MTN South Africa · 7 Increased focus on data South Africa Overall costs flat YoY −Increased...
Transcript of MTN South Africa · 7 Increased focus on data South Africa Overall costs flat YoY −Increased...
MTN South Africa Investor Presentation
MTN South Africa
May 2015
2
Agenda
MTN South Africa Investor Presentation
Time Tuesday 26 May 2015 MTN participants
08h30 Coffee
09h00 MTN South Africa overview Ahmad Farroukh
10h00 Marketing Larry Annetts
11h00 Tea break
11h30 Technology Eben Albertyn
12h30 Lunch
13h30 Enterprise Business Alpheus Mangale
14h30 Financial review Sandile Ntsele
15h30 Looking ahead and closing remarks Ahmad Farroukh
Overview
MTN South Africa
Ahmad Farroukh
Agenda
01
Key highlights
02
Operating context
01 Key highlights
6
Turnaround evidenced in 2H14 continued
South Africa
Subscriber growth
− Recorded muted subscriber growth for Q1 2015 to
28.0 million
• Post-paid subscribers 5.4 million
• Pre-paid subscribers 22.6 million
− Data subscribers up 18.1% YoY to 17.2m
Revenue
− Total minutes declined 6.1% QoQ
− Data revenue now accounts for 27.7% of total
revenue, up 21.8% YoY
− Blended ARPU decreased by 4.8% to R87
5 477 5 419 5 402
21 224 22 574 22 555
26 701 27 993 27 958
Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15
Total subscribers ‘000
Prepaid
Postpaid
* Not adjusted for BTS recovery
20 430 19 157 19 157
21 855 21 325 19 765
42 285 40 482 38 922
Dec 12 Dec 13* Dec 14
Revenue ZAR (million)
H2
H1
Launched Jun 1994 Market share 33.9% Population 54.0m Market size 2016 : 96m Penetration 154% Shareholding 100%
7
Increased focus on data
South Africa
Overall costs flat YoY
− Increased focus on reducing distribution costs
− Implementation of network managed services
− Transmission costs decreased due to increased
self provisioning
Focus on network quality and roll out of 3G
and LTE
− Data traffic up 62.6% YoY, total voice traffic increased
by more than 100% YoY
− 170 2G, 715 3G and 719 LTE sites added by 31
March 2015
− Significant increase of capex in 2015 is focused on
voice and data capacity and network quality
13 407 12 775 12 775
14 445 13 640 13 638
27 852 26 415 26 413
Dec 12 Dec 13* Dec 14
Expenses ZAR (million)
H2
H1
1 980 2 151 2 000
4 515 3 684 3 676
6 495 5 835 5 676
Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14
Capex ZAR (million)
H2
H1
34.1% 34.7% 32.1% EBITDA margin
02 Operating context
9
MTN SA top management structure
Ahmad Farroukh
Chief Executive Officer
MTN SA
Eddie Moyce
Chief Customer
Experience Officer
Alpheus Mangale
Chief Enterprise
Business Officer
Eben Albertyn
Chief Technology Officer
Neil Tomkinson
Chief Information Officer
Shaibu Haruna
Acting Chief Consumer
Sales & Distribution Officer
Sandile Ntsele
Chief Financial Officer
Graham de Vries
Chief Corporate
Services Officer
Larry Annetts
Chief Marketing Officer
Ike Dube
GM: Business Risk
Management
Themba Nyati
Chief Human
Resources Officer
10
Operating environment
OTT impacts
• Whatsapp launches voice calling
• Vidi bundles ADSL with VOD
• Free WiFi continue to dominate
Municipality agenda
• Samsung wins the shipment race
• FTTH continue on agenda of
operators
• DSTV and Telkom bundles
Competition
• C Cell free Whatsapp extends
Promo
• C Cell shifts focus to include high-
end business market – Investment
R2.2 BN in network
• Vodacom deals with Dropbox
• Vodacom and Cell C increase
prices for post-paid
Macro overview
• Declining tariffs impacts
profitability
• Load shedding
• Possible sale of Telkom or VC
by the government
• MTR impacts felt by operators
Regulatory
• Cell C objects to Vodacom
acquisition
• Cell C turns to the courts against
ICASA’s MTR regulation
• Porting delay’s being investigated
OTT
Operators Regulatory
Macro
MTN SA
competitive
reality
11
Regulatory issues
Frequency
Rapid
deployment
Mobile
termination
rates
• MTN actively engaging with the Authorities, on operators requirements for additional spectrum
• In the interim MTN is re-farming as much existing spectrum as possible, without impacting existing service
• MTN has noted the following dates within the recently released assignment plans by ICASA
- 2.6GHz this assignment plan comes into effect immediately, and MTN expects an ITA shortly
- 800Mhz this assignment plan comes into effect 1 July 2015
- 700Mhz this assignment plan comes into effect 1 January 2016
• Infrastructure deployment is hampered by the lack of rapid deployment regulations
• It can take up to 2 years to obtain all the necessary approvals to build a site and several months to
obtain way leaves
• Without necessary regulations rollout is slow and uncoordinated
• The Cell C review of the current MTR regulations (September regulations) are continuing in
High Court
- Cell C seeks to have the September regulations set aside or corrected
- Cell C seeks to reinstate the March regulations which had greater levels of asymmetry and were
declared unlawful after court action by MTN
12
Continued
Regulatory issues
M&A activity
