Myanma electrical outlook u kyaw swar soe naing

Myanmar Electricity Outlook

March 29, 2012 Yangon, MYANMAR

Kyaw Swar Soe Naing (Executive Engineer, MEPE)

U Kyaw Kyaw (Chief Engineer, YESB)

Ministry of Electric Power (2)

The Republic of the Union of Myanmar

Demand Scenario

with reference to

Outline of presentation


1. Organization of Electric Power

2. Policy, Goal and Objectives of Electric Power

3. Demand Forecast and Power Supply Position of 30 years plan

(2001 to 2030)

3.1 Demand Forecast of 30 years plan

3.2 Power Supply Position of 30 years plan

4. Background History of Generation Growth & Power

Consumption up to 2011

5. Assessment on 30 years plan for ten years

6. Future work, Plan and Conclusion

1. Organization of Electric Power



- Implementation of Hydropower

Projects

- Hydropower Generation

- Thermal Power Generation from

Coal


- Thermal Power Generation from Gas

- Operation and Maintenance of Power

system

- Implementation of Transmission Lines

and Substations Projects

- Distribution of Electricity throughout

the Country

In order to effectively carry out to fulfill the electricity requirement for the

economic development, nation-building and multi-sector development tasks, on 15th

May 2006 the Ministry of Electric Power has been reorganized as two Ministries;

Organization of Electric Power

Hydropower Generation

Enterprise

Department of

Hydropower Planning

Minister

Department of Hydropower

Implementation

Deputy Minister

Planning & Policy matters Development of New

Hydroelectric Power Projects

Operation and maintenance of

(14) existing hydroelectric power

stations and (1) coal fired thermal

power station.

Acting as a Secretariat to the

Ministry Investigation, Design &

Technology, Construction

Selling the electricity to the



Department of

Electric Power

Minister

Deputy Minister

Myanma Electric

Power Enterprise

Electricity Supply

Enterprise

Yangon City Electri-

city Supply Board

Planning & Policy

matters

Thermal Generation Supply electricity to

the whole country

except Yangon

division. Acting as a

Secretariat to the

Ministry

Control & Operation of

the National Grid

Construct

distribution lines &

substations within

States & Divisions

Construction &

Maintenance for

transmission lines and

substations

Purchase the electricity

from MOEP 1 and other

JV Co.

Selling Electricity to ESE

& YESB

Supply electricity to

Yangon division only

Construct distribution

lines & substation in

Yangon division

(Subsists on own

fund)


Distribution Generation

YESB (MOEP 2)

Transmission

End User

HPGE (MOEP 1)

MEPE (MOEP 2)

MEPE (MOEP 2) ESE (MOEP 2)

JV/IPP

7 Generation Transmission Distribution

Electricity Supply to Consumer

Voltage

(kV)

Nos. of

Line

Length

miles km

230 42 2,020.23 3,250.55

132 39 1,480.76 2,382.54

66 137 2,245.93 3,613.70

Total 218 5,746.92 9,246.79

Existing Transmission Lines

Voltage

(kV)

Nos. of

Substation

Capacity

(MVA)

230 25 3,280

132 25 1,578.5

66 96 1,983.1

Total 146 6,841.6

Existing Substations

8

National Grid System

- In National Grid System of Myanmar, there are 28 Nos. of

Power Generating Stations, i.e. (17) Hydropower Stations, (1)

Coal Fire Power Plant, (10) Gas Turbine Power Plants

(including 4 Combined Cycle in Yangon).

- The major electric power generating stations feed electricity

into the National Grid System with 230 kV, 132 kV and 66 kV

transmission lines and substations.

