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Transcript of New - Economics of Education2012.economicsofeducation.com/user/pdfsesiones/016.d… · Web...
Primary schooling in the household context
Iris Christiane GoenschCenter for international development and environmental research, University of Giessen
Senckenbergstr. 3,D-35390 [email protected]
The purpose of this paper is to explain the low level of school participation in Benin, Burkina
Faso, Mali, Niger and Senegal and to shed light on differences both between and within these countries.
In-depth descriptive analysis based on DHS data is followed by logistic regression analyses. Two
different measures of schooling are used. Interaction terms allow assessing if the household structure or
the place of residence have a different impact on girls' schooling than on boys' schooling. Results confirm
late enrollment and rural residence as main issues hampering complete enrollment and the completion of
four years of schooling. Except for Senegal, boys are significantly more likely to be enrolled in school
than girls. The negative impact of being female is statistically significant and of bigger magnitude for the
estimation of four years of schooling.
Keywords: school enrollment; West Africa; education; development; Millennium Development
Goals.
Acknowledgements: Funding from the Thyssen Foundation in support of the project
“Determinants of educational decisions" is gratefully acknowledged. Daniela Kautz and Steffen Graef
provided excellent research assistance.
1 Introduction
According to the UNDP Human Development Index, most West African countries
regularly rank among the last countries of the world. While their performance in all dimensions
of the index is rather poor and the countries are characterized as having low human
development, the educational dimension still is a specific weakness. Nevertheless, today most
young people have better access to education and receive longer schooling than their parents
and grandparents have had. As a result, school enrollment rates have risen especially at primary
school level during the last decades. This is also true for Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger and
Senegal, five francophone West African countries that are studied in this paper. Mean primary
school net enrollment ratios for 2001-2009 officially ranged from 54 percent (Niger) to 72.9
percent (Senegal) with Benin being a positive outlier with an enrollment ratio of 92.8 percent
1
(UNDP, 2010). Macro data thus points to a clear improvement of educational participation. On
the other hand, these aggregated figures do not provide any insights into the access that specific
groups have to educational facilities.
In this paper, I use data from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) for Benin,
Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger and Senegal to study the determinants of primary school
participation, which is captured by two different outcome measures: Current school enrollment
of children of primary school age and the completion of four or more years of schooling of
young people aged 15 to 19.
Descriptive analysis reveals that enrollment is considerably higher in urban than in rural
areas for all five countries. Furthermore, there is a huge gap between male and female
enrollment: The share of boys enrolled is markedly higher for Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali and
Niger. As a first step in the regression analysis, I study the reasons for the differences in
enrollment and the generally low level using a logit approach. This allows assessing the
importance of child and family characteristics for explaining school enrollment. Interaction
terms give additional information on gender differences and allow to investigate if family
wealth, the household structure and urban or rural residence affect girls differently than boys.
The analysis of completion of four years of schooling is performed in a similar way.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2 briefly gives some general
information on West Africa and describes the state of schooling in Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali,
Niger and Senegal. The data sets and variables used are introduced in Section 3 which also
includes the descriptive and regression analysis on the individual level. Section 4 concludes.
2 Analysis of schooling in West Africa
Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger and Senegal belong to sub-Saharan Africa and are former
French colonies that gained independence in 1960. Table 1 gives some general information on
Table 1. Country characteristics.
Be
nin
Burkina Faso
Mali
Niger
Senegal
Total population (000)8,
66215
,23412
,70614
,70412
,211
Annual population growth rate (%)3.2
3.4
2.4
3.9
2.6
Population 0-14 years (%) 40 42 41 45 40Rural population (%) 59 80 68 83 58Life expectancy at birth (years) 61 53 48 51 56Poverty (% of pop. on less than $2 a
day) 75 81 77 86 60GDP per capita (PPP) US$ 14 11 11 68 17
2
76 68 46 4 96
HDI rank*134
161
160
167
144
Note: * is taken from Human Development Report 2010, all other figures are from UNESCO Institute for Statistics. Poverty rates are from 2003 for Benin and Burkina Faso, from 2006 for Mali, from 2007 for Niger and from 2005 for Senegal. If not otherwise indicated, all remaining data are from 2009.
the countries. A remnant common to these five countries, besides of French being the
official language, is a schooling system that is structured as the traditional French system: Six
years of primary schooling are followed by two cycles of secondary schooling: The first cycle
lasts four years, the second cycle, the lycée lasts three years. The transition from each stage of
schooling to the next one is limited by standardized exams. Only those students that pass the
exams are allowed to proceed with the first or second cycle of secondary school, respectively.
The baccalauréat exams at the end of the second cycle of secondary school entitle students to
enter higher education.
2.1 Progress in schooling
The eight Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) adopted at the UN Millennium
Summit in 2000 were set to be achieved by 2015. They cover a wide range of issues - poverty,
hunger, health issues, environmental sustainability, and gender equality - and also include
universal primary education. More precisely, the target is to “ensure that, by 2015, children
everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling". 1
Three indicators have been adopted for monitoring progress toward this goal: The net
enrollment ratio in primary education, the survival rate at the last grade of primary school and
the literacy rate of 15 to 24 year-olds.
The development of enrollment rates in most regions of the world is promising, but
Africa is lacking behind.
Table 2. Education information.