Universal
service
obligations
• MTN/Telkom awaits regulatory approval on its merger filing notification with the Competition
Tribunal
• MTN believes it has demonstrated that the proposed transaction
- Is pro-competitive in that it will enhance the efficiency and competitiveness:
- Will increase capacity, improve coverage and improve the call and data service quality available to each
party
- Will preserve the parties’ independent networks, retail and wholesale operations
• MTN is expected to roll out schools connectivity to 1 500 schools between now and 2018 as part
of its 3G licence obligations
• This is a significant investment consisting of 24 tablets provided for learners at each school plus
accessories
• Internet access will be provided at a 50% discount (i.e. E-rate) to schools for educational purposes
13
MTN SA Foundation
Programme clusters are based on 3 principles Partnership | Empowerment | Sustainability
Education programme Community programme Special projects
To contribute to enhancing
learning and teaching in SA
through • Educator ICT training and up-
skilling
• Learner ICT support
• School Connectivity
• Curriculum Digitisation
• R138m spend (2010-2014)
To contribute to socio-
economic development of
disadvantaged communities
in SA through • Tele-medicine and E-health
training
• Health screening & wellness
initiatives support
• Enterprise development
• Strategic Arts Partnerships in
communities
• R99m spend (2010-2014)
Raise the profile of MTN SA
as a caring corporate citizen
through • 21 days Y’ello Care
• 16 Days of Activism
• SANAA
• Heritage Day Celebrations
• Ad-hoc strategic projects
• R96m spend (2010-2014)
Marketing
MTN South Africa
Larry Annetts
Agenda
01
Sector overview
02
2015 focus areas
03
Looking ahead
01 Sector overview
17
DEFEND Telco 1.0 COMPETE Telco 1.5 WIN Telco 2.0
Battles on the telco S-curve
An evolving telco sector
(CASH COW)
Extend the curve as voice & messaging
flee to OTT
1.Out-sell competitors in 2G
2.Develop a low-cost consumer business
model (Brand/MVNO)
3.Accelerate into enterprise based on
messaging
(SHOOTING STAR)
Smart network capex
1.Combine 3G & WiFi to deliver MBB
access portfolio
2.Only compete in ‘can win’ battles
3.Develop compelling content + bundles
4.Agile OTT strategy to spread risk &
retain agility
(STAR)
Build presence ahead of the curve
1.Develop digital content & partnerships
2.Focus on local content
3.Leverage MTN global capability to be #1
4.Out-innovate the competition and shift
the focus from access (Telco 1.5) to
digital services (Telco 2.0)
Gro
wth
DEFEND, COMPETE and WIN
Time
Enterprise/business:
an untapped
opportunity
Churn increases by
competition, MNP &
multi-SIM
OTT attacking voice
and text revenues
Make core business
more efficient Intensifying
competition
Coverage, capacity
and QoS
Increasing demand for
mobile data with low-
cost $25 smartphones
Digital & adjacent
business opportunity
18
Vodacom • Launched free to use e-school platform in partnership with Dept of Education
• Introduced prepaid banking cards to M-Pesa customers enabling cashless
payment of goods and services
• Introduced a low-end LTE-capable smartphone in February 2015, retailing
at R1 500
• Upgrading of billing system enabling advanced segmented products,
promotions and new service offerings
CellC • Free Whatsapp promotion for MegaBonus promo
• Launched 3 voice bundles EasyChat tariff plan for prepaid customers
• Increased prices of prepaid, postpaid, data and other services
• 0ut-of-bundle data rate from 15c to 99c pMB and data bundle rates
• Revealed intention to focus on higher end business market – investment
budget of R2.2 billion
Telkom • Targeting SME market segment through value-added ICT functionality
• Considering the inclusion of mobile money service as part of its consumer
offering
Competitive landscape
33.6 33.0 33.9 35.2 34.4
42.6 42.4 41.4 39.4 39.1
21.4 22.2 22.2 22.7 23.7
2.4 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
MTN VC CellC Telkom mobile
Focus on quality of customer based on tenure models and value bands…
driving value share
Market share (%)
19
Drivers of customer satisfaction
During Q1 2015, MTN’s ‘network coverage’ had a negative effect for 2m of its customers, or 14% of its customer base
Vodacom had 1.2m customers (or 8% of its dissatisfied customers) who cited ‘network coverage’ as a having a negative effect on
their satisfaction
4.1m
13.0m
10.7m
3.8m
11.9m
10.3m
4.5m
13.3m
12.2m
4.4m
13.3m
12.1m
Negative effect Positive effect
53k
185k
225k
60k
343k
245k
53k
140k
244k
533k
1.2m
2.0m 75%
83%
77%
73%
75%
71%
86%
84%
85%
86%
84%
83%
14%
8%
10%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
Network coverage
Service experience
Pricing
Recharging of airtime
02
2015 focus areas
21
Six battles to fight in 2015 to improve customer satisfaction
− Simplify current propositions to improve traction − Ensure sufficient and appropriate propositions for market segments
