New Feeder Alignment Proposal for Plano ISD
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Transcript of New Feeder Alignment Proposal for Plano ISD
Proposal:Adjusting the PISD Feeder -
Realignment Plan
Rev. 0.7 – 06/15/11David Stringfellow, Mark Windsor
PISD Parents for Balanced Enrollment
Assumptions and terminology
• Capacity – “Functional” capacity, from PISD
• Demographics – Templeton Demographics, LLC (January 2011 report to PISD)
• Other
– Facility status as of Feb 2011
– No comprehension of current construction/expansion plans
– No demographics for multi-use/apartments subsequent to Feb 2011
Murphy Armstrong
McMillen Williams
PESH
Bowman Otto Haggard Carpenter
Vines Clark
PSHS
Hendrick SchimelpfWilson Rice
Jasper Shepton
PWSH
Robinson Frankford Renner
BoggessHuntMiller
FormanDooley
Meadows
30%Live in Central Feeder
28%*Live in East Feeder
42%Live in West Feeder
MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron
Mendenh.Schell
Stinson
DavisHughstonSaiglingWells
AldridgeShepard
SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson
ChristieHarring.Thomas
BeverlyHedgecoxe
Rasor
BethanyCarlisle
Mathews
AndrewsWyattSkaggs
DaffronGulledge
Haun
MitchellHaggar
Hightower½ Jackson
BarksdaleBrinker
CentennialHuffman
New Feeder Pattern (Starting 2011-12)
* Throughout: Percentage of population living within given feeder
Source: PISD Feeder Transition Video
Feeder History
Armstrong773
Williams
PESH
Bowman987
Haggard875
Vines
PSHS
Schimelpf953
Wilson977
Rice1204
Jasper Shepton
PWSH
Robinson1085
Frankford1130
Renner1241
BoggessHuntMillerSchell
Stinson
FormanDooley
MeadowsMendenh.
28%Live in West FeederOver capacity: -11%
MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron
DavisHughstonSaiglingWells
AldridgeShepard
SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson
BethanyCarlisle
Mathews
AndrewsWyattSkaggs
DaffronGulledge
Haun
MitchellHaggar
Hightower½ Jackson
BarksdaleBrinker
CentennialHuffman
Current Feeder Pattern (to 2009-10)
Carpenter878
Clark
Hendrick865
ChristieHarring.Thomas
BeverlyHedgecoxe
Rasor
40% est.Live in East FeederOver capacity: 16%
Murphy1491
32% est.Live in Central Feeder
Over capacity: -2%
4994
3329 est.
4009
2673 est.
3456
2304 est.
8306 total est.
Source of MS enrollment figures: Templeton Demographics, LLC January 2011 report to PISD
0%
50%
100%
150%
2006-
07
2007-
08
2008-
09
2009-
10
2010-
11
2011-
12
2012-
13
2013-
14
2014-
15
2015-
16
2016-
17
2017-
18
PWSH
0%
50%
100%
150%
PSHS
0%
50%
100%
150%
PESH
Senior High Enrollment as Percentage of CapacityCurrent Feeder System – Requires Realignment
Source: PISD Feeder Realignment Committee, prior to Option 3
Current Feeder Pattern
Feeder Pattern Realignment (12/09)
Future Feeder Patterns
Murphy965
Armstrong763
McMillen Williams
PESH
Bowman761
Otto837
Haggard894
Carpenter864
Vines Clark
PSHS
Hendrick885
Schimelpf998*
Wilson948
Rice1164
Jasper Shepton
PWSH
Robinson1046
Frankford1192
Renner1319
BoggessHuntMiller
FormanDooley
Meadows
32% est.Live in Central Feeder
Over capacity: 0%
26% est.Live in East Feeder
Over capacity: -23%
41% est.Live in West FeederOver capacity: 34%
MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron
Mendenh.Schell
Stinson
DavisHughstonSaiglingWells
AldridgeShepard
SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson
ChristieHarring.Thomas
BeverlyHedgecoxe
Rasor
BethanyCarlisle
Mathews
AndrewsWyattSkaggs
DaffronGulledge
Haun
MitchellHaggar
Hightower½ Jackson
BarksdaleBrinker
CentennialHuffman
New Feeder Pattern: 2011-12 enrollment forward
3326 4090
2217 est. 2727 est.
5220
3480 est.
8424 total est.