Benin
Burkina Faso
Mali
Niger
Senegal
Public expenditure on education (% of GDP)
3.5 (2007)
4.6
3.8
3.7
5.1
NER % primary school (2008) 9360
72 49
73
NER % primary school male (2008) 9964
78 55
72
NER % primary school female (2008) 8656
65 43
74
Survival rate to grade 5 (%)70
(2003)82
87 69
70
1 http://www.unmillenniumproject.org/goals/gti.htm/3
Mean years of schooling (adults)* 3.51.3
1.4
1.4
3.5
Note: * Taken from UNDP (2010). All remaining figures are taken from UIS UNESCO Institute for Statistics (2010).
The educational expansion that took place in the middle of the last century was followed
by a long period of stagnation and even decline in some countries. In the course of the
Education for All (EFA) initiative, first launched in Jomtien, Thailand in 1990, basic education
has more and more become the focus of attention. Policies like school fee abolishment and an
expansion of the education sector have raised enrollment rates.
Table 2 includes the mean years of schooling of adults, which is very low especially for
Burkina Faso (at 1.3), Mali and Niger (at 1.4). Today's primary school enrollment rates point to
an improvement of these figures. It is, however, questionable, if the pace of the improvement
suffices to reach the millennium development goals. Lewin (2008) explores the current status of
education in relation to the Millennium Development Goals and the Education for All goals.
He stresses that high drop-out rates are a major threat to achieving the goals in sub-
Saharan Africa.
Similarly, Lloyd and Hewett (2003) investigate impediments to universal schooling in
sub-Saharan Africa. Their analysis based on DHS data shows that the gap between primary
enrollment rates of girls and boys is narrowing, which is partly due to a stagnation in boys'
attainment since the early 1980s. Specifically for francophone West Africa, the gap has
narrowed, but remains bigger than in other parts of the continent. In contrast to the gender gap,
the gap between the richest and the poorest households is still huge. The very low school
participation of the two poorest quintiles is a major impediment, according to the authors.
Bennell (2002) focuses on the target of doubling primary school enrollments in sub-
Saharan Africa by 2015 and points out that it will be difficult to provide enough facilities to
increase the capacities of primary schooling. The rapid expansion of the sector has already led
to quality problems that are reflected by high repetition rates. In most sub-Saharan African
countries, completion rates remained unchanged or even declined during the second part of the
1990s. These quality problems and low chances of school completion lower (perceived) rates of
returns to education. While for the last generation already completed primary education had
significantly improved job opportunities, educational expansion has led to higher requirements.
The fact that the availability of secondary schools is still limited in many (rural) areas
contributes to the issue of declining perceived returns to education and diminishes demand for
primary schooling.
These consequences have for example been encountered in Malawi, where the
government has started its policy of free primary education in 1994. While this program could
theoretically have lead to the attainment of the MDGs, Kadzamira and Rose (2003) find that the
4
affect of the policy is ambiguous and not pro-poor. Even though school fees and uniforms have
been abolished, costs for families with many children remain high: Direct costs include school
materials and indirect costs are foregone income and time to care for family members,
especially younger siblings or AIDS patients. High repetition rates lead to a long time of
primary schooling which increases these costs. The increase of enrollment provoked by the
abolition of fees made the employment of additional teachers necessary so the share of qualified
teachers dropped. Since programs for the education of adults are insufficient, the age range at
primary schools is very wide (four to 18 years) which complicates teaching. The channeling of
resources to primary schooling also means that investments into secondary schooling were
reduced so hat problems at the transition to secondary schooling aggravated. School curricula,
however, are oriented on those students who attend secondary school, so that the relevance of
schooling might be not so clear for children that will only attend for a few years. According to
Kadzamira and Rose (2003), the quality problems disproportionably affect the rural poor who
are confronted with bigger class sizes and less qualified teachers.
2.2 Parental income and other influence factors
Glick and Sahn (1999) analyze determinants of several schooling indicators in Conakry,
the capital and main urban center of Guinea, and gender differences therein. They find that
siblings under five living in the household have a negative impact on the enrollment of girls and
that increases in household income improve girls' schooling but have no significant impact on
the schooling indicators for boys. Furthermore, mothers' education is found to be positively and
significantly related to girls' schooling only.
Lewin and Sabates (2011) find that primary school participation is still very much
determined by household wealth in spite of Education for All and commitments to pro-poor
policies. Their analysis based on data from two DHS waves also shows that girls and children
living in rural areas are more likely to be out of school than boys and urban residents in most of
the seven francophone sub-Saharan African countries considered. Overall, they find lower
levels of schooling in the francophone countries and less progress between the two survey
waves than in the anglophone countries. The share of pupils that are two or more years older
than the age officially corresponding to the grade, however, is clearly higher in anglophone
countries.
Grimm (2011) uses a natural experiment in Burkina Faso to explore the effect of
household income on the investments in children's education. Results indicate a high income
elasticity of school enrollment. The decrease in enrollment as a consequence of lower income is
bigger for girls than for boys. In settings where the (rural) population relies on few income
5
sources that heavily depend on favorable external conditions such as weather and world
markets, income shocks and reduced purchasing power are hard to cushion.
Montgomery and Hewett (2005) use data from the Senegal Multiple Indicator Cluster
Survey 2000 to analyze schooling in urban and rural Senegal. They calculate a measure of
relative standard of living for each household and find a high impact of living standards on three
measures of schooling especially in urban areas. In addition to current enrollment, Montgomery
and Hewett consider whether a young person has ever attended school and whether she or he
has completed four or more grades of primary school. For all of these measures, they find lower
school participation of rural residents and of girls, but the gender gap is smaller for enrollment
and almost negligible for the enrollment of girls from specific age groups.
