October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market...

20
October 22nd 2015

Transcript of October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market...

Page 1: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

October 22nd 2015

Page 2: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

2

Capital structure

Market Cap £1.63million*

Notes:

* Market Cap as at 20/10/2015

** Warrants have an average volume weighted exercise price of 1.47p/share

*** Options have an average volume weighted exercise price of 2.93p/share

Major Shareholders

Management 16.9%

Legal and General 4.6%

AXA Investment

Managers 4.1%

Key Data

Market AIM

Ticker IRG

Capital Structure

Current Shares 203mm

Warrants 52.7mm**

Options 5.5mm***

Page 3: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

3

Management team: Biographies

Roberto Bencini Feilim McCole Owain Franks Brian Hepp

Feilim McCole Financial Director

Owain Franks Commercial Director

Brian Hepp COO

Kevin Dean Technical Director

Greg Coleman has over 35 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, 20 of which were gained

at BP where he was Group Vice President. He worked as Managing Director for BP Norway

following the merger of BP and Amoco. He then led BP's Investor Relations team and was Group

Vice President for Health, Safety, Security and Environment. He then founded Canamens Ltd (a

private equity backed company). In 2007 which successfully appraised the Kraken field in the North

Sea as well as building a portfolio of interests in North Africa and Central Asia.

Feilim McCole is a Chartered Accountant with significant quoted company and corporate finance

experience. He spent six years in the corporate finance teams at Andersen and Deloitte, leading

AIM IPOs and acting as Nomad and financial adviser to AIM and Main Market companies, before

spending three years focused on private equity advisory. Before joining IRG he was the interim

Finance Director of a £35m turnover support services company and prior to this, Finance Director of

a quoted property company with a £125m portfolio. He qualified with EY.

Kevin Dean has over 35 years of upstream experience around the globe including East and

Northern Africa, Russia and the North Sea. He led the effort to evaluate and drill the Rabeh East

Field in the Egyptian Eastern Desert which proved c.40mmb of reserves, led assessment of a

corporate acquisition in Colombia and the redevelopment of several multi million barrel fields in

Azerbaijan.

Owain Franks is a former PricewaterhouseCoopers partner and was on the PwC UK Management

Board for 7 years. He is by background a legal and tax advisor with 25 years of M&A and

performance improvement experience and has over 15 years of specialisation in the Oil and Gas

Industry and over 30 years experience in the commercial financial sector.

Brian Hepp has over 31 years of upstream oil and gas operations in North America, Russian

Federation, Europe, North Africa and South America. His record and experience encompasses all

aspects of field operations and asset management and optimisation, and he was instrumental in

increasing production on a development in the West Esh El Mallaha ("WEEM") field in the Gulf of

Suez in Egypt from 450 to 6,000 bopd, in less than 18 months from initial involvement.

Greg Coleman CEO

Page 4: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

4

Strategy

Acquire initial cornerstone production assets with scope for

application of modern technology, operational excellence and

development upside

• Innovative investment approach and structures

• Seek synergies between assets

Investments

• Production enhancement through operational improvement and

appraisal / development of identified structures

• Execute two to three complementary transactions (number of MoUs

being negotiated) to give additional production / cash flow

• Identify further acquisitions with opportunities for production

enhancement

• Cash flow and debt financing to fund acquisitions and Capex

Growth of Production

Portfolio

• Mix of acquisitions and organic growth to drive production up to

25Mboepd

Organic & Inorganic

Growth

Page 5: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

5

Egypt: Current Situation

• Political situation is stabilising

• The government is determined to attract new foreign

investment- New investors/operators will be welcomed with

open arms.

• Fuel subsidies have been reduced and further moves in that

direction are on the table to reduce the fiscal deficit

• The country is now a net importer of oil and oil products.

Hence the need to move to competitive international pricing.

Due to local shortages, premium prices for imports are

being realised.