Existing Facilities of Electric Power Sector in Myanmar, 2011-2012

2. Policy, Goals and Objectives of Electric Power


• To employ gas turbine power generation only for short term and

rely on hydroelectric power as a vital source of energy

sufficiency

10

• To generate and distribute more electricity for economic

development

• To reduce losses and conserve electric energy for future energy

sufficiency

• To promote electricity production from new and renewable

sources of energy

Policy for Electric Power Sector


11

Goals and Objectives

(1) To employ the hydro power generation as a base load and the

gas turbine generation as a peak load

(2) To perform the combined cycle power generation in the gas

turbine power stations in order to conserve the fuel

consumption

(3) To expand the National Grid System, whereby enlarged and

developing industrial zones can be electrified and also the

electrification of towns and villages by diesel generating sets

will be eliminated

(4) To enhance the quality of the power system in the transmission

and distribution sectors according to the technical standards


12

(5) To reduce the power interruption frequency and duration

(6) To improve the reliability and stability of the power system

(7) To reduce the loss of electricity incurred in transmission and

distribution

(8) To provide the policy and technical know how to use

alternative energy such as bio-mass in remote area, where

electricity through the National Grid is not accessible

(9) To promote the development of non-conventional energy

resources such as wind, solar, geothermal and tidal energy to

meet the future power demand


Goals and Objectives

30 years Plan Committee

In 2001, Ministry of Electric Power founded a committee as

follow to establish the 30 years plan for electricity sector, to

adequate supply to the growth electricity demand.

Minister C h a i r m a n

Deputy Minister Deputy Chairman

Director General (Department of Electric Power) Member

Director General (Department of Hydro Power) Member

Managing Director (Myanma Electric Power Enterprise) Member

Consultant of Ministry of Electric Power Member

Chief Engineer, MEPE Member

Deputy Chief Engineer (admin), MEPE Member

Deputy Chief Engineer (Gas Turbine PP.), MEPE Member

Deputy Chief Engineer (Distribution), MEPE Member

Director (Account), MEPE Member

Deputy Director General (admin), DEP Member

Director (Planning for Distribution), DEP Member


3. Demand Forecast and Power Supply Position

of 30 years plan (2001 to 2030)

No.

States and

Divisions in

Myanmar

MW

1 Kachin 2061

2 Kayar 3909

3 Kayin 17021

4 Chin 1312

5 Sagine 2400

6 Tanintharyi 692

7 Pegu 483

8 Magway 122

9 Mandalay 3482

10 mon 292.4

11 Rakhine 246

12 shan 7700

Total 39720

5% 10%

43%

3%

6%

2%

1%

0%

9%

1%

1% 19%

Kachin

Kayar

Kayin

Chin

Sagine

Tanintharyi

Pegu

Magway

Mandalay

mon

Rakhine

Hydro Power Resources in Myanmar

-It can be said that about half (43%) of the hydro power resource of Myanmar

is in Kayin state, and the second largest resource (19%) is in Shan state.

NOTE: This figure was shown in 30 years plan. Update data shows 92 promising projects, total installed capacity

about 46000 MW. The difference takes place in Hydro power resources in Kachin State.

UPPER

YEYWA

(280 MW)

SINEDIN

(76.5 MW)

KANZAUK

28

S

N

EW

80

BALUCHAUNG-3

(48 MW)

4

120

THAUK-YE-KHAT-2

(120 MW)14

SITTAUNG

4

MINHLA

130

11

13

KUTKHAI

Figures in black color near Transmission Lines indicate the line length in miles.

80

YE

82

THAHTAY

CHAUNG

(111 MW)

ANN

40

INGON

PATHEIN

THARYARGONE

BALUCHAUNG-2

(6x28 MW)

THATON

MAWLAMYINE

MOEGOKE

HLAINGTHARYARATHOKE

73

SHWESARYAN

OHNTAW

OKSHITPIN

TAUNGOO

100

MYITTHA

(40 MW)

HAKA

THEINNI

FALAM

20

30

THAINGIN

KONHEIN

MONG-NAUNG

MONG-HSU

38

NAUNG

MONG

MINE YAL

MYITKYINA

140

SHWELI (3)

( 1050 MW )

UPPER

KENG TAWNG

(51 MW)