2.3 The importance of the demand side
Most household surveys do not provide information on the availability and accessibility
of facilities such as (primary) schools. A common criticism to studies that analyze schooling
with these data is that the most important determinant of enrollment is school availability which
is not captured in these studies. Filmer (2007) combines household data with official data on
school availability to assess the impact of building new schools, i.e. reducing the distance to the
nearest school, on enrollment. For his sample of rural areas in 21 low-income countries, he finds
that distance to school and enrollment are negatively associated, but that the magnitude of the
effect is small. As consequence, the study suggests that building schools might not be the best
way to increase enrollment and that the demand side plays an important role.
Similarly, Handa (2002) finds that school availability has a positive and significant
impact on enrollment in rural Mozambique. Regarding the demand side, literacy programs for
household heads also seem to sharply increase the demand for primary schooling for children
while the effect of increasing income levels is modest. Considering cost-effectiveness of
interventions, the author identifies increasing adult literacy as a measure that is at least as
efficient as increasing school coverage.
3 Empirical analysis of schooling in the household context
3.1 Data and descriptive statistics
Household data from the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) are available for the
five countries for adjacent years. The surveys in Benin, Mali, Niger and Senegal were all
conducted in 2005 or 2006, only the survey in Burkina Faso took place earlier, in 2003. DHS
belong to the most widespread multipurpose-surveys carried out in developing countries and are
6
representative on the national as well as regional level. The datasets provide information
regarding the composition of households, socio-economic data for all household members,
information on housing, agricultural activities, assets and much more. While the questionnaires
are standardized, not all questions are always asked in all countries.2
I use two different measures of schooling that are related to the millennium development
goal of universal primary education. The United Nations have established three indicators to
monitor progress towards this goal: Firstly, the net enrolment ratio in primary education,
secondly, the proportion of pupils starting grade one who reach the last grade of primary school
and thirdly, the literacy rate of 15- to 24-year-olds.3 These indicators take into account that
primary schooling has a different duration in different countries. If the first two of them reach
levels of 99 percent, universal primary schooling is tangible. If this was the case, complete
literacy of young adults would be achieved. All these indicators show if the goal is reached for
several cohorts of pupils.
While the information on literacy in the DHS data is not sufficient, the first two indicators
are reflected in the data and used in this paper. Current enrollment is analyzed for children that
were of official primary school age at the time of the survey, that is children aged six to eleven
for Benin and Burkina Faso and children aged seven to twelve for Mali, Niger and Senegal.
Whether a young person has completed four or more years of schooling is the second binary
outcome variable.4 People that have attended school for four or more years are very likely to
have acquired basic literacy and numeracy that they will not quickly forget. Children who enter
primary school at the age of six or seven can complete four years of schooling at the age of ten
or eleven. Because of widespread late enrollment, I will consider youths aged 15 to 19 for the
analysis of completion of four years of schooling.
Table 3 shows the enrollment rates and the means of all explanatory variables calculated
from DHS data for children of official primary school age. Enrollment in Benin (61.7 %) is
slightly higher than in Senegal (58.2 %) and substantially higher than in the other countries. The
lowest enrollment rate is found for Burkina Faso where only 27.7 % of primary school aged
children are enrolled.
2 For detailed information on and access to the datasets, see http://measuredhs.com. 3 http://mdgs.un.org/unsd/mdg/Host.aspx?Content=Indicators/O_cialList.htm
4 For this paper, this does not mean that a person has reached grade five, but only that it has attended school for at least four years - irrespective of the grade. Therefore I should find a slightly higher rate than the UNESCO Institute for Statistics that uses the percentage of a cohort of pupils enrolled in grade one in a given year who are expected to reach the last grade of primary school, regardless of repetition. Furthermore, drop-outs who return to school are included in my measure but not in the UNESCO measure. However, the tendency of this measure should be the same.
7
For all countries, the calculated enrollment rates are lower than the official ones shown
by Table 2, basically for the following reasons: Official data is often based on supply-side data,
i.e. the number of pupils that schools report to the authorities; and schools often have incentives
to report high numbers. Even if children drop out of school early during the school year or never
turn up, they are still officially considered to be enrolled once they were registered in the
beginning of the year. In contrast, during the Demographic and Health Surveys, the respondent
is asked, if a child is currently frequenting school. Moreover, net enrollment is defined as the
number of official primary school age children who are enrolled in primary education as a
percentage of the total children of the same age group. The official enrollment numbers are thus
divided by estimates of the population of the age group. These estimations, however, are not
always accurate and are subject to changes in underlying management information systems.5 On
top of this, Table 2 shows figures for 2008, while the DHS data used in this paper, were
collected between 2003 and 2006.
Figure 1. Enrollment by age.
Source: Author’s calculations using DHS data.
Figure 1 shows that enrollment rates are highest for children aged nine to eleven and
decline for older children. This pattern exists within all five countries and the ranking of the 5 See Lloyd and Hewett (2003) for these and other concerns about the UNESCO net primary
school enrollment ratios.
8
countries for almost every child age reflects the overall enrollment rates. The fact that maximal
enrollment rates are not reached at the official school entry age, but at least three years later,
illustrates the problem of late enrollment. The importance of the place of residence is illustrated
by Figure 2: Urban enrollment is markedly higher than rural enrollment and the gap is
particularly large in Burkina Faso and also in Niger. Keeping in mind that urbanization is very
low, the main overall differences in the enrollment rates of the countries stem from differences
in rural areas. completion of four years of schooling, but the age group included will be
different. In this table, only children of official primary school age are included. On the
individual level, age and
Figure 2. Enrollment by place of residence for children of official primary school age.