• EGPC reduced outstanding receivables to oil companies by

$2.1bn at year end 2014 and continuing…

• 2 licence rounds have been completed in the last year with

EGPC expected to announce a further western desert

acreage round.

• Service costs are coming down

Page 6: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

6

Recent Egypt Oil & Gas Transactions

Buyer Seller Deal Type Date Country Transaction Value ($MM) $/1P bbl $/2P bbl

Sea Dragon Energy Madison Petrogas Corporate Aug-15 Egypt 20.9 - 4.5-6.8*

Rockhopper Beach Energy Asset Aug-15 Egypt 22.0 - 4.5

Sacoil MENA Hydrocarbons Asset Sep-14 Egypt 14.1 - 2.3

Undisclosed Sea Dragon Asset Sep-13 Egypt 6.0 - 9.2

SINOPEC Apache Asset Aug-13 Egypt 3100.0 34.1 7.3

Sea Dragon Energy National Petroleum Company Corporate Dec-12 Egypt 3.3 1.4 1.2

Petroceltic Melrose Resources Corporate Aug-12 Egypt 492.3 8.6 6.0

Transglobe Cepsa Egypt Asset Jul-12 Egypt 4.7 - -

Transglobe EP Energy Asset Jun-12 Egypt 21.7 - -

Sea Dragon Energy National Petroleum Company S.A. Corporate Jan-12 Egypt 80.9 14.7 8.6

MENA Hydrocarbons Hess Asset May-11 Egypt 7.5 - -

Transglobe Egyptian Petroleum Development Asset Mar-11 Egypt 60.0 8.1 6.8

Average 307.95 13.23 5.63

Independent Resources Transglobe Inc. Corporate Sep-15 Egypt 1.75 11.40 3.47

Company Market Cap (US$MM) EV/2P bbl (US$/bbl) * Based on IRG estimated value of net cash of Madison

Transglobe 204.5 3.94** ** Based on EV as of 19 Oct 2015, debt, cash & reserves from 2014 Annual Report

SDX Energy 27.6 5.62*** *** Based on EV as of 19 Oct 2015, debt & cash from 2014 Annual Report. Reserves from Operations page on web site (19/10/2015)

Page 7: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

7

Nostra Terra partnership

Strategic agreement to explore Egyptian investments

- 50:50 investments

- Cost sharing approach

NTOG:

- Producing company – Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Colorado and Wyoming

- AIM quoted

Experienced in field development techniques relevant for Egypt

Key personnel

- Ewen Ainsworth – Chairman

- Matt Lofgran – CEO

- Alden McCall - COO

Page 8: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

8

East Ghazalat

Acquisition

Page 9: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

9

East Ghazalat Acquisition

Transaction

Acquire 25% working interest in producing East Ghazalat licence in the Egyptian Western

Desert

US$0.5M cash payment upon purchase, US$1.25M loan note repayable in 2 years with 10%

pa coupon

Rationale For Transaction

Immediate net production to IRG of circa 220bopd

Generate c.US$2.0m pa of operating cash flow (pre-investment capex) from 2017 even at

current low oil prices

Significant upside can be recognised immediately on any further oil price recovery

Significant cost recovery potential based on historic investments made by the Vendor in the

JV to the Operator

Further Upside

IRG share of 2P Reserves of approximately 0.5mm bbls

Management expects to more than double net production through low risk workovers and

development drilling

Significant undeveloped gas resource of 140,000 Boe (2C resources)

Page 10: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

10

East Ghazalat Asset

Degolyer& McNaughton CPR (Prepared as of 30 June 2015)

25% WI 1P 153,000 bbls 1P+ 2P 500,000 bbls 1P+2P+3P 632,000 bbls

2C contingent: 140,000 BOE

Mgmt Case 1,900,000 bbls (plus upside in gas development

Page 11: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

11

East Ghazalat Wells & Facilities

Sabbar NW-1 well Sabbar 1X well

Manifold

Production

Storage

Tanks

Page 12: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

12

East Ghazalat Structure

Page 13: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

13

East Ghazalat - Revenue per bbl Analysis at US$50/bbl

$45.98 Net

per bbl

$4.02

$11.49 Cost Oil

$27.59 EGPC

Profit Oil Includes Egyptian

Tax & Royalty

$50.00 Gross

per bbl $6.90

Profit Oil

At US$50 per bbl the Contractor receives $18.39 per bbl to meet all costs and G&A

