NATIONAL POLL OF KYRGYZSTAN

56
NATIONAL POLL OF KYRGYZSTAN September 11 – September 26, 2021

Transcript of NATIONAL POLL OF KYRGYZSTAN

NATIONAL POLL OF

KYRGYZSTAN

September 11 – September 26, 2021

• The survey was conducted on behalf of the International Republican Institute’s Center for Insights in Survey

Research (CISR) by SIAR Research and Consulting.

• Data was collected between September 11, 2021 and September 26, 2021 through computer-assisted

telephone interviews administered via mobile and landline numbers.

• The sample consists of n=1,209 residents of Kyrgyzstan, aged 18 and older.

• A multi-stage sampling method was used to design a nationally-representative sample according to the

National Statistical Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic’s 2019 Demographic Yearbook of the Kyrgyz Republic

(January 1, 2019). The sample was stratified by oblast/city and urbanicity.

• An initial database of mobile and landline numbers was assembled that comprised two separate sources. Two-

thirds of the database's numbers are sourced from SIAR's proprietary database of previous survey participant

phone numbers. SIAR's database is derived from phone numbers collected during nationally-representative surveys

conducted throughout the past twelve months. The remaining third of the database's phone numbers are randomly

generated from operators' area codes at the time of this study. Numbers were randomly selected from the

combined database.

• The respondent selection methodology depended on the type of line used to contact respondents. For mobile

numbers, the mobile phone user is selected. For landline numbers shared by multiple individuals, the last

birthday protocol is used for randomized respondent selection.

• The data was weighted by age and gender according to the 2019 Demographic Yearbook.

• The response rate for the survey was 40%. The margin of error at the mid-range of the full sample does not

exceed ±2.8 points at the 95% confidence level.

• Interviews were conducted in Kyrgyz (74%), Russian (25%), and Uzbek (1%)

• Cited bases are unweighted. Charts and graphs may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

• The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.

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Detailed Methodology

3

Frequently Cited Disaggregate Bases

*Disaggregates for Talas Oblast should be interpreted with caution due to small sample size n.

Disaggregate Category Base

Age Brackets

Age 18-35 n = 614

Age 36-55 n = 391

Age 56+ n = 204

GenderMen n = 579

Women n = 630

UrbanicityUrban n = 427

Rural n = 782

Oblast/City

Bishkek City n = 210

Chui Oblast n = 188

Issyk-Kul Oblast n = 94

*Naryn Oblast n = 52

*Talas Oblast n = 47

Osh Oblast n = 241

Jalal-Abad Oblast n = 223

Batken Oblast n = 95

Osh City n = 59

Margin of error will vary with sample size n. Cited bases are unweighted.

4

Geographical Key: 7 Oblasts and 2 Cities

Issyk-Kul Oblast

Jalal-Abad Oblast

Talas Oblast

Chui Oblast

Bishkek City

Naryn Oblast

Osh Oblast

Osh City

Batken Oblast

Bishkek City

Osh City

Previous IRI Kyrgyzstan polls

Research and qualitative and quantitative public opinion data is a cornerstone of IRI’s approach to

programming. Our data ensures citizens’ needs are at the center of the political debate and guide our

projects’ goals. To date, IRI has conducted more than 900 polls in over 100 countries, surveying

more than 1.5 million people and measuring community attitudes on a wide range of issues.

IRI’s research approach integrates CISR’s methodological polling best practices protocol and field

partner in-depth knowledge of the local research environment. This close collaboration begins at

project design, with carefully calibrated sampling and instrument development, and continues

throughout the entire fieldwork cycle to ensure the collection of reliable qualitative and quantitative

data.

← For more of IRI’s public opinion research, see CISR’s content. 5

About the Center for Insights In Survey Research (CISR)

Poll Fieldwork Dates Total Sample Size

Public Opinion Poll: Residents of Kyrgyzstan Jul. 6 – Jul. 16, 2021 n = 1,211

Public Opinion Poll: Residents of Kyrgyzstan Feb. 21 – Mar. 5, 2021 n = 1,200

Public Opinion Poll: Residents of Kyrgyzstan Dec. 12 – Dec. 21, 2020 n = 1,200

Public Opinion Poll: Residents of Kyrgyzstan Aug. 6 – Aug. 15, 2020 n = 1,223

Public Opinion Poll: Residents of Kyrgyzstan Nov. 21 – Dec. 3, 2019 n = 1,483

Public Opinion Poll: Residents of Kyrgyzstan Nov. 22 – Dec. 4, 2018 n = 1,500

Public Opinion Poll: Residents of Kyrgyzstan Nov. 19 – Dec. 2, 2017 n = 1,500

National Outlook

In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction?

