NATIONAL ENERGY COUNCIL - energy-indonesia.com - IIGCE 2013... · jakarta, 12 june 2013 national...

JAKARTA, 12 JUNE 2013

NATIONAL ENERGY COUNCIL

INDONESIA ENERGY POLICY TO SECURE SUTAINABLE

DEVELOPMENT

INAGA – IIGCE 2013

Presented by: Dr. Ir. Tumiran, M. Eng.

Member of National Energy Council

DEWAN ENERGI NASIONAL

1

NATIONAL ENERGY COUNCIL


2

CHAIRMAN

Chairman : President

Vice Chairman : Vice President

Executive Chairman : Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources

MEMBERS

STRUCTURE of NEC

Government Representatives Stakeholders Representatives

1. Minister of Finance

2. Minister of National Development

Planning

3. Minister of Transportation

4. Minister of Industry

5. Minister of Agriculture

6. Minister of Research and Technology

7. Minister of Environment

1. Ir. Agusman Effendi (Consumer)

2. Prof. Ir. Rinaldy Dalimi, M.Sc, Ph. D

(Academics)

3. Dr. Ir. Herman Darnel Ibrahim, M.Sc

(Industry)

4. Dr. Ir. Tumiran, M.Eng (Academics)

5. Prof.Dr. Ir. Mukhtasor, M. Eng. Ph.D

(Environment Expert)

6. Prof. Dr. Herman Agustiawan (Consumer)


3

The ROLE OF NEC

Monitoring and Supervising

the Implementation of Cross –

Sectoral Energy Policies

Preparing and Formulating

National Energy Policy (KEN)

Determining

National Energy General Plan

(RUEN)

Determining

Guidelines in Addressing Energy

Crisis and Emergency Situation

N

E

C

NEC VISION

To Ensure Energy

Security that

Support Sustainable

National

Development


4

Law Num. 30/2007 on

Energy

NATIONAL ENERGY

POLICY to 2050

RUEN RUKN RUED

Province

RUPTL RUED

Distric/city

University,

Society,

Local

Government,

Scientist,

Industry sector,

Other

Stakeholders

Law No. 30/2009 On

Electricity

RELATION OF NEP - NATIONAL ENERGY PLANNING

It Has been

delivered to DPR

by The president

as NEC Chairman


5

ENERGY SOURCES

Sources exploited

from Mining :

Resources are

limited

Sources come

from many type:

continuous,

recycling and

sustain

Human being,

environmental

security,

sustainability ,

energy security,

economic

consideration


6

Aplication of Energy

1. Industrial Sector: Cement, textile, otomotive, garment, stell

processing, food, manufactures, others.

2. Office and management: Building, hotel, goverment and

private office, education.

3. Transportation: cars, bus, trucks, train, private car,

4. Lighting: office, hotel, building, housing, road,

5. Housing : cooking, cooling system, heating, lighting

others.

6. feedstock


7

Factors affecting energy demand growth:

1. Population Growth

2. Economic growth

3. Industrial Growth

4. Administration , office and Hotel

5. Human welfare

6. Change of Daily activities habit

Growth of Energy Demand


8

World Energy Demand World economic growth is clearly linked to the increasing availability of

energy sources. Three fuels, oil, coal and natural gas dominate the world’s

primary energy market. According to IEA in 2011, world marketed energy

consumption grows by 53 percent from 2008 to 2035. Total world energy

use rises from 505 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu) in 2008 to 619

