Mexico 2015 perspective on the world
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Next 100 Years Some Current Implications in 15 minutes? “Prospective on the World 2015” México City, June 24-25, 2015 Jerome C. Glenn, CEO The Millennium Project
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Transcript of Mexico 2015 perspective on the world
Next 100 YearsSome Current Implications
in 15 minutes?
“Prospective on the World 2015”México City, June 24-25, 2015
Jerome C. Glenn, CEOThe Millennium Project
Dense particles normally circling Earth, deep inside the magnetosphere, can extend a long arm out to meet – and help block – incoming solar material.
http://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/plume.gif
The Magnetosphere may weaken enough In 500 years to no longer protect life on the Earth
The sooner we start making plans to leave the earth, the better
Run Away Greenhouse at 1000 ppm CO2: Jim Hanson, NASA http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/fact-or-fiction-runaway-greenhouse/
Hydrogen Sulfate 1000 ppm kills planetary life , Peter Ward, Under a Green Sky http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/paleontologist-peter-wards-medea-hypothesis-life-is-out-to-get-you/
US-China Joint Goal: 350 ppm
The sooner we start making plans to leave the earth, the better…Insurance Policy
A single individual acting along eventually will be able to make and deploy a weapon of mass destruction (SIMAD) The public was not involved in Nuclear Deterrence other than paying taxes, SIMAD is different – the public is key
The sooner we start making plans to leave the earth, the better…Insurance Policy
When this begins to happen, the speed of increasing AI’s intelligence
will be far fasterand produce more change than Moore’s Law
by responding to feedback from sensor networks worldwide,
will accelerate AI’s intelligence worldwide… moment by moment
Artificial General Intelligence or Super Intelligence… that can autonomously “write” and improve its code…
Inevitability of New Economics
• Concentration of wealth is increasing• Income gaps are widening• Employment-less economic growth seems the new normal• Return on investment in capital and technology is usually
better than labor• Will future technologies create or replace more jobs?• 25-50% unemployment is a business-as-usual forecast
without new economic approaches• If so, will some form of guaranteed income be necessary?
Future of Work/Technology 2025 Study
1. Literature and Related Research Review
2. Real-Time Delphi
3. Road Maps and Scenario Drafts
4. RTDelphi Feedback on the Scenarios
5. Final Scenarios, Policy Implications, and produce initial report
6. Initial Report as input to the National Planning Workshops
7. Collect results of the national planning workshops, analyze & synthesize results
8. Final report for public discussion
One-Person Businesses
Find markets around the world for what you are interested in doing
not non-existing jobs
What could this look like in 2115?
Will we create our own Avatars to be our Cyber-selves?
Could this find your future each day?
Your own cyber clone?
Next Mega Trend: Conscious-Technology
When the distinction between these two trends
becomes blurred, we will have reached the Post-Information Age
HUMANS BECOMING CYBORGS
BUILT ENVIRONMENT BECOMING INTELLIGENT
1985
2000
2015
2030
Simplification/Generalization of Historyand an Alternative Future
Age /Element Product Power Wealth Place War Time
Agricultural Extraction
Food/Res Religion Land Earth/Res Location Cyclical
Industrial Machine Nation-State
Capital Factory Resources Linear
Information Info/serv Corporation
Access Office Perception Flexible
Conscious-Technology
Linkage Individual Being Motion Identity Invented
If \ Then Nano-technology
Synthetic Biology
Artificial Intelligence
Robotics 3-D Printing Augmented Reality
Nano-technology xxx Synthetic Biology xxx Artificial Intelligence xxx Robotics
xxx 3-D Printing
xxx Augmented Reality xxx
Emerging Technologies Table
Future Technology Synergies
Some Future Technologies shaping the next 100 Years
Artificial Intelligence Robotic
manufacturing
Computational Science
3-D4-D Priting
Nanotechnology
Quantum computing
Synthetic Biology
Drones
Artificial General Intelligence
Tele-Everything & Tele-Everybodythe Semantic Web
Future Technology Synergies
Robotic manufacturing
Drones
Quantum computing
Robotic manufacturing
3D and 4D Printing
Augmented RealityTele-Presence, Holographics
Nanotechnology
Artificial General Intelligence
Tele-EverythingTele-Everybodythe Semantic Web
Increasing individual and collective intelligence
Synthetic Biology
Conscious-Technology
Future Technology Synergies
Artificial Intelligence
RoboticsNanotechnology
Quantum computing
Drones
Future Technology
Conscious-Technology
3D and 4D Printing
Augmented Reality,Tele-Presence, Holographics
Collective Intelligence Systems: Each Can Change the Other
Next 100 Years (2115): Some likelies …
• Indefinite Healthy Life Extension• Augmented geniuses• Synergies Among: Artificial General Intelligence, Robotics,
Synthetic biology, Atomically Precise Manufacturing, 3D/4D printing, Quantum Computing, Cognitive Science
• Basic guaranteed income – Self-Actualization Economy• Conscious-Technology Civilization• Beginnings of space migration in parallel with the Earth
Naturals saying home
What is the first thinking? And whatdoes the second think about that?
For further information
Jerome C. GlennThe Millennium Project
4421 Garrison Street, NW, Washington, D.C. 20016 USA+1-202-686-5179 phone/fax
www.StateoftheFuture.orgwww.themp.org (Global Futures Intelligence System)
