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Mutual FundReview

October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund October 20 2009 | Mutual Fund

November 19, 2009 | Mutual Fund Mutual Fund Review

Mutual Fund Review

April 25, 2016

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ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail MF Research

Note: Whenever, returns for the scheme are shown in the report, they are for the growth option of the scheme.

Mutual Fund Review

Equity Markets ....................................................................................... 2 Debt Markets.......................................................................................... 2 MF industry synopsis ............................................................................ 3 MF Category Analysis............................................................................ 5 Equity funds......................................................................................... 5 Equity diversified funds....................................................................... 6 Equity Infrastructure fund.................................................................... 7 Equity Banking Funds.......................................................................... 8 Equity FMCG........................................................................................ 8 Equity Pharma Funds .......................................................................... 9 Equity Technology Funds.................................................................... 9

Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) ....................................................... 10

Balanced funds ............................................................................... 11

Monthly Income Plans (MIP) .......................................................... 11

Arbitrage Funds .............................................................................. 12

Debt funds ...................................................................................... 13 Liquid Funds ...................................................................................... 14 Income funds..................................................................................... 15 Gilt Funds ........................................................................................ 16 Gold ETFs: Medium term outlook benign............Error! Bookmark not

defined. Model Portfolios .................................................................................. 20

Equity funds model portfolio.......................................................... 20 Debt funds model portfolio ............................................................ 21

Top Picks.............................................................................................. 22

April 25, 2016

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Page 2

Equity Markets Update

After witnessing selling pressure since the start of 2016 and correcting ~12% in the first two months before the Union Budget, Indian equity markets rebounded sharply post Budget and recouped all of its losses

Positive global markets, recovery in global commodity prices including crude oil, no major negative announcement in the Budget with respect to taxing long term capital gains, etc, and value buying at lower levels were major factors behind the sharp recovery from lower levels

India Meteorological Department’s (IMD) announcement of expectation of normal monsoons in its first forecast for the season cheered the markets. The IMD has predicted that rains in 2016 would be between 104 and 110% of the long-term average

Inflation continues to surprise on the positive side with CPI for the March 2016 rising just 4.83%, hitting a six-month low. The fall in CPI exceeded expectation, the major surprise stemming from softening vegetable prices, which grew only 0.7% YoY, supported by benign pulses prices, which declined 1.9% MoM. Since vegetables and fruits prices have moderated and no other component poses upside risk, food inflation is expected to remain benign, going forward

Mutual funds in their usual value approach invested | 13274 crore during January and February 2016 when the markets were declining. They were net sellers in March and April at around | 11000 crore when the markets were rising

Beaten down sectors like banking, real estate, capital goods and auto outperformed since Budget in the market recovery. The healthcare sector underperformed on the back of negative regulatory issues resulting in profit booking by many institutional investors

Outlook

Global markets also seem to have stabilised after a rebound in commodity prices, particularly crude oil. The further economic stimulus measures announced by the European Central Bank (ECB) and improving US economic data provided the much needed sentiment boost for global investors. Importantly, emerging markets witnessed the return of foreign inflows with most emerging markets outperforming in March 2016 on rising expectation that the next hike in US interest rates could be somewhat delayed. The US dollar fell in value against all emerging market currencies indicating the risk on trade

Markets have triggered a positive structural turnaround during the current up move post Budget session bottom of 6825 as the index has posted a faster retracement of a major falling segment for the first time in 13 months

We expect the markets to enter a consolidation phase, going forward, to work off the overbought conditions developed after the strong rally in March. In the coming month, we expect the broader consolidation to pan out in the range of around 24000 to 26000 on Sensex levels while stock specific activity will remain in focus at the onset of quarterly earnings season. We believe any dips to form a higher bottom in the coming month should be used as an incremental buying opportunity. We do not foresee the benchmarks going below the near term base of around 24000 levels on the BSE Sensex

CNX Nifty: Market rebounds sharply regaining losses for the year post Budget

6500

7000

7500

8000

8500

9000

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Apr

-16

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Midcap, small cap outperform Sensex…

3.5 4.

3 5.0

7.3 7.3

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

BSE Sensex

BSE 100 BSE 500 BSE Midcap

BSE Small Cap

Retu

rn (%

)

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research Returns : March 18, 2016– April 18, 2016

Auto, realty deliver highest return among all sectors

2.3 2.5 3.3 3.

5

3.8 4.1

4.3

4.4 5.

5 7.0 7.9

13.3

0

3

6

9

12

15

Heal

thc…

PSU

Bank

ing

Sens

ex

Met

al IT

FMCG

Oil &

Gas

Con.

Dura

Cap.

Go…

Aut

o

Real

ity

Retu

rn (%

)

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research Returns : March 18, 2016– April 18, 2016

Research Analyst

Sachin Jain [email protected]

Isha Bansal [email protected]

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Page 3

Debt Markets Update

In line with market expectations, the Reserve Bank of India cut the repo rate by 25 bps to 6.5%. MSF was reduced by 75 bps to 7% while reverse repo was increased by 25 bps to 6%, thereby reducing the policy corridor to +/- 50 bps from +/- 100 bps previously. This move was to fine tune the alignment of weighted average call rate (WACR) to the repo rate and reduce variability in the metric

Key takeaways on important aspects:

a Liquidity: RBI has differentiated its liquidity management framework into short-term liquidity management and durable liquidity management. Short-term liquidity management will be driven by the need to supply or withdraw short-term liquidity from the market to accommodate seasonal and frictional liquidity needs such as the build-up of government balances and demand for cash during festivals and elections. The durable liquidity management will include modulating net foreign assets (NFA) and net domestic assets (NDA) growth over the course of the year, broadly consistent with the demand for liquid assets to meet transaction needs of the economy to facilitate growth. NDA includes purchase and sale of domestic bonds through OMOs. Detailed guidelines are being issued separately by the RBI

b Inflation: Inflation trajectory remains on a projected path with target for FY17 at 5.1% and for FY18 at 4.2%. The probability of upside risk is higher due to Seventh Pay Commission and OROP

c Future rate cuts: RBI’s baseline and professional forecasters' projections indicate repo rate at 6.25% indicating one more rate cut of 25 bps in FY17

d Growth projections: RBI’s assessment of global growth is still muted. It also perceives a risk that the uneasy calm in global markets since the January sell-off can be dispelled by a sudden risk off on incoming data. The domestic growth assessment is much more sanguine

