Mutual fund

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Transcript of Mutual fund

Page 1: Mutual fund
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Mutual Fund

The following are some of the more popular definitions of a Mutual Fund:

A Mutual Fund is an investment tool that allows small investors access to a well-diversified portfolio

of equities, bonds and other securities. Each shareholder participates in the gain or loss of the fund.

Units are issued and can be redeemed as needed. The fund's Net Asset Value (NAV) is determined

each day.

Mutual Funds are financial intermediaries. They are companies’ set up to receive your money, and

then having received it, make investments with the money Via an AMC. It is an ideal tool for people

who want to invest but don't want to be bothered with deciphering the numbers and deciding whether

the stock is a good buy or not. A mutual fund manager proceeds to buy a number of stocks from

various markets and industries. Depending on the amount you invest, you own part of the overall fund.

The beauty of mutual funds is that anyone with an investible surplus of a few hundred rupees can

invest and reap returns as high as those provided by the equity markets or have a steady and

comparatively secure investment as offered by debt instruments.

There are several benefits from investing in a Mutual Fund.

Small investments: Mutual funds help you to reap the benefit of returns by a portfolio spread across a wide spectrum of companies with small investments. Such a spread would not have been possible

without their assistance.

Professional Fund Management: Professionals having considerable expertise, experience and

resources manage the pool of money collected by a mutual fund. They thoroughly analyse the markets

and economy to pick good investment opportunities.

Spreading Risk: An investor with a limited amount of fund might be able to to invest in only one or

two stocks / bonds, thus increasing his or her risk. However, a mutual fund will spread its risk by

investing a number of sound stocks or bonds. A fund normally invests in companies across a wide

range of industries, so the risk is diversified at the same time taking advantage of the position it holds.

Also in cases of liquidity crisis where stocks are sold at a distress, mutual funds have the advantage of

the redemption option at the NAVs.

Transparency and interactivity: Mutual Funds regularly provide investors with information on the value of their investments. Mutual Funds also provide complete portfolio disclosure of the investments

made by various schemes and also the proportion invested in each asset type. Mutual Funds clearly

layout their investment strategy to the investor.

Liquidity: Closed ended funds have their units listed at the stock exchange, thus they can be bought

and sold at their market value. Over and above this the units can be directly redeemed to the Mutual

Fund as and when they announce the repurchase.

Choice: The large amount of Mutual Funds offers the investor a wide variety to choose from. An

investor can pick up a scheme depending upon his risk / return profile.

Regulations: All the mutual funds are registered with SEBI and they function within the provisions of strict regulation designed to protect the interests of the investor.

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Concept

A Mutual Fund is not an alternative investment option to stocks and bond; rather it pools the money of

several investors and invests this in stocks, bonds, money market instruments and other types of

securities.

A Mutual Fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who share a common

financial goal. The money thus collected is then invested in capital market instruments such as shares,

debentures and other securities. The income earned through these investments and the capital

appreciation realised are shared by its unit holders in proportion to the number of units owned by

them. Thus a Mutual Fund is the most suitable investment for the common man as it offers an

opportunity to invest in a diversified, professionally managed basket of securities at a relatively low

cost. The flow chart below describes broadly the working of a mutual fund:

Mutual Fund Operation Flow Chart

Anybody with an investible surplus of as little as a few hundred rupees can invest in mutual funds.

The investors buy units of a fund that best suit their investment objectives and future needs. A Mutual

Fund invests the pool of money collected from the investors in a range of securities comprising

equities, debt, money market instruments etc. after charging for the AMC fees. The income earned and

the capital appreciation realised by the scheme, are shared by the investors in same proportion as the

number of units owned by them.

Returns from a Mutual Fund

Capital Appreciation: An increase in the value of the units of the fund is known as capital

appreciation. As the value of individual securities in the fund increases, the fund's unit price increases.

An investor can book a profit by selling the units at prices higher than the price at which he bought the

units.

Dividend Distribution: The profit earned by the fund is distributed among unit holders in the form of

dividends. Dividend distribution again is of two types. It can either be re-invested in the fund or can be

on paid to the investor.

It’s different from portfolio management schemes

In case of mutual funds, the investments of different investors are pooled to form a common investible

corpus and gain/loss to all investors during a given period are same for all investors while in case of

portfolio management scheme, the investments of a particular investor remains identifiable to him.