Source: Author’s calculations using DHS data.
gender of the child (dummy female) are included. The highest education of an adult male
household member is included in four categories: Incomplete primary schooling, complete
primary schooling, secondary schooling or higher schooling and the reference category no
education. Variables for the schooling of an adult female household member are included in the
same way. Since the data sets also include some households without adult male or female
household member respectively, dummy variables for these cases are included. Wealth quintiles
derived from an asset index indicate to which quintile of a country a household belongs.
1. wealth quintile thus indicates that a child lives in a family that is part of the poorest fifth of
the country according to the asset index. In the estimations, the lowest wealth quintile serves as
reference group.
9
A dummy variable for urban residence is also included. Since a higher number of
household members could both mean a more tightened resource rivalry, more household chores,
but also less household work for a particular child, in addition to the number of household
members, I include variables that refer to the structure of the household. Particularly, five
variables indicate the number of children of different age groups and sex.
At first glimpse, the higher urbanization in Benin and Senegal as well as the high number
of household members (# household members) in Burkina Faso and Senegal attracts one's
attention. Unfortunately, the big household size in Senegal might partly be driven by few
outliers. Altogether, the descriptive statistics show that adult education levels - as enrollment -
Table 3. Descriptive statistics: Means.
Variable Benin Burkina Faso Mali Niger Seneg
al Enrolled 0.617 0.277 0.433 0.376 0.582Age 8.278 8.279 9.326 9.276 9.407Female 0.479 0.487 0.496 0.492 0.502 highest education of a male adult hh memberincomplete
primary 0.175 0.076 0.100 0.091 0.153complete
primary 0.031 0.063 0.022 0.015 0.044secondary + 0.221 0.092 0.127 0.071 0.224no adult males
in hh 0.13 0.036 0.072 0.125 0.074 highest education of a female adult hh memberincomplete
primary 0.137 0.055 0.090 0.094 0.206complete
primary 0.017 0.049 0.015 0.012 0.034secondary + 0.101 0.056 0.072 0.047 0.156no adult
females in hh 0.016 0.007 0.010 0.008 0.011 1. wealth
quintile 0.216 0.202 0.217 0.223 0.2292. wealth
quintile 0.217 0.200 0.211 0.206 0.2273. wealth
quintile 0.210 0.269 0.208 0.203 0.2104. wealth
quintile 0.191 0.172 0.199 0.190 0.1795. wealth
quintile 0.166 0.158 0.163 0.178 0.155 urban 0.338 0.134 0.265 0.153 0.371# household
members 7.808 10.03 8.125 8.63113.38
6 # children < 6 1.603 1.964 1.630 1.903 2.588
10
years# sisters aged 6-
12 0.822 0.994 0.821 0.936 1.182#brothers aged
6-12 0.919 1.091 0.925 1.005 1.572# sisters aged
13-20 0.509 0.746 0.586 0.523 1.182# brothers aged
13-20 0.622 0.959 0.742 0.618 1.222
# observations1735
01171
91309
8 95021156
7Source: Author's calculations using DHS data. Sample weights are applied. Children of official
primary school age are considered.
are lower in Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger than in Benin and Senegal which are also
more urbanized countries.
Table 4 underlines the fact that school enrollment for children of official primary school
age is far from complete for both sexes and even for the richest wealth quintile where school
participation rates are nevertheless higher. Only the enrollment level of 93.38 percent for boys
of the richest quintile in Benin shows that complete enrollment might be tangible for this group.
Leaving Senegal aside for a moment, it is easy to see that boys' enrollment is always
higher than girls' enrollment. Both for girls and for boys, belonging to a higher wealth quintile is
related to higher enrollment rates. Interestingly, for girls, the biggest gaps can be found between
the fourth
Table 4. Enrollment rates by sex and wealth quintile (in %).
BeninBurkina
Faso Mali Niger Senegal
B
oysG
irlsB
oysG
irlsB
oysG
irlsB
oysG
irlsB
oysG
irlsF
irst4
4.303
2.741
4.991
0.893
4.412
6.543
0.892
1.394
2.154
2.08S
econd5
5.094
7.712
0.561
4.803
8.153
1.443
6.712
0.495
1.795
0.94T
hird6
6.245
9.912
4.592
1.053
7.613
2.263
9.562
3.845
4.615
8.41F
ourth7
8.007
1.673
4.372
1.584
9.654
2.224
4.792
7.716
8.967
0.15F
ifth9
3.388
0.986
6.746
5.628
2.707
5.027
4.086
5.838
1.748
0.52T
otal6
5.375
7.632
9.942
5.244
6.574
0.054
4.103
0.855
7.395
9.01Note: Children of official primary school age of each country are included, i.e. children aged six to
eleven for Benin and Burkina Faso and children aged seven to twelve for Mali, Niger and Senegal. Sample weights are applied.
and fifth wealth quintiles for Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. For Benin and Senegal, the
biggest gap of girls' enrollment is between the third and fourth quintile. Thus, belonging to the
richest wealth quintile (or to one of the two richest quintiles for the two countries with higher
11
school participation rates) establishes an exceptional position for girls, while for example
enrollment differences between the first and second wealth quintile are rather modest (with the
exception of Benin). For Senegal, the enrollment rates for girls and boys do not differ much. As
in official data, they even tend to be higher for girls which seems to be driven by the third and
fourth wealth quintiles. Burkina Faso has one of the lowest school participation rates in the
world, but the big difference to Niger might partly stem from the fact that the Burkinabé data
have been collected three years earlier.
Wealth, urban or rural residence, sex and child age have thus been identified as key
factors when analyzing differences in school enrollment.
