Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

download Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

of 6

Transcript of Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

  • 8/3/2019 Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

    1/6

    13 72999

    1682.0 30

    3.0

    7

    231

    3.0 113

    184

    3

    6

    1.0 - 2.5acres

    33

    $ 210,000

    6

    4

    113

    3.0

    6,501 -8,000 sqft

    42.0

    12494,501 -

    6,500 sqft

    113

    $ 169,000

    3.0

    274

    0.25 - 0.50acre$ 289,900

    4.0$ 499,000

    20

    7

    2249

    The market seems to have paused around this plateau. TheMarket Action Index is a good leading indicator for the duraof this trend.

    The market has shown some evidence of slowing recently. Bothprices and inventory levels are relatively unchanged in recent weeks.

    Watch the Market Action Index for changes as it can be a leadingindicator for price changes.

    Inventory has been tightening and days-on-market increasingrecently. The Market Action Index has been basically flat, notproviding strong indication for market conditions.

    MISSOULA, MTMarket TrendsExecutive Summary

    113

    1749

    2.0

    Monday January 23, 2012

    The median list price in MISSOULA, MT this week is $239,450.

    Investigate the market in quartwhere each quartile is 25% of hordered by price.

    Most expensive 25% of properties

    Upper-middle 25% of properties

    Lower-middle 25% of properties

    Least expensive 25% of properties

    Quartile Median Price Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOMSq. Ft.

    Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

    No change Strong upward trend Strong downward t

    Slight upward trend Slight downward tr

    + ==

    =

    Powered by Altos Research LLC | www.altosresearch.com | Copyright 2005-2010 Altos Research LLC

    Single Family Homes

    Median Lot Size

    17.2

    Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

    1749

    2.0

    2 %

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    214

    Median List Price

    Average Days on Market (DOM)

    $ 136

    Percent Flip (price increased)

    8,001 - 10,000 sqft

    Median House Size (sq ft)

    $ 239,450

    23 %

    3.0

    Market Action Index

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Asking Price Per Square Foot

    n/a

    Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

    Strong Buyer's

    +

    ==

    ==

    +

    ttom/Fourth

    Lower/Third

    pper/Second

    Top/First

    This Week

    Supply and Demand

    Real-Time Market Profile Tren

    Price

    Price T

    Market Action Index

    The Market Action Index answers the question "How's theMarket?" by measuring the current rate of sale versus theamount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies Seller'sMarket conditions. Below 30, conditions favor the buyer.

    QuartilesCharacteristics per Quartile

    7-Day Rolling Average 90-Day Rolling Average Buyer/Seller Cutoff

    7-Day Rolling Average 90-Day Rolling Average

  • 8/3/2019 Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

    2/6

    Median List Price

    Median Lot Size

    17.2

    Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

    1749

    2.0

    2 %

    Median Number of Bathrooms

    214

    Inventory of Properties Listed

    $ 136

    Percent Flip (price increased)

    8,001 - 10,000 sqft

    Median House Size (sq ft)

    $ 239,450

    23 %

    3.0

    Market Action Index

    Median Number of Bedrooms

    Asking Price Per Square Foot

    n/a

    Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

    Strong Buyer's

    +

    ==

    ==

    +

    Altos Research Value Statistics

    Most Expensive Listing

    Average Days on Market (DoM)

    ottom/Fourth

    Lower/Third

    Upper/Second

    Top/First

    This WeekReal-Time Market Profile Trend

    The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" by measuringthe current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to thebuyer.

    Supply and Demand

    Characteristics per Quartile

    13 72999

    1682.0 30

    3.0

    7

    231

    3.0 113

    184

    3

    6

    1.0 - 2.5acres

    33

    $ 210,000

    6

    4

    113

    3.0

    6,501 -8,000 sqft

    42.0

    12494,501 -

    6,500 sqft

    113

    $ 169,000

    3.0

    274

    0.25 - 0.50acre$ 289,900

    4.0$ 499,000

    20

    7

    2249

    Inventory has been tightening anddays-on-market increasing recently.The Market Action Index has beenbasically flat, not providing strongindication for market conditions.

    Monday January 23, 2012

    Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

    113

    1749

    2.0

    The median list price in MISSOULA,MT this week is $239,450. The 452

    properties have been on the marketfor an average of 214 days.

    Most expensive 25% of properties

    Upper-middle 25% of properties

    Lower-middle 25% of properties

    Least expensive 25% of properties

    Quartile Median Price Lot Size Beds Baths Age Inventory New Absorbed DOMSq. Ft.

    No change

    Strong upward trend Strong downward trend

    Slight upward trend Slight downward trend+

    ==

    =

    MISSOULA,

    City Overview

    Least Expensive Listing

    Average List Price

    Average Age of Listing

    452

    $ 3,985,000

    $ 45,900

    $ 323,586

    30

    Trend Key:

    The market has shown someevidence of slowing recently. Bothprices and inventory levels arerelatively unchanged in recentweeks. Watch the Market ActionIndex for changes as it can be aleading indicator for price changes.

    Page 2 of 31

    Single Family Home

  • 8/3/2019 Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

    3/6

    Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

    City OverviewMISSOULA,

    Monday January 23, 2012

    Median PriceThe market seems to have paused around this plateau. The Market Action Index is a good leading indicator for the durability ofthis trend.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Quartile PricesPrices have settled at a price plateau across the board. Prices in all four quartiles are basically mixed. Look for a persistent shift(up or down) in the Market Action Index before prices move from these current levels.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 3 of 31

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/3/2019 Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

    4/6

    Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

    City OverviewMISSOULA,

    Monday January 23, 2012

    Price per Square FootThe value placed on homes continues to increase, despite the fact that prices in general have been basically flat recently.These conditions can arise when inventory is light and more, smaller homes have more influence on overall prices.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale

    Inventory has been falling in recent weeks. Note that declining inventory alone does not signal a strengthening market. Look tothe Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is changing with the available supply.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Page 4 of 31

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/3/2019 Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

    5/6

    Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

    City OverviewMISSOULA,

    Monday January 23, 2012

    Market Action IndexThe MISSOULA market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Indexstands at 17.19. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff90-day Average

    Market Action Index per QuartileNot surprisingly given the overall Market Action Index, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months ofinventory given the current rate of demand for homes in the quartile. Watch the quartile for changes before the overall marketshifts. Often one end of the market (e.g. the low end) will improve and signal a strengthening market before the whole group

    changes.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

    Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterizedby analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the BuyersAdvantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction.

    Page 5 of 31

    Single Family Hom

  • 8/3/2019 Missoula Market Trends 1-23-2012

    6/6

    Prudential Montana Real Estate | (406) 721-4141

    City OverviewMISSOULA,

    Monday January 23, 2012

    Days on MarketThe properties have been on the market for an average of 214 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in thepast 152 or so days.

    90-day Average7-day Average

    Days on Market per QuartileIt is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

    First/Top Second/Upper Third/Lower Fourth/Bottom

    Page 6 of 31

    Single Family Hom