MAEI

KYAUK PHYU

NGAPYAWDAING

SHWEDAUNG

KAMARNAT

MYAUNG TAGAR

SHWEMYO

NAMSAN

35

90

35

MOGAUNG

NABAR

40

75

55

TOUNGUP

42

YENGBYE

MANSAN

90

THAPYAYWA

95

WINEMAW10

TANT YANN

33

HOPONG

25

20

11

WANSIN

146

14SANE

TAUNGTAWKWIN

35

76

Future Plan of Myanmar Power Grid 13. 5.2011

NAYPYITAW-1

100

96

30

MAUBIN

117

5.31

MANN

70

60

HSI

HSAING

DAGON(EAST)

10

THAKETA

230 kV ( Future )

132 kV ( Future )

66 kV ( Future )

500 kV ( Future )

Hydro-power Station ( Existing )

Hydro-power Station ( Future )

Power Station

132 kV ( Existing )

230 kV ( Existing )

66 kV ( Existing )

Substation

132 kV ( Future )

230 kV ( Future )

66 kV ( Future )

500 kV ( Future )

Transmission Line

132 kV ( Existing )

66 kV ( Existing )

230 kV ( Existing )

30 years Plan and Strategy

Plan -Electricity productions by employing the gas turbines power generations

only for short term

-Relying on the hydro electric power generation as one important source of

energy sufficiency.

-The projects to generate and distribute more electricity for economic

development and to reduce the losses of electric energy for future energy

sufficiency of Myanmar nation

-To promote electricity production from new and renewable energy resource

Strategy -To develop all the available energy resources for the electricity productions

-To improve electricity production level with the existing energy resources

-To study the unsuppressed electricity demands.

Methodology on Demand Forecast (2001)

Three cases of the growth of Electricity Demand 1. Low Growth

-In historical trend of generation, electricity consumption is generally increased about

2.0 times in 10 years (within decade).

-assumed doubling of the demand in every ten year

2. Base Case

-assumed growth rate of demand taking into account experience in Thailand

-Estimated growth of electricity is 1.0 % and 1.5% greater to the demand of Low

Growth

3. High Growth

-The growth of economy is high and GDP is greater than 7.0% per annum

-Estimated growth of electricity is 1.0% and 1.5% greater to the demand of Base Case

Methodology on Demand Forecast

5

6

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8

9

10

11

12

13

14

Low Growth Base Case High Growth

The trend of the growth of electricity demand in three cases

The percentage of the growth of electricity demand will

relatively increase to 2021, and the percentage of the growth will

decline from 2021 to 2031.

(%)


3.1 Demand Forecast of 30 years plan (2001 to 2030)

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Low Growth Base Case High Growth

Provision of power

export to Thailand

Provision of power

export to India

MW

Demand Forecast for 30 years

Provision of electricity power export to Thailand and India were sharply

increased in demand forecast for all cases at the 30 years plan. About 5000 MW

(40 % of demand) was planned to export.

0

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40

60

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0

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400

600

800

1000

(2001-2002)

start

(2005-2006)

Finish

(2010-2011) (2015-2016) (2020-2021) (2025-2026) (2030-2031)

Maximum demand per person (kWh) Population (million)

Kil

o w

att

hou

r (k

Wh)

Po

pu

lati

on

(m

illi

on

)

Electricity consumption by one person

-Myanmar population is assumed to expand from an estimated 52.18

millions in 2001 to 95.33 million in 2031, an annual average rate of

increase of 2.1 %.

-Because of growth GDP, the electricity consumption per person is also

increased.


3.2 Power Supply position of 30 years plan (2001 to 2030)

Installed and Firm capacity in 30 years plan

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Low Growth Base Case High Growth Installed Firm

-To ensure adequate power supply sufficiently to the growth electricity demand,

installed capacity will reach more 5000 MW than high growth demand.

-Firm capacity also required over of the high growth demand

MW

Note: Firm power represents amount of energy that can be generated by a power plant with a certain probability.

0

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10000

15000

20000

25000

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hydro install Thermalinstall

Hydro and Thermal Installed in 30 years Plan

-Installed capacity of power plants was determined generally above the generation

-Hydropower will play a major role in future electricity power generation.