− Keep users active (with MTN SIM live) − Develop loyalty and activity accelerators to improve retention
− Use big-data already available to improve targeting − Implement BI suite
− Marketing ecosystem in place for Telco 1.5 and 2.0 − Push MTN Play, SDP and Mobile Add Services
− Taking leadership role in LTE that will facilitate market leadership in data − Improved overall network performance
Enhance value
propositions
Reduce churn
Segmentation
Prepare for
digital era
Improved
network
− Fix distribution and compensation model − Focus on regional and informal footprint − Work on a load model rather than usage based communications model
Distribution
22
Postpaid network revenue, tracking well against budget
Postpaid
Key challenges
− Fix distribution handsets and stock that leaves
warehouse
− Upgradable base proving to be a challenge
− Improved credit vetting to decrease bad debt exposure
− Get our handset mix right
23
Prepaid
Continued below the line promotions
Focus on quality and driving the right behaviours
Continued focus on managing 30-90 day base proactively
24
Customer acquisition & churn
Reducing churn
43% S1
50% S2
3% S3
MTN H+ 12:00
17% 65%
LOW VALUE MID VALUE HIGH VALUE
18%
19% 81%
SINGLE-SIM MULTI-SIM
BLACK
92% WHITE
1% INDIAN
0% COLOURE
D
7%
43% 32%
METRO URBAN RURAL
24%
59%
REVERED UNCONVINC
ED
35%
VULNERAB
LE
5%
0% S5
5%
S4
MTN H+ 12:00
22% 50%
LOW VALUE MID VALUE HIGH VALUE
28%
7% 93%
SINGLE-SIM MULTI-SIM
BLACK
81% WHITE
3% INDIAN
1% COLOURE
D
16%
30% 18%
52%
METRO URBAN RURAL
5%
AVAILABL
E UNDECIDED
35%
INACCESSI
BLE
60%
30% S1
52% S2
10% S3
7%
S5
1% S4
MTN ACQUISITION
MTN CHURN
7%
10%
12%
12%
28%
To Have The SameNetwork As Family
/ Friends
Other
Better Promotions/ Specials
New Phone / NewContract / New
SIM Card
Cellphone / SIMCard Lost Or Stolen
4%
6%
6%
10%
60%
SIM Card /Cellphone Is
Blocked
Poor NetworkCoverage
Personal Reasons
Cellphone / SIMCard Broken /
Damaged / Faulty
Cellphone / SIMCard Lost or Stolen
25
34%
49%
38%
37%
41%
44%
45%
36%
30%
40%
43%
38%
38%
45%
30%
15%
19%
19%
18%
18%
9%
MTN Vodacom CellC
137
181
274
315
386
614
669
Contract/prepaid
New phone
Price
Separatework/business calls
On-net benefits
Two phones/dual-SIM
Network coverage
‘000
Multi-SIM usage
Key reasons for churn
The primary reason for Multi-SIM usage during this quarter became ‘Network Coverage’, as cited by 30% of all Multi-SIM
users,both MTN and Vodacom had the same proportion of customer additions who cited this reason
‘Two Phones/Dual-SIM Phone’ remained a prominent reason, and was cited by 28% of Multi-SIM users and this was followed by
‘On-Net Benefits’ (at 16%)
30%
28%
17%
14%
12%
8%
6%
26
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Using big data to improve results – prepaid
Improving segmentation
+3% +4%
+16%
Recharge performance up 4% YoY and 16% higher than the
low of 2011
2015 best performing recharge
Recharge performance up 4% on a daily basis
Q1 2014 Q1 2015
+4%
YoY recharge performance Daily recharge performance
27
Using big data to improve usage and value share
Improving segmentation
Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Blended effective rate
(Cents per minute)
+32% Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Blended ARPU
(Per month) -1%
Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Prepaid ARPU
(Per month) -1%
Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Minutes of use
(Per month)
-14%
20 940 19 664 20 185 21 777 22 574 22 555
Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Prepaid base: Closing
(Thousands) 0%
28
Tariff rebalancing
Jan 15 Plan 1 Plan 2 Plan 3 Plan 4 15-Dec
1. Continue to manage costs and remain competitive
2. Continue to measure and monitor prices against inflationary and economic conditions
3. Continue to manage and implement a pricing structure that will compensate for MTR reduction
Effective rate guidance for 2015
35 5 5
5 5
55
29
Data revenue Q1 2015 performance diagnosis
19 546 22 612 25 044 28 278 28 004 33 359
Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Thousands
+71%
Data Bundles : continue to grow increased by 43% over last quarter and 71% since Oct 2014
Continued focus on in and out
of bundle optimisation
October 2014 April 2015
InBundle 73%
OutBundle 27%
InBundle 80%
OutBundle 20%
30
14 079 14 482 15 371 16 570 17 155 17 200
Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Dec 14 Mar 14
Growing data usage from a stable customer base
Taking stock data
Prepaid ERM MB
(Cents per minute)
-25%
Prepaid Data ARPU over base
+27%
MB of use
(Per month) +15%
90 day active data user base
(Thousands)
0%
+9% +22% +12%
31
11.8 17.9 5.6 8.2
30.7
38.6 42.7
37.0 29.8
50.9
49.6 39.4
57.4 62.0
18.5
Total Vodacom MTN Cell C Heita
2 x G
3 x G
4 x G
Others
South African panel market | Smart and mobile phones
Device mix
Focus getting our device mix right
Migration from 2G – 3G – LTE further enables data growth
Fix disproportionate mix in relation to our competitors
19 9 7 1 0 Ths.