Western Desert Discount Fixed $2.15 per bbl + 3.75% Remainder

25% Net 20% Profit (15% Net)

80% Profit (60% Net)

Production Sharing Contract – Approved by Egyptian Parliament 25% cost recovery

20% profit share of remaining revenue Opex recovered in current year

Capex recoverable over 5 years

No further corporation tax or Government royalties due

At 880 bbl per day revenue available to the Contractor is

$5,906,868 per year

Page 14: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

14

East Ghazalat - Single Well Economics

Production: 636,000 bbls

Even at $50 per BBL the returns from new well investment are excellent.

Payback is less than 2 years

Page 15: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

15

Tunisian Assets

Page 16: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

16

Ksar Hadada

Permit

Overview

Onshore exploration licence on Tunisia’s eastern

border. Main prospects on the licence are Sidi Toui

and an Acacus play. Sidi Toui has three wells

showing hydrocarbons but not tested. IRG is

operator with 86.345% working interest

Upcoming work programme involves acquisition of

200km2 of 3D seismic, re-entry of one existing well

and the drilling of a new well to the Ordovician.

IRG plans to farm down their working interest to

reduce capital commitment on the licence

Analogue: Bir Ben Tartar (Medco)

Production (2014) 2,800 bopd

Gross 2P remaining 10.5MMboe †

Cumulative production 3.4 MMboe †

IRG interest in permit 86.345%

Gross Recoverable Resources (Unrisked)

Oil 98.3 MM BBLs Pmean

Gas 57.6 BCF Pmean

NPV10 of IRG interest ($75 per BBL)

Unrisked US$590m

Risked US$186m

Implied Valuation per IRG Ord Share

Unrisked 189p

Risked 59p

Work Programme (2 years)

Cost (est.) $18MM

Access cost / boe $0.17

* - Based on 202.6m shares currently in issue

† - Most recently available as at 30 September

2014

Oil price sensitivity

Revised economic analysis

confirms project remains

viable at prices approaching

$30 per BBL

Tunisia: Ksar Hadada

Additional prospects identified by Scotforth RSDD-H survey

Page 17: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

17

Map of the Ksar Hadada block

NE boundary of the

prolific Ghadames Basin

Located on the

Talemzane Arch – focus

for Oil & Gas along its

length

Under Explored

• Nine wells 1958 – 2010

• One well per 250 km2

• No 3D led exploration

Offset Ordovician fields

• Bir Ben Tartar 50 km

SW

• Sabria and El Franig on

Talemzane Arch NW

along strike

Page 18: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

18

Ksar Hadada Work Programme - Updated

Farm-out marketing continues with Envoi

Refined appraisal of subsurface prospectivity

has highlighted Acacus opportunity

Page 19: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

19

East Ghazalat

• Brings immediate production of 220bopd into IRG

• Potential to significantly increase revenues and profits with recovery in oil price

• Further increased profitability on intended production expansion through workovers and

additional wells

Newsflow

• Production uplift at East Ghazalat

• through workovers

• drilling in 2H 2016

• Updated CPR for East Ghazalat

• Further acquisitions of producing assets

• Farm-out of Ksar Hadada

• Drilling activity at Ksar Hadada - 1H 2016

• Development approval of North Dabaa

Summary

Page 20: October 22nd 2015 - Proactiveinvestors NA€¦ · October 22nd 2015 . 2 Capital structure Market Cap £1.63million* Notes: * Market Cap as at 20/10/2015 ** Warrants have an average