7

69%

71%

66%

69%

70%

68%

59%

74%

27%

26%

29%

28%

26%

28%

38%

21%

4%

3%

5%

3%

3%

4%

2%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

In the right direction In the wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

In general, would you say that our country is heading in the right direction or in the wrong direction?

8

45%

54%

62%

52%

58%

52%

63%

28%30%

45%

50%57%

47%

39%

49%47%

59%63%

65%65%66%

56%52%

41%

58%

70%

62%

69%

48%

37%

30%

38%

31%

38%

29%

60%58%

44%

43%

33%39%

48%

39%

39%

28%29%

25%23%23%

27%

36%

53%

36%

25%

34%

27%

7%9% 8%

11%11%10%8%

12%12%11%7%

10%14%13%12%

14%13%

8%10%

12%11%

17%

12%

6% 6% 5% 3% 4%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Apr-

05

Mar-

06

Oct-

06

May-0

7

Nov-0

7

Oct-

08

May-0

9

May-1

0

Nov-1

0

May-1

1

Sep-1

1

Feb-1

2

Aug-1

2

Feb-1

3

Feb-1

4

Oct-

14

Feb-1

5

Jul-

15

Mar-

16

Mar-

17

Nov-1

7

Nov-1

8

Dec-1

9

Aug-2

0

Dec-2

0

Feb/M

ar-

21

Jul-

21

Sep-2

1

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/Refused to answer

*Comparison between polls in August 2020 or after, and polls before August 2020 should be treated with caution due to differing

methodologies. The polls done before August 2020 were conducted via face-to-face interviews at respondents’ homes.

How would you describe the current economic situation of your household?

9

11%

14%

8%

5%

12%

10%

8%

12%

71%

71%

72%

69%

70%

72%

74%

69%

15%

12%

18%

21%

15%

16%

14%

16%

2%

1%

2%

5%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Don't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

What is the most important problem facing our country today?

10

(Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted)

61%51%

37%19%19%

18%17%

15%14%

13%8%8%7%7%6%6%6%5%

4%4%4%3%3%

2%9%

1%1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Economy—cost of living, high prices

Economy—unemployment

Corruption

Migration

Education

COVID-19/ Coronavirus

Economy—poverty

Social services/ benefits/ pensions

Healthcare

Water

Agriculture

Economy—other/general

External conflicts/ War

Electricity

Internal conflicts

Infrastructure

Housing

Economy—small business opportunities/access to loans

Low wages

Border/ Customs problems

Political instability

Crime/ Public Safety

Natural disasters

Environment

Other

No problem

Don't know/Refused to answer

*Responses receiving <2% are collapsed into Other.

Democracy and Political Interest

Do you believe that democracy is the best possible form of government for our country today?

12

53%

61%

49%

40%

57%

50%

51%

55%

28%

25%

33%

28%

27%

29%

31%

26%

14%

12%

13%

24%

13%

16%

15%

14%

5%

3%

5%

8%

3%

6%

3%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Yes, it is the best possible form of government for our country

No, there are other forms of government that could be equally good for our country

No, there are other forms of government that are better than democracy

Don't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

Form of Government1/2

Do you believe that democracy is the best possible form of government for our country today?

13

53%

44%

53%

47%

28%

36%

29%

29%

14%

16%

15%

17%

5%

4%

3%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September2021

July2021

Feb/March2021

December2020

Yes, it is the best possible form of government for our country

No, there are other forms of government that could be equally good for our country

No, there are other forms of government that are better than democracy

Don't know/Refused to answer

Form of Government2/2

How likely or unlikely are ordinary people to be able to influence decisions made in our country?