100.0 47.3 39.1 7.0 0.8 Horiz %
11.3 8.1 18.6 -15.6 2.3 ±%PY
20.4 28.2
7.2 12.0
58.0
38.1
39.7
37.9 20.5
39.7 41.4 32.1
54.9 67.5
2.3
Total Vodacom MTN Cell C Heita
2 x G
3 x G
4 x G
Others
5 3 1 0 0 Ths.
100.0 56.0 29.9 8.8 1.4 Horiz %
6.7 46.4 -29.5 71.1 52.1 ±%PY
Sales Ths. Units
(Jan 14 – Dec 14)
Sales Ths. Units
(Jan 15 – Mar 15)
Tota
l
mark
et %
32
Jan Feb Mar Apr End Dec
LTE performance strategically important
Our data usage performance
2G 3G LTE
2G 3G LTE
LTE Subscriber – active 30day base –
grew by 92% over the last 4 month –
tracking to 1.1m
+75%
Ageing of avg base per technology
6 933 127 7 607 228
469 926
1 095 651 873 464
25 399 3
0 d
ay
90
da
y
Continue to focus on LTE and 3G
Focus on getting the mix right
2G 75%
3G 15%
3G 15%
01-Jan-15 01-Feb-15 04-Mar-15 04-Apr-15 05-May-15
LTE usage
33
Achievement Service description
MTN Quiz4Moola MTN will send you an SMS to join the game
All you have to do is SMS “WIN” to 30640 to join the fun
Collect points for every answer you get right, and you stand a chance to be the lucky winner of R15 000 a day for 99 days!
And even better, you could be the grand prize winner of a whopping R1 million
3 x R100 000 monthly prizes
A runner’s up grand prize consisting of a family trip to Disney in the United States valued at R300 000
Music+ MTN Music+ is a music streaming app that allows you to (amongst others), stream and download your favourite music
Key features of the service are as follows
• Get access to the latest music content
• Enjoy online streaming of a variety of songs
• Take your music offline to enjoy anytime, anywhere
• Purchase songs using your airtime
• Manage your CallerTunez
• Gift songs to friends on the MTN network
• Create and share music play lists with the Music+ community
SDP Service Partner Services Platform
Currently have 255 services active on the platform
Top performing Services
MTN Quiz 4 Moola
Upstream gamification
Digital: value added services
03
Looking ahead
35
Looking ahead
− Strike and impact on distribution − Mix – focus on 3G and LTE handsets − Improved focus on informal distribution channels
− LTE subscribers – 700k − SIM swap process − Western Cape
− Focus on managing cost of sales
− Alignment to group strategy drive incremental growth
− Vodacom & Neotel − Cell C – up for sale − Telkom – no license sharing – broadband competition
No 1 issue in
2015 & 2016
in S&D
Network
Interconnect
Digital
Competition
impacts
− SIM swop process − Self service improvements
Customer
service
Technology
MTN South Africa
Eben Albertyn
Agenda
01
Spectrum, quality and coverage
02
Fibre and rollout
03
Capex and costs
04
Managing networks
01 Spectrum, quality
and coverage
39
Snapshot
Spectrum, network quality and coverage
− 2X11MHz FDD deployed as GSM and UMTS − 2X12MHz FDD deployed as GSM and LTE − 2X15HMz FDD deployed as UMTS
− 0.7% dropped call rate − 20%+ headroom on radio network − 0.5% Congestion
− 2G – 69% geographic and 97% population − 3G - 53% geographic and 93% population − LTE –3% geographic and 30% population
− 31% 2G sites − 38% 3G sites and 37% 3G co-located − 72% LTE − 91% of Metro LTE and 3G sites are self provided with transmission − 11,351km of fibre (34% owned and 66% leased)
− Telkom bilateral roaming agreement − Energy resilience − Network quality focus − 3G and LTE coverage parity
Spectrum
Quality stats
Coverage
Sites and fibre
Key focus
areas and
challenges
40
Geographic coverage April 2015
Spectrum, quality and coverage
41
Technology coverage
Spectrum, quality and coverage
Network Stats – EDGE, 3G-HS (HSPA & HSPA+) & LTE EDGE – Land Coverage – 842 356 km² = 68.97%
EDGE – Population Covered – 50 334 785 ( total pop – ±51.7m) = 97.23%
3G-HS – Land Coverage – 647 681 km²
3G-HS – Population Covered – 48 279 000 = 93.26%
LTE – Land Coverage – 8 843 km²
LTE – Population Coverage – 12 640 259 = 24.42 %
42
850
2 791
4 731
6000
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
Dec 2014 Jun 2015 Dec 2015 Jun 2016
MTN 3G and LTE site count
3G
LTE
MTN – 3G and LTE rollout
Spectrum, quality and coverage
3G
− Quarterly rollout of 1 400(MTN) vs 750(VC)
− Game changer is U900
− Spectrum re-farming a competitive advantage to VC’s
inability to reuse 900
− U900 coverage 1.5x that of U2100 hence effective
coverage parity
− MTN expected to catch up on coverage in Q4 2015
LTE
− LTE gap down from 1 200 to 260
− Quarterly rollout of 1 200 vs 400
− MTN expected to reach parity in Q4 2015
− Shortage of spectrum re-farming a key limitation on
speed to market
− Restriction of access to 700MHz, 800MHz and 2
600MHz a major impediment to technology growth
