What Literature Tells Us About Transitioning Students Closing the gaps Gaps and Chasms.
November 5, 2010 Closing The Gaps by 2015 Where We Are Now Closing The Gaps by 2015 Where We Are...
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Transcript of November 5, 2010 Closing The Gaps by 2015 Where We Are Now Closing The Gaps by 2015 Where We Are...
November 5, 2010 November 5, 2010
Closing The Gaps by 2015
Where We Are Now
Closing The Gaps by 2015
Where We Are Now
Educational Attainment in Texaswas Projected to Drop
Educational Attainment in Texaswas Projected to Drop
Source: Texas State Data Center* Projections are shown for the 1.0 scenario THECB 10/2010
Annual Average Unemployment Rate in the U.S. as a Function of Educational AttainmentAnnual Average Unemployment Rate in the
U.S. as a Function of Educational Attainment
2.3%
14.6%
9.7%8.6%
6.8%5.2%
3.9%2.5%
-1%
1%
3%
5%
7%
9%
11%
13%
15%
Less
Than H
S
HS Dip
lom
a
Some
College
Assoc
iate
Bache
lor's
Mas
ter's
Doctora
l
Profe
ssio
nal
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Year: 2009Year: 2009
THECB 10/2010
TrendsTrends
A growing unskilled, under-educated population that cannot meet the demands of a technology-based workplace.
Average household income in Texas is projected to decline by $5,000 in constant dollars by 2040 (total annual drop of $63.5 billion).
A growing unskilled, under-educated population that cannot meet the demands of a technology-based workplace.
Average household income in Texas is projected to decline by $5,000 in constant dollars by 2040 (total annual drop of $63.5 billion).
Source: Texas State Data Center THECB 10/2010
Goals: By 2015, Close the Gaps in:Goals: By 2015, Close the Gaps in:
Participation
Success
Excellence
Research
Participation
Success
Excellence
Research
THECB 10/2010
GoalsGoals
Participation
By 2015, close the gaps in enrollment rates across
Texas to add 630,000 more students.
Participation
By 2015, close the gaps in enrollment rates across
Texas to add 630,000 more students.
THECB 10/2010
Success
By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates and other identifiable student
successes from high quality programs.
Success
By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates and other identifiable student
successes from high quality programs.
2010 Preliminary Progress Report on Participation
2010 Preliminary Progress Report on Participation
PARTICIPATION TARGET PROGRESS TOWARD 2010 TARGET
Statewide participation Well above target
African American participation Well above target
Hispanic participation Well below target
White participation Well above target
THECB 10/2010
Texas’ Participation Rate Has Improved But Remains Lower Than Other StatesTexas’ Participation Rate Has Improved But Remains Lower Than Other States
Participation Rate of Total Population – 2000 and (2007)
4.6%4.8%
5.0%5.3%
5.5%5.8%
6.0%6.4%6.5%
7.0%
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0%Source: U.S.DOE, IPEDS, and Census Bureau
California
Illinois
Michigan
New York
Pennsylvania
Ohio
TEXAS
FloridaGeorgia
New Jersey
(6.6%)
(6.5%)
(6.2%)
(6.0%)
(5.6%)
(5.4%)
(5.4%)
(4.9%)
(4.7%)
(4.4%)
THECB 10/2010
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Enrolled in 9th Grade (2000)
TX Public HS Grad (2002-2004)
Enrolled in Higher Educ (Anytime After
HS Grad)
Completed a Higher Educ Degree or Cert
by 2009
Statewide
Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board
The Pipeline Challenge(1998 Cohort of Public High School Students)
The Pipeline Challenge(1998 Cohort of Public High School Students)
THECB 10/2010
THECB 10/2010
Participation Since 2000: 503,382 Increase
Participation Since 2000: 503,382 Increase
0
200
400
600
800
2000 2005 2010 2015
Th
ou
san
ds Target Actual
503,382
630,000
403,483
2010 enrollment is preliminary
THECB 10/2010
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000 Public Independent
Percent of HS GradsEntering HE is Increasing
Percent of HS GradsEntering HE is Increasing
52.2%52.3% 52.4%
54.2%
Not trackable students excluded.Independent enrollments not available for 2000 and 2001.Not trackable students excluded.Independent enrollments not available for 2000 and 2001.