Here the gain or loss of all the investors will be different from each other.

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It’s different from Bank Deposit

When you deposit money with the bank, the bank promises to pay you a certain rate of interest for the

period you specify. On the date of maturity, the bank is supposed to return the principal amount and

interest to you. Whereas, in a mutual fund, the money you invest, is in turn invested by the manager,

on your behalf, as per the investment strategy specified for the scheme. The profit, if any, less

expenses of the manager, is reflected in the NAV or distributed as income. Likewise, loss, if any, with

the expenses, is to be borne by you.

It’s not only investing in equities

Mutual funds can be divided into various types depending on asset classes. They can also invest in

debt instruments such as bonds, debentures, commercial paper and government securities apart from

equity. Every mutual fund scheme is bound by the investment objectives outlined by it in its

prospectus. The investment objectives specify the class of securities a mutual fund can invest in.

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Net Asset Value (NAV)

Net Asset Value (NAV) is the actual value of one unit of a given scheme on any given business day.

The NAV reflects the liquidation value of the fund's investments on that particular day after

accounting for all expenses. It is calculated by deducting all liabilities (except unit capital) of the fund

from the realisable value of all assets and dividing it by number of units outstanding.

The NAVs are published in financial newspapers and also available on the AMFI website on a daily

basis.

Can the NAV of a debt fund fall?

A debt fund invests in fixed-income instruments, where safety of capital and regular returns are

assured. These include Commercial Paper, Certificates of Deposit, debentures and bonds. While the

rate of interest on these instruments stays the same throughout their tenure, their market value keeps

changing, depending on how the interest rates in the economy move.

A debt fund's NAV is the market value of its portfolio holdings at a given point in time. As interest

rates change, so do the market value of fixed-income instruments - and hence, the NAV of a debt fund.

Thus it is a misnomer that the debt fund's NAV does not fall.

Load

The charge collected by a Mutual Fund from an investor for selling the units or investing in it.

When a charge is collected at the time of entering into the scheme it is called an Entry load or Front-

end load or Sales load. The entry load percentage is added to the NAV at the time of allotment of

units.

An Exit load or Back-end load or Repurchase load is a charge that is collected at the time of

redeeming or for transfer between schemes (switch). The exit load percentage is deducted from the

NAV at the time of redemption or transfer between schemes.

Some schemes do not charge any load and are called "No Load Schemes"

What is the Repurchase or Back End Load?

It is the charge collected by the scheme when it buys back the units from the unit holders.

What is CDSC?

Contingent Deferred Sales Charge (CDSC) is a charge imposed on unit holders exiting from the

scheme within 4 years of entry. It is intended to enable the AMC to recover expenses incurred for

promotion or propagation of the scheme.

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Or

Sometimes the selling expenses of the fund are not charged to the fund directly but are recovered from

the unit holders whenever they redeem their units. This load is called a CDSC and is inversely

proportional to the period of unit holding.

What is the difference between contingent deferred sales load and an exit load?

Contingent Deferred Sales charge (CDSC) is a charge imposed when the units of a fund are redeemed

during the first few years of ownership. Under the SEBI Regulations, a fund can charge CDSC to unit

holders exiting from the scheme within the first four years of entry.

Exit load is a fee an investor pays to a fund whenever he redeems his/her units. As per SEBI

regulations, the maximum exit load applicable is 7%. There is a further stipulation by SEBI that the

entry load and exit load put together cannot exceed 7% of the sale price.

What is a Sale Price?

It is the price paid by an investor when investing in a scheme of a Mutual Fund. This price may

include the sales or entry load.

What is a Redemption/Repurchase Price?

Redemption or Repurchase Price is the price at which an investor sells back the units to the Mutual

Fund. This price is NAV related and may include the exit load.

Switching

Switching facility provides investors with an option to transfer the funds amongst different types of

schemes or plans. Investors can opt to switch units between Dividend Plan and Growth Plan at NAV

based prices. Switching is also allowed into/from other select open-ended schemes currently within

the Fund family or schemes that may be launched in the future at NAV based prices.

While switching between Debt and Equity Schemes, one has to take care of exit and entry loads.