− Added 1 214 LTE sites in 4 months 2015
43
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
H1 2013 H1 2014 H1 2015 Target
Upgrades / Sites
Network quality – solid improvement
Spectrum, quality and coverage
− Rapid tariff drops significantly increases traffic − Networks compensate by: more towers, more spectrum or better technology − Rollout challenged by: permitting challenges, spectrum shortage, community resistance
− Main road dropped calls have increased − Speech quality challenges in some parts − Significant power challenges reduce availability
Key challenges
Quality issues
Rollout comparison
0.6% 16% 68%
2G CSSR Drops Cong
National overview
2.5% 25%
3G CSSR Drops
National overview
02 Fibre and rollout
45
National long distance fibre
Fibre and rollout
MTN Owned Fibre
− NLD1 → Germiston to New Germany – 697km – Completed: April 2013 – Live: 500G
− NLD2 → Randburg to Bloemfontein via Kimberley – 725km – Completed: July 2013 – Live: 100G
− NLD3 → Bloemfontein to Beaufort West – 544km – Completed: October 2013 – Live: 200G
− NLD4 → Beaufort West to Harrington Street – 467km – Completed: October 2013 – Live: 200G
− NLD5 → Tygerberg to East London – 1248km – Planned: ETA end 2017 – Planned: 400G
− NLD6 → East London to Durban Berea – 687km – Planned: ETA end 2017 – Planned: 400G
− NLD7 → Polokwane to Ladysmith – 722km – Planned: ETA 2017/2018 – Planned: 200G
− NLD8 → Centurion to Polokwane – 386km – Planned: ETA Q4 2015 – Planned: 100G
Leased Fibre
− NLD9 → New Doornfontein to Bloemfontein – 400km – Completed: October 2013 – Live: 200G
− NLD10 → Bloemfontein to East London– 563km – Completed: October 2013 – Live: 200G
100% Transmission Core Network availability
46
Fibre to the site
Fibre and rollout
MTN Metro Fibre
− Major metro expansion → expand into the residential
areas to enable enterprise and consumer business
− Minor metro expansion → fibre enablement in the
smaller towns for capacity expansion and increased
fibre footprint
− Capacity → upgrade key microwave backhaul sites to
fibre to enable capacity and growth in the targeted
areas
− Site builds → enable new site builds with the turnkey
site build project
Note: Includes leased fibre
Year 2010-12 2013 2014 2015 Total
No of sites 1 320 858 556 793 3 527 Distance (km) 3 751 2 436 1 581 2 220 9 988
Polokwane
Klerksdorp
Ermelo
Johannesburg
Durban
Empangeni
Bloemfontein
Kimberly
Cape Town
George
Port Elizabeth
East London
80% Major metro area coverage
47
Fibre to the home
Fibre and rollout
Suburbs
− Build suburbs → Lone Hill, Sandhurst, Beverley,
Waterkloof Ridge, La Lucia, Bryanston, Morningside,
Parkmore, River Club, Kloof, Fresnaye, Welgemoed –
266Km – Completed: 2% / 100 from 8084 houses
passed
− Wayleaves → Sunninghill, Maroeladal, Gallo Manor,
Randpark Ridge, Northcliff, Woodmead, Blue Hills AH,
Waterkloof, Broadway, Witkoppen, Morningside
Manor, Broadacres AH, Oaklands, Hyde Park,
Bedfordview, Douglasdale, Edenburg and Berea West
– 376Km – Completed: 0% / 0 from 11 423 houses
passed
Estates
− Estates acquired → Monaghan Farm, Featherbrooke
Estate, Ravens Hill and Fancourt – Completed: 1
Estate / 56 Houses Connected, 2 in build and 1 in
planning
Year 2015
Planned # houses passed 8 000 Distance (km) 267
Strategy is to target high LSM areas in the
suburbs and pass 8 000 houses in 2015
Waterkloof
Boardwalk
Highveld Blue Hills
Kyalami Lonehill
Bryanston
Constantia Kloof
Boskruin
Bedfordview
Sunward Park
Meyersdal
Northcliff
48
Fibre plans
Fibre and rollout
− Metro fibre – 3 471km by Q4 2015
− National long distance fibre – 2 433km by Q4 2015
− Fibre to the home – 267km by Q4 2015 Rustenburg Nelspruit
Secunda
Gauteng Metro
Bloemfontein
Ventersburg
KZN Metro
Port Elizabeth Metro George Metro
Cape Town Metro
49
Core network
Fibre and rollout
CS core
− Support of mobile voice services
− Situated nationally across 12 centres
PS core
− Support of mobile data services
− Situated nationally across 5 centres
VoIP core
− Support of fixed enterprise telephony
− Solutions include hosted and trunk
− National points of presence for connectivity
Circuit Core
Packet Core
VoIP CoreEnterprise
Interconnect
Internet
2G
3G
LTE
WiFi
Network Capacity Utilisation Performance Supported services
CS Core 25m Subs 18.2m Subs
ASR 77.3% Mobile voice
750k Erlang
400k Erlang
CCR 89.8%
Paging success rate 92.17%
PS Core 40m Subs 9.3m Subs PDP success rate 99.9%
Mobile data
68Gbps 21.2Gbps Paging success rate 91.47%
VoIP Core 7500 SCC 3450 SCC ASR 76.2% Enterprise telephony
50
Mobile and ISP Core
Fibre and rollout
Mobile IP core
− Collapse of GSM-PE and GPRS-PE into clustered
MBN nodes
− 30% increase in 10G port capacity