MW

Strategy to improve the installed capacity in 30 years Plan

Short term and Long term projects Short terms projects include build up natural gas used Combine Cycle Power

plants and small Hydro Power plants. Long term projects include build up Hydro

Power plants to supply the domestic as well as export electricity to neighboring

countries considering the economical aspects

Strategy Strategy considered that Hydro power will be employed in base load and natural gas

turbine power plant will be employed in peak load.

Hydropower will play a major role in future electricity power generation and the

country requires to produce and develop the other energy resources.


5. Background History of

Generation Growth &Power Consumption up to 2011

27

Historical Growth of Peak Load

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Meg

a w

att

(M

W)

-Considering peak load during each year, the trend of growth of electricity

demand can be considered.

-Peak load has grown from 322 MW in 1989 to 1533 MW in 2011.

-Growth was fairly steady up to 2004, almost no growth from 2004 to 2007,

and then accelerated to about 8.8 %/year up to 2011.

28

Historical Growth of Generation & Consumption

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4000

6000

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10000

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88

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Generation Consumption

GW

h

losses

-The growth of annual generation and consumption is gradual increase to 2010

-However, Generation and consumption are accelerated in 2010 and 2011.

(GW

h)

Electricity Consumptions

-General purpose and Industrial used over 85 % of the total consumptions.

-General purpose used and Industrial used consumptions are almost same for

every year.

-The growth of consumptions are almost same for two cases.

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

General Purpose Industrial

NOTE: General purpose used based on the used of House Hold

Grid System Isolated Total

(MW) (MW) (MW) (% )

Installed Capacity 3,360.90 100.08 3,460.98 100.00%

Hydroelectric 2,526.00 33.34 2,559.34 73.95%

Gas 714.90 - 714.90 20.66%

Coal 120.00 - 120.00 3.47%

Diesel - 63.02 63.02 1.82%

Bio Mass - 3.72 3.72 0.10%

73.95%

20.66%

3.47% 1.82% 0.10%

Hydroelectric Gas Coal Diesel Bio Mass

30

Installed Capacity in Year 2011

Growth of Installed Capacity up to 2011 M

ega

wat

t (

MW

)

-Although the growth of the installed capacity of thermal power plant is greater

between 1985 and 2005, that of Hydel power plant become greater since 2005.

-In 2011, the installed capacity of Hydel power plant become much greater

than that of thermal power plant

0

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Hydro Thermal Coal

GW

h

Share of Electricity Generation up to 2011

-Same as installed capacity, the generation of hydel power is lower than that of

thermal power till 2005-2006.

-Since 2006-2007, the generation of hydel power become greater than that of

thermal power and much higher in 2010-2011

0

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10000

Hydel Thermal

Note: After 2007, generation of Hydel represents generation of MOEP 1

Conclusion on Trend of Generation and Consumption

-Although annual generation is around 1100 MW, peak load has reached to

1533 MW in 2011. it shows that the generation was not supply enough to the

country consumer level.

-At present, any amount supply available would be fully consumed.

Demand was suppressed.

-Hydro power sources become highly dominated in the demand area as the

installed capacity is increased.

-The generation from Hydel power play a major role in these years and future

electricity power generation.

Therefore, the future development relies solely on development of hydro

power and is being carried out annually.

4. Assessment on 30 years plan for ten years


losses Meg

a w

att

(MW

)

Assessments on forecast with generation and consumption

-Till now, the generation has not reach to the demand forecast.

-Considering peak load as the demand, demand forecast is not much differed from the demand

forecast.

-However, annual generation and consumption reached only about 50% of the demand forecast.

0

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400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011

Low Growth Base Case High Growth Generation Consumption Peak load

Comparison of installed capacities

0

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1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011

Installed (2010) Installed (Forecast)

Meg

a w

att

(MW

)

-The difference between the installed capacities in 2010 and forecast is about

1000 MW in 2011. Lack of the installations of the power plants in both hydro

power and thermal power.