Switching from a Debt Scheme to Equity scheme involves an entry load while the vice versa does not

involve an entry load.

What is the applicable NAV for switch?

Switch requests are effected the day the request for switch is received. The Applicable NAV for the

switch will be the NAV on the day that the request for switch is received.

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Track the performance of the Fund

Besides the NAV, are there any other parameters, which can be compared across different funds of the same category?

Besides Net Asset Value the following parameters should be considered while comparing the funds:

AVERAGE RETURNS

An investor should look at the returns given by the fund over a period of time. Care should be taken to

see whether all dividends and bonuses have been accounted for. The higher and more consistent the

returns the better is the fund.

VOLATILITY

In addition to the returns one should also look at the volatility of the returns given by the fund.

Volatility is essentially the fluctuation of the returns about the mean return over a period of time. A

fund giving consistent returns is better than a fund whose returns fluctuate a lot.

CORPUS SIZE

A Large corpus is generally considered good because large funds have lower costs, as expenses are

spread over large assets but at the same time a large corpus has some inefficiency too. A large corpus

may become unwieldy and thus difficult to manage.

PERFORMANCE VIS A VIS BENCHMARK OTHER SCHEMES

An investor should not only look at the returns given by the scheme he has invested in but also

compare it with benchmarks like BSE Sensex, S & P Nifty, T-bill index etc depending on the asset

class he has invested in. For a true picture it is advised that the returns should also be compared with

the returns given by the other funds in the same category.

Thus it is prudent to consider all the above-mentioned factors while comparing funds and not rely on

any one of them in isolation. This is important because as of today there is no standard method for

evaluation of un-traded securities.

Does out performance of a benchmark index always connote good performance?

No, it is not necessary that out performance of a benchmark index always connote good performance.

The volatility does not permit the investor to rely on one factor only. The index performance is

volatile and may be driven by a few scrips only, which may not be very reflective. So it is better to

keep other factors like risk adjusted returns (volatility of returns) and NAV movement in mind while

deciding to invest in a fund.

Does higher return necessarily mean a better fund?

Yes, on the face of it high return does connote good fund but there is also some a risk taken by the

scheme to achieve these returns. Thus it is prudent to measure risk also while considering returns to

rank a scheme. Today there are a lot of statistical tools like Beta, Sharpe ratio, Alpha and Standard

Deviation to measure this risk. A risk adjusted return is the best measure to use while judging a

scheme. You can also refer to the ratings assigned by a reputed rating agency.

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What should one keep in mind while choosing a good mutual fund?

Each individual has different financial goals, based on lifestyle, financial independence and family

commitments and level of incomes and expenses and many other factors. Thus before investing your

money you need to analyze the following factors:

Define the Investment objective

Your financial goals will vary, based on your age, lifestyle, financial independence, family

commitments and level of income and expenses among many other factors. Therefore, the first step

should be to assess your needs. You can begin by defining the investment objectives, which could be

regular income, buying a home or finance a wedding or educate your children or a combination of all

these needs. Also your risk appetite and cash flow requirements need to be taken into account.

Choose the right Mutual Fund

Once the investment objective is clear in your mind the next step is choosing the right Mutual Fund

scheme. Before choosing a mutual fund the following factors need to be considered:

� NAV performance in the past track record of performance in terms of returns over the last few

years in relation to appropriate yardsticks and other funds in the same category.

� Risk in terms of volatility of returns

� Services offered by the mutual fund and how investor friendly it is.

� Transparency, which is reflected in the quality and frequency of its communications.

Go for a proper combination of schemes:

Investing in just one Mutual Fund scheme may not meet all your investment needs. You may consider

investing in a combination of schemes to achieve your specific goals.

Why do Mutual Funds come out with different schemes?

A Mutual Fund may not, through just one portfolio, be able to meet the investment objectives of all

their Unit holders. Some Unit holders may want to invest in risk-bearing securities such as equity and

some others may want to invest in safer securities such as bonds or government securities. Hence, the

Mutual Fund comes out with different schemes, each with a different investment objective.

What is a Systematic Investment Plan?

This is an investment technique where you deposit a fixed, small amount regularly into the mutual

fund scheme (every month or quarter as per your convenience) at the then prevailing NAV (Net Asset

Value), subject to applicable load.

What is a Systematic Withdrawal Plan?

