NOTA LAVORO - University of York · 2020. 10. 20. · By Gianpaolo Rossini and Cecilia Vergari,...

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NOTA DI LAVORO 89.2009 Input Production Joint Venture By Gianpaolo Rossini and Cecilia Vergari , Department of Economics, University of Bologna

Transcript of NOTA LAVORO - University of York · 2020. 10. 20. · By Gianpaolo Rossini and Cecilia Vergari,...

Page 1: NOTA LAVORO - University of York · 2020. 10. 20. · By Gianpaolo Rossini and Cecilia Vergari, Department of Economics University of Bologna Summary In many industries it is quite

NOTA DILAVORO89.2009

Input Production Joint Venture

By Gianpaolo Rossini and Cecilia Vergari, Department of Economics, University of Bologna

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The opinions expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect the position of Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

Corso Magenta, 63, 20123 Milano (I), web site: www.feem.it, e-mail: [email protected]

GLOBAL CHALLENGES Series Editor: Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano Input Production Joint Venture By Gianpaolo Rossini and Cecilia Vergari, Department of Economics University of Bologna Summary In many industries it is quite common to observe firms delegating the production of essential inputs to independent ventures jointly established with competing rivals. The diffusion of this arrangement and the favourable stance of competition authorities call for the assessment of the social and private desirability of Input Production Joint Ventures (IPJV), which represent a form of input production cooperation, not investigated so far. IPJV can be seen as an intermediate organizational setting lying between the two extremes of vertical integration and vertical separation. Our investigation is based on an oligopoly model with horizontally differentiated goods. We characterize the conditions under which IPJV is privately optimal finding that firms’ incentives may be welfare detrimental. We also provide a rationale for the empirical relevance of IPJV both in terms of its ability to survive and in terms of disengagement incentives. Keywords: Input Production Joint Venture, Horizontal Differentiation, Oligopoly JEL Classification: L24, L42 We acknowledge the financial support by the University of Bologna under the 2009 RFO scheme.

Address for correspondence: Gianpaolo Rossini Department of Economics University of Bologna Strada Maggiore 45 I-40125 Bologna Italy E-mail: [email protected]

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Input production joint venture∗

Gianpaolo Rossini†and Cecilia Vergari‡

Department of EconomicsUniversity of BolognaStrada Maggiore, 45I-40125 Bologna Italy

June 25, 2009

Abstract

In many industries it is quite common to observe firms delegatingthe production of essential inputs to independent ventures jointly estab-lished with competing rivals. The diffusion of this arrangement and thefavourable stance of competition authorities call for the assessment of thesocial and private desirability of Input Production Joint Ventures (IPJV),which represent a form of input production cooperation, not investigatedso far. IPJV can be seen as an intermediate organizational setting lyingbetween the two extremes of vertical integration and vertical separation.Our investigation is based on an oligopoly model with horizontally dif-ferentiated goods. We characterize the conditions under which IPJV isprivately optimal finding that firms’ incentives may be welfare detrimen-tal. We also provide a rationale for the empirical relevance of IPJV bothin terms of its ability to survive and in terms of disengagement incentives.

JEL codes: L24, L42Keywords:input production joint venture, horizontal differentiation,

oligopoly.

∗We acknowledge the financial support by the University of Bologna under the 2009 RFOscheme.

[email protected][email protected]

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1 Introduction

In many industries we observe firms which delegate the production of an essentialinput to an independent venture carried out in cooperation with one (or more)firm(s) competing in the downstream market for the final good. Many examplesmay be found in most sectors.

In the automotive, for instance, Ford and PSA produce and design dieselengines in a specific joint venture; Ford and Fiat produce in a jointly ownedplant the KA and the 500 on the basis of many common inputs.

In the electronic industry Sony jointly produces with rival Sharp newestliquid crystal displays.

In the media production, newspapers get rough news from press agenciesthey jointly own, like Associated Press in U.S.A. and ANSA in Italy.

In the chemicals it is quite common for giant companies to jointly own plantswhere ethylene and other basic components for plastics are manufactured, suchas in the recent agreement between Dow and Kuwait Petroleum Corporation(Hewitt, 2008). Many other industries display cases of joint ventures in up-stream sections of production. A great portion of them are known and visibleeven to the accidental observer.

Most of these joint ventures devoted to the manufacturing of an essentialinput are autonomous companies owned and governed on an equal foot by del-egates of firms operating and competing among each other in the Downstream(D) section of the vertical chain of production.

We may term this arrangement as Input Production Joint Venture (IPJV).It may be regarded as an intermediate organizational setting lying betweentwo extremes: Vertical Integration (VI), where the essential input is entirelymanufactured in-house and Vertical Separation (VS), where the intermediategood is bought from external and independent firms operating in the Upstream(U) section of the vertical chain of production. Industrial Organization (IO)has so far considered VS, VI1 and partial VS,2 while the case of IPJV is studiedonly in the management literature.3

The closest case so far analyzed in IO is the Research Joint Venture (RJV)with a large and consolidated literature.4 A RJV is a pre-production choice,based on the maximization of firms’ joint profits. A IPJV requires an inde-pendent input producer owned on an equal stake by D firms. The profit ofthe venture accrues ultimately to the D firms which own the IPJV which is aparticular case of Equity Joint Venture, as defined by Hewitt (2008)5 . From

1For a recent survey of most theoretical and empirical issues on vertical integration, seeLafontaine and Slade (2007).

2The analysis of partial outsourcing can be found in Alvarez and Stenbacka (2007), Shyand Stenbacka (2005), Moretto and Rossini (2008).

3See for example Hewitt (2008) and the rich management literature surveyed on the subject.4The seminal paper on R&D cooperation is d’Aspremont and Jacquemin (1988) which was

then extended by, e.g, Kamien et al. (1992), and generalized by Amir et al. (2003) andLambertini and Rossini (2009).

5“An equity joint venture .....is a joint venture or alliance which has the following character-istics, namely where (i) each party has an ownership interest in a jointly owned business, (ii)

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the market structure viewpoint this arrangement is a kind of partial collusion.However, it does not seem to have given rise to much antitrust complain andsuit so far.

