MONTHLY UPDATES FOR ALL INDICATORS ......Banco Fator Banco Safra Banco Supervielle Banco Votorantim...

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MONTHLY UPDATES FOR ALL INDICATORS & COUNTRIES ANNUAL FORECASTS TO 5 YEARS QUARTERLY FORECASTS TO 2 YEARS 400+ INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTING FORECASTERS FULL DATA TRANSPARENCY COVERAGE & DATA FREQUENCY FOCUSECONOMICS monthly survey of professional forecasters polls 2000+ international & local analysts at leading forecasters, banks, think-tanks and ratings agencies in 131 countries for their economic & commodity price predictions. These are validated and harmonized by our specialist in-house team.

Transcript of MONTHLY UPDATES FOR ALL INDICATORS ......Banco Fator Banco Safra Banco Supervielle Banco Votorantim...

Page 1: MONTHLY UPDATES FOR ALL INDICATORS ......Banco Fator Banco Safra Banco Supervielle Banco Votorantim Bancolombia S.A. Banesco Bank of Tokyo -Mitsubishi UFJ Brasil Barclays Capital Barclays

• MONTHLY UPDATES FOR ALL INDICATORS & COUNTRIES• ANNUAL FORECASTS TO 5 YEARS• QUARTERLY FORECASTS TO 2 YEARS• 400+ INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTING FORECASTERS• FULL DATA TRANSPARENCY

COVERAGE & DATA FREQUENCY

FOCUSECONOMICS monthly survey of professional forecasters polls 2000+ international & local analysts at leading forecasters, banks, think-tanks and ratings agencies in 131 countries for their economic & commodity price predictions. These are validated and harmonized by our specialist in-house team.

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AllianzANZBanco de OroBank DanamonBank Maybank IndonesiaBank of Ayudhya PCL.Bank of China (HK)Bank of East AsiaBBVA ResearchBerenbergBPI AMTGCapital EconomicsChina First CapitalChung-Hua InstituteCICCCIICIMB Thai BankCitigroup Global MktsCredit AgricoleCredit SuisseCrisilDaiwaDanareksa SecuritiesDBS BankDekaBankDeutsche BankDIW BerlinEIUEmirates NBDEuromonitor InternationalFitch SolutionsFrontier Strategy GroupGoldman SachsHang Seng BankHSBC

India Ratings and ResearchINGJPMorganKasikorn ResearchKenanga Investment BankKERIKiel InstituteKotak SecuritiesKT ZMICO Securities Co., LtdMacquarieMandiri SekuritasMARC BerhadMaybank Investment BankMetrobankMIERMizuho SecuritiesMoody’s AnalyticsMorgan StanleyNational Australia BankNomuraNORD/LBNZIEROCBC BankOCBC Wing Hang Bank Ltd.Oxford EconomicsPhatra SecuritiesPhilippine Equity PartnersRHB Research InstituteScotiabankShanghai Commercial BankSociété GénéraleStandard CharteredUBSUniCreditUnited Overseas Bank

Banco BPIBank HapoalimBank LeumiBarclays CapitalBeltone FinancialBNP ParibasCapital EconomicsCitigroup Global MktsCommerzbankCredit AgricoleCredit SuisseDeutsche BankDanske BankDekaBankEconometrixEIUEmirates NBDEPRCEuler HermesEuromonitor InternationalFitch SolutionsFrontier Strategy GroupFSDH Merchant BankGoldman SachsHSBCINGInvestecJadwa InvestmentJPMorganJulius BaerKPMGMoody’s AnalyticsNational Bank of KuwaitNomuraOxford Economics

Quantrarian Capital ManagementSamba Financial GroupStandard CharteredUBS

ACRAADA EconomicsAlfa-BankAllianzAlpha BankAmberd Research CenterAmeria Group ofCompaniesBank Zachodni WBKBarclays CapitalBCSBerenbergBMI ResearchBNP ParibasCapital EconomicsCASE UkraineCitigroup Global MktsConcorde CapitalConcorde SecuritiesCredit AgricoleCredit SuisseCredit-Agricole UkraineCSOBCSOB / Patria FinanceDanske BankDekaBankDeutsche BankDIW BerlinDragon CapitalEconomic Policy InstituteEconomic ResearchInstituteEIUErste BankEuler Hermes

EurobankEuromonitor InternationalExperianExpert-GrupFinansbankFrontier Strategy GroupGaidar InstituteGaranti BankGKI Economic ResearchGoldman SachsHalyk FinanceHSBCIBECICPSIfo InstitutINGInstitute of Econ., ZagrebIntercapitalInvestment Capital UkraineIsbankJ&T BankaJPMorganKBCKomercní BankaKopint-TárkiKUKE S.A.Moody’s AnalyticsNational Bank of GreeceNIER MoldovaNomuraNordeaOTP BankOxford EconomicsPKO Bank PolskiRaiffeisen Research