The unitholder may set up a Systematic Withdrawal Plan on a monthly, quarterly or semi-annual or

annual basis to redeem a fixed number of units.

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Recurring sales expenses

The Asset management Company may charge the fund a fee for operating its schemes, like trustee fee,

custodian fee, registrar fee, transfer fee etc. This fee is called recurring expense and is expressed as a

percentage of the scheme's average net assets. The recurring expenses are subject to certain limits as

per the regulations of SEBI

.

WEEKLY AVERAGE NET ASSETS

RS.

EQUITY SCHEMES DEBT SCHEMES

FIRST 100 CRORES 2.50% 2.25%

NEXT 300 CRORES 2.25% 2.00%

NEXT 300 CRORES 2.00% 1.75%

BALANCE ASSETS 1.75% 1.50%

Debt Funds

What are Money Markets and money market instruments?

Money markets allow banks to manage their liquidity as well as provide the Central Bank means to

conduct monetary policy. Money markets are markets for debt instruments with maturity up to one

year.

The most active part of the money market is the call money market (i.e. market for overnight and term

money between banks and institutions) and the market for repo transactions. The former is in the form

of loans and the latter are sale and buyback agreements - both are obviously not traded. The main

traded instruments are Commercial Papers (CPs), Certificates of Deposit (CDs) and Treasury Bills (T-

Bills).

Commercial Paper

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A Commercial Paper is a short term unsecured promissory note issued by the raiser of debt to the

investor. In India Corporates, Primary Dealers (PD), Satellite Dealers (SD) and Financial Institutions

(FIs) can issue these notes.

It is generally companies with very good ratings which are active in the CP market, though RBI

permits a minimum credit rating of Crisil-P2. The tenure of CPs can be anything between 15 days to

one year, though the most popular duration is 90 days. Companies use CPs to save interest costs.

Certificates of Deposit

These are issued by banks in denominations of Rs 5 lakh and have maturity ranging from 30 days to 3

years. Banks are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity of less than one year while financial institutions

are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity of at least one year.

Treasury Bills

Treasury Bills are instruments issued by RBI at a discount to the face value and form an integral part

of the money market. In India Treasury Bills are issued in four different maturities - 14 days, 90 days,

182 days and 364 days.

Apart from the above money market instruments, certain other short-term instruments are also in

vogue with investors. These include short-term corporate debentures, bills of exchange and

promissory notes.

What are debt markets and debt market instruments?

Typically those instruments that have a maturity of more than a year and the main types are -

Government Securities (G-secs or Gilts)

� Like T-bills, RBI on behalf of the Government issues gilts. These instruments form a part of the

borrowing program approved by Parliament in the Finance Bill each year (Union Budget). Typically,

they have a maturity ranging from 1 year to 20 years.

� Like T-Bills, Gilts are issued through the auction route but RBI can sell/buy securities in its Open

Market Operations (OMO). OMOs include conducting repos as well and are used by RBI to

manipulate short-term liquidity and thereby the interest rates to desired levels

The other types of Government Securities are

� Inflation linked bonds

� Zero coupon bonds

� State Government Securities (State Loans)

Bonds/Debentures

What is the difference between bonds and debentures?

World over, a debenture is a debt security issued by a corporation that is not secured by specific

assets, but rather by the general credit of the corporation. Stated assets secure a corporate bond, unlike

a debenture. But in India these are used interchangeably.

A bond is a promise in which the issuer agrees to pay a certain rate of interest, usually as a percentage

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of the bond's face value to the investor at specific periodicity over the life of the bond. Sometimes

interest is also paid in the form of issuing the instrument at a discount to face value and subsequently

redeeming it at par. Some bonds do not pay a fixed rate of interest but pay interest that is a mark-up on

some benchmark rate.

Typically PSUs, Public Financial Institutions and Corporates issue bonds. Another distinction is SLR

(Statutory Liquidity Ratio) and non-SLR bonds. SLR bonds are those bonds, which are approved

securities by RBI, which fall under the SLR limits of banks.

Statutory liquidity ratio (SLR): It is the percentage of total deposits a bank has to keep in approved

securities.

What affects bond prices?

Largely it will be the interest rates and credit quality of the issuer.

