National Weather Service Arkansas-Red Basin River Forecast Center Drought Briefing 10/24/2014 Jeff...
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Transcript of National Weather Service Arkansas-Red Basin River Forecast Center Drought Briefing 10/24/2014 Jeff...
National Weather ServiceArkansas-Red Basin River Forecast
Center
Drought Briefing 10/24/2014
Jeff McMurphySenior Hydrologist – ABRFC
James PaulService Coordination Hydrologist
Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center180-Day Observed Precipitation
Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center180-Day Percent of Normal Precipitation
Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast CenterYear to Date Observed Precipitation
As of 10/23/14
Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast CenterYear to Date Percent of Normal Precipitation
Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast CenterYear to Date Departure from Normal
Precipitation (-8” to -12”)
Slightly Warm Sea Surface Temps
The CFS.v2 ensemble mean (black dashed line) predicts a weak El Niño starting during November and lasting through mid 2015.
Climate Prediction CenterThree Month Precipitation/Temperature
Outlooks
El Nino Events of the Past
ABRFC website: www.weather.gov/abrfc
ABRFC website: www.weather.gov/abrfc
ABRFC website: www.weather.gov/abrfc
National Weather ServiceArkansas-Red Basin River Forecast
Center
Drought Briefing 10/24/2014
Jeff McMurphySenior Hydrologist – ABRFC
James PaulService Coordination Hydrologist