-Forecast is much differed from actual in 2006 to 2009.

-However, installed capacities become closer to forecast since 2009.

Assessments on 30 years plan

-Ten years has passed for 30 years plan and the 2001 projection

was different from the actual situation.

-Till now, the generation has not reach to the demand.

-The difference between the installed capacities in 2010 and

forecast is about 1000 MW because the lack of power plants

installations in both hydro power and thermal power.

-Installed capacities become closer to forecast since 2009.

-The installations of new power plant are required to meet the

rapid growth of the electricity demand and to maintain the

electricity supply at a satisfactory level.

5. Future Works, Plan and Conclusion


-2001 demand projection did not consider the project demand based on consumer

categories and divers of energy. Therefore, MOEP2 have to revise the demand

forecast.

Currently, MOEP 2 receives a consulting services (Conlenco, Switzerland) to

prepare for a system planning study including demand projection.

-Planning for future development relies on Hydro power, MOEP1 develops a list

of potential power projects and it seeks potential developers.

-Based on hydro power plant, connections between generation sources to load

centers then is being carried out.

-Mostly, thermal power plant are using the fuel as natural gas to generate power in

peak load and have been used to reduce the low voltage.

Myanmar oil and gas enterprise (MOGE) prepare its production plan and allocate

gas for power generation.

Future Works and Plan



-Another way to meet the increasing demand is to accelerate the

development of the electricity productions with the clean energy. 30 years

plan considered 100 MW wind turbine power plant in third year term

project.

At present, Engineers from Ministry of Electric Power No.2 and Gunkul Co.

Ltd are working feasibility studies to investigate the possibilities to install

Wind Turbine Power plants totally 1000 MW.

Furthermore, the possibility of the installations of power plant using with

Solar Power for the central of Myanmar are being investigated.

Future Works and Plan

Conclusion

-To meet this substantial electricity demands, a high senior official group

established by MEP prepared 2001 demand projection.

Although the 2001 demand projection (30 years plan) was simplistic and

having requirements, the actual demands seem closer to the forecast in 2011.

However, consideration made since the country consumption level was very

low, the demand will become much higher than the forecast.

-The demand forecast require to revise including the linkage between the

project demand, resources availability (fuel mix outlook), technical

specifications and cost parameters.

-Although Hydro power is conducted for base load, gas turbine CCPP

technology are also expected to follow in the electricity generation for the

generation in summer, peak load and to reduce the voltage drop.

-The sustainable and renewable energy such as solar energy, wind energy

and geothermal energy will be necessary to use to provide the electricity

widely.

Thank You

for

Your Kind Attention!!

42

0

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Low Growth (No Export Program) Low Growth (with Export Program)

Provision of power

export to Thailand

Provision of power

export to India

MW

Export and No Export Program

-Considering Export program, the demand will reach to 12000 MW

-Without Export program, the demand will reach to 7000 MW

-The demand forecast estimated about 40 % of demand to export.

NOTE: No export program = No Provision of Power to Thailand at 2010 and India at 2015.

(estimated data based on estimated demand in 2011, 1533 MW)

Investment Opportunities in Power Sector

44

Generation

For the Generation Sub Sector, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

can be done by the permission from Foreign Investment

Commission under the Law and Procedure of Foreign Investment

(1988), in the form of Joint Venture and Build-Operate-Transfer

(BOT) system for suitable power generation projects.

Local investors are also allowed to participate in the scheme of

Independent Power Producer (IPP) for hydropower projects.


45

Transmission and Distribution

For the Transmission and Distribution Subsectors under

Ministry of Electric Power No. (2), there have been no projects

to be implemented by Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

permitted so far.

The procurement of required Transmission Line Materials and

Substation Equipment from foreign countries are funded either

by Government Budget or Foreign Loan.

Civil Works and Electrical Installation Works are undertaken by

Local Construction Companies under the supervision of

MOEP2.