� Interest Rates: The price of a debenture is inversely proportional to changes in interest rates that

in turn is dependent on various factors. When the interest rates fall down, the existing bonds will

become more valuable and the prices will move up until the yields become the same as the new bonds

issued during the lower interest rate scenario (for a detailed explanation see "what affects interest

rates").

� Credit Quality: When the credit quality of the issuer deteriorates, market expects higher interest

from the company and the price of the bond falls and vice versa.

Another factor that determines the sensitivity of a bond is the "Maturity Period" - a longer maturity

instrument will rise or fall more than a shorter maturity instrument.

What affects interest rates?

The factors are largely macro-economic in nature –

� Demand/Supply of money: When economic growth is high, demand for money increases,

pushing the interest rates up and vice versa.

� Government Borrowing and Fiscal Deficit: Since the government is the biggest borrower in the

debt market, the level of borrowing also determines the interest rates.

On the other hand, supply of money is done by the Central Bank by either printing more notes or

through its Open Market Operations (OMO).

� RBI: RBI can change the key rates (CRR, SLR and bank rates) depending on the state of the

economy or to combat inflation. RBI fixes the bank rate, which forms the basis of the structure of

interest rates and the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR), which

determines the availability of credit and the level of money supply in the economy.

(CRR is the percentage of its total deposits a bank has to keep with RBI in cash or near cash assets and

SLR is the percentage of its total deposits a bank has to keep in approved securities. The purpose of

CRR and SLR is to keep a bank liquid at any point of time. When banks have to keep low CRR or

SLR, it increases the money available for credit in the system. This eases the pressure on interest rates

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and interest rates move down. Also when money is available and that too at lower interest rates, it is

given on credit to the industrial sector that pushes the economic growth)

� Inflation Rate: Typically a higher inflation rate means higher interest rates. The interest rates

prevailing in an economy at any point of time are nominal interest rates, i.e., real interest rates plus a

premium for expected inflation. Due to inflation, there is a decrease in purchasing power of every

rupee earned on account of interest in the future; therefore the interest rates must include a premium

for expected inflation. In the long run, other things being equal, interest rates rise one for one with rise

in inflation.

Yield Curve

The relationship between time and yield on securities is called the Yield Curve. The relationship

represents the time value of money - showing that people would demand a positive rate of return on

the money they are willing to part today for a payback into the future.

A yield curve can be positive, neutral or flat.

• A positive yield curve, which is most natural, is when the slope of the curve is positive, i.e. the

yield at the longer end is higher than that at the shorter end of the time axis. This is as a result of

people demanding higher compensation for parting their money for a longer time into the future.

• A neutral yield curve is that which has a zero slope, i.e. is flat across time. This occurs when

people are willing to accept more or less the same returns across maturities.

• The negative yield curve (also called an inverted yield curve) is one of which the slope is

negative, i.e. the long-term yield is lower than the short-term yield. It is not often that this happens and

has important economic ramifications when it does. It generally represents an impending downturn in

the economy, where people are anticipating lower interest rates in the future.

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Yield to Maturity (YTM)

Simply put the annualised return an investor would get by holding a fixed income instrument until

maturity. It is the composite rate of return of all payouts and coupon.

What is Average Maturity Period?

It is a weighted average of the maturities of all the instruments in a portfolio.

What are LIBOR and MIBOR?

LIBOR: Stands for London Inter Bank Offered rate. This is a very popular benchmark and is issued

for US Dollar, GB Pound, Euro, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and the Japanese Yen. The British

Bankers Association (BBA) asks 16 banks to contribute the LIBOR for each maturity and for each

currency. The BBA weeds out the best four and the worst four, calculates the average of the remaining

eight and the value is published as LIBOR.

MIBOR: Stands for Mumbai Inter Bank Offered Rate and is closely modeled on the LIBOR.

Currently there are two calculating agents for the benchmark - Reuters and the National Stock

Exchange (NSE). The NSE MIBOR benchmark is the more popular of the two and is based on rates

polled by NSE from a representative panel of 31 banks/institutions/primary dealers.