14

8%

10%

7%

6%

10%

7%

6%

10%

44%

44%

44%

42%

43%

44%

37%

48%

26%

25%

28%

22%

23%

28%

32%

22%

19%

17%

18%

25%

20%

18%

22%

17%

3%

4%

2%

4%

4%

3%

3%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

Political Influence1/2

How likely or unlikely are ordinary people to be able to influence decisions made in our country?

15

8%

12%

12%

20%

44%

41%

46%

44%

26%

28%

26%

16%

19%

18%

15%

19%

3%

2%

2%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September2021

July2021

Feb/March2021

December2020

Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Don't know/Refused to answer

Political Influence2/2

How important or unimportant is it that all members of our country’s adult population, including women, young adults, minorities, and people with disabilities, are included in political decision making?

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46%

44%

48%

46%

46%

46%

39%

50%

44%

45%

45%

39%

43%

45%

50%

41%

7%

8%

5%

9%

8%

6%

9%

6%

2%

2%

1%

4%

3%

1%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Very important Somewhat importantSomewhat unimportant Very unimportantDon't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

Political Influence1/2

What factors are most important to you in determining whether or not you will vote for a candidate?

17

(Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted)

30%

30%

21%

21%

13%

12%

11%

8%

8%

6%

6%

5%

5%

5%

29%

<1%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Education, literacy

Honesty, fairness, conscientiousness

Worked for the people, thought for the people, helped the people

Work done, knew his or her job, competence, professionalism

Patriotism, worked for the country

Keeping his or her word/promise

Responsibility

Program, platform

Work experience

Dignified behavior in speeches**

Intelligence

Determination

Not corrupt

Humanity

Other

None

Don't know/Refused to answer

*Responses receiving <5% are collapsed into Other.

**Dignified behavior in speeches, the ability to defend the interests of the state

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?

18

(Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted)

35%

20%

7%

6%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

12%

22%

9%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Sadyr Japarov

Kamchybek Tashiev

Nurjigit Kadyrbekov

Adakhan Madumarov

Omurbek Babanov

Ulukbek Maripov

Artyom Novikov

Almazbek Atambaev

Omurbek Tekebaev

Dastan Bekeshev

Klara Sooronkulova

Janar Akaev

Altynbek Sulaimanov

Temirlan Sultanbekov

Assol Moldokmatova

Bakyt Torobaev

Irina Karamushkina

Ryskeldi Mombekov

Zhanybek Abirov

Sapar Isakov

Other

Trust none

Don't know/Refused to answer

*Responses receiving <1% are collapsed into Other.

Politician Trust1/2

Which politicians or public persons do you trust the most?

19

(Up to three responses permitted; Top-10 most trusted politicians displayed)

29%

8%

4%

5%

3%

2%

1%

3%

2%

1%

5%

11%

2%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Sadyr Japarov

Kamchybek Tashiev

Nurjigit Kadyrbekov

Adakhan Madumarov

Omurbek Babanov

Ulukbek Maripov

Artyom Novikov

Almazbek Atambaev

Omurbek Tekebaev

Janar Akayev

First response Second response Third response

35%

20%

7%

6%

4%

4%

2%

3%

2%

2%

Politician Trust2/2

Please name all the political parties you are familiar with in your region…

20

(Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted)

39%30%

28%27%

25%25%

20%16%

15%13%

12%11%

7%6%

4%3%

3%2%2%2%2%2%1%1%1%

3%5%

4%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%

Ata Meken

Ata-Jurt

Respublika

SDPK

Mekenchil

Birimdik

Kyrgyzstan

Yiman Nuru

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Zamandash

Bir-Bol

Onuguu-Progress

Reforma

Yntymak

Chon Kazat

EmgekMeken Yntymagy

Uluttar Birimdigi (People’s party)

Ak Bata

Bizdin El

Tabylga

Ak-Shumkar

Ar Namys

Ishenim

Other

None

Don't know/Refused to answer

Party Familiarity1/4

*Responses receiving <1% are collapsed into Other.