ISP network
− New CRS-3 national IP Core deployed on 10G fibre
ring
− Refresh of Data Centre network equipment in progress
− Simular core and edge architecture and equipment
deployed in ISP core to that deployed in mobile IP
Core reducing support and maintenance costs across
both networks
99.99% IP core network availability
Mobile and ISP statistics
Mobile MOM (Gb) 20.06
Total (TB) 1 122.32
ISP
International Transit Max (Gb) 28.92
Peering Max (Gb) 67.04
Local
Peering Max (Gb) 13.13
Old Max (Gb) 6.77
New Max (Gb) 9.68
IPC Max (Gb) 24.3
51
Key challenges around rollout
Fibre and rollout
Governmental
− Permitting processes take excessively long
(circa 18-36 months)
− Implementation on national legislature different in each
province
− Way leave applications tedious
Regulatory
− Slow rate of change of regulation
− Innovative world best practice network and spectrum
sharing practices not being applied in SA
− Excessively long time to approve additional
transmission spectrum
− Inability to access high demand frequencies
− Rapid deployment guidelines not being implemented
03 Capex and costs
53
0
20
40
60
80
100
20
15
Cap
ex
Ra
dio
netw
ork
Tra
nsm
issio
n
Core
Civ
ils a
nd p
ow
er
Facilitie
s
IS
2015 Capex guidance
Breakdown of 2015 Capex guidance
Capex and costs
Capex
− 2015 is an aggressive rollout plan focused on 3G and
LTE coverage party as well as quality uplift
− Significant focus on growing fibre footprint, this
includes fibre to sites, fibre to homes, metropolitan
networks and long distance fibre
Challenges
− Currency depreciation limits efficiency of Rand spend
− Electronic equipment prices show steady decline in
price, however, steel, copper and civil works have flat
or increasing prices
04 Managing networks
55
Managed services – strategy
Managing networks
Strategy
− Use of leading world class vendors
− To provide rapid scalability and leading cost efficiency
− Gain access to a resource and skill pool of 10’s of
thousands of resources and tools and processes
developed to be at the cutting edge
− Increase our scalability at short notice
− Shorter start up times of complex technological
projects
− Easier integration of all systems into a single unified
management view
56
Managed services – geographical understanding
Managing networks
If a vendor underperforms, another vendor
could take over with less disruption
− Faster scalability
Price comparisons with careful consideration
to quality and KPI’s
− The vendor to the technology specific – Huawei for
Huawei technology, Ericsson for Ericsson specific for
example
New technological developments
− This increases our speed and quality and new
technological developments
− Radio base stations are spectrum specific, but
technology agnostic
− Adding additional capacity through new spectrum to an
existing site is 60% cheaper than building a new site
BTS vendor map
57
Tower sharing
Managing Networks
Tower sharing
− Significant sharing happening between operators
− MTN has been 1.5 and 2.0 additional tenants on its
towers
Other sharing
− Industry players share other infrastructure as well,
although not as extensively; fibre and power
Outsourcing
− MTN SA currently evaluating the possibility of
partnerships to monetise its tower assets
58
Load shedding
Managing networks
Load shedding
− Sites have been dimensioned for infrequent, short
(1-2hr) interruptions; the norm over the last 20 years
− Currently outages are more frequent and longer,
requiring additional investment
− Not all sites can accept generators due to location and
smaller ground leases
− MTN to invest more than R800m in power upgrades
− Sites will have 8hr power standby
− Data centres protected with multiple layers of power
redundancy including diesel generators and tri-
generation gas turbine plants
Challenges
− Site vandalisation and battery theft remains a
persistent problem with all operators
Status
− Network availability is steadily increasing in resilience
Enterprise Business
MTN South Africa
Alpheus Mangale
Agenda
01
Strategic overview
02
Operating context
03
Looking ahead
Strategic overview 01
62
Purpose and vision
Strategic overview
− To enable and inspire growth
− Be the choice ICT partner for geographic and market expansion
Purpose
Vision
63
Strategic differentiators
Strategic overview
Choice partner for
geographic expansion
Un- or under-served
markets inclusion
Government and citizen
engagement
Cloud, intelligent network,
mobile, big data & security
Cloud, IoT, mobile,
big data & security
Cloud, IoT, big data, mobile,
security & smart machines
Technology enabler
02 Operating context
65
Strategic overview