53.6%54.5%
55.9%56.3%
86
,96
2
88
,59
2
92
,51
0
94
,84
9
99
,54
1
10
5,6
36
10
8,6
91
10
8,8
04
11
0,9
33
11
2,0
55
12
3,8
22
13
0,2
98
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009Recommended & Above Regular
There Are Large Increases in thePercent of Entering Students with the
Recommended High School Curriculum
There Are Large Increases in thePercent of Entering Students with the
Recommended High School Curriculum
55%
53% 65
%
73% 78
%
53%
83% 86
%
88%
90% 92
%
THECB 10/2010
92%
15.9%29.9%
54.8%57.2%
14.5%53.9%
25.5%32.3%
37.2%71.5%
4.0%50.8
62.1%48.6%
33.3%16.0%
33.4%
46.9%
Percent Change in Enrollments by Region 4-Year and 2-Year Institutions* 2000 to 2009
Percent Change in Enrollments by Region 4-Year and 2-Year Institutions* 2000 to 2009
24.0%50.4%
*Percent change at 4-year institutions listed first for each region, followed by percent change at 2-year institutions.
*Percent change at 4-year institutions listed first for each region, followed by percent change at 2-year institutions.
THECB 10/2010
THECB 10/2010
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,0002000-2009 Actual 2009-2015 for Goal
Enrollment by Region Neededto Meet 2015 CTG Goal
Enrollment by Region Neededto Meet 2015 CTG Goal
THECB 10/2010
Target to Increase Hispanic Enrollment Remains a Big Challenge
Target to Increase Hispanic Enrollment Remains a Big Challenge
82,864
178,172
69,930
14,719
252,289
162,741
284,509
94,173
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000 2015 Insts' Targets
2015 State CTG Goal
2010 Prelim Progress
GOAL=98,242
GOAL=61,751
Note: Public Institutions only.
White Hispanic African Am
Hispanic Enrollment by Region Needed to Meet 2015 CTG Goal Hispanic Enrollment by Region Needed to Meet 2015 CTG Goal
010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,00070,00080,000 2000-2009 Actual 2009-2015 for Goal
THECB 10/2010
Success: By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates, and other identifiable student successes from high-quality programs.
Success: By 2015, award 210,000 undergraduate degrees, certificates, and other identifiable student successes from high-quality programs.
THECB 10/2010
Progress Report on SuccessProgress Report on Success
SUCCESS TARGET
COMPARISON WITHTARGET LINE
Statewide certificates, associate degrees, and bachelor degrees
On target
African American awards Somewhat below target
Hispanic awards Somewhat below target
Technology awards Well below target
Allied health and nursing awards Somewhat above target
Teacher certifications Well below target
THECB 10/2010
Percent Increase in UG Awards at Public Institutions is Greatest for Underrepresented Groups
Percent Increase in UG Awards at Public Institutions is Greatest for Underrepresented Groups
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
White African Am Hispanic Other
FY 2000 FY 2009
+25.2%
+62.4%
+89.5%
+84.5%
Source: Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board THECB 10/2010
Bachelor’s Degrees on Trackto Meet State’s 2015 Goal
Bachelor’s Degrees on Trackto Meet State’s 2015 Goal
22,552
17,001
7,624
12,276
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000To Reach 2015 CTG Target
2009 Progress
Bachelor’s Associate’s
THECB 10/2010
Some Progress Made in Health Awards;Very Little Progress Made in STEM FieldsSome Progress Made in Health Awards;
Very Little Progress Made in STEM Fields
2,020
6,705
15,001 6,188
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000To Reach 2015 CTG Target 2009 Progress
Technology Nursing/Allied Health
THECB 10/2010
THECB 10/2010
Educating Teachers is Criticalto Texas’ Success
Educating Teachers is Criticalto Texas’ Success
12,3763,208
13,388
18,936
3,292
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
To Reach 2015 CTG Target
2009 Alt-Cert Progress
2009 Trad & Post-Bacc Progress
Teachers Math & Science Teachers
Excellence and Research GoalsExcellence and Research Goals
Excellence: By 2015, substantially increase the number of nationally recognized programs or services at colleges and universities in Texas.
Research: By 2015, increase the level of federal science and engineering research funding to Texas institutions to 6.5% of obligations to higher education.
Excellence: By 2015, substantially increase the number of nationally recognized programs or services at colleges and universities in Texas.
Research: By 2015, increase the level of federal science and engineering research funding to Texas institutions to 6.5% of obligations to higher education.
THECB 10/2010
Progress Report on Excellence and Research
Progress Report on Excellence and Research
EXCELLENCE TARGET
COMPARISON WITH TARGET LINE
National rankings Well below target
Program recognition On target
RESEARCH TARGET
COMPARISON WITHTARGET LINE
Federal science and engineering research and development obligations
Somewhat below target
Public universities’ research expenditures
Well above target
THECB 10/2010
THECB 10/2010
Undergraduate ExcellenceUndergraduate Excellence
Access to excellent undergraduate education is critical.
78% of all public university students are undergraduates.
90% of all public college and university students are undergraduates.
44% of all public college and university students are freshmen.