Please name all the political parties you are familiar with in your region…

21

(Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; Top-10 responses displayed)

39%

30%

28%

27%

25%

25%

20%

16%

15%

13%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ata Meken

Ata-Jurt

Respublika

SDPK

Mekenchil

Birimdik

Kyrgyzstan

Yiman Nuru

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

53%

48%

44%

24%

21%

20%

19%

19%

19%

12%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ata Meken

Respublika

SDPK

Zamandash

Birimdik

Kyrgyzstan

Yiman Nuru

Ata-Jurt

Reforma

Butun Kyrgyzstan

68%

41%

34%

31%

19%

18%

17%

17%

15%

12%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Mekenchil

Ata Meken

SDPK

Respublika

Ata-Jurt

Kyrgyzstan

Chon Kazat

Tabylga

Onuguu-Progress

Bir-Bol

42%

38%

37%

19%

16%

13%

13%

12%

8%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ata Meken

SDPK

Respublika

Kyrgyzstan

Ata-Jurt

Zamandash

Yiman Nuru

Mekenchil

Birimdik

Yntymak

All Respondents Bishkek City

Issyk-Kul OblastChui Oblast

Party Familiarity2/4

Please name all the political parties you are familiar with in your region…

(Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; Top-10 responses displayed)

39%

30%

28%

27%

25%

25%

20%

16%

15%

13%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ata Meken

Ata-Jurt

Respublika

SDPK

Mekenchil

Birimdik

Kyrgyzstan

Yiman Nuru

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

All Respondents34%

29%

29%

27%

25%

16%

13%

12%

12%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

SDPK

Ata Meken

Respublika

Mekenchil

Kyrgyzstan

Birimdik

Ata-Jurt

Bir-Bol

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Zamandash

58%

53%

36%

24%

13%

13%

9%

8%

8%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Respublika

Ata Meken

SDPK

Ata-Jurt

Onuguu-Progress

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Kyrgyzstan

Mekenchil

Yiman Nuru

Butun Kyrgyzstan

45%

38%

36%

32%

26%

23%

22%

21%

20%

18%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ata-Jurt

Ata Meken

Mekenchil

Birimdik

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Yiman Nuru

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Kyrgyzstan

SDPK

Respublika

Jalal-Abad Oblast

Naryn Oblast

Talas Oblast

22

Party Familiarity3/4

Please name all the political parties you are familiar with in your region…

(Spontaneous response; multiple responses permitted; Top-10 responses displayed)

59%

56%

47%

44%

41%

38%

37%

35%

32%

30%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ata-Jurt

Ata-Meken

Respublika

Social Democrats

Mekenchil

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Birimdik

Kyrgyzstan

Bir-Bol

Onuguu-Progress

All Respondents51%

48%

34%

25%

22%

21%

19%

17%

14%

12%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Mekenchil

Birimdik

Ata-Jurt

Bir-Bol

Yntymak

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Ata Meken

Kyrgyzstan

Onuguu-Progress

Butun Kyrgyzstan

43%

42%

28%

25%

22%

22%

21%

19%

15%

15%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ata-Jurt

Birimdik

Ata Meken

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Mekenchil

Kyrgyzstan

Bir-Bol

Yiman Nuru

Respublika

47%

34%

26%

25%

23%

20%

20%

20%

17%

17%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Ata Meken

Ata-Jurt

Bir-Bol

Kyrgyzstan

SDPK

Birimdik

Yiman Nuru

Respublika

Mekenchil

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Batken Oblast

Osh City

Osh Oblast

23

Party Familiarity4/4

For each of following items, [… do] they have great influence, some influence, not much influence, or no influence at all on your views of political parties?

24

22%

21%

21%

14%

9%

7%

7%

5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

45%

43%

38%

37%

32%

28%

25%

23%

24%

23%

20%

18%

17%

16%

17%

19%

18%

19%

23%

27%

25%

28%

30%

30%

29%

32%

24%

25%

25%

27%

14%

17%

21%

24%

31%

38%

40%

42%

41%

44%

45%

55%

54%

55%

53%

1%

<1%

2%

1%

2%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Opinions of respected people

Meetings with politicians

Candidates/politicians debates

Social media

Visits of party or candidate representatives toyour house

Candidates giving away food or supplies in yourdistrict

TV ads

Phone calls to your house from the political partyor candidate

Personal letters to you from the candidate

Articles in newspapers about the candidates

Brochures, pamphlets

Paid ads in newspapers for the candidate or party

Billboards

Radio ads

Slogans, text messages on vehicles

Great influence Some influence Not much influence No influence at all Don't know/Refused to answer

Electoral Confidence and Integrity

During the last local election, did anyone offer you money, gifts, or some other incentive in exchange for your vote?