Financial
excellence
Acquisitions and
partnerships
Customer
experience
Employee
excellence
66
Serving the enterprise market is a different business
Changing the way we work
Consumer market
Enterprise market
Able to serve large numbers of customers
(millions)
vs Built around fewer customer
(hundreds)
Customers driven by brand, price and reliability
vs Customer driven by trust and relationship, all
about end to end service and performance
Few sizes serve all vs Tailored solutions to serve specific needs
Focus on cost efficiency with short term
customer payback
vs
Focus on increasing profitability through long
term relations
67
MTN Business in SA must gear itself for turnaround
Market share: Direct sale channel
Source: BMI-T Market Sizing 2014 and MTN Product revenue 2013_2014
1 Indirect MTN Business accounts for an additional 1.7 Bn ZAR including ISPs, Mobiles VARS, M2M and ICSP
MTN Rest of market
SME
Public
& SOE
Corporate
MNC
Mobile Fixed voice ISP connectivity Other ICT Total
0.56 (11%)
5
1 (6%)
17.5
0.76 (8%)
9.86
1.28 (7%)
20
3.12 (18%)
17.67 0.06 (0%)
13.6 0.54 (5%)
10.97 0.1 (1%)
10.18 3.84 (7%)
52.42
1.78
5
2.54
8.33
0.66
4.19
1.66
7.08
1.23
4.53
2.59
2.6
1.37
3.77
3.05
1.97
0.43
0.69
0.72
1.28
0.12
0.34
Enterprise 2014 market revenue and MTN Direct revenue1
(ZAR Billions, % value share)
03 Looking ahead
69
MTN Business in turnaround strategy
Looking ahead
6 months 18 months +++
Get the basics right
Accelerate growth
Diversify
• Establish appropriate
organisational design
• People and processes
• Sales re-alignment
• KPIs
• Governance & control
• Revised business rhythm with
group and MTN SA
• 3 -5 year business plan
• Focus on SME market & GTM
• Enter un-served markets (public
sector, regions)
• Increase customer share of wallet
through new technologies and
solutions
• Develop key partnerships
• Based on re-defined strategy,
accelerate growth and capability
build-up through product and GTM
• Acquisitions and joint ventures
Deliver
Grow
Lead
70
Delivering on our strategy
Looking ahead
− Significantly improve the customer experience − Focus on go to market strategy
− Align organisation structure based on the following market segments - SME, public, private and partnerships
− Wholesale and partnership focus
− Become a challenger brand in Enterprise – a tactical leader on price − Focus on cloud services across Africa − Increase SME market share − Increase public sector market share − Focus on service in strategic and key accounts (Retain, Attack, Africa/Global) − ICT partner of choice
Customer
experience
Operating
model
Sustainable
growth
Financial review
MTN South Africa
Sandile Ntsele
72
ZAR (million) 2014 2013 % Change Change contr 2012
Mobile postpaid 10 890 10 534 3% 1% 11 248
Outgoing voice 5 272 4 805 10% 5 757
Mobile internet 4 193 4 133 1% 3 583
Messaging 1 425 1 596 -11% 1 908
Mobile prepaid 16 513 17 665 -7% -3% 18 795
Outgoing voice 12 037 13 622 -12% 15 324
Mobile internet 3 831 3 274 17% 2 625
Messaging 645 769 -16% 846
Mobile customer revenue 27 403 28 199 -3% -2% 30 043
Incoming call & messaging 2 368 3 698 -36% -3% 4 926
Broadband & ISP 1 219 1 249 -2% 0% 1 131
Other service revenue 121 103 17% 0% 103
Service revenue 31 111 33 249 -6% -5% 36 203
Devices revenue 7 226 6 963 4% 1% 5 641
Non-service revenue 585 270 117% 1% 441
Revenue 38 922 40 482 -4% -4% 42 285
Mobile internet 8 024 7 407 8% 6 208
Mobile internet
% service revenue 21% 18% 2% 15%
Revenue Lower by 3.9%, post-paid up by 3%, prepaid and incoming lower by 7% and 36% respectively
73
− 7.7m handsets distributed Devices
Revenue
− Subscribers up 8% to 5.4m − Minutes up 4% to 3.9bn − Data users of 3.7m, +4% − Data traffic of 22PB, +30%
− Subscribers up 9% to 22.6m − Minutes up 37% to 24.1bn − Data users off 13.3m, +25% − Data traffic of 14PB, +144%
− Minutes down 3% to 7.8bn − MTR of 0.20 down from 0.40
Postpaid
Prepaid
Incoming
74
Net interconnect 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
2014 NI 185 74 50 26 41 -206 -366 -310 -315
2014 MTR 0.48 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.40 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20
2014 MTR – asymmetry 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.31 0.31
Net interconnect
− Q2.Q3:asymmetry 2.2x
− Q4:asymmetry of 1.55x
− Net negative in 2014
− Net positive in 2013
− Incoming traffic of 8.4bn
− 3.3% lower YoY
− Outgoing traffic of 7.5bn
− Up 13% YoY
Net
interconnect
75
ZAR (million) 2014 2013 % Change Change contr 2012
Interconnect & roaming 3 531 3 817 7% 1% 4 624
Device and accessories 8 016 7 482 -7% -2% 6 594
Channel and distribution 5 646 6 530 14% 3% 7 807
