Inspection Data

    • Update of inspection plans for future condition

    • Inspection updating procedure is similar to that used for fatigue cracks

    • Classification of the condition of the coating in the ballast tanks based

    on IACS:

    • GOOD: Condition with only minor spot rusting

    • FAIR: Condition with local breakdown at the edges of stiffeners

    and weld connections and/or light rusting over 20% or more of

    areas under consideration, but less than as defined for POOR

    condition.

    • POOR: Condition with general breakdown of coating over 20% or

    more of areas or hard scale at 10% or more of areas under

    consideration

  • Methodology – Corrosion / Coating degradation

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    • Acceptance criteria for inspection planning:

    • Expected coating condition falling below threshold, or probability of

    certain condition exceeding the target

    • Alternatively, plans can be developed to minimize cost (while

    maintaining adequate safety)

    • cost of inspection versus cost of patch repairs, re-coating, etc.

  • Case Study – FPSO

    Phase 1

    • Global structural model and analysis

    • Global screening

    • Refined fatigue analysis at selected

    hotspots

    Phase 2

    • Detailed fatigue analysis of additional

    hotspots

    • Quantitative RBI analysis

    • Recommendations

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  • Case Study – FPSO

    • Hotspots models

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  • Case Study – FPSO

    • Hotspot Model C – Termination of Stiffeners - Frame #A - #B Starboard

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  • Case Study – FPSO 1

    • Hotspot Model C – Repaired

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  • Case Study – FPSO 1

    • RBI Analysis: Fatigue Degradation Mechanism

    • Generic inspection plans

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  • Case Study – FPSO 1

    • RBI Analysis: Fatigue Degradation Mechanism

    • Detailed inspection plans produced for each hotspot area (e.g. C5 to

    C8)

    • Repair from one side in 2004 moves C1 hotspot onto outside

    • EC unable to detect cracks on outside. Crack growth analysis (of

    through wall crack) demonstrates 6-monthly GVI (leak detection) is

    sufficient in this instance.Tank Hotspot Side of

    plateFatigue life (Original)

    Fatigue life (Repaired)

    Inspection Method

    Insp. 1 Insp. 2 Notes

    A C1 Internal 8 32 GVI* Crack / repair 2004Toe grinding 2006

    External 4137 20 GVI*

    C5 Internal 8 12 EC 2010 -

    C7 Internal 11 11 EC 2010 -

    C8 Internal 2 2 EC 2010 2012

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  • Case Study – FPSO 1

    • RBI Analysis: Coating Degradation Mechanism

    • Total life correction factor: product of the critical coating factors, i.e.

    surface preparation, environmental stress, Osmosis, Cathodic disbonding,

    Coating type and maintenance factor

    • Repair of coating and repair of the corrosion damages in this tank is

    advised if the unit shall be used for the next 5 to 10 years

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    Figure: Simulation of Coating Degradation for

    COT A

    Assumptions:

    • Inspection in 2018, coating

    breakdown as FAIR, between 5% -

    20%

  • Summary

    • Background info for RBI

    • Brief Methodology

    • Fatigue (DNVGL-RP-C210)

    • Corrosion (DNVGL-OTG-17)

    • Sample Case Study

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  • SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER

    www.dnvgl.com

    Thank you for your attention…

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