Nils Flaatten's Presentation at Cap40 Business Wednesday
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Transcript of Nils Flaatten's Presentation at Cap40 Business Wednesday
Nils Flaatten, CEO
2 July 2014 An inspiring place to do business
Presentation to le Cap 40 at Alliance Française du Cap
GDP Growth per Annum, 2002-2012
An inspiring place to do business
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
RSA 3.7 2.9 4.6 5.3 5.6 5.5 3.6 -1.5 3.1 3.6 2.5
Western Cape
4.3 3.4 5.7 5.9 5.9 6.2 4.3 -1.3 2.8 3.9 3.2-1.5
-0.5
0.5
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5G
row
th (
%)
Population in the Western Cape, 2003-2018
An inspiring place to do business
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014f 2015f 2016f 2017f 2018f
Population
4.950653
5.051106
5.152525
5.2556
5.359976
5.466023
5.573371
5.681999
5.792093
5.904017
6.016928
6.14809703
04
6.2821255456627
2
6.4190758825581
7
6.5590117367979
4
6.7019981926601
3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8Po
pula
tion
(milli
ons)
Upward trajectory with a 2% CAGR
WC and SA Education Levels, 2013
An inspiring place to do business
No Sch
ooling
- G2
Grade 3
- 7
Grade 8
- 11
Matric
only
Certific
ate an
d diplo
ma only
Matric
and c
ertific
ate di
ploma
Matric
and d
egree
11.5%
17.4%
41.4%
17.6%
3.3% 4.5% 4.4%5.1%
17.4%
43.6%
19.6%
3.6% 4.5% 6.2%
South Africa Western Cape
Western Cape Sectors Contribution to GDP, 2003 - 2012
An inspiring place to do business
Mining and quarrying
Electricity, gas and water
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
Construction
Personal services
Transport, storage and communication
General government services
Manufacturing
Wholesale, retail and motor trade; catering and accommodation
Finance, real estate and business services
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
0.2
1.7
4.6
2.9
4.9
9.2
9.3
18.1
14.4
25.5
0.2
2.1
3.7
4.2
5.3
9.1
10.2
11.4
17.9
25.7
2012 2003
04/10/2023
Wholesale, retail and motor trade; catering and accommodation
Finance, real estate and business services
General government services
Construction
Personal services
Transport, storage and communication
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
Manufacturing
Electricity, gas and water
Mining and quarrying
-3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
3.80%
3.60%
3.10%
2.60%
2.30%
2.10%
1.90%
1.80%
0.40%
-1.50%
2.70%
2.70%
3.80%
1.80%
0.90%
2.10%
-0.20%
0.20%
0.90%
-1.90%
CAGR 2008-2012 Growth 2011-2012
Western Cape Sector Growth, 2008 - 2012
Employment By Skill Sector in the Western Cape, 2013
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Sector DescriptionFormal And
Informal Employment
- Total
Formal Employment By Skill: Total
Formal Employment
By Skill - Highly Skilled
Formal Employment
By Skill - Skilled
Formal Employment By
Skill- Semi- And Unskilled
Informal Employment
- Total
Wholesale and retail trade, catering and accommodation 420610 232168 29839 158478 43850 188442
Finance, insurance, real estate and business services 352008 308312 68756 195417 44138 43697
Community, social and personal services 275990 206080 18949 31822 155309 69910
General government 229699 229699 88048 109587 32064 0
Manufacturing 229055 191032 23964 65568 101500 38023
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 152952 134784 5153 7848 121783 18168
Construction 106509 52781 3405 10311 39065 53727
Transport, storage and communication 86559 47467 6065 28892 12511 39092