The policy was largely centred on addressing the critical concern of elevated systemic liquidity deficit. Liquidity has worsened significantly in recent months on the back of a rise in government balances with the RBI and currency in circulation. The central bank highlighted its intention to focus on meeting requirements of durable liquidity (i.e. core liquidity) and then streamline steps to address short-term liquidity to ensure that it remains at around 0% of the total NDTL of banking system from current 1% (| 80000 crore). The market expects OMO to the tune of | 15000 crore per month to be required to achieve RBI’s durable liquidity target, which will be positive for long term yields

Outlook

The overall liquidity measures announced are extremely positive for funds at the sort to medium term maturity papers. Therefore, bulk of the debt investment should be in good quality short-term debt funds. Ultra short-term debt fund and liquid funds are likely to benefit from the fall in short-term yields

Although the outlook on G-sec yields remains positive, the duration strategy should be played through actively managed income or dynamic bond funds. They will be able to make swift duration change within G-secs or switch between corporate bonds and G-Sec within specific duration

The 10 year G-sec yields correct 32 bps post Union Budget FY16

7.47.57.67.77.87.98.0

Jul-1

5

Aug-

15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Apr-1

6

Yiel

d (%

)

Source: Bloomberg

CPI March at 4.83% well within RBI's limit of 6%

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Mar

-15

May

-15

Jul-1

5

Sep-

15

Nov

-15

Jan-

16

Mar

-16

%

CPI Inflation

6% target

Source: Bloomberg

G-sec yields shift lower for all maturities while dropping maximum for short dated securities

7.17.4 7.5

7.47.4

7.47.6

7.5

7.07.17.27.37.47.57.67.7

1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr

Yiel

d (%

)

18-Apr-16 18-Mar-16

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Corporate bond yield curve shifts lower for all maturities

7.9 8.0 8.1 8.28.3 8.4 8.5

8.6

7.47.67.88.08.28.48.68.8

1yr 3yr 5yr 10 yr

Yiel

d (%

)

18-Apr-16 18-Mar-16

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

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Page 4

MF industry synopsis In FY16, there was an inflow of | 103288 crore into the Indian mutual

fund industry. Out of the total inflow, | 74024 crore came into Equity and ELSS funds. Income funds were able to collect an amount of | 14738 crore in FY16. Total AUM at the end of FY16 was | 1232824 crore, increasing 14% YoY, of which 46% was held by income funds and 31% by equity funds

Exhibit 1: Growth of total industry AUM over the years…

300000

500000

700000

900000

1100000

1300000

FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Total AUM Growth (YoY)(RHS)

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com, Research

Exhibit 2: Category-wise inflow/outflow for FY16 & FY15…

-10000

10000

30000

50000

70000

EQUI

TY

BALA

NCE

D

LIQU

ID/M

ONEY

MAR

KET

INCO

ME

ELSS

- EQ

UITY

GILT

GOLD

ETF

s

OTHE

R ET

Fs

FY16 FY15

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com, Research

Exhibit 3: Category-wise AUM share at the end of FY16 of major AMCs

0%

20%

40%

60%

80% Equity % Debt% Others%

Source: ACE MF, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 4: AUM share March 2016…share of equity AUM maintained YoY

Income, 46%

Gilt, 1%Money

Market, 16%

Gold ETFs , 1%

Equity, 32%

Other ETFs, 1% FOF(Overseas), 0%

Balanced, 3%

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 5: Top ten AMCs based on Average AUM

1758

81

1757

79

1584

08

1365

03

1067

81

1063

09

6694

7

5849

5

5212

9

3913

3

1485

59

1616

34

1371

24

1197

52

7494

2

9275

1

7044

4

4137

8

5171

5

3783

8

25000

50000

75000

100000

125000

150000

175000

200000

Ipru

MF

HDFC

MF

Relia

nce

MF

Birla

Sunl

ife M

F

SBI M

F

UTI M

F

Fran

klin

Tem

pelto

nKo

tak

Mah

indr

a

IDFC

MF

DSP

Blac

kRoc

k

| Cr

Mar-16 Mar-15

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 6: Fastest Growing AMCs in FY16

0%

40%

80%

120%

Edel

wei

ss

Mot

ilal

Mira

e

Indi

abul

ls

SBI

Axis

Kota

kM

ahin

dra

LIC

Nom

ura

IIFL

Baro

daPi

onee

r

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

YoY Growth in AUM Total AUM (| Cr.)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

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Page 5

MF Category Analysis

Equity funds Midcap and large cap funds witnessed a decline in their returns with the

category average return of one year mid cap funds delivering -1.9% and large cap funds delivering -6.5% returns

Among sector funds, all funds delivered negative returns with IT as exception delivering positive return of 3.7% over one year period.

Exhibit 7: IT, FMCG clear winners (returns as on April 18, 2016)

3.7

-0.5

-1.9

-4.6

-4.9

-6.5

-9.1

-13.

