Narendra Modi - The Choice of Digital India

Satyamev Jayate 2 – Survey Study

A report by foreseegame.com & Microsec Research 3rd September 2013 | 1

3rd September 2013



Narendra Modi: The Choice of Digital India

It’s time for The Mandate once again! 2014 Lok Sabha election is less than a year

away and this election will be remembered in future as the most important election in

current times. India will be a 67 year old democracy in 2014. It is still very young but

a well-placed democracy since Independence. After two consecutive tenures of

congress-led UPA government, 2014 will provide the opposition a fresh chance to

prove their mettle and a new force in power could well pave for a new chapter for the

young country. On the other side, the ruling UPA coalition led by Congress will surely

look for a hattrick at the helm. Evidently it’s for this reason that the government is

playing its development cards carefully. With opposition vying for the ruling

government’s blood and the government trying to salvage some pride ahead of Lok

Sabha elections, the Indian political scenario is charged up. Which way would the

political wind finally blow to? Will the last minute developmental work be enough to

save the boat for the Congress-led UPA alliance? Or would the Indian electorate

demand a change in the high office?

With India at this crossroad and some of the growth and developmental parameters of

the country touching the rock bottom, we at foreseegame.com thought it would be best

to resort to the citizens’ office and get their views on the upcoming election. The fact

that the growth and developmental standards in India have taken a hard hit was

revealed in our earlier Opinion Squares titled ‘Aspire…Alert…Awake India’ and

‘Satyamev Jayate 1’. Now the survey results exposed in ‘Satyamev Jayate 2’, clearly

shows that the Indian electorate is conscious, intelligent, sensible and well aware of

the last minute gimmicks political parties play to change the imminent course of the

event. The questions throw light upon a politically conscious India and acts as an

elementary poll prediction.

Foreseegame.com is a unique portal of consumer engagement, which provides a

platform for two way communication and engagement between the brand and the

consumer using games of foresights. Microsec research is the research wing of

Microsec Capital having experienced analysts across the sectors. We used the online

feedback from the users of www.foreseegame.com. The users have been registered

only on the basis of unique mobile numbers and hence, it provides authenticity and

genuineness of the participants. The participation is being monitored by Google.

About 24,100 participants have contributed from all parts of India; however the

limitation of this sample is that it is from the group of people who are users of internet.

Executive Summary



The take away points:

1. Growth Factor. The participants have voted for the growth model of Gujarat

government led by Narendra Modi as the best growth model for India. 54%

participants have voted for the growth model of Gujarat government led by

Narendra Modi and the participants want to see that experience replicating in the

whole country.

2. A clean sweep for Narendra Modi. More than 60% participants have unanimously

voted for Narendra Modi as the best Prime Ministerial candidate for the upcoming

Lok Sabha election. Rahul Gandhi of the Congress party became a distant second

with just 11% votes.

3. Stability Counts. The question of Hung Parliament has made the participants tilt

towards the combination that could provide stable government. 65% participants

have said that they would be voting for the party or candidate, who is winning at

the centre combination, capable of providing stable government. About 35% people

however, will vote for their preferred party or candidate irrespective of who the

winner is.

4. Modi Magic. Clearly Narendra Modi seems to have appeared as the clear choice

for the Indians. The joint influence of BJP and NDA faded in the face of the Modi

magic. A whopping 49% strong crowd said that they would vote for BJP and NDA

only if Modi is declared as the Prime Ministerial candidate. While only 19% people

have said that they won’t vote for BJP and NDA under any circumstances, about

the same number of people have voiced their unfaltering support for the

party/coalition. It seems that NDA will not be able to take advantage of anti-

incumbency factor if they don’t declare Modi as the PM candidate.

5. Sinking Boat. The situation is not working in favour of the Congress-led UPA

government. It has become evident as about 52% people have expressed their

reservation and said that they won’t vote for the Congress and UPA under any

circumstance. Only about 21% people out of all the respondents have said they will

vote for the Congress and UPA only when Rahul Gandhi is declared as the Prime

Ministerial candidate, where as 15% respondents think they will vote for Congress

and UPA without considering Rahul Gandhi factor

6. Credibility Matters. Credible leadership seems to be the decisive factor for the

Indian electorate. About 65% of the respondents are ready to change their voting

decision in favour of any national party if they declare a credible and honest person

as their Prime Ministerial candidate.

Executive Summary



The take away points:

7. No to Third Front. Indian electorate is most apprehensive about the Third Front /

Federal Front government. About 61% respondents have said that Third Front or

Federal Front government would not be able to provide a stable government after

next Lok Sabha election.

8. Decision Made. The answer to this question shows that Indian voters are quite

conscious about their voting powers. With less than one year to go to the polls,

about 70% of the respondents have already decided who they are going to vote for.

9. People’s Verdict. The verdict of people for both the present ruling party and the

opposition is equally divided. While the falling price of rupee and rising inflation

rate are two crucial problems, and 50% respondents have said that even if the

present government succeeds in controlling inflation they would not vote for it.