Electricity, gas and water 6575 6473 2315 2294 1864 102
Mining and quarrying 3690 3672 200 737 2734 18
TOTAL1863645 1412465 246694 610954 554817 451179
Employment Composition in the Western Cape, 2008-2013
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Agriculture
Mining
Manufacturing
Electricity
Construction
Retail
Communication
Finance
Services
Government
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
8.4%
0.2%
14.6%
0.4%
6.1%
18.6%
3.4%
20.5%
14.0%
13.9%
5.9%
0.4%
12.7%
0.4%
5.4%
19.5%
3.3%
21.0%
14.0%
17.3%
2013 2008
04/10/2023
Western Cape Trade (excluding petroleum), 2003-2013
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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Im-port
22.188402401
25.696378304
30.748678447
39.362358076
44.908273961
54.075535883
49.808139099
47.973945329
57.606284591
69.168996293
86.818871082
Ex-port
26.576865595
27.091645142
29.184137917
30.603418135
39.837777088
51.609463104
44.391427933
45.917695094
48.748223014
55.769091278
66.485239382
Trade Bal-ance
4.388463194
1.395266838
-1.564540
53
-8.758939
941
-5.070496
873
-2.466072
779
-5.416711
166
-2.056250
235
-8.858061
577
-13.39990
5015
-20.33363
17
-30
-10
10
30
50
70
90
Va
lue
(b
n)
Top 10 Western Cape Export Markets, 2013
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TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE EXPORT MARKETS, 2013
RANK IMPORTERSVALUE 2013
(ZARbn)%
SHARE%
GROWTH 2012-2013
1 Netherlands 6.74 9.00 -0.91
2 United Kingdom 6.66 8.89 25.04
3 Germany 3.85 5.14 25.33
4 Mozambique 3.78 5.05 148.62
5 United States 3.49 4.65 4.38
6 Singapore 2.70 3.61 9.17
7 Japan 2.65 3.53 117.68
8 Angola 2.54 3.40 11.83
9 Kenya 2.29 3.05 64.53
10 China 2.12 2.84 49.39
TOTAL EXPORTS 74.87 100% 16.06%
Source: Quantec, 2014
Top 10 Western Cape Export Markets, 2011-2012
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TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE EXPORT MARKETS, 2011
RANK IMPORTERSVALUE 2011
(ZARbn)%
SHARE%
GROWTH 2010-2011
1 Netherlands 5.41 9.9% 8.7%
2 United Kingdom 4.95 9.1% -2.4%
3 Germany 3.12 5.7% 1.4%
4 United States 2.66 4.9% 10.1%
5 Angola 1.84 3.4% 11.7%
6 Republic of Korea 1.82 3.3% 117.3%
7 Mozambique 1.72 3.1% 37.6%
8 Belgium 1.51 2.8% 11.9%
9 Zambia 1.42 2.6% 59.5%
10 China 1.34 2.5% 11.9%
TOTAL EXPORTS 54.7 100% -2.94%
Source: Quantec, 2013
TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE EXPORT MARKETS, 2012
RANK IMPORTERSVALUE 2012
(ZARbn)%
SHARE%
GROWTH 2011-2012
1 Netherlands 6.8 10.52% 25.52%
2 United Kingdom 5.3 8.24% 7.44%
3 United States 3.3 5.17% 27.87%
4 Malaysia 3.1 4.85% 139.56%
5 Germany 3.1 4.75% -1.82%
6 Singapore 3.1 3.83% 209.10%
7 Angola 2.5 3.52% 23.13%
8 UAE 2.3 2.46% 59.43%
9 Zambia 1.6 2.36% 6.54%
10 Mozambique 1.5 2.35% -11.71%
TOTAL EXPORTS 64.6 100% 18.46%
Top 10 Western Cape Import Markets, 2013
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TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE IMPORT MARKETS, 2013
RANK EXPORTERSVALUE 2013
(ZARbn)% SHARE % GROWTH
2012-2013
1 Saudi Arabia 37.67 20.19 -0.32
2 China 28.01 15.01 39.27
3 India 16.37 8.77 75.28
4 Nigeria 13.59 7.28 -20.73
5 Germany 8.10 4.34 65.45
6 Singapore 7.54 4.04 75.42
7 United Kingdom 6.58 3.53 21.31
8 Italy 5.24 2.81 38.49
9 United States 4.71 2.52 13.80
10 Netherlands 4.64 2.48 -11.23
TOTAL IMPORTS 186.57 100% 4%
Source: Quantec, 2013
Top 10 Western Cape Import Markets, 2011-2012