3

25.9

14.8

29.6

26.3

19.4

14.9 16.4

7.2

13.8 19

.1

18.1 21

.0

11.4

9.3

5.4

4.1

-20-15-10

-505

101520253035

Technology FMCG Mid cap Pharma Diversified Large Cap Infrastructure Banking

Retu

rns

(%)

1 year 3 Year 5 year

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, ICICIdirect.com Research ; Returns over one year are compounded annualised returns

Exhibit 8: Equity funds witness outflows after two years of consecutive inflow

665163245840

848110584

1007612273

6133

9156

5444 6269

6379

3644

2914 2522

-1370-4500-2500-50015003500550075009500

1150013500

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Net inflow (Equity + ELSS)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 9: Equity AUM increases in March 2016 on price appreciation

3194

7834

0936

3457

3934

5139

3451

2936

5166

3723

1339

3602

3817

2338

6517

3967

6540

2671

4056

6238

4350

3546

4238

6403

150000200000250000300000350000400000450000

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5A

pr-1

5M

ay-1

5Ju

n-15

Jul-1

5A

ug-1

5Se

p-15

Oct-1

5N

ov-1

5De

c-15

Jan-

16Fe

b-16

Mar

-16

| la

kh C

rore

Equity +ELSS

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 10: Deployment of equity funds

Allocation Banks Software Pharma AutoConsumer

Non-DurablesFinance Petroleum Construction Cement

Industrial Products

| crore 82196 41563 31617 27526 24134 23716 18230 16477 15876 14583

% of total 19.9 10.1 7.7 6.7 5.9 5.8 4.4 4.0 3.9 3.5

Source: Sebi, ICICIdirect.com Research, Sector Classification (as per Amfi)

There was inflow of | 74024 crore into equity funds in

FY16 but the equity AUM increased by | 41264 crore only.

This was mainly led by decline in market value

Exposure to banks and finance stocks together account for

the highest proportion with 25% of equity assets followed

by technology and pharma

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Page 6

Equity diversified funds

Equity diversified funds witnessed a sharp fall of 5% last year. Midcap funds were outperformers falling only 2% during last year whereas large caps funds dropped 6.5% against the BSE Sensex return of 2.6% as on April 18, 2016

After witnessing selling pressure since the start of 2016 and correcting around 12% in first two months before the Union Budget, Indian equity markets rebounded sharply post Budget and recouped almost all losses

The beaten down sectors like banking, real estate, capital goods and auto outperformed since budget in the market recovery. The healthcare sector underperformed on the back of negative regulatory issues resulting into profit booking by many institutional investors

Global markets also seem to have stabilised after a rebound in commodity prices, particularly crude oil. The further economic stimulus measures announced by the European Central Bank (ECB) and improving US economic data provided the much needed sentiment boost for global investors. Importantly, emerging markets witnessed the return of foreign inflows with most emerging markets outperforming in March 2016 on rising expectation that the next hike in US interest rates could be somewhat delayed. The US dollar fell in value against all emerging market currencies indicating the risk on trade

Markets have triggered a positive structural turnaround during the current up move post Budget session bottom of 6825 as the index has posted faster retracement of a major falling segment for the first time in 13 months

We expect the markets to enter a consolidation phase, going forward, to work off the overbought conditions developed after the strong rally in March. In the coming month, we expect the broader consolidation to pan out in the range of around 24000 to 26000 on Sensex levels while stock specific activity will remain in focus at the onset of quarterly earnings season. We believe any dips to form a higher bottom in the coming month should be used as an incremental buying opportunity. We do not foresee the benchmarks going below the near term base of around 24000 levels on BSE Sensex

Recommended funds Large cap

Birla Sunlife Frontline Equity ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Equity SBI Bluechip

Diversified

Franklin India Prima Plus Fund Reliance Equity Opportunities ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund

Midcap

HDFC Mid-Cap Opportunities Fund Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund SBI Magnum Global Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Short term: Positive Long-term: Positive

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Equity Infrastructure fund The investment cycle, which has been under pressure for the last few

years, has started showing sign of green shoots as the government is focusing on infrastructure development (accounts for ~60% of planned investment vs. ~50% few years back). Furthermore, instances of stalled projects in the government vertical have come down sharply whereas the private sector is still seeing a slow recovery in stalled projects

We have also analysed the pattern of tendering in the last 18 months, which further validates that the government is reviving the investment cycle as the government accounts for ~99% of total tenders floated

In terms of segments, road, railways, water and power T&D lead the recovery, which will continue, going ahead, into FY17E as well. Out of total tenders floated during FY16, the share of the above segments comprised ~64.9% of the overall tendering activity

Going ahead, while we believe there would be opportunities in infrastructure, we remain selectively positive on the sector

Preferred Picks

Franklin Build India Fund L&T Infrastructure Fund ICICI Prudential Infrastructure Fund

Refer www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

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Page 8

Equity Banking Funds FY16 has been a tough year for banks with significant addition to NPAs,

SDR and 5/25 cases resulting from troubled corporate in infra, metals, textile and power

PSU banks saw 51% YoY surge in GNPA to | 390443 crore, leading to provisions doubling QoQ to | 43158 crore. PSBs reported a first loss after several years in bottomline at | 11003 crore for Q3. With lower credit growth remaining a hindrance (PSU - 8.8% YoY) and pressure of NPA still hovering around led by RBI’s asset quality review, we do not believe banks will see any near term improvement either in balance sheet or profitability. Capital raising will add further pressure as barring top banks most need capital in the near term. We are cautious on PSU banks for the next two or three quarters

On the other hand, though private banks reported a profit of | 11364 crore in Q3FY16, still asset quality pain remained significant for them. Private banks also saw higher stress with 46% GNPA surge to | 45577 crore and 66% NNPA surge to | 20349 crore. Strong topline growth enabled a better performance in private banks. Corporate exposure in pain sectors of large private banks will hurt them warranting higher provisions. However, better capital position will safeguard near term balance sheet as well as P/L concerns on RoE and RoA. We expect private banks to continue to outperform but sticking to quality large caps is recommended

We continue to maintain our underperform stance on the sector.   Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential Banking & Financial Services Reliance Banking Fund UTI Thematic - Banking Sector Fund

Refer to www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

Equity FMCG Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to witness ~12.3% revenue

growth as we believe the expected normal monsoon may spur volume growth from rural India perspective while urban recovery continues to remain slow. Benign input costs are likely to limit the extent of price-led sales growth

On the back of subdued commodity prices, RM cost (percentage of sales) for our coverage universe is expected to fall ~100 bps. However, we believe companies would increase promotional spends significantly to drive volume growth. This is expected to lead to a marginal increase in operating margins. We expect elevated margins for FMCG companies in near term. Our FMCG coverage universe is expected to witness ~16.5% increase in net profit.