26

15%

18%

14%

11%

18%

13%

10%

18%

84%

82%

85%

88%

81%

87%

89%

81%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

During the last local election, did you know or witness anyone who was offered money, gifts or an incentive in exchange for their vote?

27

11%

16%

10%

71%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Yes, myself

Yes, friend or member of the community

Yes, family member

No

Don't know/Refused to answer

(Up to three responses permitted)

If yes, how much were [you/they] offered in exchange for [your/their] vote?

28

11%

16%

10%

71%

6%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Yes, myself

Yes, friend or member ofthe community

Yes, family member

No

Don't know/Refused toanswer

(Among those who know of or witnessed money, gifts or an incentive being offered in exchange for votes, n=280)

During the last local election, did you know or witness anyone who was offered money, gifts or an incentive in exchange for their vote? (Up to three responses permitted) 19%

56%

6%

1%

18%

Less than 1,000 som* Between 1,001-3,000 som

Between 3,001-5,000 som Between 5,001-7,000 som

More than 7,000 som Don't know/Refused to answer

*Note: Exchange rate of 1,000 som to $11.79

USD as of October 8, 2021 per OANDA

How effective or ineffective do you believe the Central Election Commission is in the management and oversight of elections in Kyrgyzstan?

29

8%

11%

5%

4%

10%

6%

5%

10%

37%

34%

41%

37%

34%

40%

36%

38%

33%

33%

32%

34%

31%

34%

39%

30%

16%

15%

18%

16%

19%

14%

16%

16%

6%

6%

4%

8%

5%

6%

4%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Very effective Somewhat effective Somewhat ineffective Very ineffective Don't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

CEC Effectiveness1/3

How effective or ineffective do you believe the Central Election Commission is in the management and oversight of elections in Kyrgyzstan?

30

8%

7%

9%

6%

37%

32%

42%

21%

33%

38%

32%

32%

16%

19%

12%

33%

6%

4%

4%

8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

All Respondents

Bribed Voter or WitnessedBribe (n=279)

Yes (n=900)

No (n=241)

Very effective Somewhat effective Somewhat ineffective Very ineffective Don't know/Refused to answer

During the last local election, did you know or witness anyone who was offered

money, gifts or an incentive in exchange for their vote? (Up to three responses)

CEC Effectiveness2/3

Do you intend to vote in the upcoming parliamentary elections?

How effective or ineffective do you believe the Central Election Commission is in the management and oversight of elections in Kyrgyzstan?

31

CEC Effectiveness3/3

8%

8%

9%

10%

8%

37%

33%

49%

35%

26%

33%

28%

25%

24%

27%

16%

25%

15%

27%

29%

6%

6%

1%

4%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September2021

July2021

Feb/March2021

December2020

August2020

Very effective Somewhat effective Somewhat ineffective Very ineffective Don't know/Refused to answer

Upcoming Elections

Do you intend to vote in upcoming elections?

33

74%

72%

76%

79%

74%

74%

65%

79%

20%

22%

19%

16%

20%

20%

28%

15%

6%

6%

5%

5%

6%

6%

7%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Yes No Don't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

34

(Spontaneous response)

8%

5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

7%

10%

14%

29%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Mekenchil

Ata-Jurt

SDPK

Ata Meken

Yiman Nuru

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Birimdik

Ala-Too Yntymagy

Chon Kazat

Onuguu-Progress

Kyrgyzstan

Reforma

Zamandash

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Yntymak

Ak Bata

Other

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don't know/Refused to answer

*Responses receiving <1% are collapsed into Other.

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

35

(Spontaneous response)

8%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

18%

28%

27%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

SDPK

Chon Kazat

Mekenchil

Ata Meken

Yiman Nuru

Ata-Jurt

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Bizdin El

Ak Bata

Emgek

Meken Yntymagy

Onuguu-Progress

Other

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don't know/Refused to answer

Bishkek City

*Responses receiving <1% are collapsed into Other.