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TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE IMPORT MARKETS, 2011
RANK EXPORTERSVALUE 2011
(ZARbn)%
SHARE% GROWTH 2010-2011
1 China 17.017 12.13% 24.86%
2 Saudi Arabia 16.68 11.89% 36.85%
3 Iran 15.965 11.38% 26.18%
4 Nigeria 9.768 6.96% 84.38%
5 India 7.936 5.66% 72.30%
6 United Kingdom 6.714 4.78% 46.92%
7 United States 5.709 4.07% 33.61%
8 Angola 5.265 3.75% -41.05%
9 Italy 5.009 3.57% 87.90%
10 Germany 4.456 3.18% 0.80%
TOTAL IMPORTS 140.335 100.00% 33.22%
Source: Quantec, 2013
TOP 10 WESTERN CAPE IMPORT MARKETS, 2012
RANK EXPORTERSVALUE 2012
(ZARbn)% SHARE % GROWTH
2011-2012
1 Saudi Arabia 37.80 21.07% 126.60%
2 China 20.11 11.21% 18.16%
3 Nigeria 17.15 9.56% 75.53%
4 Angola 12.12 6.76% 130.22%
5 India 9.34 5.21% 17.68%
6 Iran (Islamic Republic of) 7.07 3.94% -55.69%
7 United Kingdom 5.43 3.03% -19.15%
8 Netherlands 5.22 2.91% 114.42%
9 Germany 4.90 2.73% 9.87%
10 United Arab Emirates 4.69 2.61% 6.59%
TOTAL IMPORTS 179.42 100% 27.85%
RANK TOP 10 EXPORTSVALUE 2013
(ZARbn)
% GROWTH 2012-2013
1 Oils petroleum, bituminous, distillates, except crude 8.39 -5.32
2 Grape wines(including fortified), alcoholic grape must 7.80 33.26
3 Citrus fruit, fresh or dried 6.58 22.70
4 Apples, pears and quinces, fresh 5.59 53.52
5 Grapes, fresh or dried 4.02 22.27
6 Hot-rolled products, iron/steel, width>600mm, not clad 3.11 7.47
7 Liquid, gas centrifuges, filtering, purifying machines 2.01 -6.23
8 Maize (corn) 1.83 44801.31
9 Fruit, nut, edible plant parts nes, prepared/preserved 1.60 16.90
10 Liqueur, spirits and undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 1.28 66.28
TOTAL EXPORTS 74.87 16.06
Western Cape export and import products
An inspiring place to do business
RANK TOP 10 IMPORTSVALUE 2013
(ZARbn)
% GROWTH 2012-2013
1 Petroleum oils, oils from bituminous minerals, crude 66.39 -16.76
2 Oils petroleum, bituminous, distillates, except crude 33.36 9.42
3 Diodes, transistors, semi-conductors, etc 3.69 1948.99
4 Liqueur, spirits and undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 2.83 38.63
5 Prepared or preserved fish, fish eggs, caviar 1.67 9.60
6 Medicaments, therapeutic, prophylactic use, in dosage 1.67 73.87
7 Footwear nes, with outer sole, upper rubber or plastic 1.35 -0.98
8 Footwear with uppers of textile materials 1.27 9.51
9 Electric generating sets and rotary converters 1.07 3550.16
10 Machines nes having individual functions 1.03 -3.16
TOTAL IMPORTS 186.57 3.99
Source: Quantec, 2013
Western Cape Exports by Region, 2011
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-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Africa (ZAR11.24bn)
Americas (ZAR4.42bn)
Asia (ZAR12.52bn)
Europe ( ZAR22.12bn)
Oceana (ZAR1.12bn)
Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania
% Growth 2012 - 2013
Shar
e of
WC
Expo
rts (%
)
Western Cape Exports by Region, 2012
An inspiring place to do business
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Africa (ZAR14.14bn)
America (ZAR5.45bn)
Asia (ZAR17.39bn)
Europe (ZAR23.18bn)
Oceana (ZAR1.29bn)
Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania
% Growth 2011 - 2012
Shar
e of
WC
Expo
rts (%
)
Western Cape Exports by Region, 2013
An inspiring place to do business
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Africa (ZAR18.95bn)
Americas (ZAR5.98bn)
Asia (ZAR18.15bn)
Europe (ZAR27.83bn)
Oceana (ZAR1.41bn)
Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania
% Growth 2012 - 2013
Shar
e of
WC
Expo
rts (%
)
Western Cape Imports by Region, 2013
An inspiring place to do business
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Africa (ZAR30.84bn)
America (ZAR9.93bn)
Asia (ZAR107.24bn)
Europe (ZAR37.62bn)
Oceana (ZAR0.86bn)
Africa Americas Asia Europe Oceania
% Growth 2013 -2012
Shar
e of
WC
impo
rts (%
)
Western Cape Output & Exports By Sector, 2011
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Food, beverages
and to-bacco
Petroleum products, chemicals,
rubber and plastic
Agricul-ture,
forestry and fish-
ing
Metals, metal
products, machinery
and equipment
Transport equipment
Wood, paper,
publishing and print-
ing
Furniture and other manufac-turing
Textiles, clothing
and leather goods
Other non-metal
mineral products
Electrical machinery and appa-
ratus
Radio, TV, in-
struments, watches
and clocks
Mining and quar-
rying
Out-put (ZARm)
42969.2812498946
34431.3208808288
22732.7556678574
20775.9311215511
14780.4199996365
14643.5003246226
10291.7910716976
9688.68487933725
4657.79903942122
3655.14921956322
2190.54566815126
703.808310853653
Ex-port (ZARm)
14287.442231
9824.050855
15539.830517
6168.345978
2086.175898
548.837935
1928.428519
681.779246
157.968323
302.181444
1181.399489
1157.433403
Ex-port %
0.33250363551368
6
0.28532308966601
4
0.68358762765274
0.29689865363490
3
0.14114456138941
3
0.03747996878022
03
0.18737540488002
9
0.07036860569735
42
0.03391480002959
28
0.08267280645688
92
0.53931744321818
2
1.64452932020104
2,500
7,500
12,500
17,500
22,500
27,500
32,500
37,500
42,500
47,500
10%
30%
50%
70%
90%
110%
130%
150%
170%
Value
(ZAR
m)
Export (%)
FDI flows into the Western Cape
An inspiring place to do business
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Capex (ZARbn)
3.7131
15.1005
2.903 2.3658
1.6615
8.2148
5.6656
9.6862
5.6722
5.5961
3.9016
Projects
10 8 13 12 10 14 22 28 23 28 24
1.03.05.07.09.0
11.013.015.0
2.5
7.5
12.5
17.5
22.5
27.5
WESTERN CAPE FDI FLOWS, 2003-2013
Value
(ZAR
bn)
Num
ber of Projects
Source: FDI Intelligence, 2014
Breakdown of FDI into the Western Cape
An inspiring place to do business
Business Services
Software & IT services
Financial Services
Communi-cations
Transporta-tion
Chemicals Alternative/Renewable
energy
Coal, Oil and Natural
Gas
Consumer Products
Hotels & Tourism
% Projects
0.177083333333333
0.177083333333333
0.078125 0.0677083333333333
0.0572916666666667
0.0364583333333333
0.0364583333333333
0.03125 0.03125 0.03125
% Capex
0.0327541392423124
0.0443421566863729
0.0237420983740796
0.144219018492441
0.0400741930881322
0.0075247672160842
7
0.136463173305377
0.231777408328732
0.0211909355401021
0.0636487987047227
3%
8%
13%
18%
23%
BREAKDOWN OF FDI BY SECTOR, 2003-2013
% S
hare
Source: FDI Intelligence, 2014
Top sources of FDI into the Western Cape
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UK United States
Nether-lands
Germany France Switzer-land
India Canada China UAE
% Projects
0.255208333333333
0.234375 0.078125 0.0677083333333333
0.0520833333333334
0.03125 0.0260416666666667
0.0208333333333333
0.0208333333333333
0.0208333333333333
% Capex
0.152706869064088
0.197331282064007
0.0552012704635827
0.0653159719852855
0.0579695535387498
0.0090384054689487
0.0173959838958815
0.0092431188392131
6
0.0077170737154236
0.0115120253596442
3%
8%
13%
18%
23%
28%
BREAKDOWN OF FDI BY SOURCE MARKET, 2003-2013
% S
hare