Renaissance CapitalSberbankScotiabankSEBSociété GénéraleSP AdvisorsSplitska BankaStandard CharteredThe Bleyzer FoundationUBSUniCreditUnited Bulgarian BankUralsib CapitalVTB Capital

Asia PacificMiddle East & Africa Emerging Europe

CONTRIBUTING FORECASTERS 2019

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ADA EconomicsAIB Global TreasuryAktia BankAllianzAlpha BankAsterèsBakbaselBankiaBBVA ResearchBerenbergBerliner SparkasseBMO Capital MarketsBNP ParibasBNP Paribas FortisBrit. Chamb. of Comm.CameconCapital EconomicsCBICebrCEPREDECERCIBC World MarketsCitadeleCitigroup Global MktsCoe-RexecodeCommerzbankConfi ndustriaCredit AgricoleCredit SuisseDanske BankDavyDekaBankDesjardins GroupDeutsche BankDNBDIW BerlinDZ BankEEFEIU

NIESRNomuraNordeaNovo BancoOP Financial GroupOTP BankOFCEOxford EconomicsPictet Asset ManagementPiraeus BankPrometeiaRabobankRaiffeisen ResearchRBC Capital MarketsRBSref.RWISal. OppenheimSantanderSBAB BankSchrodersScotiabankSEBSociété GénéraleStandard CharteredSwedbankToronto-Dominion BankUBSUniCreditUniv. Católica PortuguesaVÚB BankaWIFOWIIWXerfiZürcher Kantonalbank

ETLA Research InstituteEmirates NBDErste BankESRIEurobankEuromonitor InternationalExperianFitch SolutionsFrontier Strategy GroupFUNCASGoodbody StockbrokersGoldman SachsGruppo MPSHandelsbankenHolding MonexHSBCHWWIIfo InstitutIMADINGInstitute EIPFInvestec IrelandIntesa SanpaoloJapan Research Inst.JPMorganJulius BaerKBCKiel InstituteKOFKopint-TárkiKUKE S.A.La CaixaLloyds TSBMacroeconomic AdvisersMizuho Research Inst.Moody’s AnalyticsNational Bank of CanadaNational Bank of GreeceNIER Sweden

ABECEBAcoboADEXAmerican Chamber MexicoAnalytica ConsultoraANIFAPOYO ConsultoríaASIESAzpurua García VelázquezBanamex-CitigroupBanBifBanchile InversionesBanco BradescoBanco DaviviendaBanco de BogotáBanco de Crédito del PerúBanco de GaliciaBanco de Tokyo-MitsubishiUFJ BrasilBanco FatorBanco SafraBanco SupervielleBanco VotorantimBancolombia S.A.BanescoBank of Tokyo-MitsubishiUFJ BrasilBarclays CapitalBarclays CapitalBBVA Banco ContinentalBBVA Banco FrancésBBVA BancomerBBVA ResearchBCIBICE InversionesBNCRBradesco - Asset MgmtBTG Pactual

C&T AsesoresCABICámara de Comercio deSantiagoCámara de ComercioGuatemalaCapital EconomicsCEESPCIDEcinveCitigroup Global MktsCorfi colombianaCorpBanca EconómicoCorpResearchCredicorp CapitalCredit SuisseDatalynkDeutsche BankDeutsche BankDinámica VenezuelaDIW BerlinEcoanálisisEcoanalíticaEcolatinaEconometrica ArgentinaEconometrica VenezuelaEconsultEIUElypsisEmpiria ConsultoresEquipos ConsultoresEstudio Bein & Asoc.Estudios TecnicosEuromonitorFedesarrolloFIELFitch SolutionsFrontier Strategy Group

FyEConsultGBM SecuritiesGeminesGoldman SachsGRA ConsultoraHaitongHolding MonexHSBCHumboldt ManagementIcefiIecon - UdelaRIEDEP - CCLIMEFINGInvecq ConsultingInversiones SecurityINVEXIPEItaú BBAJonathan Heath &AssociatesJPMorganKiel InstituteLAFISELCA ConsultoresLCGFIELFrontier Strategy GroupFundación CapitalFyEConsultGBM SecuritiesGeminesGoldman SachsGRA ConsultoraHaitongHolding MonexHSBCHumboldt Management