We expect GST implementation to lead to a reduction in logistic cost, a simplified tax structure and level playing field for organised players in categories dominated by highly unorganised entities

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential FMCG Fund SBI FMCG Fund

Refer www.icicidirect.com

for details of the fund

View Short-term: Negative Long-term: Neutral

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Neutral

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Page 9

Equity pharma funds We expect pharma universe revenue, EBITDA and PAT to grow at a

CAGR of 15.5%, 16.6% and 19.9% respectively, in FY16-18E

After outperforming the broader indices for five fiscals, the Nifty Pharma Index underperformed, thanks to scores of USFDA related cGMP issues which weighed on the sentiments. Paradoxically the fiscal witnessed highest number of USFDA product approvals in the last five years. We expect some spill over effect in the 1st half of FY17 as well.

We continue to maintain our positive view on the sector on the back of earning visibility, consistent operating cash flows, healthy operating margins, relatively low leverage and strong return ratios

Preferred Picks

Reliance Pharma Fund SBI Pharma Fund UTI-Pharma & Healthcare

Refer to www.icicidirect.com

for details of the fund

Equity Technology Funds

Most of the Tier-I IT companies reported average 1.8% QoQ dollar revenue growth in Q4FY16 (marginally below our 2.2% growth estimates) vs. 0.5% in Q3FY16 and 1.2% decline in Q4FY15. Constant currency revenues grew 2.2% as dollar growth was negatively impacted (~40-50 bps) by cross currency headwinds. Overall results for the latest quarter were mainly in line with market expectation. Inorganic investments were key margin headwinds partially offset by currency tailwinds and operational efficiency. CY16E IT budget commentary was consistent while FY17E earnings commentary was stable led by healthy deal signings and traction in digital technologies

Operationally, discretionary spending remains healthy in the US while Europe rebounded and led quarterly growth. Insurance, telecom and oil & gas verticals are structurally challenged and growth continues to be uneven

The average rupee has depreciated 6.4% during FY16 and could aid margins leading to earnings upgrade in FY17E. Upsides could be in line with earnings upgrades given blended valuations are at ~16x FY17E earnings. However, sharp sell-offs should be used to accumulate given long-term growth prospects

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential Technology Fund DSPBR Technology fund

Refer to www.icicidirect.com for

details of the fund

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Neutral

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

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Page 10

Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) In India, three kinds of ETFs are available: Equity index ETFs, liquid

ETFs and gold ETFs

An equity index ETF tracks a particular equity index such as the BSE Sensex, NSE Nifty, Nifty Junior, etc

An equity index ETF scores higher than index funds on several grounds. The expense of investing in ETFs is relatively less by 0.50-1.00% in comparison to an index fund. The expense ratio for ETFs is in the range of 0.50-0.75%, excluding brokerage, while for index funds the expense ratio varies in the range of 1.0-1.5%. However, brokerage (which varies) is applicable on ETFs while there are no entry loads now on index funds

Tracking error, which explains extent of deviation of returns from the underlying index, is usually low in ETFs as it tracks the equity index on a real time basis whereas it is done only once in a day for index funds

ETFs also provide liquidity as they are traded on stock exchanges and investors may subscribe or redeem them even on an intra-day basis. This is unavailable in index funds, which are subscribed/redeemed only on a closing NAV basis

There are over 400 ETFs traded globally. ETFs are transparent and cost efficient. The decision on which ETF to buy should be largely governed by the decision on getting exposure in that asset class

Volumes are higher only in the Goldman Sachs Benchmark ETFs and tracking error is also lowest at 0.01%. Therefore, it is our top pick for investors wanting Nifty-linked returns

CPSE ETF is a new entry in the Goldman Sachs ETF offering. The ETF invests in select 10 PSU stocks and has been listed on the exchange since April. It has delivered 16% return since its launch

Exhibit 11: CPSE ETF leads inflows

773

128

752 623

-579-334

73

-216

469

1927

10381183

722

13851190

1866

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 12: AUM increases sharply

6702

7056 7795

8060

7404

7317

7322

7170

7032 89

20 1003

111

197

1188

712

645

1284

616

063

02000400060008000

1000012000140001600018000

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5A

pr-1

5M

ay-1

5Ju

n-15

Jul-1

5A

ug-1

5Se

p-15

Oct-1

5N

ov-1

5De

c-15

Jan-

16Fe

b-16

Mar

-16

| Cr

ore

Other ETFs

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Traded volumes should be the major criterion that is used

while deciding on investment in ETFs. Higher volumes

ensure lower spread and better pricing to investors...

Tracking error, though it should be considered, is not the

deciding factor as variation among funds is not huge...

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Balanced funds Balanced funds witnessed an inflow of | 19743 crore in FY16. CY15

witnessed massive inflows in balanced funds. AUM of balanced funds has increased from | 26368 crore in March 2015 to | 39146 crore in March 2016. Over the years, the balanced space has emerged as one of the fastest growing equity categories and offers an ideal investment option for first-time equity investors

Balanced funds are hybrid funds. More than 65% of the overall portfolio is invested in equities. Hence, as per provisions of the Income Tax Act, 1961, any capital gains over one year become tax free. Also, dividends declared by funds are tax free

In case one separately invests 35% of one’s investible corpus in a debt fund, the same will be subject to higher taxation. However, if the whole corpus is invested in balanced funds, 100% shall have lower taxation applicable as mentioned above

After a sharp rally in equity markets, the funds can be a preferred investment avenue as the debt proportion serves to protect on intermediate relief rallies or the downturn while providing 65% participation on further upsides