Table 5. Completion of four years of schooling (in percent).
Benin Burkina Mali Niger SenegalA
geB
oysG
irlsB
oysG
irlsB
oysG
irlsB
oysG
irlsB
oysG
irls1
04
3.053
1.671
3.971
4.581
1.637
.417
.785
.561
0.509
.861
16
3.995
1.602
8.612
3.802
2.331
9.222
4.731
7.613
2.383
0.081
26
5.755
3.473
3.682
3.053
8.752
7.903
5.032
4.224
0.044
0.581
37
2.325
7.693
4.612
9.504
3.193
5.544
5.662
3.964
6.564
0.101
47
5.186
0.713
4.943
0.555
0.393
9.953
8.682
8.835
4.924
9.691
56
9.505
8.043
4.552
6.684
5.753
4.693
4.012
6.115
0.244
0.431
67
7.446
1.454
0.322
7.895
2.503
7.443
9.542
0.705
4.284
6.251
77
1.315
3.003
5.032
8.894
7.183
0.923
4.121
8.695
8.404
3.951
86
8.604
5.003
6.082
6.254
0.532
9.633
8.511
7.484
9.353
6.891
97
8.114
9.523
4.322
9.203
8.763
1.394
3.032
2.095
5.454
0.182
06
3.883
0.853
2.101
9.233
7.291
7.912
3.871
3.644
1.423
1.141
0-206
6.634
9.183
1.972
5.093
7.732
7.493
0.471
8.824
4.043
7.211
5-19 63.50 32.08 39.30 28.30 47.10
Source: Author's calculations using DHS data. Sample weights are applied.
Table 5 introduces the second outcome measure, the completion of four years of
schooling. Children that start school at age six or seven should theoretically finish four years of
schooling at age ten or eleven. The table shows, however, that late enrollment or school
interruptions cause delays. This is why the age group 15-19 is chosen for the estimation of four
years of schooling. Further widening the age group to the top would cause a loss in actuality and
12
widening it to younger ages would exclude young people who are still enrolled at school and
have not yet finished four years of schooling.
Figure 3 shows the share of the population aged five to 65 that have ever attended school.
The highest share is reached for the cohorts that are ten to twelve years old, where (except in
Burkina Faso) more than half of these cohorts have
Figure 3. Share of people that have ever attended school.
Source: Author's calculations using DHS data.
been to school. On the one hand, the figure reflects the problem of late enrollment, but on
the other hand it also illustrates that much progress has been achieved considering the long run.
The pattern of completion of four years of schooling looks quite different: As illustrated
by Figure 4, the highest proportions are reached between age 14 and age 16.
13
Figure 4. Completion of four years of schooling (proportion).
Source: Author's calculations using DHS data.
3.2 Regression analysis
A logistic regression is conducted to analyze current school enrollment. In addition to the
explanatory variables presented above, interaction terms are introduced into the estimation.
female is interacted with all variables that indicate the structure of the household, particular the
number of small children and boys and girls of different age groups as well as with the wealth
index variables and the dummy for urban residence. These interaction terms will allow
revealing different effects of these variables on girls' enrollment than on boys' enrollment.
Regarding the regression results presented in Table 6, the coefficient of age is positive
and strongly significant for all five countries. Interestingly, even incomplete primary schooling
of a female or male household member is positively and significantly related to a child's
enrollment.
Still, the effect of secondary or higher schooling - especially of men - is stronger. The
impact of female is not straightforward because of the interaction terms included in this non-
linear regression.6
6 See e.g. Ai and Norton (2003) for detailed information on interaction terms in logit and probit models.
14
Therefore, the unconditional average marginal effects of being female and the marginal
effect conditional on living in an urban or rural area7 have been calculated. Table 7 shows that
boys
Table 6. Logit regression results: School enrolment (children of official primary school
age)
Beni
nBur
kina MaliNige
rSene
gal
age2.09
70***3.24
29***1.24
70***0.81
99***1.64
47***
(0.1
25)(0.1
80)(0.1
50)(0.1
76)(0.1
59)
age # age-
0.1069***-
0.1714***-
0.0596***-
0.0424***-
0.0832***
(0.0
07)(0.0
11)(0.0
08)(0.0
09)(0.0
08)
female-
0.6200***-
0.4758***-