Credit Ratings

Credit Rating is an exercise conducted by a rating organisation to evaluate the credit worthiness of the

issuer with respect to the instrument being issued or a general ability to pay back debt over the

specified period of time. The rating is given as an alphanumeric code that represents a graded structure

or creditworthiness. Typically the highest credit rating is that of AAA and the lowest being D (for

default). Within the same alphabet class, the rating agency might have different grades like A, AA and

AAA and within the same grade AA+, AA- where the "+" denotes better than AA and "-" indicates the

opposite. For short-term instruments of less than a year maturity, the rating symbol would be typically

"P" (varies depending on the rating agency).

In India, currently we have four rating agencies -

• CRISIL

• ICRA

• CARE

• Fitch

What is the "SO" in a rating?

Sometimes, debt instruments are so structured that in case the issuer is unable to meet repayment

obligations, another entity steps in to fulfill these obligations. A bond backed by the guarantee of the

Government of India may be rated AAA (SO) with the SO standing for structured obligation.

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Forex Markets

How is a currency valued?

The floating exchange rate system is a confluence of various demand and supply factors prevalent in

an economy like –

Current account balance: The trade balance is the difference between the value of exports and

imports. If India is exporting more than it is importing, it would have a positive trade balance with

USA, leading to a higher demand for the home currency. As a result the demand will translate into

appreciation of the currency and vice versa.

Inflation rate: Theoretically, the rate of change in exchange rate is equal to the difference in

inflation rates prevailing in the 2 countries. So, whenever, inflation in one country increases relative to

the other country, its currency falls down.

Interest rates: The funds will flow to that economy where the interest rates are higher resulting in

more demand for that currency

Speculation: Another important factor is the speculative and arbitrage activities of big players in

the forex market which determines the direction of a currency. In the event of global turmoil, investors

flock towards perceived safe haven currencies like US dollar resulting in a demand for that currency.

What are the implications of currency fluctuations on debt markets?

Depreciation of a currency affects an economy in two ways, which are in a way counter to each other.

On the one hand, it makes the exports of a country more competitive, thereby leading to an increase in

exports. On the other hand, it decreases the value of a currency relative to other currencies, and hence

imports like oil become dearer resulting in an increase of deficit.

What does one mean by a currency being over valued? What is Real Effective Exchange Rate

(REER)?

When RBI says that the rupee is overvalued, they mean that it has been appreciating against other

major currencies due to their weakening against dollar, which might impact the competitiveness of

India's exports.

REER is the change in the external value of the currency in relation to its main trading partners. It is

Rupee's value on a trade-weighted basis. It takes into account the Rupee's value not only in terms of

dollar but also Euro, Yen and Pound Sterling.

The exchange rates versus other major currencies are average weighted by the value of India's trade

with the respective countries and are then converted into a single index using a base period which is

called the nominal effective exchange rate. But the relative competitiveness of Indian goods increases

even when the nominal effective exchange rate remains unchanged when the rate of price increases of

the trading partner surpasses that of India's. Taking this into account, prices are adjusted for the

nominal effective exchange rate and this rate is called the "Real Effective Exchange Rate."

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EQUITY FUNDS

What are equity assets?

Corporate can raise money in two ways; by either borrowing (debt instruments) or issuing stocks

(equity instruments) that represent ownership and a share of residual profits. The equity instruments

are in turn typically of two types - common stock and preferred stocks.

Common stock (or a share)

This represents an ownership position and provides voting rights.

Preferred stock

It is a "hybrid" instrument since it has features of both common stock and bonds. Preferred-stock

holders get paid dividends which are stated in either percentage-of-par (the value at which the stock is

issued) or rupee terms. If the preferred stock had a Rs.100 par value, then a Rs.6 preferred stock would

mean that a Rs. 6 per share per annum in dividends will be paid out. This fixed dividend gives a bond-

like characteristic to the preferred stock.

How does an investor in equities make money?

Investors get returns on their investments in two ways - dividend and capital gains. The former

depends on earning levels of the particular company and the decision of its management. The latter

arises happens when the market price of the shares rises above the level at which the investment was

made.

For instance, if you invested Rs 10000 by buying 100 shares of a company at a price of Rs.50 and sold

all the 100 shares later at a price of Rs.100, you would have made a capital gain of Rs.5000.

Sale value of Shares (Rs.100 x 100) Rs.10,000

Value of original investment (Rs.50 x 100) Rs. 5,000

Capital gain Rs. Rs.5,000

Why do stock prices move up and down?