Exhibit 13: Inflow into balanced funds remains volatile

1789

8351235

1491

11831202

4419

13581425 754

992

4511

880 941

780500

100015002000250030003500400045005000

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 14: AUM remains stable…

2449

025

792

2650

726

368

2701

528

749

3225

934

550

3466

036

633

3768

238

559

4219

341

121

3910

439

146

1300018000230002800033000380004300048000

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5A

pr-1

5M

ay-1

5Ju

n-15

Jul-1

5A

ug-1

5Se

p-15

Oct-1

5N

ov-1

5De

c-15

Jan-

16Fe

b-16

Mar

-16

| Cr

ore

Balanced

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential Balanced - Advantage Fund

HDFC Balanced Fund

Tata Balanced Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

Monthly Income Plans (MIP) An MIP offers investors an option to invest in debt with some

participation in equity, ~10-25% of the portfolio. They are suitable for investors who seek higher return from a debt portfolio and are comfortable taking nominal risk. The debt corpus of the portfolio provides regular income while the equity portion of the fund provides alpha. However, returns can also get eroded by a fall in equities

MIPs can be classified into aggressive MIP and conservative MIP based on its equity allocation. Risk averse investors should invest in MIPs with lower equity allocation to avoid capital erosion

The change in taxation announced in the Union Budget 2014, shall be applicable to MIP funds (refer to debt funds section for details)

Investors with a limited investible surplus and a lower risk

appetite but with a willingness to invest in equities can

look to invest in these funds

View Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Positive

MIP should be a preferred debt investment for funds that need to be parked for over two years

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Preferred Picks

Birla Sun Life MIP II - Savings 5 Plan

ICICI Prudential MIP 25

DSPBR MIP Fund

(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

Arbitrage Funds Arbitrage funds seek to exploit market inefficiencies that get manifested

as mispricing in the cash (stock) and derivative markets

Availability of arbitrage positions depends very much on the market scenario. A directional movement in the broader index attracts speculators in the market while cost of funding makes futures positions biased

Arbitrage funds are classified as equity funds as they invest into equity share and equity derivative instruments. Since these are classified as equity funds for taxation, dividends declared by the funds are tax free. No capital gains tax will be applicable if they are sold after a year

These funds can be looked upon as an alternative to liquid funds. However, for these funds, returns totally depend on arbitrage opportunities available at a particular point of time and investors should consider reviewing the same before investing. Returns of arbitrage funds are non-linear and, therefore, unsuitable for investors who want consistent return across time period

Arbitrage funds should be used as a liquid investment and should not be a major part of the investor’s portfolio

Availability of arbitrage positions depends very much on the market scenario. Directional movement in the broader index attracts speculators in the market while cost of funding makes future positions biased

In case of positive movement, long build-up in futures puts pricing in an upward bias and creates a window for direct arbitrage positions

On the other hand, negative bias attracts fresh sellers in the market. Speculators try to sell the stock much cheaper than theoretical prices. In such situations, reverse arbitrage opportunities arise

On the other hand, a range bound market does not give ample room to create arbitrage positions

Currently, there are few arbitrage opportunities available in the market which can lead to better returns

Preferred Picks

ICICI Prudential Equity - Arbitrage Fund – Regular IDFC Arbitrage Fund - (Regular) Kotak Equity Arbitrage Fund SBI Arbitrage Opportunities Fund

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Neutral

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Page 13

Debt funds Exhibit 15: Category average returns

8.36

8.25 8.

76

8.11

8.17 8.

56

7.54 7.79 8.

49

6.98 7.

66 8.39

6.18 7.

18 7.99

0.001.002.003.004.005.006.007.008.009.00

10.00

6 months 1 year 3year%

Income UST Liquid Income ST Income LT Gilt Funds

Source: ACE MF, ICICIdirect.com Research Note : Returns as on April 18, 2016; Returns over one year are compounded annualised returns

Exhibit 16: Deployment of funds: March 2016

CP Bank CD

Bank CD

Bank CD

Corporate Debt

0

1000

00

2000

00

3000

00

4000

00

Less than 90 days

90 days to 182 days

182 days to 1 year

1 year and above

Government Securities

CP

Bank CD

Treasury Bills

CBLO

Other Money Market Investments

Corporate Debt

PSU Bonds

Securitised Debt

Bank FD

Source: SEBI, ICICIdirect.com Research Note : Holding as percentage of total AUM

Exhibit 17: G-sec yield curve

7.47.5 7.47.4

7.4

7.67.5

7.1

7.2

7.3

7.4

7.5

7.6

7.7

1yr 3yr 5yr 10yr

Yiel

d (%

)

18-Apr-16 18-Mar-16

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 18: Corporate bond curve

7.9

8.0

8.1

8.28.38.4

8.5

8.6

7.4

7.6

7.8

8.0

8.2

8.4

8.6

8.8

1yr 3yr 5yr 10 yr

Yiel

d (%

)

18-Apr-16 18-Mar-16

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Benchmark 10 year G-Sec yield has witnessed correction of around 32bps since the Union Budget FY17

Investment into securities with maturity of less than 90 days and more than a year dominate total investments by mutual funds

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Liquid Funds Liquid fund returns moderated to 8.1-8.6% pre tax from over 9% earned

in the previous year. Liquid funds witnessed an inflow of | 17109 crore in FY16. Returns going forward is expected to be lower as money market yield curve has shifted lower on improved liquidity

The Reserve Bank of India’s proactive liquidity management operations ensured that call rates stayed range bound around the policy rate reducing day-to-day volatility. CBLO rates also hovered just above the repo rate. With an improvement in liquidity conditions, the certificate of deposit and commercial paper rates in the three month bracket also eased over 100 bps to the 7.5-8% range from 9.1-9.3%. The same is likely to moderate returns in liquid funds, going forward