Here, we would like to start to fill the gap in IO and analyze IPJV. Our aimis to examine feasibility, private and/or social desirability of IPJV consideringalso static uncertainty. A major problem we shall investigate is the stability ofthis arrangement or, in other words, the incentives that firms have to disengageor to join the plot of firms doing IPJV.

As said above the closest case to IPJV is provided by Research Joint Ven-tures (RJV). As literature emphasizes RJV is able to raise industry profits and,in most cases, also social welfare.6 This result has produced a favorable stanceby the US Department of Justice and many other antitrust authorities. “RJVsoften provide procompetitive benefits, such as sharing the substantial economicrisks involved in R&D, increasing economies of scale in R&D beyond what indi-vidual firms could realize....The antitrust enforcement agencies also view mostRJVs as procompetitive and typically analyze them under the rule of reasonbecause of their potential to enable participants to develop more quickly or ef-ficiently new or improved goods, services, or production processes. Under theCompetitors Collaboration Guidelines, the agencies will not ordinarily challengea RJV when there are three or more other independently controlled firms withcomparable research capabilities and incentives”.7 The case we are going toanalyze of IPJV could be classified, according to the received taxonomy, as asubset of Production Joint Venture. Towards these arrangements the stance ofmarket authorities has been mostly benign due to their supposed procompetitiveeffect and to the benefit consumers get: “Courts typically have analyzed trueproduction joint ventures under the rule of reason and generally have upheldthem”.8 The favorable stance of antitrust authorities should be also justified onthe basis of the instability of IPJV. As reported in the management literature,almost one half of joint ventures end in a divorce (Hewitt, 2008, p.12).

In the ensuing pages we develop an oligopoly model with horizontally dif-ferentiated goods and analyze IPJV comparing it with VI. We replicate somecanonical results on social superiority of VI, with linear pricing. However, weshow that IPJV (partial or complete, according to whether only some or all firmsin the market participate in the joint venture) is privately preferred to VI forhigh enough levels of competition in the D product market. These novel resultsobtain in the most unfavorable scenarios for IPJV, i.e., with zero fixed costs.A fortiori, they hold in the case of positive fixed costs, since IPJV prevents

the jointly owned business has a distinct management structure in which each party directlyparticipates and (iii) the parties share the profits (or losses) of the jointly owned business”.(Hewitt, 2008, p. 96).

6The pionereeing contribution comes from Kamien, Muller and Zang (1992) who foundthat joint process research and development is welfare maximizing when firms compete à laCournot in the product market and in most cases of Bertand competition. The existence ofspillovers due to RJV are crucial to the result. For the most recent contributions on the topic,which do not subvert the initial wisdom, see...

7Jacobson (2007) p. 447.8 Ibidem, p. 450.

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wasteful replication of fixed costs. The private profitability of IPJV goes up aswe move to more competitive market structures, i.e., as the number of firmsincreases, as products become closer substitutes or as we go from Cournot toBertrand competition. The advantage of IPJV, when competition gets tougher,is due to the fact that D firms are able to reap profits in U (they jointly own)so as to compensate for the reduced returns in D. In this sense D firms are notafraid of competition in D. On the contrary, they may love it since they aresheltered by their profit “reserve” in U. As for the disengagement issue, we findthat, when firms doing IPJV compete with vertically integrated rivals and prod-uct market substitutability is low, there may be an incentive to leave the IPJV.However, in some cases, incumbent vertically integrated firms may compensateIPJV members to stay in and make IPJV stable.

The outline of the paper is as follows. In Section (2) we compare VI withIPJV in a duopoly model, and we investigate the role of the degree of prod-uct differentiation, fixed cost and the nature of competition in the D productmarket in determining the private and social desirability of IPJV. In Section(3), we extend our analysis to oligopoly and we consider partial IPJV, i.e., thecase in which only some of the firms in the market participate in the IPJVwhile competing with other VI firms. In Section (4) we address the disengage-ment question widely analyzed in the managerial literature on Joint Ventures(Hewitt, 2008).Private incentives to disengage from the IPJV may in some cir-cumstances dominate and make a IPJV unsustainable. Finally, in Section (5)we analyze the relative preference of the different vertical arrangements understatic uncertainty. Conclusions are given in Section (6).

2 A simple duopoly model

We begin with a simple model where there are two firms competing in thedownstream (D) market. Each firm i produces a differentiated product, qi soldat price pi. The demand system is given by linear inverse demand schedulespi = a − qi − bqj in the region of quantities where prices are positive. Theparameter a > 0 represents the market size; b ∈ [0, 1] measures the degree ofsubstitutability between the two final products (if b = 1, products are perfectsubstitutes; if b = 0, products are specialized, i.e., perfectly differentiated). Tomanufacture a final good, each firm needs an essential input which is producedeither by the firm itself (VI) or by an independent U enterprise owned in equalstakes by the two D firms (Input Production Joint Venture - IPJV). More pre-cisely, for the input production the D firms set up an Equity Joint Venture(Hewitt, 2008) whose profits accrue ultimately to the D firms.

As it is customary in the literature on vertical relationships we assume thatone unit of input is embodied in each unit of output (perfect vertical comple-mentarity). Input production requires a fixed cost equal to f ≥ 0. Assumethat the marginal production cost of the input is constant and equal to z < a;without loss of generality we set z = 0. Given the inverse demand system forthe final goods Cournot competition leads to different equilibria according to

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the vertical arrangements and the resulting U market structure. We examinetwo distinct cases in turn.

The first is based on VI: there are two (symmetric) firms each comprising aU and a D activity. Their profits are:

π1 = q1p1 − f

π2 = q2p2 − f

Quantity competition yields the customary symmetric equilibrium with the fol-lowing price and industry profits (C stands for Cournot):9

pCV I =a

(b+ 2)

ΠCV I = 2

(a

2 + b

)2− 2f > 0

⇐⇒ f/a2 <1

(2 + b)2≡ sV I (b) . (1)

The second case is based on IPJV. The D firms jointly own on an equalstake the independent U producer of the essential input, while competing amongthemselves in the D section. Namely, both D firms get the input at the linearprice g set at the input stage by the (monopolistic) U producer in order tomaximize its profit, πU = g (q1 + q2). The vertical interaction between U andD is modelled as a two stage-game solved backwards, as it is customary inliterature adopting linear pricing.10 The input price is set at the monopolylevel, gM = a/2 and the IPJV symmetric equilibrium magnitudes are (labeledwith J):

qCJ =a

2 (b+ 2),

πCJ =a2

4 (b+ 2)2,

πCU =a2

2 (b+ 2)− f,

pCJ =a (3 + b)

2 (b+ 2).