46

Transmission and Distribution

As in the other countries, EPC (Engineering, Procurement and

Construction) Contract and Turnkey Projects are not yet

practiced.

In order to submit the tender for supply materials, Local and

Foreign Companies need to request the registration in Mailing

List of MOEP (2).

Registered companies are invited tender and MOEP (2) evaluate

by opened tender system.

47

Tax Obligations

The JV Company shall be levied on the following taxation:

- 5% commercial tax

- 2% income tax

- 2% withholding tax

Exemptions and Reliefs from taxes can be submitted to

Myanmar Foreign Investment Commission:

- exemption from income-tax for a period extending to 3

consecutive years, inclusive of the year of

commencement

- relief from income-tax on profits if reinvested therein

within 1 year after the reserve is made

Future Plan of Generation Power Stations (48 projects)

Sr. Name of Project Installed Capacity

(MW)

Implementing

Agency

1 Upper Baluchaung 29 NEO Co.

2 Anya Phya 9 Delco Co.

3 Upper Sedawgyi 64 Htoo Co.

4 Thakyak 20 Yuzana Co.

5 Belin 280 Asia World Co.

6 Kawthaung (Coal) 6 Thanphyothu Co.

7 Yenam 1,200 CPI (China)

48

Generation Type Nos. of Project Installed Capacity (MW)

Hydropower 45 35,578.5

Coal 2 606.0

Gas 1 450.0

Total 48 36,634.5

Future Plan of Power Generating Stations (48 project)

Sr. Name of Project Installed Capacity (MW) Implementing Agency

8 Kawanglangphu 2,700 CPI (China)

9 Pisa 2,000 CPI (China)

10 Laza 1,900 CPI (China)

11 Wutsok 1,800 CPI (China)

12 Chibwe 3,400 CPI (China)

13 Gawlan (Nawchankha) 100 YPIC (China)

14 Lawndin (Nawchankha) 435 YPIC (China)

15 Wuxhongze (Nawchankha) 60 YPIC (China)

16 Hkankan (Nawchankha) 140 YPIC (China)

17 Tongxinqiao (Nawchankha) 320 YPIC (China)

18 Nantabat (Kachin) 200 Guodian(China)

19 Tapain (2) 168 DUHD (China)

20 Konlon (Upper Thanlwin) 1,400 Hanergy(China)

21 Naungpha 1,000 Hydro China

22 Mangtaung 200 Hydro China

49

Future Plan of Generation Power Stations (48 projects)


23 Htamanthi 1,200 NHPC (India)

24 Shwesaye 660 NHPC (India)

25 Laymyo 600 CDOI (China)

26 Laymyo (2) 90 CDOI (China)

27 Tuzxing (Nampon) 105 CDOI (China)

28 Hanna(Nampon) 45 CDOI (China)

29 Thakhwa(Nampon) 150 CDOI (China)

30 Palaung(Nampon) 105 CDOI (China)

31 Bawlakhe(Nampon) 180 CDOI (China)

32 Nantabat (Kayah) 180 Guodian(China)

33 Heku (Namlwai) 88 YNPG (China)

34 Kengyan (Namlwai) 28 YNPG (China)

35 Mongwa (Namlwai) 50 YNPG (China)

36 Wantapeng (Namlwai) 25 YNPG (China)

50

Future Plan of Power Generation Stations (48 projects)


37 Keng Tong (Namlwai) 96 YNPG (China)

38 Solu (Namlwai) 165 YNPG (China)

39 Mongtong (Upper

Thanlwin)

7,110 Three Gorges + EGAT

40 Ywathit 4,000 CDOI (China)

41 Hutgyi 1,360 Sinohydro + EGAT

42 Taninthayi 600 Italia-Thai

43 Shweli (2) 520 Huaneng Lancang

44 Mawleik 520 Guodian(China)

45 Kalewa(Coal) 600 Guodian(China)

46 Saingdin 76.5 CDOI

47 Nankha 200 YNPG (China)

48 Yangon Thilawa (Gas) 450 BKB (Korea)

Total (48) Nos 36,634.5 MW

51

Future Plan of Transmission Lines Future Plan of Substations

Voltage

(kV)