For less than a year, individuals in the higher tax bracket should opt for dividend option as the dividend distribution tax @ 28.325% is marginally lower. Also, though the tax arbitrage has reduced, they still earn better pre-tax returns over bank savings (3-4%) and current accounts (0-3%)

Changes in taxation rules announced in Union Budget 2014 are also applicable to liquid funds, as post tax returns in less than a three-year period get reduced for individuals falling in the higher tax bracket (30% tax slab) and for corporates

Exhibit 19: Call rates near repo rate

56789

101112

Jul-1

4A

ug-1

4Se

p-14

Oct-1

4N

ov-1

4De

c-14

Jan-

15Fe

b-15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15Ju

l-15

Aug

-15

Sep-

15Oc

t-15

Nov

-15

Dec-

15Ja

n-16

Feb-

16M

ar-1

6A

pr-1

6

%

Call rate

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 20: …CP/CD yields

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

9.0

9.5

Jul-1

4Au

g-14

Sep-

14Oc

t-14

Nov

-14

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5Ap

r-15

May

-15

Jun-

15Ju

l-15

Aug-

15Se

p-15

Oct-1

5N

ov-1

5De

c-15

%

3M CD 3M CP

Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 21: Flows into liquid funds remain volatile on institutional activity

-50,

786

85,8

48

8,78

4

-112

,810

101,

592

-15,

657

-47,

330

89,9

78-7

0,48

9

-60,

861

103,

306

-42,

059 -5,2

60

2,45

5

20,0

39

-58,

605

-200,000

-160,000

-120,000

-80,000

-40,000

0

40,000

80,000

120,000

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 22: AUM decreases in March 2016

1784

9126

5358

2760

7016

2562

2667

2225

3899

2069

7930

0738

2341

4117

8507

2766

5523

6486

2329

7023

6700

2579

8619

9404

80000

130000

180000

230000

280000

330000

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5A

pr-1

5M

ay-1

5Ju

n-15

Jul-1

5A

ug-1

5Se

p-15

Oct-1

5N

ov-1

5De

c-15

Jan-

16Fe

b-16

Mar

-16

| Cr

ore

Money Market

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

View Neutral

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Page 15

Preferred Picks

HDFC Cash Management Fund - Savings Plan SBI Magnum InstaCash Reliance Liquid Fund - Treasury Plan

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

Income funds In income funds category, long term debt funds delivered 7.66%

absolute return last year (as on April 18, 2016) as 10-year G-sec yields have corrected to 7.46 levels from 7.78 levels after the Union Budget

Yields on longer duration securities, particularly government securities, continue to trade in a narrow range in the year 2015. The yields after started correcting since February 2016

Overall, the direction of the G-Sec yield remains southward given the overall improvement in macro economic data. However, higher supply particularly from state governments because of higher UDAY bonds may continue to put pressure on yields. Therefore, dynamic bond funds are better placed than pure duration or G-Sec funds

Short-term debt funds remain a stable performing category, especially in the current volatile environment. Credit funds with reasonable credit quality should be preferred over an aggressive credit fund

Exhibit 23: Income funds witness outflows in March

-1,6

3212

,163

-152

-8,9

27 -2,5

10 4,20

55,

861

21,7

13

12,6

71

-26,

717

22,8

752,

474

-25,

875

15,0

14-9

25-1

4,04

8

-30,000

-20,000

-10,000

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5A

pr-1

5M

ay-1

5Ju

n-15

Jul-1

5A

ug-1

5Se

p-15

Oct-1

5N

ov-1

5De

c-15

Jan-

16Fe

b-16

Mar

-16

Net

Inflo

ws

(| .C

r)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 24: AUM decreases on account of outflows 50

2154

5202

3452

2366

5157

7351

4628

5221

7852

8900

5558

8457

1089

5495

6357

5324

5791

1855

5364

5719

3357

1192

5654

59

300000350000400000450000500000550000600000

Dec-

14Ja

n-15

Feb-

15M

ar-1

5A

pr-1

5M

ay-1

5Ju

n-15

Jul-1

5A

ug-1

5Se

p-15

Oct-1

5N

ov-1

5De

c-15

Jan-

16Fe

b-16

Mar

-16

| Cr

ore

Income

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

Recommended funds

Ultra Short Term Funds Birla Sun Life Savings Fund ICICI Prudential Flexible income

Short Term Funds Birla Sunlife short term fund HDFC Short Term Fund ICICI Pru Short Term Plan

Short Term Funds – Credit opportunities Birla Sunlife Short Term opportunities term HDFC Corporate debt opportunities ICICI Prudential Regular Savings

Long term/Dynamic Birla Sunlife income plus ICICI Prudential Dynamic Bond Fund IDFC dynamic bond fund

(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Ultra-short term: Neutral

Short-term: Positive Long-term: Positive

Ultra-short-term fund returns are attractive on risk adjusted basis Short-term funds will benefit as the bond curve reverts to an upward slopping curve. Credit opportunities funds earn the highest accrual and are the best in the category Dynamic bond funds are suitable for all types of investors and for longer duration. They can take exposure to all durations as per the interest rate outlook and switch between G secs and corporate bonds

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Page 16

Gilt Funds Gilt funds delivered 7.18% absolute one year return as on April 18, 2016

as lower inflation. The government’s adherence to fiscal discipline by maintaining the fiscal deficit target for FY16-17 at 3.5% and a sharp cut in small saving deposit rates have led to a much anticipated rally in G-Sec yields. Benchmark 10 year G-Sec yield has witnessed a correction of around 35 bps in the last month

The liquidity situation was tight at the start of the year 2016 but eased off significantly post March

Inflation is not a policy concern currently with the RBI Governor saying inflation remains on a projected trajectory. Overall, assuming normal monsoon and current levels of oil and exchange rates, the RBI expects CPI to be 'inertial' and be around 5% by the end of FY17. However, it emphasises that implementation of the Seventh Pay Commission has not been factored in these projections whereas risks remaining broadly in the balance from monsoon and geopolitical events