9Equilibrium variables are:

q∗1 = q∗2 =

a

2 + b

π∗1= π∗

2=

(a

2 + b

)2

− f

p∗1= p∗

2= p∗

V I=

a

(b+ 2).

10Recent examples may be found in Sappington (2005) and Arya et al. (2008).

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Industry profits are:

ΠCJ =(b+ 3) a2

2 (b+ 2)2− f > 0

⇐⇒ f/a2 <(b+ 3)

2 (b+ 2)2≡ sJ (b) . (2)

Comparing the equilibrium values of the two vertical arrangements we maywrite the following proposition.

Proposition 1 Private and social relative efficiency of IPJV vs. VI.a) Assume that input production does not require any fixed cost, i.e. f = 0.

In a duopoly market, a producer of a final good is indifferent between verti-cally integrating (VI) and participating to a IPJV as long as the final goods arehomogeneous. In contrast, when the final goods are horizontally differentiated,downstream firms benefit if they switch to vertical integration. As for consumers,they always prefer vertical integration, which turns out to be Pareto superior.

b) Assume that the fixed cost in U is f > 0 and let s = f/a2 be a relativemeasure of fixed cost vis à vis market size. It appears that IPJV is privatelypreferred for large levels of s (high relative fixed cost) and for increasing levelsof b (decreasing differentiation). Consumers’ preferences do not change withrespect to point a). Social welfare turns out to be always superior with VI.

Proof. a) Suppose first that f = 0. Profits’ comparison is:

ΠCJ −ΠCV I = (b− 1)a2

2 (b+ 2)2≤ 0.

As for the consumer surplus, it is higher under VI where the equilibrium price

is lower, i.e., p∗J − p∗V I =a(b+1)2(b+2) > 0. Therefore, VI is privately and socially

preferred.b) Suppose now f > 0, the previous comparison becomes:

ΠCJ −ΠCV I =f(8b+ 2b2 + 8

)− a2 (1− b)

2 (b+ 2)2 ≥ 0

⇐⇒ f

a2≥ (1− b)

2 (b+ 2)2 ≡ s (b) (3)

where s ≡ f/a2 is a relative measure of fixed cost with respect to market size.As for social welfare (SW) we have to compare the sums of consumer surplus andindustry profits in the two cases (VI and IPJV). Straightforward calculationslead to the definition of the following threshold:

s̃ (b) =(5 + b)

4 (b+ 2)2(4)

below which the SW of VI is larger than the SW of IPJV. Therefore, in thefeasible set of parameters, VI is always socially preferred.

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For the sake of simplicity, we plot (1), (2), (3) and (4) in the plane (b, s) inFigure 1 below. The upper solid line defines sJ (b) above which neither verticalarrangement is feasible. The intermediate solid line defines sV I (b) below whichVI is feasible. The lower solid line defines s (b) above which IPJV is privatelypreferred to VI, while below this line VI is preferred. The dashed line representsthe social welfare frontier, s̃ (b) below which VI is socially preferred to IPJV.

10.750.50.250

0.5

0.375

0.25

0.125

0

b

s

b

s

FIGURE 1 Threshold lines for private and social ranking of JIPV vs VI.

Discussion. Whenever the fixed cost of producing the essential input issufficiently high, IPJV is privately more efficient. This becomes more likely asdifferentiation decreases. While the first effect is fairly obvious, the second isless clear-cut and points to the influence of differentiation on D competition.As b → 1 industry profits “migrate” to U since the D section becomes morecompetitive driving down profits. The opposite occurs for VI which suffers froma tougher competition in D and does not benefit from any U profit buffer sinceit internally transfers the input at the marginal cost. In our duopoly schemeIPJV is never socially efficient since it introduces a sort of U collusion coupledto double marginalization. This negative effect has to be contrasted with thewasteful duplication of fixed costs associated to VI. The large areas of privatesuperiority of IPJV, even in the duopoly case, accounts for the observed diffusionof Equity Joint Ventures along the vertical chain of production.

We conclude the duopoly case by investigating the profitability of the twovertical arrangements when firms compete à la Bertrand and we compare theresults with Cournot.

Consider the same linear inverse demand system, pi = a − qi − bqj . Thedemand schedule, for b = 1, is then given by qi = α− βpi + δpj , with

α =a

1 + b, β =

1

(1− b) (1 + b), δ =

b

(1− b) (1 + b).

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Under VI, price competition yields the following symmetric equilibrium (Bstands for Bertrand):

pBV I =(a− ab)

(2− b)

πBV I =a2 (1− b)

(b− 2)2 (b+ 1)− f

qBV I =a

(2− b) (b+ 1)

So that aggregate profits are ΠBV I = 2 a2(1−b)(b−2)2(b+1) − 2f .

11 Under IPJV, the

equilibrium magnitudes are:

pBJ =a (3− 2b)2 (2− b)

πBJ =a2 (1− b)

4 (b− 2)2 (b+ 1)

πBU =a2

2 (2− b) (b+ 1)− f

qBJ =a

2 (2− b) (b+ 1)

So that aggregate profits are ΠBJ =(3−2b)a2

2(b−2)2(b+1) − f .

Comparing the equilibrium values of the two vertical arrangements in thetwo distinct market structures, we obtain the following results.

Proposition 2 Bertrand duopoly and comparisonsa) With Bertrand competition in the D market, if f = 0 IPJV is privately

preferred to VI as long as b ∈ [12 , 1).b) IPJV under Bertrand competition yields larger D quantities, lower D

prices, higher U profits and lower D profits than under Cournot competition,i.e., qBJ > qCJ , pBJ < pCJ , πBU > πCU and πBJ < πCJ ; industry profits and consumersurplus are higher under Bertrand.