0.3972***-
0.4936***-
0.0448
(0.0
86)(0.1
41)(0.1
13)(0.1
25)(0.1
06) highest education of a male adult hh member
incomplete primary0.62
83***0.56
38***0.60
49***0.53
06***0.85
76***
(0.0
49)(0.0
84)(0.0
63)(0.0
78)(0.0
62)
complete primary0.85
20***0.89
68***0.79
21***0.34
10**1.00
54***
(0.1
14)(0.0
90)(0.1
31)(0.1
57)(0.1
22)
secondary +1.05
00***1.15
23***1.28
86***1.41
16***1.36
65***
(0.0
58)(0.0
90)(0.0
71)(0.1
07)(0.0
75)
no adult males in hh0.50
64***0.01
26-
0.01370.30
42***0.34
24***
(0.0
59)(0.1
22)(0.0
79)(0.0
74)(0.0
83) highest education of a female adult hh member
incomplete primary0.49
08***0.50
43***0.55
10***0.54
02***0.80
22***
(0.0
59)(0.0
92)(0.0
70)(0.0
79)(0.0
58)
complete primary0.53
54***0.88
13***1.02
15***0.57
32***1.03
28***
(0.1
73)(0.1
01)(0.1
68)(0.2
20)(0.1
46)
secondary +0.65
92***1.03
25***1.14
76***1.05
11***1.47
77***
(0.0
88)(0.1
16)(0.1
08)(0.1
23)(0.0
93)
no adult females in hh0.06
910.04
390.23
45-
0.6415***-
0.6686*** (0.1 (0.2 (0.1 (0.2 (0.2
7 The table is not included in this paper, but available upon request.15
52) 84) 81) 44) 35)wealth quintile
second quintile0.39
18***0.39
18***0.00
960.33
86***0.27
51***
(0.0
65)(0.1
13)(0.0
83)(0.1
02)(0.0
80)
third quintile0.85
58***0.65
62***0.11
340.38
94***0.24
34***
(0.0
69)(0.1
04)(0.0
82)(0.1
03)(0.0
88)
fourth quintile1.25
58***1.05
35***0.43
73***0.54
60***0.11
04
(0.0
80)(0.1
11)(0.0
87)(0.1
01)(0.1
17)
fifth quintile2.13
95***1.47
21***1.36
57***1.26
87***0.09
29
(0.1
28)(0.1
38)(0.1
30)(0.1
34)(0.1
46)
urban0.14
18**0.82
82***0.39
99***0.28
52**0.29
56***
(0.0
57)(0.1
11)(0.0
79)(0.1
12)(0.0
85)
# household members-
0.0801***-
0.0134-
0.0522***-
0.0451***-
0.0283***
(0.0
14)(0.0
13)(0.0
17)(0.0
17)(0.0
10)
# children under 60.01
55-
0.0691**0.05
86**0.04
29-
0.0325
(0.0
25)(0.0
30)(0.0
29)(0.0
31)(0.0
21)
# sisters aged 6-120.03
70-
0.03470.05
750.07
92**0.04
93
(0.0
31)(0.0
36)(0.0
36)(0.0
39)(0.0
30)
# brothers aged 6-12-
0.0157-
0.0903***-
0.0029-
0.0313-
0.0157
(0.0
28)(0.0
33)(0.0
32)(0.0
36)(0.0
24)
# sisters aged 13-200.04
930.01
650.03
780.17
44***-
0.0323
(0.0
38)(0.0
40)(0.0
41)(0.0
47)(0.0
29)
# brothers aged 13-20-
0.0378-
0.1586***-
0.03460.00
88-
0.0398
(0.0
33)(0.0
34)(0.0
34)(0.0
43)(0.0
27)Note: The table is continued on the next page
Logit regression results: School enrollment, continued
Beni
nBur
kina MaliNige
rSene
gal
female # children <60.03
34-
0.0101-
0.0545*0.01
66-
0.0266
(0.0
25)(0.0
35)(0.0
31)(0.0
32)(0.0
23)female # sisters aged 6-
12-
0.0072-
0.01420.03
58-
0.00460.00
93
(0.0
37)(0.0
46)(0.0
44)(0.0
50)(0.0
39)
16
female # brothers aged 6-12
0.0706**
0.0833*
0.0476
0.0557
0.1103***
(0.0
35)(0.0
45)(0.0
40)(0.0
45)(0.0
31)female # sisters aged
13-20-
0.0660-
0.04780.00
92-
0.0257-
0.0788**
(0.0
48)(0.0
52)(0.0
51)(0.0
61)(0.0
37)female # brothers aged
13-200.08
32**0.08
40*0.03
06-
0.05100.06
42*
(0.0
40)(0.0
43)(0.0
39)(0.0
53)(0.0
36)female # 2. wealth
quintile0.19
57**0.01
380.14
96-
0.3194**-
0.0953
(0.0
98)(0.1
74)(0.1
22)(0.1
55)(0.1
14)female # 3. wealth
quintile0.18
38*0.07
190.16
01-
0.2221-
0.0152
(0.1
02)(0.1
60)(0.1
19)(0.1
54)(0.1
25)female # 4. wealth
quintile0.07
14-
0.3083*0.10
50-
0.3508**-
0.1440
(0.1
14)(0.1
72)(0.1
26)(0.1
52)(0.1
64)female # 5. wealth
quintile-
0.7877***-
0.1139-
0.3302*-
0.4081**-
0.0501
(0.1
62)(0.2
03)(0.1
79)(0.1
86)(0.1
97)
female # urban0.00
730.08
520.07
620.54
64***0.17
13
(0.0
82)(0.1
61)(0.1
12)(0.1
54)(0.1
20)
Constant-
9.7293***-
16.2066***-
6.8759***-
4.6661***-
7.9941***
(0.5
13)(0.7
63)(0.7
00)(0.8
15)(0.7
40)
Observations17350
11702
13098
9498
11373
Pseudo R-squared0.18
180.23
170.15
160.17
630.15
22Note: Robust standard errors in parentheses; *** p <0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
are more likely than girls to be enrolled in all countries except Senegal. The enrollment
probability of girls is six percent (Burkina Faso and Mali), eight percent (Benin) and eleven
percent (Niger) lower, respectively. For Senegal, the effect of being a girl on enrollment is
slightly positive and statistically insignificant. Testing equality of the conditional marginal
Table 7. Average marginal effects of being female.