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

36

(Spontaneous response)

13%

4%

4%

3%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

9%

38%

23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

SDPK

Mekenchil

Ata-Jurt

Ata Meken

Ak Bata

Chon Kazat

Yntymak

Emgek

Onuguu-Progress

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don’t know/Refused to answer

Chui Oblast

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

37

(Spontaneous response)

8%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

1%

1%

13%

2%

3%

46%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Reforma

Mekenchil

Onuguu-Progress

Ala-Too Yntymagy

Zamandash

Bizdin El

Uluttar Birimdigi (People’s party)

Chon Kazat

SDPK

Ata Meken

Ata-Jurt

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don't know/Refused to answer

Issyk-Kul Oblast

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

38

(Spontaneous response)

2%

2%

71%

25%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Kyrgyzstan

Mekenchil

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

Don't know/Refused to answer

Naryn Oblast

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

39

(Spontaneous response)

6%

4%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

8%

4%

4%

60%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

SDPK

Ata-Jurt

Respublika

Reforma

Ak Bata

Meken Yntymagy

Ata Meken

Yiman Nuru

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don't know/Refused to answer

Talas Oblast

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

40

(Spontaneous response)

10%

9%

8%

6%

5%

5%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

11%

4%

21%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Ata Meken

Mekenchil

Ata-Jurt

Yiman Nuru

Ala-Too Yntymagy

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Birimdik

Kyrgyzstan

SDPK

Ak-Shumkar

Zamandash

Bir-Bol

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Other

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don't know/Refused to answer

Jalal-Abad Oblast

*Responses receiving <1% are collapsed into Other.

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

41

(Spontaneous response)

13%

11%

8%

7%

6%

3%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

5%

4%

9%

27%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Mekenchil

Ata-Jurt

Butun Kyrgyzstan

Birimdik

Yiman Nuru

Ata Meken

Onuguu-Progress

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Kyrgyzstan

SDPK

Other

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don't know/Refused to answer

Osh Oblast

*Responses receiving <1% are collapsed into Other.

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

42

(Spontaneous response)

6%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

14%

5%

47%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Mekenchil

Yiman Nuru

Bir-Bol

Mekenim Kyrgyzstan

Yntymak

Meken Yntymagy

Chon Kazat

Ata-Jurt

Onuguu-Progress

Don’t know details about parties/have not yet decided

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don't know/Refused to answer

Batken Oblast

If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?

43

(Spontaneous response)

34%

3%

2%

2%

2%

34%

3%

21%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Mekenchil

Ata-Jurt

Yiman Nuru

Yntymak

Kyrgyzstan

I would vote “against all”

Would not vote

Don't know/Refused to answer

Osh City

Coronavirus

To what extent is the Coronavirus a concern for you?

45

28%

22%

28%

42%

23%

33%

24%

30%

43%

40%

46%

44%

42%

44%

41%

44%

20%

22%

20%

12%

21%

18%

25%

17%

10%

16%

5%

2%

15%

5%

10%

10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Very serious Somewhat serious Somewhat not serious Not at all serious

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

Coronavirus Concern1/2

To what extent is the Coronavirus a concern for you?

46

Coronavirus Concern2/2

28%

54%

36%

43%

46%

43%

29%

41%

37%

33%

20%

12%

16%

14%

14%

10%

5%

7%

6%

7%

<1%

<1%

<1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September2021

July2021

Feb/March2021

December2020

August2020

Very serious Somewhat serious Somewhat not serious

Not at all serious Don't know/Refused to answer

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the Coronavirus?

47

8%

10%

6%

8%

9%

7%

5%

10%

46%

43%

48%

50%

47%

45%

41%

49%

25%

24%

30%

21%

24%

26%

33%

21%

16%

18%

13%

18%

14%

18%

17%

16%

4%

6%

3%

3%

6%

3%

4%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

All Respondents

Age 18-35

Age 36-55

Age 56+

Men

Women

Urban

Rural

Very satisfied Somehat satisfied Somewhat not satisfied

Not at all satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

Gender

Age Group

Urbanicity

Coronavirus Response1/2

To what extent are you satisfied with the government’s response to the Coronavirus?