* Assume 50% split at SMS
Feeder Pattern Realignment
The Problem• Student “bubble” at PWSH
– Starts in academic year 2013-14
– Peaks in 2014-15
• Temporary Duration: 3 years
• Substantial growth in PWSH enrollment over two year period (75%)
• Construction to accommodate extra students will result in one of the following:– Extra capacity
– Portables
One Possible Solution
• Implement a mechanism for a more orderly transition through 2015
• Temporarily realign one middle school from Central to East and another middle school from West to Central
– Reduce student “bubble” at PWSH
– 3 year period, starting 2013-14
– Fixed duration with clear exit strategy
• Delay start of “SMS choice” for 2 or 3 years
Make the feeder transition in Phases
Current Feeder Pattern
Feeder Pattern Realignment – Phase I
Feeder Pattern Realignment (12/09)
3-year Feeder “Re”-Alignment
Possible Solution ScenariosFeeder Models
Murphy965
Armstrong763
McMillen Williams
PESH
Bowman761
Otto837
Haggard894
Carpenter864
Vines Clark
PSHS
Hendrick885
Schimelpf998
Wilson948
Rice1164*
Jasper Shepton
PWSH
Robinson1046
Frankford1192
Renner1319
BoggessHuntMiller
FormanDooley
Meadows
34% est.Live in Central Feeder
Over capacity: 5%
33% est.Live in East FeederOver capacity: -3%
33% est.Live in West FeederOver capacity: 6%
MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron
Mendenh.Schell
Stinson
DavisHughstonSaiglingWells
AldridgeShepard
SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson
ChristieHarring.Thomas
BeverlyHedgecoxe
Rasor
BethanyCarlisle
Mathews
AndrewsWyattSkaggs
DaffronGulledge
Haun
MitchellHaggar
Hightower½ Jackson
BarksdaleBrinker
CentennialHuffman
Scenario 1: Carpenter-E, SMS-C, Rice-Split C/W
4190 3908
2793 est. 2871 est.
4139
2759 est.
8424 total est.
Ideally “balanced” enrollments (ignores cluster Population Density)
* Assume 50% split at RMS
Murphy965
Armstrong763
McMillen Williams
PESH
Bowman761
Otto837
Haggard894
Carpenter864
Vines Clark
PSHS
Hendrick885
Schimelpf998
Wilson948
Rice1164
Jasper Shepton
PWSH
Robinson1046
Frankford1192
Renner1319
BoggessHuntMiller
FormanDooley
Meadows
33% est.Live in Central Feeder
Over capacity: -9%
33% est.Live in East FeederOver capacity: -3%
37% est.Live in West FeederOver capacity: 21%
MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron
Mendenh.Schell
Stinson
DavisHughstonSaiglingWells
AldridgeShepard
SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson
ChristieHarring.Thomas
BeverlyHedgecoxe
Rasor
BethanyCarlisle
Mathews
AndrewsWyattSkaggs
DaffronGulledge
Haun
MitchellHaggar
Hightower½ Jackson
BarksdaleBrinker
CentennialHuffman
Scenario 2: Carpenter-E, SMS-C
4190 3725
2793 est. 2483 est.
4721
3147 est.
8424 total est.
Practical temporary MS realignment (less overcapacity @ PWSH)
Jasper
Murphy965
Armstrong763
McMillen Williams
PESH
Bowman761
Otto837
Haggard894
Carpenter864
Vines Clark
PSHS
Hendrick885
Schimelpf998
Wilson948
Rice1164
Shepton
PWSH
Robinson1046
Frankford1192
Renner1319
BoggessHuntMiller
FormanDooley
Meadows
28% est.Live in Central FeederOver capacity: -15%
33% est.Live in East FeederOver capacity: -3%
39% est.Live in West FeederOver capacity: 27%
MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron
Mendenh.Schell
Stinson
DavisHughstonSaiglingWells
AldridgeShepard
SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson
ChristieHarring.Thomas
BeverlyHedgecoxe
Rasor
BethanyCarlisle
Mathews
AndrewsWyattSkaggs
DaffronGulledge
Haun
MitchellHaggar
Hightower½ Jackson
BarksdaleBrinker
CentennialHuffman
Scenario 2-B: Carpenter-E, SMS-C + transfers
4190 3476
2793 est. 2317 est.
4971
3314 est.
8424 total est.
Jasper
Allow “SMS choice” for only first of 3 years
* Assume “weighted” 50% split at SMS
Scenario 2-B Details
• Scenario 2-B would address two issues
1) Preempts possible issues from SMS students who have already declared for 2011-12
2) PWSH would no longer hold the badge of “the largest graduating class in Texas history”
Scenario 3: Carpenter-E, SMS-W, Rice-C8424 total est.