IcefiIecon - UdelaRIEDEP - CCLIMEFINGInvecq ConsultingInversiones SecurityINVEXIPEItaú BBAJonathan Heath &AssociatesJPMorganKiel InstituteLAFISELCA ConsultoresLCGM&F ConsultoraMacroconsultMinistry of FinanceColombiaNomuraNovo BancoOikosOJF & AsociadosOxford EconomicsPanacamaraPanama Econ. InsightParallaxis EconomicsPetrosPezcoPolinomicsPositiva SegurosPrognosisRepublic Bank LimitedRepublica AFAPRimac SegurosSantander

ScotiabankScotiabank PeruSociété GénéraleTendências ConsultoriaIntegradaThorne & AssociatesUIA - CEUUltraserfi ncoVe Por MásVector Casa de Bolsa

ABN AMRO BankBarclays CapitalBayernLBBNP ParibasCantor FitzgeraldCapital EconomicsCIBC World MarketsCommerzbankCPM GroupCredit AgricoleCredit SuisseDanske BankDekaBankDeutsche BankE2 EconomiaEIUEmirates NBDEuler HermesEuromonitor InternationalFastMarkets LtdFitch SolutionsJPMorganLiberum CapitalMacquarieNatixisNoah SieberanaNORD/LBNordeaNovo BancoOxford EconomicsPezcoRBC Capital MarketsScotiabank PeruSociété GénéraleStandard CharteredToronto-Dominion BankUniCredit

G7, Euro Area & Nordics Latin & Central America Commodities

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LATAM Central America APAC Rest of APAC Eastern Europe Rest of EE G7 Euro Area Nordics MENA SSA

Sep 99 Mar 08 Nov 04 Mar 14 Mar 06 Jul 15 Feb/Aug 10 Apr 12 Dec 14 May 15

ArgentinaBrazilChileColombiaMexicoPeruVenezuelaBoliviaEcuadorParaguayUruguay

BelizeCosta RicaDominican Rep.El SalvadorGuatemalaHaitiHondurasJamaicaNicaraguaPanamaPuerto RicoTrinidad

ChinaHong KongIndiaIndonesiaKoreaMalaysia Philippines SingaporeTaiwanThailandVietnam

BruneiMyanmarCambodia

BulgariaCroatiaCzech Rep.EstoniaHungaryLatviaLithuaniaPolandRomaniaRussiaSlovakiaSloveniaTurkeyUkraine

ArmeniaAzerbaijanBelarusGeorgiaKazakshtanMoldovaTajikistanTurkmenistanUzbekistanAlbaniaBosniaKosovoMacedoniaMontenegroSerbia

USCanadaUKJapanGermanyEurozoneItalyFrance

AustriaBelgiumCyprusEstoniaFinlandGreeceIrelandItalyLatviaLithuaniaLuxembourgMaltaNetherlandsPortugalSlovakiaSloveniaSpain

DenmarkFinlandIcelandNorwaySweden

AlgeriaBahrainEgyptIranIraqIsraelJordanKuwaitLebanonMoroccoOmanQatarSaudi ArabiaTunisiaUAEYemen

AngolaBotswanaCDIDRCEthiopiaGhanaKenyaMozambiqueNigeriaSouth AfricaTanzaniaUgandaZambia

CameroonSenegalRwandaZimbabwe(added Dec 18)

Jun 15

BangladeshPakistanSri LankaMongolia

FORECAST HISTORY

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This is an example survey forChile’s GDP FORECAST acrossa 5-yr horizon.

Every month FocusEconomics clients receive a full update of all forecasts for all countries and indicators from our panel.

Forecasts are to 5 years showing both a consensus value (mean average) and distribution of individual forecaster predictions for each quarterly and annual period.

SAMPLE PANEL: LATIN AMERICA

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DATA METHODOLOGY

FocusEconomics Survey Method

• Every month FocusEconomics surveys a network of over 2,000 in-country analysts at leadinginternational banks, investment firms, ratings agencies and economic research houses fortheir forecasts across thousands of macro variables. These are collected and verified within amaximum of three days prior to their publication.

• FocusEconomics in-house team of economists collect, verify and commentate theseforecasts, producing objective, concise and reliable country analysis based on a consensus oftheir views.

• FocusEconomics dedicated panellist management team manage our relationships with eachforecaster to ensure data quality and our specialist data team manage our data warehouseand deliver customised content to our corporate and financial sector clients.

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DATA VISUALIZATION

In addition to raw data access for integration into existing tools, FOCUSECONOMICS offers a proprietary visualization platform designed to facilitate trend and comparative analysis, and to streamline reporting tasks. Data can be explored on varying levels of granularity.

FOCUSANALYTICS PANELIST DASHBOARD: Identify & isolate outliers, and build your own consensus. TRY A DEMO VERSION HERE

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DATA VISUALIZATION

FOCUSANALYTICS COUNTRY COMPARISON: Compare data across countries & variables. TRY A DEMO VERSION HERE