Modeling Equipment Health for Strategic Procurement and … · Christopher J. Guerra (210) 522-3481...
Transcript of Modeling Equipment Health for Strategic Procurement and … · Christopher J. Guerra (210) 522-3481...
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SwRI Technical Expertise/Support (continued)
Modeling Equipment Health for Strategic Procurement and
Sustainment
October 2015
Christopher J. Guerra (210) 522-3481
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Outline
• Motivation • Background • Problem Statement • Approach • Discussion • Conclusions • Acknowledgments • References
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Motivation
• Aircraft Fleet Age Expected to Increase Before Declining
• Support Equipment Age Linked to Fleet Age
• Mission Capable Rates Are Dependent on Effective Support Equipment
• Fragmented Life Cycle Management of Maintenance Functions
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Background
• DoDAF Framework – Relate System and
Maintenance Functions
• BBP 3.0, Emphasize – Control LCC – Productivity – Innovation – Competition
Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2
. . .
Fuel System
FsMxF1 FsMxF2
. . .
Map Selected Functions to SE
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Problem Statement
• Strategic Procurement of Support Equipment
• Maintenance Functions Across Service
• System Health Modeled for Life Cycle Management
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Approach
Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2 AvMxF3 AvMxF4 AvMxF5 AvMxF6
. . .
Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2 AvMxF3 AvMxF4 AvMxF5 AvMxF6
. . .
Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2 AvMxF3 AvMxF4 AvMxF5 AvMxF6
. . .
Identify Service-Wide Common Maintenance Functions from System Architecture
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Approach
C-130 Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2 AvMxF3 AvMxF4 AvMxF5 AvMxF6
. . .
A-10 Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2 AvMxF3 AvMxF4 AvMxF5 AvMxF6
. . .
B-52 Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2 AvMxF3 AvMxF4 AvMxF5 AvMxF6
. . .
C-130 Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2 AvMxF3 AvMxF4 AvMxF5 AvMxF6
. . .
A-10 Avionics
AvMxF1 AvMxF2 AvMxF3 AvMxF4 AvMxF5 AvMxF6
. . .
B-52 Comms
CmMxF1 CmMxF2 CmMxF3 CmMxF4 CmMxF5 CmMxF6
. . .
Legacy Maintenance Requirements
Emerging Maintenance Requirements
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Approach
• Compile Historical Support Equipment Supply System Data – Track for Obsolescence – Track for Usage – Classify by Dominant Function
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Discussion
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Legacy SE (Available Life)
78 74 69 65 61
New SE (Available Life)
100 96 92 88
C-130 Legacy Transition Transition Transition New
A-10* Legacy Legacy Legacy Legacy Legacy
F-35 New** New New New
Align Legacy Aircraft with Emerging Support Equipment for Maximum Life
*Assume draw down in 2020s. High remaining life suggests minimal ROI. **Assume FRP begins.
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Conclusions
• Modeling Support Equipment Life – Design Life – Individual Asset Life
• Identifying Common Maintenance Functions
• Enable Strategic Procurement
• Setup for Optimizing Life Cycle Management
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Acknowledgments
• Thank you to the Avionics & Support Systems Department of the Defense & Intelligence Solutions Division
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References
[1] B. Everstine, “Readiness declines in aging, overworked fleet”, Air Force Times, October 2013. [2] US Dept. of Defense, Defense Acquisition Guidebook, 2004. [3] US Dept. of Defense, DoD Architecture Framework Version 2.02. [4] US Dept. of Defense, Implementation Directive for Better Buying Power 3.0, 2015.