UC-Berkeley Has More National Academy Members Than All Texas Institutions
UC-Berkeley Has More National Academy Members Than All Texas Institutions
ScienceEngineerin
gMedicin
e Total
UT Austin 15 48 4 67
TAMU/TAMUSHSC 5 17 3 25
Rice U 2 12 0 14
UT Med Cntr-Dallas 17 0 17 34
U of Houston 3 5 0 8
Baylor CO Medicine 4 0 10 14
UTHSC-San Antonio 0 0 1 1
UTHSC Houston 2 0 6 8
UT Med Br-Galveston 0 0 2 2
UT Dallas 1 0 0 1Other (SMU, MDA, UNT, UTSA, TTU) 3 3 1 7
State of Texas Total 52 85 44 181
UC-Berkeley 127 78 9 214
THECB 10/2010Oct 2010
Texas’ Share of Federal R&D Obligations Relative to Other Top Performing States
Texas’ Share of Federal R&D Obligations Relative to Other Top Performing States
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Mill
ion
s 1998 2007
14.9%
13.8%
8.3%
7.9%
6.4%6.3%
6.0%
6.2%
5.3%5.6%
6.2%5.9%
Fed
eral
R&
D O
bli
gat
ion
sin
Mil
lio
ns
of
1998
Co
nst
ant
Do
llar
s
THECB 10/2010
Percentages reflect the share of the U.S. total for Federal R&D obligations for the state
Texas Ranks 6th in the Percent of Federal Funds to Colleges and Universities
Texas Ranks 6th in the Percent of Federal Funds to Colleges and Universities
2.3%
2.4%
2.9%
3.0%
4.0%
4.2%
5.6%
5.9%
6.2%
6.3%
7.9%
13.8%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0%
GeorgiaFlorida
OhioMichigan
IllinoisNorth Carolina
TexasMassachusetts
MarylandPennsylvania
New YorkCalifornia
$25.3 Billion Total in Federal Funds FY 2007
Source: National Science Foundation THECB 10/2010
Research Expenditures for R&D at Public Universities and Health-Related Institutions
Research Expenditures for R&D at Public Universities and Health-Related Institutions
$0.0 $0.5 $1.0 $1.5 $2.0 $2.5 $3.0 $3.5
FY 2001
FY 2002
FY 2003
FY 2004
FY 2005
FY 2006
FY 2007
FY 2008
FY 2009
Public Universities Public Health-Related Institutions
3.7%
6.0%
10.4%
9.6%
15.9%
(in billions)
7.0%
Annual Change
6.0%
10.8%
THECB 10/2010
6.6%
Research SummaryResearch Summary
Federal research funding static since FY 2005.
Proposed budgets for NIH, NSF, and other agencies could be significant if realized.
The American Recovery & Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 is providing large amounts of research funding to be obligated through agencies.
NIH ($10.4 billion) NSF ($3 billion) DOE, ED, NASA, USDA, and other agencies
also have stimulus funds for research.
Federal research funding static since FY 2005.
Proposed budgets for NIH, NSF, and other agencies could be significant if realized.
The American Recovery & Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 is providing large amounts of research funding to be obligated through agencies.
NIH ($10.4 billion) NSF ($3 billion) DOE, ED, NASA, USDA, and other agencies
also have stimulus funds for research.
THECB 11/2010
THECB 10/2010
Accomplishments 2000 - 2010Accomplishments 2000 - 2010
The percentage of students entering higher education from public high schools is increasing.
By preliminary fall 2010, over 500,000 additional students are enrolled in public and independent higher education.
The percentage of students entering higher education from public high schools is increasing.
By preliminary fall 2010, over 500,000 additional students are enrolled in public and independent higher education.
THECB 10/2010
Accomplishments 2000 - 2010Accomplishments 2000 - 2010
By fall 2009, more than 98% of university and 86% of community college students enrolling directly from high school had completed the RHSP or above.
39,000 additional undergraduate degrees and certificates are awarded annually.
By fall 2009, more than 98% of university and 86% of community college students enrolling directly from high school had completed the RHSP or above.
39,000 additional undergraduate degrees and certificates are awarded annually.
“A Tale of Two States –and One Million Jobs”“A Tale of Two States –and One Million Jobs”
The payoff to achieving the objectives of Closing the Gaps is enormous.
By 2030, annual gains (in 2006 dollars) are projected to be:–$489.6 billion in total spending–$194.5 billion in gross state product–$121.9 billion in personal income–1,023,281 permanent jobs
The payoff to achieving the objectives of Closing the Gaps is enormous.
By 2030, annual gains (in 2006 dollars) are projected to be:–$489.6 billion in total spending–$194.5 billion in gross state product–$121.9 billion in personal income–1,023,281 permanent jobs
Source: Ray Perryman Group; http://www.thecb.state.tx.us/reports/PDF/1345.PDFTHECB 11/2010