Murphy965
Armstrong763
McMillen Williams
PESH
Bowman761
Otto837
Haggard894
Carpenter864
Vines Clark
PSHS
Hendrick885
Schimelpf998
Wilson948
Rice1164
Jasper Shepton
PWSH
Robinson1046
Frankford1192
Renner1319
BoggessHuntMiller
FormanDooley
Meadows
31% est.Live in Central Feeder
Over capacity: -5%
33% est.Live in East FeederOver capacity: -3%
39% est.Live in West FeederOver capacity: 17%
MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron
Mendenh.Schell
Stinson
DavisHughstonSaiglingWells
AldridgeShepard
SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson
ChristieHarring.Thomas
BeverlyHedgecoxe
Rasor
BethanyCarlisle
Mathews
AndrewsWyattSkaggs
DaffronGulledge
Haun
MitchellHaggar
Hightower½ Jackson
BarksdaleBrinker
CentennialHuffman
4190 3891
2793 est. 2594 est.
4555
3037 est.
Given 13 MS’s, use Rice MS to “balance enrollments”
Clark
Scenario 3-B: Carpenter-E, SMS-W, Rice-C8424 total est.
Murphy965
Armstrong763
McMillen Williams
PESH
Bowman761
Otto837
Haggard894
Carpenter864
Vines
PSHS
Hendrick885
Schimelpf998*
Wilson948
Rice1164
Jasper Shepton
PWSH
Robinson1046
Frankford1192
Renner1319
BoggessHuntMiller
FormanDooley
Meadows
32% est.Live in Central Feeder
Over capacity: -1%
33% est.Live in East FeederOver capacity: -3%
35% est.Live in West FeederOver capacity: 13%
MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron
Mendenh.Schell
Stinson
DavisHughstonSaiglingWells
AldridgeShepard
SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson
ChristieHarring.Thomas
BeverlyHedgecoxe
Rasor
BethanyCarlisle
Mathews
AndrewsWyattSkaggs
DaffronGulledge
Haun
MitchellHaggar
Hightower½ Jackson
BarksdaleBrinker
CentennialHuffman
4190 4041
2793 est. 2694 est.
4405
2937 est.
Scenario 3 + allow transfers from SMS until PSHS reaches capacity
* Example: 150 transfers to Clark->PSHS
Clark
150
Other possible scenarios
• Temporarily realign Hendrick MS and its feeders
• Similar to proposal discussed above in which Carpenter MS is temporarily realigned
• Detailed enrollment model and relative impacts TBD
• Hypothetical realignment progression maps follow
Current Feeder Pattern
Hendrick+Feeder Realignment – Phase I
Feeder Pattern Realignment (12/09)
Questions
Q: Will Carpenter parents and students consider this an unfair burden?
A: Possibly, because Clark HS is physically closer than Williams HS
However…
1) WHS has the capacity2) It’s only temporary3) PISD has done this before (Boggess and Hunt)4) Known quantity: CMS currently feeds PESH
Questions
Q: What about SMS parents? Won’t they be upset by losing their “choice zone”?
A: No, because they don’t really lose anything This is simply a 3-year delay. After that, the original feeder realignment “choice zone” takes effect.
Also, with Scenario 2-B, the option exists for students who have already committed to their High School
Questions
Q: Won’t feeding Carpenter MS to Williams HS cause an overcrowding issue?
A: No. WHS will have excess capacity now that McMillen HS is open. The estimated enrollment at WHS for those three years would range from 1650 to 1900 students, with a best estimate at approx. 1770.
Williams HS, Title I, and ED
• The Williams student population is estimated at 37% ED (2009-2010)
• Any of the scenarios involving moving Carpenter MS to Williams HS may cause WHS to become a full-fledged Title I school
• Taking into effect the Title I decreased class sizes, the bare minimum capacity is likely between 1800 to 1900 at Williams
• This should be further studied and assessed
Miscellaneous
• None of our scenarios comprehend potential enrollment growth at McCall ES and two new Richardson subdivisions near Otto MS
• The Hendrick-based scenarios would have parents though driving past Clark HS on the way to Williams HS
Summary• The current realignment plan was designed from the
“top down” starting at the HS level and was based on estimated demographic data
• An ideal realignment plan would be designed from the “bottom up” starting with all ES attendance zones
• Redrawing ES boundaries is complex, would require a full revision of the Dec 2009 plan, and would likely be re-done every 2-3 years, and unfair to the kids
• Our proposal tweaks the current plan from the “center out” (starting with the middle schools)– Based on newer demographic data– May save on PWSH construction costs– Has a fixed duration and a clear exit strategy– Offers a reasonable compromise parents concerned about
school capacity and enrollment growth at PWSH
Thank You!