Proof. a) Comparing the joint profits under the two scenarios we find that:

ΠBJ −ΠB =(2b− 1) a2

2 (b− 2)2 (b+ 1)+ f.

Assume f = 0, ΠBJ −ΠB > 0 ⇐⇒ b > 1/2.

11As one can expect (Sing and Vives, 1984), the same scenario under quantity competitionleads to higher profits, i.e. ΠC

V I> ΠB

V I.

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b) The IPJV scenario under price and quantity competition yields the fol-lowing equilibrium comparisons:

qBJ − qCJ =b2a

2 (b+ 1) (b+ 2) (2− b)> 0,

pBJ − pCJ =−b2a

2 (b+ 2) (2− b)< 0,

πBU − πCU =b2a2

2 (b+ 1) (b+ 2) (2− b)> 0,

πBJ − πCJ =−b3a2

2 (b+ 2)2 (b− 2)2 (b+ 1)< 0, and

ΠBJ −ΠCJ =(4−2b−b2)a2b2

2(b+2)2(b−2)2(b+1) > 0.

Discussion. The profitability of IPJV vs VI increases when we go from aCournot to a Bertrand market structure regardless of the fixed cost. In fact,this form of joint venture is strictly preferred over VI when goods are sufficientlysubstitutable even in the absence of fixed costs. The presence of positive fixedcosts clearly reinforces the relative profitability of IPJV. As for the comparisonof IPJV under the two natures of competition, with Bertand the D externalityaffects the distribution of profits along the vertical chain making the U sectionmore profitable and the D section less profitable vis à vis Cournot. NonethelessBertrand competition is able to make for larger industry profits. This outcomeis due to the larger quantity produced that allows for higher U profits whichovercompensate for the squeeze in D. As a result, in line with Singh and Vives(1984), Bertrand competition is socially preferred to Cournot competition.12

3 Oligopoly

Here we extend and generalize the investigation conducted in the above section.We consider an oligopoly where n ≥ 3 firms operate. The extension comesfrom the analysis of mixed cases which were not contemplated in the duopolyframework, and from the stance of the US Department of Justice quoted in theintroduction (Jacobson, 2007; p. 447). To this aim we go through the caseof a mixed market arrangement where vertically integrated (VI) firms competewith non integrated firms which buy the essential input from an independentproducer serving all non integrated companies. As in the previous section, theindependent U producer, responsible for IPJV, is owned by non integrated firmswhich are active in D.

Consider the linear inverse demand schedule pi = a− qi − b∑j �=i qj . Again,

without loss of generality, we set the marginal cost of production of the essentialinput z = 0.

12This is in contrast with Arya,et al. (2008) who maintain that the selling of input by a VIfirm to D competitors may reverse the standard social ranking of Cournot vs Bertrand.

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Now, we are able to extend the analysis to three distinct scenarios that westudy in turn. In the first, all firms are VI, in the second, partial IPJV, somefirms are VI and others participate in the IPJV, while in the third all firmsparticipate in the IPJV and we have complete IPJV.

First, under complete VI we have n (symmetric) firms each comprising the Uand the D sections of the vertical production process. Equilibrium magnitudesare:

q∗iV I =a

2 + b(n− 1) ,∀i = 1, ..., n

π∗iV I =

(a

2 + b(n− 1)

)2− f

p∗iV I = p∗V I =a

2 + b (n− 1) ,

so that aggregate profits are:

ΠV I = n

(a

2 + b(n− 1)

)2− nf > 0.

Second, we figure out partial IPJV with (n− k) D firms, competing with kVI firms, while jointly owning the independent input producer which sets priceg. The D firms’ profits are:

πiD = piqi − gqi, i = 1, ..., n− k

while the VI firms’ profits are:

πjV I = pjqj − f, j = n− k + 1, ..., n

with k ≥ 1 and n > k. Cournot competition leads to the following input priceequilibrium:

g = argmaxg

(gn−k∑

i=1

qi − f

)

⇐⇒ gP =a (2− b)

4− 2b (1− k)(5)

Notice that the price set by the partial IPJV, gP , does not depend on thetotal number of firms in the industry, n. It depends on the number of firmsadopting VI, i.e., k, as well as on b, the degree of product differentiation inthe D market. In particular, gP is decreasing in k and in b (the tougher thecompetition in D, the lower the input price). These two effects may be deemedvertical externalities since they originate in D while their effect extends to Uprice setting.

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Remaining equilibrium magnitudes are:

pjV I =a (b (k + n− 2) + 4)

2 (b (n− 1) + 2) (b (k − 1) + 2) , j = n− k + 1, ..., n

πjV I =a2 (b (k + n− 2) + 4)2

4 (b (k − 1) + 2)2 (b (n− 1) + 2)2− f, j = n− k + 1, ..., n

pi =a(6− b2 (n− 1)− b (5− 2n− k)

)

2 (b (n− 1) + 2) (b (k − 1) + 2) , i = 1, ..., n− k

πiD =a2

4 (b (n− 1) + 2)2, i = 1, ..., n− k

πU =(2− b) (n− k) a2

4 (b (k − 1) + 2) (b (n− 1) + 2) − f

πpJcons =a2(b (k + 2n− 5) + b2 (1− n) + 6

)

4 (b (k − 1) + 2) (b (n− 1) + 2)2− f

n− k,

where pjV I , πjV I and pi, πiD are the prices and profits of the VI firms and ofthe D firms, respectively; πpJcons = πiD +

1n−kπU are the consolidated profit of a

firm participating in the (partial) IPJV. Industry profits are

ΠPJ =a2(k2b2(n−b+bn+2)−k(3b2−12bn−b3+6b2n−3b2n2+b3n2−4)+n(b−2)2(bn−b+3))

4(bn−b+2)2(bk−b+2)2 −f (k + 1) .

Under complete IPJV, the n D firms set up an Equity Joint Venture for thejoint input production (IPJV). The Equity Joint Venture is thus the uniqueinput producer setting the monopoly input price gM = a/2. The equilibriumvalues are:

q∗iJ =a

2 (bn− b+ 2)

π∗iD =a2

4 (bn− b+ 2)2

π∗U =na2

4 (bn− b+ 2)− f

p∗iJ =(bn− b+ 3) a

2 (bn− b+ 2).