The RBI has increased the FPI limit in government bonds to 5% of total outstanding government securities in a staggered manner by March 2018. Currently, FPI holding is 3.8%. The change in FPI limits has further opened up room for | 1,20,000 crore in central government securities by March 2018. All these augur well for debt funds, especially duration funds

The central government has signed a memorandum with the RBI setting out a clear inflation objective to bring the inflation rate to the mid-point of the band of 4 +/- 2%. CPI, as per our assessment, should average close to 5% for FY16 (on assumption of normal monsoons and a stable currency). The government’s commitment towards controlling price shocks and steps taken to improve the supply chain are commendable. Also, global prices have corrected sharply and are supportive ranging from crude, metal to food prices. Hence, inflation should likely stay on the intended path. This creates room for the RBI to cut rates by another 100-150 bps in the long term to earn a real return of ~1.5-2%

On the supply front, the Budget has pegged the market borrowing for FY16 at | 6 lakh crore on a gross basis and | 4.56 lakh crore on a net basis (out of this, | 2.34 lakh crore through dated securities and | 15000 through gold bonds have been scheduled for H2FY16). In Union Budget 2016-17, a fiscal deficit target of 3.5% was set for FY16-17 with net market borrowing of | 425000 crore and gross borrowing of | 6 lakh crore. The market was expecting a gross borrowing of around | 6.3 lakh to | 6.5 lakh crore

Although the outlook on G-Sec yields remains positive, the duration strategy should be played through actively managed income or dynamic bond funds. They will be able to make swift duration change within G-secs or switch between corporate bonds and G-secs within a specific duration

Recommended funds

Birla Sun Life Gilt Plus - PF Plan - Regular ICICI Prudential LT Gilt Fund - PF Option - Regular

(Refer to www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

View Short-term: Neutral Long-term: Neutral

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Page 17

Exhibit 25: Outflows from gilt funds in March

2090

1813 20

58

1439

164

875

-279

190

143

1183

428

-80

-243 23

-572

-107

3

-1500

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Source: AMFI, ICICIdirect.com Research

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Page 18

Gold: May consolidate post sharp run up The year 2016 has turned the wave in favour of safe haven demand

amid extreme global capital market uncertainty. Global gold prices rallied around 20% since the start of 2016 till March before giving up some of its gains

Gold prices have been consolidating since March 2016 after having rallied significantly in a short period of time

Global capital markets have stabilised in the last couple of month with rebound in commodity prices, emerging market equities and currencies. The same has led to some retracement in the rally in gold prices

The overall uncertainty surrounding global growth remains along with US Federal reserve rate hike concern. These uncertainty will keep sentiment for gold supportive at lower level

Gold prices may consolidate at around current prices in the near term

The expectation of quantum of rate hike by the US Fed has declined significantly post recent turmoil in global capital markets. The market is now factoring in just one rate hike in the whole of calendar year 2016 especially post the dovish statement from the US Fed Chair. Interest rate hikes, in general, are negative for gold prices. With rate hike concerns receding, the overhang on prices also abates in the near term

The steep fall in industrial commodity prices, including crude oil led to a sharp fall in inflation and inflationary expectations across the globe and particularly in developed economies. The same led to reduced demand for gold as an inflationary hedge investment

Medium-term demand will, however, continue to be impacted by the overall global environment, particularly the US Fed rate hike trajectory

Exhibit 26: Gold prices after rallying sharply since start of 2016 on safe haven demand, hovers at same price in last one month

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Apr

-16

Price ($/Ounce)

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 27: …domestic prices follows global trend

24000

25000

26000

27000

28000

29000

30000

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Apr

-16

|

Price (|/10 grams)

Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research

Investment demand for gold is also governed by the

broader economic climate. Currently, there is a lot of

uncertainty surrounding currency devaluation, global

economic growth prospects and equity & commodity

market turmoil. The same is likely to keep demand for

gold as a safe haven asset upbeat in the near term

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Page 19

Exhibit 28: Outflows from gold ETFs continue…

-157

-165

-178 -1

49

-146

-341

-227

-105

-112

-47 -38 -32

-111

-131

-74

-111

-69

-86 -76 -5

0

-82 -5

7

-69 -4

0

-46

-81

-142

-105

-400

-200

0

Dec-

13

Jan-

14

Feb-

14

Mar

-14

Apr

-14

May

-14

Jun-

14

Jul-1

4

Aug

-14

Sep-

14

Oct-1

4

Nov

-14

Dec-

14

Jan-

15

Feb-

15

Mar

-15

Apr

-15

May

-15

Jun-

15

Jul-1

5

Aug

-15

Sep-

15

Oct-1

5

Nov

-15

Dec-

15

Jan-

16

Feb-

16

Mar

-16

Net

Inflo

w (

| Cr

)

Two years of outflow

Source: Amfi, ICICIdirect.com Research

There has been an outflow from gold ETFs in the past two

years. After the surge in gold prices since December 2015,

investors have preferred sovereign gold bonds over gold

ETFs and gold ETFs have witnessed outflows

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Page 20

Model Portfolios

Equity funds model portfolio Investors who are wary of investing directly into equities can still get returns almost as good as equity markets through the mutual fund route. We have designed three mutual fund model portfolios, namely, conservative, moderate and aggressive mutual fund portfolios. These portfolios have been designed keeping in mind various key parameters like investment horizon, investment objective, scheme ratings, and fund management. We have changed the mutual funds portfolio in July, to include midcap funds as we believe an improvement in the growth scenario may generate better alpha in midcap stocks over large cap stocks Exhibit 29: Equity model portfolio Particulars Aggressive Moderate ConservativeReview Interval Monthly Monthly QuarterlyRisk Return High Risk- High Return Medium Risk -

Medium ReturnLow Risk - Low Return

Funds Allocation % AllocationFranklin India Prima Plus 20 20 20Birla Sunlife Frontline Equity 20 20 20ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan - - 20SBI Bluechip Fund 20 20 20ICICI Prudential Value Discovery 20 20 20HDFC Midcap Opportunities 20 20

Total 100 100 100

Source: ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 30: Model portfolio performance: One year performance (as on March 31, 2016)

-1%

-6%-7%

-9%-10%-9%-8%-7%-6%-5%-4%-3%-2%-1%0%

Aggressive Moderate Conservative BSE 100

%

Aggressive Moderate Conservative BSE 100

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, ICICIdirect.com Research

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Page 21

Debt funds model portfolio We have designed three different mutual fund model portfolios for different investment duration viz. less than six months, six months to one year and above one year. These portfolios have been designed keeping in mind various key parameters like investment horizon, interest rate scenarios, credit quality of the portfolio and fund management, etc.