Source: FDI Intelligence, 2014
France and Western Cape
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Western Cape Trade with France, 2003-2012
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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Ex-ports (ZARm)
804.221591
1001.928048
1200.328226
1156.581138
1412.272938
2121.800161
1372.051343
1562.148884
1020.354415
921.737506
Im-ports(ZARm)
1188.720236
1273.432194
1215.503985
1476.739941
1886.605948
2665.232555
2339.210043
1918.399335
2703.935024
1932.014016
Trade Bal-ance (ZARm)
-384.49864
5
-271.50414
6
-15.175759
-320.15880
3
-474.33301
-543.43239
4
-967.1587 -356.25045
1
-1683.5806
09
-1010.2765
1
-1750
-1250
-750
-250
250
750
1250
1750
2250
2750
Valu
e (Z
ARm
)
RANK TOP 10 EXPORTSVALUE 2012
(ZARm)
% GROWTH 2011-2012
1 Measuring or checking instruments 108.5 9642.54%
2 Grape wines(including fortified), alcoholic grape must 95.3 21.26%
3 Citrus fruit, fresh or dried 72.9 67.33%
4 Fish fillets, fish meat, mince except liver, roe 67.3 -24.38%
5 Apples, pears and quinces, fresh 65.7 25.64%
6 Liqueur, spirits and undenatured ethyl alcohol <80% 64.1 297.61%
7 Diodes, transistors, semi-conductors, etc 60.8 -85.57%
8 Parts for radio, tv transmission, receive equipment 40.5 114.07%
9 Yachts, pleasure, sports vessels, rowing boats, canoes 39.6 2598.87%
10 Grapes, fresh or dried 37.3 13.95%
TOTAL EXPORTS 921.7 -9.66%
Western Cape exports and imports with France, 2012
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RANK TOP 10 IMPORTSVALUE 2012
(ZARm)
% GROWTH 2011-2012
1 Wooden casks, barrels, vats, tubs, 134.8
7.69%
2 Aircraft, spacecraft, satellites123.4
-
3 Blood, antisera, vaccines, toxins and cultures101.2
20214.91%
4 Oils petroleum, bituminous, distillates, except crude
81.5
-92.85%
5 Perfumes and toilet waters71.6
22.08%
6 Stoppers, caps, lids, crown corks, etc off base metal
63.0
-1.91%
7 Tobacco, tobacco substitute products nes58.7
75.74%
8 Gasoline and oil additives45.0
-42.35%
9 Refrigerators, freezers and heat pumps nes44.8
21.83%
10 Acrylic polymers in primary forms43.7
-3.53%
TOTAL IMPORTS1 932.0
-28.55%
Source: Quantec, 2013
FDI From France to the Western Cape, 2003-2013
An inspiring place to do business
FDI FROM FRANCE TO THE WESTERN CAPE, 2003 – JUNE 2013
PROJECT DATE
INVESTING COMPANY
DESTINATION CITY INDUSTRY SECTOR SUB-SECTOR INDUSTRY ACTIVITY CAPEX
(ZARm)
Sep-10 Concentrix Solar Not Specified Alternative/Renewable energy Solar electric power Electricity 2666.6
Sep-10 Concentrix Solar Not Specified Alternative/Renewable energy Solar electric power Electricity 2666.6
Mar-10 Tenesol Cape Town Electronic Components All other electrical equipment & components Manufacturing 98.4
Nov-09 Teleperformance Cape Town Business Services Business support services Customer Contact Centre 38.0
Nov-09 Teleperformance Cape Town Business Services Business support services Customer Contact Centre 38.0
Sep-09 AD Software Cape Town Software & IT services Software publishers, except video games Sales, Marketing & Support 63.6
Jun-09 Trusted Logic Cape Town Software & IT services Software publishers, except video games Sales, Marketing & Support 63.6
Mar-09 Solaire Direct Cape Town Electronic Components All other electrical equipment & components Manufacturing 58.7
Jan-09 Diana Group (Groupe Diana) Cape Town Chemicals Paints, coatings, additives
& adhesives Sales, Marketing & Support 66.1
Total 5759.8
Thank you | Dankie | Enkosi