Aggregate profits are

ΠJ =(bn− b+ 3) a2n

4 (bn− b+ 2)2− f.

Let us compare the different market and vertical arrangements analyzedabove. We classify them according to the degree of downstream market com-petition measured by b and n, since, as b and n increase, competition in D

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becomes tougher.13 To perform the comparison we split the feasible set of thedifferentiation parameter b into distinct areas which depend on n.14 In whatfollows we abstract from fixed cost assuming f = 0 and we confine to a partialIPJV where a single VI firm competes with (n− 1) D firms owning the IPJV,i.e., k = 1. These two assumptions simplify the analysis without compromisingthe results and basic intuitions. Later on, we will discuss extensions to f > 0and k > 1.

By comparing aggregate profits in the three analyzed vertical arrangements,we get the following thresholds:

ΠV I −ΠJ = (−b(n−1)+1)a2n4(bn−b+2)2 > 0 ⇐⇒ b <

1

n− 1 ≡ bPJ (n) (6)

ΠV I −ΠPJ = (b2n−b2−4bn+4)(n−1)a2

16(bn−b+2)2 > 0 ⇐⇒ b <2(n−

√n2−n+1)n−1 ≡ bV I (n)

(7)

ΠJ −ΠPJ = (bn−b−2)a216(bn−b+2) > 0 ⇐⇒ b >

2

(n− 1) ≡ bJ (n) . (8)

From these comparisons we can derive the following:

Proposition 3 Private and social efficiency of complete IPJV, partial IPJVand VI.

a) For sufficiently high levels of product differentiation, i.e., b ∈(0, bV I (n)

),

the private ranking is: VI ≻ partial IPJV ≻ complete IPJV;b) For upper intermediate levels of product differentiation, i.e., b ∈

(bV I (n) , bPJ (n)

),

the private ranking is: partial IPJV ≻ VI ≻ complete IPJV;c) For lower intermediate levels of product differentiation, i.e., b ∈

(bPJ (n) , bJ (n)

),

the private ranking is: partial IPJV ≻ complete IPJV ≻ VI;d) For low levels of product differentiation, i.e., b ∈ (bJ (n) , 1], the private

ranking is: complete IPJV ≻ partial IPJV ≻ VI.e) As for the social welfare (SW ) we have the following ranking: SWV I >

SWPJ > SW .

Proof. For the sake of simplicity, we plot (6), (7) and (8) in the plane (n, b) inFigure 2 below. The upper solid line defines bJ (n) , above which complete IPJVis the preferred vertical arrangement. Notice that this threshold is meaningful,i.e., lower than 1, only for n ≥ 4. The intermediate solid line defines bPJ (n) ,above which partial IPJV is preferred to complete IPJV, which is better thanVI. Between bPJ (n) and the lower solid line which defines bV I (n) , partial IPJVis preferred to VI which is better than complete IPJV. Finally, between the hor-izontal axis and the lower solid line, VI is preferred to partial IPJV which is

13As b increases, products become closer substitutes and the market size (the total quantity)decreases. As for the number of firms, an increase in n, which also defines the number ofvarieties, determines an increase of the market size (because of consumers’ love for variety);however as firms’ profits decrease with n, we take n as another measure of competition.

14As standard in the oligopoly literature, we treat n as a real number. Clearly, we will takeinto account the integer problem when it is necessary.

12

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better than complete IPJV.

252015105

1

0.75

0.5

0.25

0

n

b

n

b

FIGURE 2: Comparisons between aggregate industry surpluses under VI,partial and completeJIPV

As for social welfare ranking, straightforward calculations lead to:

SWV I =a2(3 + b(n− 1))n2(2 + b(n− 1))2

SWPJ =a2(4(5 + 7n) + b(n− 1)(16− 3b+ 3(4 + b)n))

32(2 + b(n− 1))2

SWJ =a2(7 + 3b(n− 1))n8(2 + b(n− 1))2 .

whose ranking, SWV I > SWPJ > SW is independent of the values of n and b.

Discussion.The above results emphasize the effect of competition measured by b on

private (industry) preferences towards the vertical arrangements. As the degreeof product differentiation decreases firms prefer to switch from VI to some formof IPJV (partial or complete). This result somewhat replicates and extends theduopoly outcome seen above.15 However, in the present oligopoly frameworkwe are able to analyze also the effect of n as well as the interaction betweenn and b. As D competition gets fiercer with the number of firms, only highlevels of differentiation are able to preserve the private advantage of VI. On the

15 In line with these findings, the extension to a Bertrand oligopoly which also implies amore competitive D market structure increases the JIPV profitability. The intuition is thesame as for the duopoly case.

13

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contrary, under IPJV the D firms are able to “shift” to U the profit cancelled dueto tougher competition. With IPJV in U the D firms are able to compensate thelost profit in D with the monopoly profit obtained by the single independent Uproducer. If the market structure changes and a VI firm enters we have partialIPJV. As a result, the U market becomes more contestable since the VI firmmakes its own input in-house and drives down the input demand faced by theincumbent U firm. This translates into a lower g. Therefore, the entry of a VIfirm selling in D provides an automatic policing of the U market. This is anexternal effect and it occurs even if the VI company does not sell any input tothe rival D firms, which keep on buying the input from the IPJV.

The limitation of the analysis to zero fixed costs is adopted for a neaterinvestigation of D market structure effects (b, n) on the ranking of industrypreferences for the three distinct vertical arrangements. If we consider positivefixed cost the qualitative results obtained in the oligopoly market do not changeas far the effects of b and n are concerned. Nonetheless, a positive f is going toincrease the likelihood of the adoption of IPJV, making this arrangement moreprivately (and socially) desirable, since average fixed costs for individual firmsgo down with respect to the VI case. This effect has been properly investigatedin Proposition (1). Extensions are straightforward.