48

Coronavirus Response2/2

8%

8%

4%

8%

46%

38%

34%

24%

25%

32%

28%

27%

16%

22%

33%

40%

4%

<1%

<1%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

September2021

July2021

Feb/March2021

August2020

Very satisfied Somehat satisfied Somewhat not satisfied

Not at all satisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

Foreign Relations

How would you assess the current relations between Kyrgyzstan and…

50

34%

31%

16%

18%

10%

6%

5%

4%

3%

1%

56%

50%

63%

61%

51%

47%

36%

34%

27%

10%

4%

11%

8%

9%

13%

8%

9%

13%

21%

37%

<1%

<1%

<1%

1%

2%

1%

1%

3%

4%

38%

4%

6%

11%

9%

18%

19%

26%

31%

23%

10%

3%

1%

1%

2%

7%

18%

23%

16%

22%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Turkey

Russia

Kazakhstan

Uzbekistan

China

EuropeanUnion

Japan

USA

Canada

Tajikistan

Very good Somewhat good Somewhat bad Very bad Neither good nor bad Don't know/Refused to answer

To what extent are you satisfied with the national government’s policy towards…

51

30%

28%

15%

18%

10%

6%

4%

5%

2%

1%

56%

54%

63%

60%

51%

49%

37%

36%

32%

17%

6%

12%

10%

11%

15%

11%

10%

15%

19%

34%

2%

2%

3%

3%

5%

3%

4%

5%

7%

33%

4%

3%

8%

7%

14%

16%

22%

27%

19%

8%

3%

1%

2%

2%

6%

14%

22%

12%

21%

7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Turkey

Russia

Kazakhstan

Uzbekistan

China

EuropeanUnion

Japan

USA

Canada

Tajikistan

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied

Very dissatisfied Neither satisfied, nor dissatisfied Don't know/Refused to answer

This Photo by Unknown author is licensed under CC BY-SA-NC.

Demographics

53

Demographics

51% 49% 50%

33%

17%

35%

65%

17% 16%

8%4% 4%

20% 18%

8%5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Wom

en

Men

Age 1

8-3

5

Age 3

6-5

5

Age 5

6+

Urb

an

Rura

l

Bis

hkek O

bla

st

Chui O

bla

st

Issy

k-K

ul O

bla

st

Nary

n O

bla

st

Tala

s O

bla

st

Osh

Obla

st

Jala

l-Abad O

bla

st

Batk

en O

bla

st

Osh

Cit

y

Gender Age Urbanicity Oblast/City

54

Demographics

3%

32%27%

38%

7%

19%

51%

22%32%

15%19%

13% 10% 10%2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Less

than s

econdary

Secondary

school

Technic

al/

Lyceum

/College

Com

ple

te/In

com

ple

te h

igher

Bare

ly s

ubsi

stence

Subsi

stence

Adequate

More

than a

dequate

Em

plo

yed

Self

-Em

plo

yed

Hom

em

aker

Reti

red

Unem

plo

yed

Stu

dent

Farm

er

Educational Attainment Household Financial Status* Occupational Status

*Household Financial Status brackets are generated from the question “How would you assess the financial position of your family?”

- Barely subsistence = “Money does not suffice even for food stuffs” and “Money suffices only for food, but nothing else, it does not

suffice to pay the utilities bills”

- Subsistence = “Money suffices for food, but purchase of clothes causes difficulties”

- Adequate = “Income suffices for food and clothes, but purchase of expensive durable things, such as TV set, refrigerator is a

problem”

- More than adequate = “We can easily get durable things, but purchase of really expensive things, such as car, is a big problem for

us” and “At the present time we can afford much - a car, a summer residence, travel abroad”

55

Demographics

85%

4% 6%1% 2% 1% 1% <1%

86%

4%

11%

2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Kyrg

yz

Uzb

ek

Russ

ian

Uig

hur

Dungan

Turk

Oth

er

Don't k

now

/Refu

sed t

o a

nsw

er

Kyrg

yz

Uzb

ek

Russ

ian

Oth

er

What is your ethnicity? What is the main language you speak athome?

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Center for Insights in Survey Research

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