Delta-methodCount
rydy/
dxp-
Value
Benin-
0.081 0.000
17
Burkina
-0.063 0.000
Mali-
0.061 0.000
Niger-
0.114 0.000Seneg
al0.00
3 0.759Note: dy/dx for factor level is the discrete change from the base level
enrollment prospects by 14.6 percent, while the effect of being a girl in an urban area is
much smaller (-3.6 percent) and not statistically significant. Marginal effects also indicate that
effects of being female reveals that the different impact of rural or urban residence is only
statistically significant for girls' enrollment in Niger: There, being a girl in rural areas lowers
household wealth seems to play a less important role in Senegal than in the other countries
where belonging to a higher wealth quintile is related to better education prospects. Living in a
bigger household is associated with lower enrollment in all countries. The average marginal
effect of
Table 8. Logit regression results on completion of four or more years of schooling.
BeninBurki
na Mali NigerSeneg
al
age1.092
2*0.206
02.157
8***-
1.51461.148
4*
(0.63
3)(0.68
4)(0.66
6)(0.97
4)(0.62
0)
age # age-
0.0400**-
0.0099-
0.0709***0.040
2-
0.0403**
(0.01
9)(0.02
0)(0.02
0)(0.02
9)(0.01
8)
female-
1.3535***-
0.8329***-
0.8882***-
0.8210**-
1.0924***
(0.16
2)(0.20
1)(0.17
9)(0.32
8)(0.17
5) highest education of a male adult hh member incomplete
primary0.805
1***0.898
8***1.066
8***0.914
1***1.085
7***
(0.09
1)(0.10
5)(0.10
1)(0.13
0)(0.08
3)
complete primary1.659
7***1.445
4***1.157
3***1.905
9***1.330
1***
(0.17
0)(0.11
4)(0.17
5)(0.26
7)(0.15
1)
secondary +1.960
0***1.768
3***1.722
3***1.901
3***1.987
5***
(0.08
5)(0.10
6)(0.08
9)(0.14
1)(0.08
6)no adult males in
hh1.109
9***0.570
8***0.357
3***0.625
3***0.738
3*** (0.10 (0.16 (0.13 (0.16 (0.11
18
9) 8) 4) 5) 4) highest education of a female adult hh member incomplete
primary0.822
1***0.803
1***0.961
5***1.134
8***0.899
6***
(0.10
9)(0.13
4)(0.11
0)(0.14
2)(0.07
7)
complete primary1.606
6***1.674
8***1.271
0***1.416
6***1.452
4***
(0.28
3)(0.16
2)(0.23
3)(0.36
1)(0.17
1)
secondary +2.115
0***1.257
1***1.790
3***1.606
8***2.019
3***
(0.13
3)(0.14
1)(0.12
3)(0.17
0)(0.10
2)no adult females
in hh0.148
8-
0.3614**-
0.3723**-
0.4978**-
0.4508**
(0.12
9)(0.17
8)(0.14
5)(0.23
0)(0.21
2)wealth quintile
second quintile0.436
5***0.185
10.144
0-
0.02480.184
2
(0.11
8)(0.15
1)(0.12
7)(0.26
3)(0.12
8)
third quintile0.600
1***0.405
1***0.331
2***0.232
60.162
7
(0.12
1)(0.14
2)(0.12
3)(0.23
7)(0.13
7)
fourth quintile0.912
8***0.555
3***0.508
7***0.357
00.173
7
(0.13
6)(0.15
3)(0.13
3)(0.24
0)(0.16
3)
fifth quintile1.054
7***0.812
8***1.036
8***0.992
3***-
0.0585
(0.16
8)(0.18
8)(0.18
0)(0.27
0)(0.18
0)
urban-
0.01120.868
8***0.175
20.430
1**0.403
8***
(0.09
7)(0.15
1)(0.11
5)(0.19
0)(0.10
8)# household
members-
0.0751***-
0.0758***-
0.0463**-
0.0650**-
0.0637***
(0.02
2)(0.01
8)(0.02
3)(0.02
7)(0.01
4)# children under
6-
0.05290.076
6*0.040
10.021
0-
0.0330
(0.04
3)(0.04
1)(0.04
3)(0.05
4)(0.03
3)# sisters aged 6-
120.145
7***0.015
50.050
60.213
2***0.062
4
(0.05
0)(0.04
6)(0.05
0)(0.07
0)(0.04
3)Note: The table is continued on the next page
Logit regression results on completion of four or more years of schooling, continued
BeninBurki
na Mali NigerSeneg
al
# brothers aged 6-120.010
50.106
3**0.023
10.014
30.089
8***19
(0.04
7)(0.04
5)(0.04
5)(0.06
4)(0.03
5)
# sisters aged 13-200.103
1*0.070
50.140
5**0.095
70.040
2
(0.06
1)(0.05
7)(0.05
9)(0.08
6)(0.03
9)
# brothers aged 13-20-
0.0551-
0.0136-
0.03010.074
9-
0.0298
(0.04
9)(0.04
3)(0.04
4)(0.07
5)(0.03
4)
female # children <6-
0.0965*-
0.0937*-
0.0754-
0.07820.019
0
(0.05
3)(0.05
1)(0.05
2)(0.07
0)(0.03
6)female # sisters aged 6-
12-
0.08420.095
30.249
6***-
0.14410.025
5
(0.06
6)(0.06
7)(0.06
8)(0.09
7)(0.05
4)female # brothers aged
6-120.199
8***0.038
20.132
8**0.143
00.077
0
(0.06
3)(0.06
2)(0.06
3)(0.09
3)(0.04
8)female # sisters aged
13-20-
0.03270.061
10.040
4-
0.0585-
0.0215
(0.08
4)(0.07
6)(0.07
7)(0.10
9)(0.04
9)female # brothers aged
13-200.115
4*0.065
00.047
7-
0.03280.031
5
(0.06
4)(0.05
9)(0.06
4)(0.10
2)(0.04
7)female # 2. wealth
quintile0.018
2-
0.29140.018
20.092
40.262
2
(0.18
8)(0.26
1)(0.21
1)(0.41
9)(0.19
5)female # 3. wealth
quintile-
0.05850.045
1-
0.2252-
0.34710.628
4***
(0.19
2)(0.23
4)(0.20
4)(0.40
7)(0.19
9)female # 4. wealth
quintile0.068
7-
0.0952-
0.09540.195
90.487
4**
(0.20
5)(0.24
8)(0.21
1)(0.38
6)(0.23
2)female # 5. wealth
quintile-
0.5626**-
0.4213-
1.1037***-
0.37780.662
2***
(0.23
6)(0.29
5)(0.25
8)(0.42
7)(0.25
3)
female # urban0.161
20.107
60.227
30.866
0***-
0.2089
(0.14
3)(0.22
7)(0.16
9)(0.28
8)(0.15
1)
Constant-
7.3657-
2.0687-
17.3523***12.23
60-
8.7735*
(5.32
9)(5.76
0)(5.58
5)(8.16
4)(5.21
9) Observations 6950 5994 6410 3615 7038
Pseudo R-squared0.294
10.287
10.260
70.371
30.281
4
20
Note: All young people aged 15 to 19 are included in this regression. Robust standard errors in parentheses. *** p <0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1.