Nos. of

Line

Length

miles km

500 6 1,693.0 2724.04

230 80 5,894.0 9483.45

132 12 410.5 660.49

66 33 1,222.1 1966.36

Total 131 9,219.6 14834.34

Voltage

(kV)

Nos. of

Substation

Capacity

(MVA)

500 10 5,000

230 25 2,360

132 10 675

66 31 340

Total 76 8,375

52

Transmission Lines and Substations (Future Plan)

In order to reinforce the present National Grid System and to

facilitate power transmission from new generating stations to

National Grid System, Ministry of Electric Power No.(2) has a

long term plan of 131 Transmission Lines and 76 Substations

in future.

UPPER

YEYWA

(280 MW)

SINEDIN

(76.5 MW)

KANZAUK

28

S

N

EW

80

BALUCHAUNG-3

(48 MW)

4

120

THAUK-YE-KHAT-2

(120 MW)14

SITTAUNG

4

MINHLA

130

11

13

KUTKHAI

Figures in black color near Transmission Lines indicate the line length in miles.

80

YE

82

THAHTAY

CHAUNG

(111 MW)

ANN

40

INGON

PATHEIN

THARYARGONE

BALUCHAUNG-2

(6x28 MW)

THATON

MAWLAMYINE

MOEGOKE

HLAINGTHARYARATHOKE

73

SHWESARYAN

OHNTAW

OKSHITPIN

TAUNGOO

100

MYITTHA

(40 MW)

HAKA

THEINNI

FALAM

20

30

THAINGIN

KONHEIN

MONG-NAUNG

MONG-HSU

38

NAUNG

MONG

MINE YAL

MYITKYINA

140

SHWELI (3)

( 1050 MW )

UPPER

KENG TAWNG

(51 MW)

MAEI

KYAUK PHYU

NGAPYAWDAING

SHWEDAUNG

KAMARNAT

MYAUNG TAGAR

SHWEMYO

NAMSAN

35

90

35

MOGAUNG

NABAR

40

75

55

TOUNGUP

42

YENGBYE

MANSAN

90

THAPYAYWA

95

WINEMAW10

TANT YANN

33

HOPONG

25

20

11

WANSIN

146

14SANE

TAUNGTAWKWIN

35

76

Future Plan of Myanmar Power Grid 13. 5.2011

NAYPYITAW-1

100

96

30

MAUBIN

117

5.31

MANN

70

60

HSI

HSAING

DAGON(EAST)

10

THAKETA

230 kV ( Future )

132 kV ( Future )

66 kV ( Future )

500 kV ( Future )

Hydro-power Station ( Existing )

Hydro-power Station ( Future )

Power Station

132 kV ( Existing )

230 kV ( Existing )

66 kV ( Existing )

Substation

132 kV ( Future )

230 kV ( Future )

66 kV ( Future )

500 kV ( Future )

Transmission Line

132 kV ( Existing )

66 kV ( Existing )

230 kV ( Existing )

Sr.

No.

Voltage

Level

Line

(mile)

Substation

(MVA)

1. 500kV 263 1500

2. 230kV 1697.31 1400

3. 132kV 85 100

4. 66kV 342 130

Total 2,387.31 3,130

For the short term plan, 35

projects of transmission

line and substations within

year 2011-12 to 2015-16

have to be implemented.

Transmission Lines and Substations (Future Plan)

53

Conclusion on Demand Forecast of 30 years plan

-Three scenarios were prepared based only on historical

consumption and assumed the growth of demand.

-Project demand based on consumer categories, divers of energy

etc., were not considered in demand forecast.

-There was neither separation of the domestic demand and

demand for export. Export demand forecast is about 40 % of the

annual demand forecast.

-Since 2001, it has not been revised in a systematic manner

though some update has been carried out.

Myanma electrical outlook u kyaw swar soe naing

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