However, favour for the UPA also has touched the 50% mark as 32% respondents

have said they would vote for UPA only if it succeeds in controlling inflation, while

18% respondents have maintained loyalty to the present government.

10. Lok Pal Bill. 49% respondents have said that even if the present UPA government

passes the Lok Pal Bill by next election they would not vote for it. Only 32%

respondents have said they will vote for UPA only if it passes the Lok Pal Bill.

Here also 19% respondents have maintained loyalty to the present government.

Executive Summary

9%

54%

9%

7%

4%

17% Model of UPA followed at Central Govt.

Model of Gujarat Govt.lead by Narendra Modi

Model of Bihar Govt.lead by Nitish Kumar

Model of Madhya Pradesh Govt. lead by Chauhan

Model of Chhattisgarh Govt. lead by Raman Singh

None of the above .. India needs new model

The participants have voted for the growth model of Gujarat government led by Narendra Modi as the best growth model for India.

Q 1. Which according to you is the best growth model for India?



Q 2. Who according to you is the best candidate for being the next Prime Minister of India?

A clean sweep for Narendra Modi. 60% participants have unanimously voted for Narendra Modi as the best Prime Ministerial candidate for the upcoming Lok Sabha election.

A.K. Anthony

Akhilesh Yadav

Arun Jaitley

Arvind Kejriwal

Digvijay Singh

J. Jayalalitha

Karunanidhi

L.K. Advani

Mamata Banerjee

Manmohan Singh

Mayawati

Montek Singh Ahluwalia

Mulayam Singh Yadav

Narendra Modi

Naveen Patnaik

Nitish Kumar

P. Chidambaram

Rahul Gandhi

Raman Singh

Sharad Pawar

Shivraj Singh Chauhan

Sonia Gandhi

Sushma Swaraj

Uddhav Thackeray

None of the above

60%

11%



Stability Counts. The question of Hung Parliament has made the participants tilt towards the combination that could provide stable government.

Q 3. How will the possibility of a hung parliament after the upcoming Lok Sabha election affect your voting decision?

The joint influence of BJP and NDA faded in the face of Modi magic. A whopping majority said that they would vote for BJP and NDA only if Modi is declared as the Prime Ministerial candidate.

Q 4. How will BJP's declaration on making Narendra Modi as their Prime Ministerial Candidate in the upcoming Lok Sabha election affect your decision on voting?

35%

65%

I shall be voting for the party orcandidate irrespective of who iswinning at Centre

I shall be voting for the party orcandidate who is winning atCentre combination capable ofproviding stable Government

49%

13%

19%

19% I shall vote for BJP and NDA only when Modi is a P.M. Candidate

I shall vote for BJP and NDA when Modi is not declared as a P.M. Candidate

I shall vote for BJP and NDA whether or not Modi is declared as a P.M. Candidate

Will not vote for BJP and NDA



Q 5. How will the Congress' declaration on making Rahul Gandhi as their Prime Ministerial Candidate in the upcoming Lok Sabha election affect your voting decision?

Q 6. Will your voting decision change in favour of any national political party if they declare a credible and honest person like NR Narayan Murty as their prime ministerial candidate?

The situation is not working in favour of the Congress-led UPA government. About 52% people have expressed their reservation and said that they won’t vote for the Congress and UPA under any circumstance.

Credible leadership seems to be the decisive factor for the Indian electorate. About 65% of the respondents are ready to change their voting decision in favour of any national party if they declare a credible and honest person as their Prime Ministerial candidate.

65%

35% Yes

No

21%

12%

15%

52%

I shall vote for Congress and UPAonly when Rahul Gandhi is a P.M.Candidate

I shall vote for Congress and UPAwhen Rahul Gandhi is not declaredas a P.M.Candidate

I shall vote for Congress and UPA.Rahul Gandhi is not a factor for me

Will not vote for Congress and UPA



Q 7. Do you think that the Third Front/Federal Front can provide a stable government after the next Lok Sabha election?

Q 8. Have you decided on whom to vote for in the upcoming Lok Sabha election?

61% of the respondents have said that Third Front or Federal Front government would not be able to provide a stable government

With less than one year to go to the polls, 70% of the respondents have already decided who they are going to vote for.

39%

61%

Yes

No

70%

30% Yes

No



Q 10. How will the passing of Lok Pal Bill before the next Lok Sabha election impact your voting decision?

Q 9. Would you change your mind in the upcoming Lok Sabha election if the UPA Govt. succeeds in controlling inflation?

50% of the respondents have said that they would not vote for UPA even if it succeeds in controlling inflation

49% of the respondents have said that even if the present UPA government passes the Lok Pal Bill by next election they would not vote for it.

50%

18%

32% Under no circumstances shall I vote for UPA and Congress

I shall vote for UPA and Congress irrespective of inflation

I shall only vote for UPA and Congress if it controls inflation

49%

19%

32%

Under no circumstances shall Ivote for UPA and Congress

I shall vote for UPA and Congressirrespective of the Lok Pall Bill

I shall only vote for UPA andCongress if it passes Lok Pall Bill

Narendra Modi - The Choice of Digital India

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