Consider now the case of 1 < k < n. If k → n, the partial IPJV tends todisappear as the market is made entirely by VI firms. Notice that the thresholdsbV I (n) and bJ(n), which define respectively the lower and the upper limit ofthe area where partial IPJV is the preferred setting, now depend also on k.Moreover, ∂bJ/∂k ≤ 0 as it can be easily verified. Further, as k increases, theaggregate profits of partial IPJV decrease, whereas those of VI do not change,making for an indirect proof that ∂bV I/∂k > 0. Therefore, in the limit, k →n, the interval

(bV I (n) , bJ (n)

)would not exist anymore. In other words, as

the number of VI firms (k) in the partial IPJV configuration increases, theprobability that partial IPJV is the most preferred setting vanishes.

Last but not the least, in most received literature RJV is deemed superiorbecause of internalization of spillovers, i.e., externalities. Here, we do not intro-duce any external effect in the input production. Nonetheless, if external effectswere there they would add to the private benefits of IPJV and have an impactsimilar to the saving of fixed costs that the IPJV implies. In all these cases wemay seem areas of social preference emerge beyond and above private efficiency.

4 Disengagement

In Proposition (3) we have analyzed industry preferences towards the threevertical arrangements. However, one of the main faults of a Joint Ventureis its ability to last and survive despite the presence of incentives to leave itand go alone or join other ventures. This problem is widely analyzed in themanagerial literature on Joint Ventures (Hewitt, 2008) and is usually framed asa disengagement question.

The sort of disengagement we are going to consider is caused by the (indi-

14

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vidual) incentives firms have to move from one status (for instance VI or VSwith IPJV) to another.

To evaluate these incentives we have to compare individual profits in thedifferent statuses.

The analysis begins with the consideration of two extreme cases and subse-quently goes to the intermediate.

4.1 Individual incentives

Consider first the two extremes, VI and complete IPJV. As they are symmetricsituations, individual and aggregate preferences coincide. Therefore, we maywrite:

π∗iV I − π∗iJ > 0 ⇐⇒ b < bPJ (n) (9)

where bPJ (n) is defined in (6) and decreasing in n. From (9) we see that thereis an incentive for firms involved in IPJV to leave the joint venture and becomeVI, provided b is sufficiently low. This event becomes more likely the lower isthe number of firms in the market (as bPJ is decreasing in n). In other words,the incentive to leave the IPJV plot is higher when the market is made by fewfirms and/or the degree of differentiation is high (low b). In these circumstancesthe IPJV turns out to be quite fragile and liable to fall apart due to privateincentive to disengage.16

The intermediate situation of partial IPJV has two types of actors, the VIfirm and the D firms owning the independent IPJV. Simple computations showthat the VI firm is worse off than the (n− 1) D firms if fixed costs are highenough. If we abstract from fixed costs, the VI firm enjoys a variable costadvantage (input price) with respect to the D firms. Therefore, it holds ahigher market share allowing for higher profits.

If each firm in the IPJV adopts the VI arrangement, the advantage of theexisting VI firm (the nth firm in the market) fades away as the equation belowshows:

π∗nV I − π∗iV I =(bn− b+ 8) (n− 1) a2b

16 (bn− b+ 2)2> 0.

The above positive difference defines the loss of profit of the existing VI firmwhen remaining firms turn to VI.

As for the D firms, they gain from disengaging only in some areas of param-eters b and n. To see this we compute the difference representing the incentiveto disengage of the D firms belonging to the IPJV plot. This difference is givenby the following:

π∗iV I − π∗pJicons = a2b2 (n− 1) + b (4− 2n) + 2

8 (bn− b+ 2)2> 0

⇐⇒ b <(n−2)−

√(n2−6n+6)

(n−1) ≡ b1 (n) . (10)

16These conclusions hold for zero fixed costs. Strictly positive fixed costs erode the incentivesto disengage from JIPV.

15

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From the comparison of individual incentives we obtain the following.

Lemma 4 i) For n = 3, 4 and for sufficiently low levels of substitutability, i.e.,b < bV I (n), the D firms decide to leave the IPJV plot as they reap larger profitsif they disengage and the VI firm has no incentive to stop them. For higherlevels of product substitutability, i.e., b > bV I (n), the D firms have again theincentive to leave. However, disengagement may not occur since the existingunique VI firm can prevent disengagement by compensating the D rival firms.This is feasible since the loss of the VI would be higher than the gain the D firmswould get if they turn to VI.

ii) For n = 5, 6... and for sufficiently low levels of substitutability, i.e., 0 <b < bV I (n), the D firms disengage. For bV I (n) < b < b1(n), the VI firmcan stop disengagement since the aggregate profits of partial IPJV are largerthan those of complete VI. Finally for b1 (n) < b < 1 there is no incentive todisengage.

Proof. We begin stating that

π∗iV I − π∗pJicons > 0 ⇐⇒ b2 (n− 1) + b (4− 2n) + 2 > 0.

This polynomial has two roots: b1 =(n−2)−

√(n2−6n+6)

(n−1) , b2 =(n−2)+

√(n2−6n+6)

(n−1) .

They are real numbers only for n > 4. Therefore, i) for n = 3, 4 the difference

π∗iV I − π∗pJicons is strictly positive for all feasible b. In other words, each D firmgains a positive surplus by disengaging from the partial IPJV. This occurs inboth cases, i.e., when each firm leaves the IPJV plot on an individual basis andwhen all IPJV firms leave as a group.

ii) For n ≥ 5, the two roots are real. In particular b1 ∈ (0, 1), while b2 ≥ 1,and is not acceptable. Therefore, π∗iV I − π∗pJicons > 0 ⇐⇒ b < b1.

16

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252015105

1

0.75

0.5

0.25

0

n

b

n

b

FIGURE 3: Ranges of b defining the private incentive to disengage

Figure 3 depicts the thesholds defined by (7) and (10) in the plane (n, b).The solid upper line represents the frontier defined by b1. Above the line there isno incentive to disengage from IPJV, while below the incentive is nonnegative.The solid lower line defines the frontier bV I (n) . Below it, disengagement isprofitable and feasible. Above it and below the the frontier, defined by b1, theVI firm could compensate the IPJV firms if they agree not to move, since theloss the VI would bear in the case of disengagement would be larger than thegain IPJV firms obtain.