urban residence on enrollment is statistically significant and positive for all countries:
Urban residents of primary school age are 2.7 percent more likely to be enrolled in Benin and
even 15 percent more likely in Burkina Faso.
No clear pattern emerges regarding the effect of the presence of (younger) children in the
household: The presence of children under age six has a statistically significant and negative
effect on schooling in Burkina Faso and Senegal, but the magnitude of the effect is small. Also
for Burkina Faso, the presence of older boys (aged 13 to 20) has a negative effect on schooling,
especially on enrollment of boys. Possibly, education investments are channeled to the oldest
son. But no evidence for this could be found for the other countries analyzed here. For both
sexes, belonging to a higher wealth quintile is associated with higher enrollment prospects. In
Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger, especially belonging to the richest quintile makes a difference.
For girls in Niger, the effect of the 5th quintile is even the only statistically significant one. For
Benin and Burkina Faso, the effect of the wealth quintile on enrollment is bigger for boys than
for girls.
In addition to separate regressions for the five countries, an estimation with the combined
dataset but country dummies interacted with all explanatory variables has been conducted. It
allows testing the difference of the coefficients and marginal effects for the countries. Testing
equality of the marginal effects of being female shows that the effect for Senegal is statistically
different than for the other countries. While girls are disadvantaged in Benin, Burkina Faso,
Mali and Niger, the marginal effect of being a girl in Senegal is statistically different from the
effect in the other countries.
Table 9. Average marginal effects of being female on the completion of four years of
schooling.
Delta-methodCount
rydy/
dxp-
value
Benin-
0.189 0.000Burki
na-
0.125 0.000
Mali-
0.130 0.000
Niger-
0.120 0.003Seneg
al0.14
0 0.000Note: dy/dx for factor level is the discrete change from the base level.
21
Table 8 shows the results for the estimation of the completion of four years of schooling.
Again, education of a male and a female household member are related to a higher probability
of having completed four years of schooling. The average marginal effect of being female as
shown by Table 9 now is negative and statistically significant for all five countries:
Teenage girls are twelve (Niger and Mali) to 19 percent (Benin) less likely to have
completed four or more years of school. Testing differences of the marginal effects of the
countries shows that the effect of being female in Benin on completion of four years of
schooling is significantly different from the effect of being female in Burkina Faso, Mali and
Senegal. In contrast to the estimation of enrollment, the marginal effects of being female in an
urban or rural area on four years of schooling do not statistically differ from each other for any
country.8
4 Conclusion
The inclusion of universal primary education into the Millennium Development Goals
has also raised attention for schooling in sub-Saharan Africa. The purpose of this paper was to
shed some light on the schooling patterns of population subgroups and to explore if girls are
discriminated against systematically. The analysis based on DHS data has shown that net
primary school enrollment is still very low in Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger and Senegal. In
all of these countries, at least a third (Benin) and up to more than two thirds (Burkina Faso) of
children of official primary school age were not enrolled at the time of the surveys. Similarly,
less than half of all young people aged ten to twenty have completed four or more years of
schooling, i.e. are literate in a sustained way. The only exception is boys in Benin, where two
thirds of this age group has attended school for at least four years. Still, the share of young
people that have been to school is much higher than for older cohorts.
The analysis of current school enrollment has shown that boys belonging to a household
of the richest wealth quintile in Benin are the most advantaged group and that boys are
generally more likely to be enrolled except for Senegal.
In addition to a separate regression analysis of the five countries, the estimation has been
conducted jointly to test if the coefficients differ between the countries. Testing equality of the
marginal effects of being female shows that the effect for Senegal is statistically different than
for the other countries. While girls are disadvantaged in Benin, Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger,
the marginal effect of being a girl in Senegal on enrollment is not statistically significant and of
negligible magnitude. The marginal effect of being a girl on the completion of four or more
years of schooling is statistically significant and clearly negative for all five countries.
8 The table is not included in this paper, but available upon request.22
Its magnitude is much bigger than for the estimation of enrollment. This shows that,
although girls still have lower enrollment prospects today, their disadvantage is decreasing.
Even if the goal of universal primary school enrollment will most likely not be achieved by
2015, its aspect of gender equality might well be accomplished in some francophone West
African countries.
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24