The market price of a particular share is dependent on the demand/supply for that particular scrip. If

the players in the market feel that a particular company has a track record of good performance or has

the potential to do well in the future, the demand for the shares of the company increases and players

are willing to pay higher prices to buy the share. And since the number of shares issued by the

company is constant at a given point in time, any increase in demand would only increase the market

price.

Fluctuations in a stock's price occur partly because companies make or lose money. But that is not the

only reason. There are many other factors not directly related to the company or its sector. Interest

rates, for instance. When interest rates on deposits or bonds are high, stock prices generally go down.

In such a situation, investors can make a decent amount of money by keeping their money in banks or

in bonds.

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Money supply may also affect stock prices. If there is more money floating around, some of it may

flow into stocks, pushing up their prices. Other factors that cause price fluctuations are the time of

year and public sentiments. Some stocks are seasonal, i.e. cyclical stocks; they do well only during

certain parts of the year and worse during other parts. Publicity also affects stock prices. If a

newspaper story reports that Xee Television has bought a stake in Moon Television, odds are that the

price of Xee's stock will rise if the market thinks its a good decision. Otherwise it will fall. The price

of Moon Television stocks may also go up because investors may feel that it is now in better hands.

Thus, many factors affect the price of a stock.

What are main approaches used for analysing stocks and forecasting future movements?

The behaviour of the price movement of a stock is said to predict its future movement. One such

approach is called technical analysis and is based on the historical movements of the individual stocks

as well as the indices. Their belief is that by plotting the price movements over time, they can discern

certain patterns, which will help them to predict the future price movements of the stocks. On the other

hand we have "fundamental analysis", where the forecasting is done on the basis of economic,

industry and company data. Technical analysis is used more as a supplement to fundamental analysis

rather than in isolation.

Equity markets

These are markets for financial assets that have long or indefinite maturity i.e., stocks. Typically such

markets have two segments - primary and secondary markets. New issues are made in the primary

market and outstanding issues are traded in the secondary market (i.e., the various stock exchanges)

There are three ways a company can raise capital in the primary market –

1. Public Issue: Sale of fresh securities to the public

2. Rights Issue: This is a method of raising capital existing shareholders by offering additional

securities to them on a pre-emptive basis.

3. Private Placement: Issuers make direct sales to investor groups i.e., there is no public issue.

Bonus Issues:

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Instead of cash dividends, investors receive dividends in the form of a stock. The investor receives

more shares when a bonus issue is announced.

For example, when there is a bonus issue in the ratio of 1:1, the number of shares owned by an

investor would double in number. However, the market price of the share would decrease as well at

times the decrease might not be proportionate to the extent of bonus because market players might

push the price up if they view the bonus issue as a positive development.

Some companies might announce bonus issues to bring the market price of its share to a more popular

range and also promote active trading by increasing the number of outstanding shares.

Stock Splits

Whenever a stock split occurs, the company ends up with more outstanding shares, which will not

only have a lower market price but also lower par value. Stock splits are prompted when the company

thinks its stock price has risen to a level that is out of the "popular trading range".

For example, X Corporation has 1 million outstanding shares. The par value is Rs.10 and the current

market price is Rs.1000 per share. If the management feels this price is resulting in a decrease in

trading volumes, they can declare a 1-for-1 split. By doing this, there will be 2 million outstanding

shares with a par value of Rs.5 and a theoretical market price of Rs.500 per share. Sometimes when

the market price is very low, the company might announce a "reverse split" which has the opposite

effect of the normal stock split.

In the case of splits, there is no change in the reserves and surplus of the company unlike the bonus

issue.

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ADRs and GDRs

American Depositary Receipt (ADR)

A security issued by a company outside the U.S. which physically remains in the country of issue,

usually in the custody of a bank, but is traded on U.S. stock exchanges. ADRs are issued to offer

investment routes that avoid the expensive and cumbersome laws that apply sometimes to non-citizens

buying shares on local exchanges. The first ADR was issued in 1927. ADRs are listed on the NYSE,

AMEX, or NASDAQ.

Global Depository Receipt (GDR)

Similar to the ADR described above, except the GDR is usually listed on exchanges outside the U.S.,

such as Luxembourg or London. Dividends are usually paid in U.S. dollars. The first GDR was issued

in 1990.