Marketing and advertising 974 1 125 13% 1% 1 291
Network operating costs 2 923 2 621 -12% -1% 2 578
Staff costs 2 546 2 557 0% 0% 2 485
Other expenses 2 776 2 283 -22% -2% 2 473
Operating Costs 26 412 26 415 0% 0% 27 852
Operating expenditure
Lower interconnect, channel & advertising costs, flat staff costs & increased network costs
76
Operating expenditure
− Lower by 7% − Traffic 7.5bn, up 12% − MTR of 0.41, -18%
− 7.7m devices distributed
− Lower by 14% − Reduced commissions
− Sponsorship − Reduced spend
− Self-provisioning − Rent and utilities
Interconnect
Devices
Channel costs
Marketing
Network
− Reduction in staff Staff costs
− 2012 – R131 million − 2013 –R156 million − 2014 –R616 million
Bad debts
77
Income tax
Effective tax rate increased to 30.4%
2014 ETR
− Up 4.2pts
− Guarantee fee
− Impairments
2013 ETR
− Lower by 1.8pts
− MTN SP
− PY adjustment
28.0%
26.2%
30.4%
2012 2013 2014
Effective tax rates
78
ZAR (million) 2014 2013 % Change 2012
Revenue 38 922 40 482 -4% 42 285
Operating expenditure 26 413 26 415 0% 27 852
EBITDA 12 509 14 067 -11% 14 433
EBITDA margin 32.1% 34.7% -2.6% 34.1%
Depreciation 3 436 3 329 -3% 3 423
Amortisation 662 598 -11% 499
Profit from operations 8 411 10 140 -17% 10 511
Net finance costs 1 454 1 304 -12% 893
Profit before tax 6 957 8 836 -21% 9 618
Income tax expense 2 091 2 268 8% 2 689
Profit after tax 4 866 6 568 -26% 6 929
EBIT % 22% 25% -3% 25%
Effective tax rate 30% 26% 4% 28%
Capex as a % of revenue 15% 14% 0% 15%
Income statement
EBITDA margin of 32.1% and EBIT of 22%
79
ZAR (million) 2014 2013 2012
Non-current assets 30 517 26 230 24 210
Property, plant & equipment 21 791 20 123 18 852
Intangible assets 4 830 4 076 3 458
Other non-current assets 3 896 2 031 1 900
Current assets 15 104 13 103 13 798
Bank balances 2 392 3 143 3 985
Other current assets 12 712 9 960 9 813
Total assets 45 621 39 333 38 008
Capital and reserves 10 143 9 000 9 855
Non-current liabilities 19 047 15 539 13 756
Borrowings 15 713 12 826 11 163
Deferred taxation 2 435 1 934 1 720
Other non-current liabilities 899 779 873
Current liabilities 16 431 14 794 14 397
Borrowings 6 669 5 240 5 274
Taxation 120 8 24
Other current liabilities 9 643 9 546 9 099
Total equity & liabilities 45 621 39 333 38 008
Statement of financial position
Capex of R5.7bn, 15% of revenue
80
Statement of financial position
− R410k subs − Purchase price R1.3bn − Goodwill of R525m − Reduction in commissions
− 200k subs − Purchase price R408m − Goodwill of R319m
− R5.7bn − Capex % revenue 15%
Nashua
Afrihost
Capex
Looking ahead
MTN South Africa
Ahmad Farroukh
82
Delivering on our strategy
Looking ahead
− Improve employee relations − Continued engagement with regulatory authorities
− Capex focused on supporting data growth through 3G and LTE − Improve Net Promoter Score − Consistent customer service at all touch points
− Infrastructure sharing − Project Next! to be rolled out in 2016
− Data and digital services remains a priority − ICT partner of choice − Remain competitive on voice offerings
− Leadership to drive innovation to capitalise on identified opportunities − Agility and sharing best practice critical to ensure speedy go-to-market capability
Stakeholder
value
Customer
experience
Operating
model
Sustainable
growth
Innovation &
best practice
thank you
84
Disclaimer
The information contained in this document has not been verified independently. No representation or
warranty express or implied is made as to and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy,
completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. Opinions and forward
looking statements expressed represent those of the Company at the time. Undue reliance should not be
placed on such statements and opinions because by nature, they are subjective to known and unknown
risk and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors that could cause actual results and Company
plans and objectives to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward looking
statements.
Neither the Company nor any of its respective affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any
liability whatsoever (based on negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of
this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation and do not
undertake to publicly update or revise any of its opinions or forward looking statements whether to reflect
new information or future events or circumstances otherwise.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities
and no part of it shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment
whatsoever.