4.2 Sorting the equilibria

From the above considerations and taking into account Lemma 4, we may derivethe following.

Proposition 5 Sorting Nash equilibria (NE)For low levels of product market substitutability, i.e., b < bV I (n), the adop-

tion of VI by all firms is a NE. For high levels of product market substitutability,i.e., b > bJ (n), the adoption of IPJV by all firms is a NE. For intermediatelevels of product substitutability partial IPJV turns out to be a NE if a mecha-nism is set up whereby the VI firm(s) compensates the D firms in order to stopthem from disengaging and leaving the IPJV.

Proof. Looking at the aggregate industry profits, we see that for b < bV I (n),(lower solid line in Figure 3), VI is strictly better than partial IPJV, so thatthe adoption of VI by all firms is a NE (there would not be any possibility forthe single VI firm of the partial IPJV configuration to compensate the others

17

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not to disengage). Also for n ≥ 5 and b < b1 the D firms gain from the switch:however only for bV I (n) < b < b1 there is the compensation incentive (thedifference between the profit of the VI firm in the presence of disengagementand the VI profit without disengagement is larger than the difference betweenthe profits of Ds with disengagement and those without disengagement). Forn ≥ 5 and bJ > b > b1 the D firms participating to the partial IPJV do nothave any incentive to disengage as π∗iV I < π∗pJicons: in this area the partial IPJVis a NE. Finally, for b > bJ (n) > b1, aggregate profits are higher with completeIPJV, so that the D firms have the incentive and the possibility to persuadethe single VI firm to join the venture. The single VI firm would not have theincentive to switch, unless compensated by D firms, since:

πnV I − πJi =1

16a2 > 0,

where πJi is the compensated profit of a firm in the complete IPJV,

πJi =a2

4 (bn− b+ 2)2+1

n

na2

4 (bn− b+ 2)

and for k = 1

πnV I =(bn− b+ 4)2 a2

16 (bn− b+ 2)2.

These prove the existence of the Nash equilibria mentioned in Proposition 5.Discussion. The wealth of Nash Equilibria proves the private efficiency

of IPJV in many circumstances and its ability to survive. However, the factthat there are many areas of incentives to disengage and also some mechanismthat may sustain them points to the frequent divorces observed in many jointventures of all kinds, IPJV included.

5 Profit volatility of VI and IPJV

A further question we address concerns the relative preference of the differentvertical arrangements under uncertainty. Actually, an important rationale be-hind many forms of joint ventures is risk sharing. We thus investigate the effectof uncertain market demands for the final goods on IPJV desirability. Theanswer may come from a simple extension to a triopoly framework with oneVI firm competing with the other two D firms which jointly own, on an equalstake, an independent input producer (partial IPJV). We enrich the model bythe considerations of both Cournot and Bertand competition.

Consider the following inverse demand functions:

p1 = a− q1 − b(q2 + q3) + e

p2 = a− q2 − b(q1 + q3) + e (11)

p3 = a− q3 − b(q1 + q2) + e

18

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where e is the additive shock parameter with E (e) = 0, and E(e2)= σ2.

We begin with Cournot competition. In this framework the D firms maximizeexpected profits selecting a quantity to which they will stick regardless of therealization of the stochastic shock. This quantity is anticipated by U, whichchooses the profit maximizing input price g. This price is deterministic. Giventhe optimal g, D firms get realized profits and prices which depend on thestochastic shock. As usual, the VI firm just maximizes expected profit of theentire vertical chain of production. The set of equilibrium realized profits is:

π1D = π2D =a(a+ 4(1 + b)e)

16(1 + b)2

πU =a2 (2− b)

8 (1 + b)

πcons =a(a+ 4(1 + b)e)

16(1 + b)2+a2 (2− b)

16 (1 + b)

πV I =a(b+2)(2a+ab+4e(1+b))

16(1+b)2

As it can be seen, only πU is certain, while π1D, π2D, πV I are affected byuncertainty. If we take expectations we see that all expected profits are equalto certainty profits of the corresponding triopoly case. Therefore, the privaterankings do not change with respect to what seen above in the certainty case.However, volatility is not irrelevant. If we compare the variance of πV I withthat of πcons, we discover that the former is more volatile than the latter:

var (πV I) =a2(2 + b)2

16 (1 + b)2σ2 > var (πcons) =

a2

16 (1 + b)2σ2.

This means that the profit volatility of the IPJV is lower than that of VI. Thisresult is due to the fact that the U joint venture is not affected by uncertaintyand therefore its profit provides a sort of cushion against risk also for D firms.On the contrary the VI firm does not enjoy this chunk of sure profit and thereforeshows higher volatility. IPJV does not generate an actual risk sharing along thevertical chain, since the entire risk is faced by D firms while the U joint ventureis somehow isolated from risk.

A different story can be told when firms compete à la Bertrand, while facingthe same kind of demand uncertainty. In that case the equilibrium profits are:

π1D = π2D =a(1−b)(a+ab+4e)

16(2b+1)

πU =a(1−b)(2+3b)(a+ab+4e)

8(1+b(3+b−2b2)

πcons =a(1−b)(3−(−4+b)b)(a+ab+4e)

8(1+b(3+b−2b2)

πV I =a(1−b)(2−b2+3b)(a(b+1)(2−b2+3b)+4e(1−b2+b))

16(b2−b−1)2(2b+1)

As far as the different level of volatility of the two arrangements are con-cerned, we can write the following variances:

var (πV I) =a2(−1+b)2(−2+(−3+b)b)2

16(1+b(3+b−2b2)2 σ2 < var (πcons) =a2(−1+b)2(−3+(−4+b)b)2

16(1+b(3+b−2b2)2 σ2,

19

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from which it appears that the ranking of volatility under Bertrand competitionis reversed. In addition to that, the sharing of risk along the vertical chain inthe IPJV is now more balanced since both U and D profits are affected by σ2

and, therefore, they both contribute to the entire volatility of IPJV.Taking into account all these considerations, we may write the following

result.