Exhibit 31: Debt funds model portfolio

Particulars

0 – 6 months 6months - 1 Year Above 1 Year

Objective LiquidityLiquidity with

moderate return Above FDReview Interval Monthly Monthly Quarterly

Risk ReturnVery Low Risk - Nominal Return

Medium Risk - Medium Return

Low Risk - High Return

Funds AllocationUltra Short term FundsBirla SL Savings Fund 20ICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan 20Short Term Debt FundsBirla Sunlife Short Term Fund 20 20Birla Sunlife Short Term Opportunites Fund 20Reliance Regular Savingfs Fund 20HDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund 20 20ICICI Prudential Regular Savings 20ICICI Prudential Short Term Fund 20IDFC SSI Short Term 20 20UTI Short Term Income Fund 20Long Term/Dynamic Debt FundsBirla SL Income Plus 20IDFC Dynamic Bond fund 20Total 100 100 100

Time Horizon

% Allocation

Source: ICICIdirect.com Research

Exhibit 32: Model portfolio performance: One year performance (as on March 31st, 2016)

8.25 7.97

6.72

7.78 8.16 7.96

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

0-6 Months 6Months - 1Year Above 1yr

%

Portfolio Index

Source: Crisil Fund Analyser, , ICICIdirect.com Research

*Index: 0-6 month’s portfolio – Crisil Liquid Fund Index; 6 months-1 year – Crisil Short term Index Above 1 year: Crisil Composite Bond Index

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Page 22

Top Picks Exhibit 33: Category wise top picks

Category Top Picks

Largecaps Birla Sunlife Frontline equity Fund

ICICI Pru Focussed Bluechip Equity Fund

SBI Bluechip Fund

Midcaps HDFC Midcap Opportunities Fund

Franklin India Smaller Companies Fund

SBI Magnum Global Fund

Diversified Franklin India Prima Plus

Reliance Equity Opportunities

ICICI Prudential Value Discovery Fund

ELSS Axis Long Term Equity

ICICI Prudential Tax Plan

Franklin India Tax shield

Category Top Picks

Liquid Funds HDFC Cash Mgmnt Saving Plan

ICIC Pru Liquid Plan

Reliance Liquid Treasury Plan

Ultra Short Term Birla Sunlife Savings Fund

Reliance Medium Term Fund

ICICI Pru Flexible Income Plan

Short Term Birla Sunlife Short Term FundHDFC Short Term Opportunities Fund

ICICI Pru Short Term Plan

Credit Opportunities Fund Birla Sunlife Short Term Opportunities Plan

Reliance Regular Savings Fund

ICICI Prudential Regular Savings

Income Funds ICICI PrudenIncome Fund

Birla Sun Life Income Plus - Regular Plan

UTI Bond Fund

Gilts Funds ICICI Pru Gilt Inv. PF Plan

Birla Sunlife Constant Maturity 10 year

gilt plan

MIP Birla Sunlife Savings 5Aggressive ICICI Prudential MIP 25

DSP Blackrock MIP

Equity

Debt

(Refer www.icicidirect.com for details of the fund)

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Page 23

Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]

ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No. 7, MIDC, Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 093

[email protected] Disclaimer ANALYST CERTIFICATION We Sachin Jain, CA and Isha Bansal, MBA (Fin) Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or Funds. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Terms & conditions and other disclosures: ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) AMFI Regn. No.: ARN-0845. Registered office of I-Sec is at ICICI Securities Ltd. - ICICI Centre, H. T. Parekh Marg, Churchgate, Mumbai – 400020. India ICICI Securities Limited is a Sebi registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000990. ICICI Securities is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock broking and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, distribution of financial products etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which are available on www.icicibank.com. ICICI Securities is one of the leading distributors of Mutual Funds and participate in distribution of Mutual Fund Schemes of almost all AMCs in India. The selection of the Mutual Funds for the purpose of including in the indicative portfolio does not in any way constitute any recommendation by ICICI Securities Limited (hereinafter referred to as ICICI Securities) with respect to the prospects or performance of these Mutual Funds. The investor has the discretion to buy all or any of the Mutual Fund units forming part of any of the indicative portfolios on icicidirect.com. Before placing an order to buy the funds forming part of the indicative portfolio, the investor has the discretion to deselect any of the units, which he does not wish to buy. Nothing in the indicative portfolio constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the investor's specific circumstances. The details included in the indicative portfolio are based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. The funds included in the indicative portfolio may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgement by any investor. The investor should independently evaluate the investment risks. ICICI Securities and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this indicative portfolio. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. ICICI Securities may be holding all or any of the units included in the indicative portfolio from time to time as part of our treasury management. ICICI Securities Limited is not providing the service of Portfolio Management Services (Discretionary or Non Discretionary) to its clients. Mutual fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. Kindly note that such research recommended funds in indicative portfolio are not based on individual risk profile of each customer unless a customer has opted for a paid Investment Advisory Service offered by I-Sec. Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. The information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Securities Limited. The contents of this mail are solely for informational purpose and may not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments or any other product. While due care has been taken in preparing this mail, I-Sec and affiliates accept no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of any inaccurate, delayed or incomplete information nor for any actions taken in reliance thereon. 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