20

DISCLAIMER

The information contained in these slides and this presentation is being supplied to you by Independent Resources plc on behalf of itself and its subsidiaries (together “the Company”) solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed in whole or in part to any other person. This document has not been approved by a person authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended) ("FSMA") for the purposes of section 21 FSMA and therefore these slides and this presentation is being delivered and made only to a limited number of persons and companies who are persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments and who fall within the category of person set out in Article 19 of the FSMA (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the “Order”) or are high net worth persons within the meaning set out in Article 49 of the Order or are otherwise permitted to receive it. By accepting the slides and attending this presentation and not immediately returning the slides, the recipient represents and warrants that they are a person who falls within the above description of persons entitled to receive the slides and attend the presentation. These slides and this presentation do not constitute, or form part of, a prospectus relating to the Company nor do they constitute or contain any invitation or offer to any person to underwrite, subscribe for, otherwise acquire, or dispose of any shares in the Company or advise persons to do so in any jurisdiction, nor shall they, or any part of them, form the basis of or be relied on in any connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. Recipients of these slides and/or persons attending this presentation who are considering a purchase of ordinary shares in the Company are reminded that any such purchase must be made solely on the basis of the information that the Company has officially released into the public domain. Whilst all reasonable care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in these slides and this presentation are accurate and the forecasts, opinions and expectations contained in these slides and this presentation are fair and reasonable, the information contained in this document has not been independently verified and accordingly no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy, fairness or completeness of the information or opinions contained in these slides or this presentation and no reliance should be placed on the accuracy, fairness or completeness of the information contained in these slides and this presentation. Some of the statements are the opinions of the directors of the Company. None of the Company, its shareholders or any of their respective advisers, parents or subsidiaries nor any of their respective directors, officers or employees or agents (including those of their parents or subsidiaries) accepts any liability or responsibility for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of these slides or this presentation or their contents. These slides and this presentation do not constitute a recommendation regarding the shares of the Company nor should the slides or the presentation be considered as the giving of investment advice by the Company or any of its shareholders, directors, officers, agents, employees or advisers. Recipients of these slides and this presentation should conduct their own investigation, evaluation and analysis of the business, data and property described therein. If you are in any doubt about the information contained in these slides or this presentation, you should contact a person authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority who specialises in advising on securities of the kind described in these slides and presentation. Certain statements within this presentation constitute forward looking statements. Such forward looking statements involve risks and other factors which may cause the actual results, achievements or performance expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. Such risks and other factors include, but are not limited to, general economic and business conditions, changes in government regulations, currency fluctuations, the oil price, the Company's ability to recover its reserves or develop new reserves, competition, changes in development plans and other risks. There can be no assurance that the results and events contemplated by the forward looking statements contained in this presentation will, in fact, occur. These forward-looking statements are correct or represent honestly held views only as at the date of delivery of this presentation. The Company will not undertake any obligation to release publicly any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events, circumstances and unanticipated events occurring after the date of this presentation except as required by law or by regulatory authority. By accepting these slides and/or attending this presentation, you agree to be bound by the provisions and the limitations set out in this disclaimer. You agree to keep permanently confidential the information contained in these slides or this presentation or made available in connection with further enquiries to the extent such information is not made publicly available (otherwise through a breach by you of this provision). Neither the slides nor any copy of it may be (a) taken or transmitted into Australia, Canada, Japan, the Republic of Ireland, the Republic of South Africa or the United States of America (each a “Restricted Territory”), their territories or possessions; (b) distributed to any U.S. person (as defined in Regulation S under the United States Securities Act of 1933 (as amended)) or (c) distributed to any individual outside a Restricted Territory who is a resident thereof in any such case for the purpose of offer for sale or solicitation or invitation to buy or subscribe any securities or in the context where its distribution may be construed as such offer, solicitation or invitation, in any such case except in compliance with any applicable exemption. The distribution of this document in or to persons subject to other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this document comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. Any failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of the laws of the relevant jurisdiction.