Proposition 6 Effect of demand uncertainty on IPJVAdditive demand uncertainty does not change the ranking of private and so-

cial preference of IPJV in both Cournot and Bertrand competition with respectto certainty. However, it does affect the relative volatility of the two verticalarrangements and risk sharing along the vertical chain: under Cournot com-petition IPJV is less volatile than VI and the entire market risk is born by Dfirms, while under Bertrand competition the IPJV is more volatile and there isrisk sharing between U and D firms.

Discussion. The above result underlies the importance of IPJV for risksharing along the vertical chain of production, regardless of the nature of com-petition assumed in D. The fact that IPJV changes the distribution of riskbetween U and D according to whether Bertrand or Cournot is adopted maymake one of the two market strategies preferred because of the risk allocationthat it produces.

6 Conclusions

In these pages we have analyzed the social and private desirability of InputProduction Joint Ventures (IPJV), which can be seen as an intermediate or-ganizational setting lying between the two extremes of vertical integration andvertical separation. As pointed out in the management literature, this form ofjoint venture is widely adopted in many industries. Nonetheless, the theoreticalIO literature on this topic is surprisingly thin. Generally, production joint ven-tures do not arise competitive concerns from antitrust authorities on the basis ofeconomies of scale and synergies. IPJV is definitely a form of partial collusion.When compared to vertical integration, in some cases, IPJV turns out to beprivately desirable but inefficient from a social welfare point of view, even if itallows for savings in fixed cost.

Our results are twofold. We provide a first theoretical model for the analysisand show that IPJV may be privately preferred to vertical integration even in theabsence of wasteful duplication of fixed costs: firms’ incentives to form a IPJVincrease with the degree of downstream market competition. We characterizethe conditions under which IPJV is privately optimal and argue that firms’incentives may be welfare detrimental. Finally, we provide a rationale for theempirical relevance of IPJV both in terms of its ability to survive and in termsof disengagement incentives. To this purpose we investigate market structureswhere firms doing IPJV compete with vertically integrated rivals. We find that,if product market substitutability is low, there may be an incentive for firms

20

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doing IPJV to leave and turn to vertical integration. However, this incentivecould be efficiently neutralized via a transfer mechanism whereby incumbentvertically integrated firms compensate IPJV members to stay in. Our emphasison disengagement is due to the high rate of divorces among firms joining IPJV(Hewitt, 2008).

7 References

Alvarez, L.H.R. and Stenbacka, R. (2007), Partial Outsourcing: A Real OptionsPerspective. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 25, 91-102.

Amir, R., Evstigneev, I. and Wooders, J. (2003). Noncooperative versus co-operative R&D with endogenous spillover rate. Games and Economic Behavior42:183-207.

Arya, A., Mittendorf, B. and Sappington, D. (2008) Outsourcing, verticalintegration, and price vs. quantity competition, International Journal of Indus-trial Organization, 26: 1-16.

Bowley, A.L. (1924) The Mathematical Groundwork of Economics, OxfordUniversity Press, Oxford.

d’Aspremont, C. and Jacquemin, A. (1988). Cooperative and noncooperativeR&D in duopoly with spillovers. American Economic Review 78: 1133-1137.Erratum: American Economic Review 80 (1990): 641-642.

Hewitt, I. (2008) Joint Ventures, 4th Edition, Thomson, Sweet & Maxwell,London.

Jacobson, J. M. (2007) Antitrust Law Developments, 6th Ed. American BarAssociation, Section of Antitrust Law, Washington D.C.

Kamien, M.I., Muller, E., and Zang, I. (1992) Research joint ventures andR&D cartels. American Economic Review 82: 1293-1306.

Lafontaine, F. and Slade, M. (2007) Vertical Integration and Firm Bound-aries. Journal of Economic Literature, 45: 629-685.

Lambertini, L. and Rossini, G. (2009) The gains from cooperative R&Dwith a concave technology and spillovers. Forthcoming in: International GameTheory Review.

Moretto, M. and Rossini, G. (2008) Vertical Integration and OperationalFlexibility. FEEM Working paper 37/2008.

Sappington, D. (2005) On the Irrelevance of Input Prices for Make -or-BuyDecisions, American Economic Review, 95: 1631-1638.

Shy, O. and Stenbacka, R., (2005) Partial Outsourcing, Monitoring Cost,and Market Structure. Canadian Journal of Economics, 38: 1173-1190.

Singh, N. and Vives, X. (1984) Price and quantity competition in a differ-entiated duopoly. RAND Journal of Economics, 15: 546—554

21

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Networks

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SD 36.2009 Markus Kinateder (lxxxv): Team Formation in a Network SD 37.2009 Constanza Fosco and Friederike Mengel (lxxxv): Cooperation through Imitation and Exclusion in Networks SD 38.2009 Berno Buechel and Tim Hellmann (lxxxv): Under-connected and Over-connected Networks SD 39.2009 Alexey Kushnir (lxxxv): Matching Markets with Signals SD 40.2009 Alessandro Tavoni (lxxxv): Incorporating Fairness Motives into the Impulse Balance Equilibrium and Quantal

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Networks SD 43.2009 Fabio Eboli, Ramiro Parrado, Roberto Roson: Climate Change Feedback on Economic Growth: Explorations

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Network? Evidence from Italy on Migrant Workers Employability SD 49.2009 William Brock and Anastasios Xepapadeas: General Pattern Formation in Recursive Dynamical Systems

Models in Economics SD 50.2009 Giovanni Marin and Massimiliano Mazzanti: Emissions Trends and Labour Productivity Dynamics Sector

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Market IM 52.2009 Laura Poddi and Sergio Vergalli: Does Corporate Social Responsibility Affect the Performance of Firms? SD 53.2009 Valentina Bosetti, Carlo Carraro and Massimo Tavoni: Climate Change Mitigation Strategies in Fast-

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and Carbon Accounting GC 62.2009 Carlo Altomonte and Gabor Békés: Trade Complexity and Productivity GC 63.2009 Elena Bellini, Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, Dino Pinelli and Giovanni Prarolo: Cultural Diversity and Economic

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(lxxxv) This paper has been presented at the 14th Coalition Theory Network Workshop held in Maastricht, The Netherlands, on 23-24 January 2009 and organised by the Maastricht University CTN group (Department of Economics, http://www.feem-web.it/ctn/12d_maa.php).