They are shares without voting rights. The ratio of one depository receipt to the number of shares is

fixed per scrip but the quoted prices may not have strict correlation with the ratio. Any foreigner may

purchase these securities whereas shares in India can be purchased on Indian Stock Exchanges only by

NRIs or PIOs or FIIs. The purchaser has a theoretical right to exchange the receipt without voting

rights for the shares with voting rights (RBI permission required) but in practice, no one appears to be

interested in exercising this right.

Margin trading

Securities can be paid for in cash or a mix of cash and some borrowed funds. Buying with borrowed

funds permits the investors to buy a security at a good price at a good time. This act of borrowing

money from a bank or a broker to execute a securities transaction is referred to as using "margin". As

of now in India, only brokers are allowed to provide the margins. Traders can put up part of the

payment. Brokers borrow the remaining funds from a moneylender with whom they would lodge the

shares as collateral for the loan. The safety of this mechanism rests on the risk management

capabilities of both the stockbroker and the lender.

However, recently SEBI has proposed to RBI that banks could lend to exchanges on margin trading

and the exchanges could provide assistance to brokers. When this happens, the volumes should

increase in the markets making them more vibrant.

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Derivatives

A derivative is an instrument whose value is derived from the value of one or more underlying

security, which can be commodities, precious metals, currency, bonds, stocks, stocks indices, etc. Four

most common examples of derivative instruments are Forwards, Futures, Options and Swaps.

What are the derivative products that are currently allowed in India?

The index futures were introduced in June 2000. One year later, index options and stock options were

introduced as SEBI banned the age-old badla system (which was a combination of both forward and

margin trading).

What are index futures?

In a forward contract, two parties irrevocably agree to settle a trade at a future date, for a stated price

and quantity. No money changes hands at the time the trade is agreed upon.

Currently in India, index futures are allowed. These are nothing but future contracts with the

underlying security being the cash market index.

Index futures of different maturities would trade simultaneously on the exchanges. For instance, BSE

may introduce three contracts on BSE sensitive index for one, two and three month’s maturities. These

contracts of different maturities may be called near month (one month), middle month (two months)

and far month (three months) contracts. The month in which a contract will expiry is called the

contract month. For example, contract month of "Nov. 2001 contract" will be November 2001.

All these contracts will expire on a specific day of the month (expiry day for the contract) say on last

Wednesday or Thursday or any other day of the month; this would be defined in the contract

specification before introduction of trading.

What are Options?

Options give a buyer the right to buy a scrip and the seller the right to sell a scrip at a pre-determined

price on a particular date. Unlike futures contract, there is no obligation only a "right" There are two

types of Options:

1) Call Option: Here, the buyer decides to buy scrip at a particular price on a particular date. For

e.g. the buyer takes a call Option on RIL @Rs.150 after 3 months. For this, he pays a premium, which

is determined by the demand-supply equation. For e.g., if a particular stock is in favour with investors,

there would be more people willing to buy the stock at a future date, resulting in a higher premium. In

this example, let us assume the premium is Rs.10.

2) Put Option: This is used to manage downside risk. A seller today agrees to sell TISCO

@Rs.130 after 3 months and pays the required premium. If the price of TISCO is in excess of Rs.130,

he decides not to sell and loses the premium (which is the profit of the Option Writer). However, if the

price is below Rs.130, he "calls" his right and cushions his loss.

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The Option Buyer has the right to exercise his choice of buying or selling in the Call and Put Option

respectively. The Option Writer or Seller has to meet his commitment based on the choice exercised

by the Option Buyer.

Options have finite maturities. The expiry date of the Option is the last day (which is pre-determined)

when the owner can exercise his Option.

What are the main differences between options and futures?

� With futures, both parties are obligated to perform. With options only the seller (writer) is

obligated to perform.

� With options, the buyer pays the seller (writer) a premium. With futures, either party pays no

premium.

� With futures, the holder of the contract is exposed to the entire spectrum of downside risk and

has the potential for all the upside return. With options, the buyer limits the downside risk to the

option premium but retains the upside potential.

� The parties to a futures contract must perform at the settlement date. They are not obligated to

perform before that date. The buyer of an options contract can exercise any time prior to the expiration

date.