quadrillion Btu in 2020 and 770 quadrillion Btu in 2035.Much of the

growth in energy consumption occurs in countries outside the Organization

for Economic Cooperation and Development (non-OECD nations), where

demand is driven by strong long-term economic growth. Energy use in

non-OECD nations increases by 85 percent in the Reference case, as

compared with an increase of 18 percent for the OECD economies


9

WORLD ENERGY DEMAND GROWTH


10

WORLD ENERGY DEMAND AND GROWTH


11

NATIONAL ENERGY CONDITION


12

Indonesia gas production,

consumption and export


13

INDONESIA COAL PRODUCTION AND

EXPORT


14

NATIONAL ENERGY SITUATION

To Ensure

Energy

Security that

Support

Sustainable

National

Development

High

Energy

Demand

Low

energy

supply

security Decrease

fossil energy

reserve

Fossil energy as

export

commodity

Inefficiency and

low conservation

on energy

management

NRE

utilization is

not optimal

R&D Capacity of

energy industry and

infrastructure is not

optimal

Low energy

access

Energy price

subsidized

Energy

reserve not

available

Current

Condition

Geopolitic

and global

environment

issue

The New

National

Energy Policy

Energy Security is a condition ensuring the

availability of energy, people's access to

energy at affordable prices in the long term

and is not affected by regional and

international issue


15

No. INDICATOR INDONESIA JAPAN CHINA

1 Population (thousand people) 241.134 127.360 1.344.130

2 GDP (million US$) 846.832 5.867.154 7.318.499

3 GDP/Capita (thousand US$) 3.512 46.067 5.445

4 Final Energy Consumption

(million TOE) 119,2 334,7 2.613

5 Energy Consumption/Capita

(TOE/Capita) 0,5 2,6 1,94

6 Power Plant Capacity(GW) 34,5 287 1.073

7 Electricity Consumption/Capita

(kwh/Capita) 655,2 8.746 3.488

8 Share Renewable Energy in

Energy Mix 4,05% 16% 11%

ECONOMIC AND ENERGY INDICATORS 2011


16

No. Country Population

(Million)

Power Plant

(Billion kWh)

GDP/

Capita

Electricity per Capita

(kWh/Capita)

1 Brunei

Darussalam 0.39 3 54,400 8,308

2 Singapore 4.66 41 48,500 8,185

3 Malaysia 25.72 103 14,200 3,490

4 Thailand 65.91 148 7,900 2,079

5 Vietnam 86.97 61 2,500 799

6 Indonesia 240.27 142 3,500 591

7 Filipina 97.98 57 3,100 588

8 Laos 6.83 2 1,900 178

9 Cambodia 14.49 1 1,800 113

10 Myanmar 48.14 6 1,100 97

COMPARISON OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION

IN ASEAN COUNTRIES 2010


17

POWER PLANT GENERATION BY PLN 2011

Sumber : Diolah dari berbagai sumber

source: PT. PLN


18


19

Sumber : Diolah dari berbagai sumber

ENERGY SUBSIDIES

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Oil Price in APBN

(US$/barel) 63,8 69,7 97,0 61,6 80,0 110,0 90,0

Fuel Subsidies (trillion Rp) 64,2 83,8 139,1 45,0 88,9 165,2 211,9

Electricity Subsidies

(trilion Rp) 30,4 33,1 83,9 49,5 55,1 93,4

94,6

(103)

Source: Kementerian ESDM


20

ENERGY DEMAND FORCAST TO 2050


21

KEY ASSUMPTION

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Population million 238 250 261 271 280 299 307

Growth % 1,5 1,0 0,9 0,8 0,7 0,7 0,3

World

Population million 6.900 7.284 7.650 8.011 8.300 8.850 9.200

GDP billion

USD 711 1.335 2.416 4.257 6.793

12.98

9

20.16

9

Growth GDP % 6,6 13,4 12,6 12 9,8 6,7 4,5

GDP/Cap USD 2.987 5.340 9.257 15.70

8

24.26

1

43.44

1

65.69

7


22

ENERGY SUPPLY AND DEMAND TO 2050

Target:

Energy Elasticity< 1 (year 2025)

Electrification Ratio : 100% (year 2020)

TARGET SATUAN 2015 2020 2025 2050

Primary Energy Supply MTOE 215 290 400 1.000

Primary Energy Supply per

Capita TOE 0,9 1,1 1,4 3,2

Power Plant Generation GW 49 79 115 430

Electricity Consumption per

Capita KWh 832 1308 2.500 7.000


23

NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY


24

1. Changing paradigm in Energy Policy: Natural Resources from commodity to

be National Development Assets.

2. Improving efficiency, conservation, and special attention for sustainable

development in the national energy management policy

3. To increase the contribution of renewable energy in the national energy mix

continuously.

4. To increase the fossil energy resources and proven reserved , and reduce it

contribution (percentage) in the national energy mix.

5. To improve independency in the National Energy Management, accelerating

to open job creation, accelerating the role and participation of domestic

industry in energy sector, and to boast research and development in energy

sector.

6. To accelerate opening energy access for all people

7. To secure energy supply, especially electricity, oil and gas.

8. To optimize the using of Natural Energy Resources for Economic Development of the

Nation based on “ Economic Added value Process”

9. To improve the understanding that the fossil energy must be stored as long as

possible to guaranty the security of the Nation to the all stake holders.

10. To declare and securing The strategic National Energy reserved

The Macro View of Energy Policy


25

NATIONAL ENERGY POLICY DIRECTION

1. Availability of Energy

2. Priority of Energy Development

3. National energy resources utilization

4. National energy reserve

5. Conservation and diversification

6. Environment and Safety

7. Price, subsidy, and incentive

8. Energy infrastructure and industry

9. Energy research and development

10. Institution and Financing


26

CONTRIBUTIONS OF ENERGY IN NATIONAL ECONOMY

DEVELOPMENT

OTHERS

INPUT ENERGY

ECONOMIC

OUTPUT

Energy is one of the important input in economic development


27

ENERGY, INFRASTRUCTURE, TECHNOLOGY & NATIONAL

DEVELOPMENT

ENERGY

SUPPLY

Without any synergies between the above factors,

the provision of energy demand growth will be

interrupted so that sustainable development can not

be achieved

ENERGY

TRANSFORMATION

ENERGY

DEMAND

INFRASTRUCTURE TECHNOLOGY

•Renewable

•Oil

•Gas

•Coal

•Refining

•Power Plant

• Industry

• Transportation

•Commercial

•Household


28

Energi Fosil dan

Non Fosil Kontribusi Energi Listrik (5-15)% Cukup, Handal, Berkualitas

SWASTA (85-95)% PRODUKSI

PENGOLAHAN

Sumber Alam 1

Sumber Alam 3

Sumber Alam 2

Produk Nilai Tambah

Salary

Tax

Tax

Multiplier

PENCIPTAAN LAPANGAN KERJA

Teknologi SDM

Added Value

Transformasi

Brainware & Skill

Teknologi

Listrik Tidak Cukup,,,

NOTHING

CONTRIBUTION OF ENERGY/ELECTRICITY IN INDUSTRIAL

SECTOR


29

ROLE OF RENEWABLE ENERGY TO SUPPORT ENERGY

SECURITY


30

2030

2010 2025

2050

(%)

Gas Bumi

Batubara

EBT

22%

23% 30%

25% 20%

24% 25%

31%

Realisasi tahun 2010, Pusdatin, KESDM

ENERGY MIX

Minyak Bumi

49% 22%

24%

5%

25%

22% 30%

23%


31

Installed

Ready to be developed

Detailed Survey

Preliminary Survey

Source: Badan Geologi KESDM (2011)

PLTP SIBAYAK: 12 MW

PLTP GUNUNG SALAK: 377 MW

PLTP WAYANG WINDU: 227 MW

PLTP DARAJAT: 270 MW PLTP DIENG: 60 MW

PLTP LAHENDONG: 80 MW

No. Island Total Location Potency (MW)

1 Sumatera 86 13,470

2 Jawa & Bali 76 10,013

3 Nusa Tenggara 22 1,471

4 Kalimantan 12 145

5 Sulawesi 56 2,939

6 Maluku & Papua 33 1,126 TOTAL 285 29,164

PLTP ULUBELU: 110 MW

PLTP ULUMBU: 5 MW

GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL

PLTP KAMOJANG: 200 MW

31


32

GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT ROAD MAP (2008 –

2025)

1442 MW

EXISTING MINING WORK AREA

958 MW

EXISTING MINING WORK AREA

1158 MW

EXISTING MINING WORK

AREA + NEW

1400 MW

NEW MINING WORK AREA

3500 MW

NEW MINING WORK AREA

Presented by Minister ESDM in Bali

2010


33

2015 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Geothermal Capacity 2 5 6 7 8 13

National Capacity 49 79 115 159 270 430

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

GW

POWER GENERATION CAPACITY FORCAST


34

The Important in accelerating Geothermal

1. To increase the security of Electric supply

2. To Reduce the contribution of Oil for power plant

3. To reduce Electricity Production Cost

4. To bost Economic Growth in Geothermal Power Plant

Region and area connected to electricity grid

5. To create new Job

6. To increase the contribution of Renewable Energy

All the obstacle for implementing it must be over

come


35

THANK YOU


4th fl. Badiklat ESDM Building, Jl. Jenderal Gatot Subroto Kav 49

Jakarta Selatan

Tel. (+6221) 52921621

Fax. (+6221) 52920190

www.den.go.id

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